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Warrnambool Race 5 - Hammonds Paints Thackeray Stpl

Only five runners. STERN IDOL (1) was heavily backed in the Australia Chase at Sandown five weeks back, and won accordingly beating LEADERBOARD (2) by less than a length. That was on rain-affected going and they'll likely strike a similar surface again today. Fully expecting that pair to make up the top two in this one as well. FABALOT (3) looks some chance on recent form, having won a Terang maiden chase on June 15 over 3200m in the wet. Tougher now of course, but looks to be in some kind of form. INSTIGATOR (4) ran second in the Grand Annual on May 1, and although this is must shorter, he should definitely be respected. MUSTANG HARRY (5) looks to be just making up numbers here.

Race Time:5:20 AM

Sunday, July 6, 2025

Track:Heavy9

Weather:Clear

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:3450m

Stern Idol (4)18110x3241

Trainer: Ciaron Maher (Ballarat)12 mths 34: 13-3-1

Jockey: Steven Pateman

Weight: 72kgs

8 yo Bay G

Sire: RAVEN'S PASS (USA)

Dam: SCREEN ICON (IRE)

Dam's Sire: Authorized

Stats

Prize Money$769,202.00

Avg $$22,623.59

Win %38.24%

Place %50.00%

Career34: 13-3-1

Track4: 2-0-0

Distance8: 6-0-0

Tr / Dist1: 1-0-0

1st Up9: 2-1-1

2nd Up8: 4-1-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good8: 2-0-1

Soft19: 7-2-0

Heavy7: 4-1-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Racing well. Resumes off a 35 day letup. Last run favourite; came from midfield and won by 0.8 len Sandown-Lakeside Aust Chase on June 1 over 3900m on rain affected going defeating Leaderboard with 73kg at $1.85 in a jumps. The start before that; finished fourth of 8 runners at this track Hdle-Swp on April 30 over 3200m, slow track; 2 len behind The Cunning Fox carrying 70.5kg at $3.30. Too good as odds-on pop at Sandown latest, and the one to beat here.

Last Starts 18 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/4	16/06/2025	-	Trial	$0.00	Warrnambool	2800m	Soft	Steven Pateman		3:33.00	-	0	1. Stern Idol 2. Noonday Gun 3. Field Of Lights	2L	$0.00
1/9	01/06/2025	32	STPL	$101,500.00	Sandown-Lakeside	3900m	Soft 7	Steven Pateman	73kg	4:39.07	4-1-1	6	1. Stern Idol 2. Leaderboard 3. Not Usual Dream	0.8L	$1.85
1/4	21/05/2025	-	Trial	$0.00	Terang	2800m	Soft	Steven Pateman		3:25.10	-	0	1. Stern Idol 2. Not Usual Dream 3. Khafeef	12L	$0.00
4/8	30/04/2025	17	HDLE	$151,000.00	Warrnambool	3200m	Soft 6	Fergus Gregory	70.5kg	3:39.68	1-1-4	3	1. The Cunning Fox 2. Affluential 3. Right Now	2.1L	$3.30
2/6	13/04/2025	18	Qlty HDLE	$75,000.00	Pakenham	3200m	Soft 5	Steven Pateman	72kg	3:39.25	1-1-2	5	1. The Cunning Fox 2. Stern Idol 3. Right Now	5.0L	$3.90
3/9	26/03/2025	213	BM70 3U	$55,000.00	Sandown-Hillside	3000m	Good 3	Ethan Brown	60.5kg	3:11.49	1-1-3	7	1. Lodbrok 2. Affluential 3. Stern Idol	0.7L	$6.00
0/12	25/08/2024	21	STPL	$400,000.00	Ballarat	4500m	Soft 7	Steven Pateman	73kg	5:24.66	1-3-FF	1	1. The Good Fight 2. Leaderboard 3. Rockstar Ronnie	99.0L	$2.25
1/8	04/08/2024	14	STPL	$152,000.00	Sandown-Lakeside	4200m	Soft 6	Steven Pateman	70kg	5:12.46	1-1-1	2	1. Stern Idol 2. Rockstar Ronnie 3. Tom Foolery	10.0L	$1.20

Leaderboard (2)32x7011f72

Trainer: Mark Walker (Cranbourne)12 mths 65: 11-9-8

Jockey: Will Gordon

Weight: 65kgs

10 yo Brown G

Sire: STREET CRY (IRE)

Dam: FLOWER FAIRY (USA)

Dam's Sire: Dynaformer

Stats

Prize Money$614,205.00

Avg $$9,449.31

Win %16.92%

Place %43.08%

Career65: 11-9-8

Track4: 2-0-1

Distance3: 1-0-1

Tr / Dist3: 1-0-1

1st Up11: 0-2-1

2nd Up11: 2-1-1

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good18: 0-2-2

Soft39: 8-7-5

Heavy5: 2-0-1

Synthetic3: 1-0-0

Comments

Useful type. Resumes off a 35 day letup. Last start held ground to the line finished second of 9 starters at Sandown-Lakeside Aust Chase on June 1 over 3900m, on slow going 0.8 len behind Stern Idol carrying 66kg at $9.50. Run before ran last at Mornington Bm70 on May 26 over 3000m, 35 len behind Affluential carrying 58kg at $21. Sure to improve again. Comes through the right race and can go one better here.

Last Starts 4 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/8	30/06/2025	-	Trial	$0.00	Cranbourne	1400m		Sage Duric		1:30.27	-	0	1. Leaderboard 2. Wyclif 3. Inthelapofthegods	0L	$0.00
2/9	01/06/2025	6	STPL	$101,500.00	Sandown-Lakeside	3900m	Soft 7	Will Gordon	66kg	4:39.07	3-2-2	1	1. Stern Idol 2. Leaderboard 3. Not Usual Dream	0.8L	$9.50
7/7	26/05/2025	27	BM70 3U	$27,000.00	Mornington	3000m	Good 3	Sage Duric	58kg	3:10.58	1-4-7	4	1. Affluential 2. Heir To The Throne 3. Holly's Star	35.6L	$21.00
0/10	29/04/2025	16	STPL	$151,000.00	Warrnambool	3450m	Soft 6	Will Gordon	67.5kg	4:11.39	-	5	1. Duke Of Bedford 2. Freddy The Eagle 3. Instigator	99.0L	$3.30
1/4	13/04/2025	7	Qlty STPL	$75,000.00	Pakenham	4000m	Soft 5	Will Gordon	71kg	4:58.04	1-1-1	4	1. Leaderboard 2. Blood And Sand 3. Historic	4.0L	$1.24
1/7	06/04/2025	39	STPL 3U	$35,000.00	Ballarat Synthetic	3250m	Synthetic	Will Gordon	71.5kg	3:58.74	1-1-1	1	1. Leaderboard 2. Schabau 3. Instigator	5.0L	$2.70
1/6	13/03/2025	-	Trial	$0.00	Cranbourne	2400m	Soft	Will Gordon		3:24.07	-	0	1. Leaderboard 2. Historic 3. El Diez	8L	$0.00
11/11	26/02/2025	11	BM74 3U	$55,000.00	Sandown-Hillside	2400m	Good 3	Tom Prebble	57kg	2:30.53	11-11-11	8	1. Romans Luck 2. Gemini Dancer 3. Lodbrok	14.5L	$101.00

Fabalot (5)621200x851

Trainer: Symon Wilde (Warrnambool)12 mths 37: 8-5-3

Jockey: William McCarthy

Weight: 65kgs

8 yo Bay G

Sire: CAMELOT (GB)

Dam: FLAMINGO ROSE (GER)

Dam's Sire: Areion

Stats

Prize Money$332,285.00

Avg $$8,980.68

Win %21.62%

Place %43.24%

Career37: 8-5-3

Track8: 2-2-0

Distance3: 2-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up6: 1-0-0

2nd Up6: 0-0-1

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good10: 3-0-0

Soft18: 3-4-3

Heavy9: 2-1-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Useful gelding. Last run won by 2 len Terang Mdn Chase on June 15 over 3200m in the wet defeating Prismatic with 69.5kg at $6.50 in a jumps. Before that finished fifth of 8 runners at this track Hdle-Swp on April 30 over 3200m, on slow going 17 len behind The Cunning Fox carrying 69kg at $31. Gets a chance to win. Each-way contender in this small field.

Last Starts 19 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/10	15/06/2025	46	MDN STPL 3U	$35,000.00	Terang	3200m	Heavy 8	William McCarthy	69.5kg	3:47.42	1-1-1	4	1. Fabalot 2. Prismatic 3. Pressfal	2.0L	$6.50
4/4	21/05/2025	-	Trial	$0.00	Terang	2800m	Soft	William McCarthy		3:25.10	-	0	1. Stern Idol 2. Not Usual Dream 3. Khafeef	32L	$0.00
5/8	30/04/2025	29	HDLE	$151,000.00	Warrnambool	3200m	Soft 6	William McCarthy	69kg	3:39.68	3-5-5	6	1. The Cunning Fox 2. Affluential 3. Right Now	17.1L	$31.00
1/7	07/04/2025	-	Trial	$0.00	Ballarat	2800m	Soft	Dean Parker		3:22.61	-	0	1. Fabalot 2. Point Nepean 3. Right Now	0.02L	$0.00
8/8	01/04/2025	219	BM64 3U	$27,000.00	Geelong	2460m	Good 3	Jordan Childs	60kg	2:36.53	4-4-8	1	1. Tarvue 2. The Cunning Fox 3. Sparkle Link	19.5L	$13.00
0/8	25/08/2024	35	HDLE	$150,000.00	Ballarat	3250m	Soft 7	Will Gordon	69kg	3:48.37	-	3	1. The Cunning Fox 2. Point Nepean 3. Right Now	99.0L	$13.00
0/9	21/07/2024	14	HDLE	$101,000.00	Pakenham	3500m	Heavy 9	Will Gordon	69kg	4:08.46	2-7-FF	7	1. Right Now 2. The Good Fight 3. Lincoln King	99.0L	$4.00
2/9	07/07/2024	14	Qlty HDLE	$101,000.00	Warrnambool	3200m	Soft 6	Will Gordon	71kg	3:41.38	1-2-2	8	1. Prismatic 2. Fabalot 3. The Good Fight	7.0L	$3.00

Instigator (1)657x7l3320

Trainer: Aaron Purcell (Warrnambool)12 mths 62: 5-11-11

Jockey: Tom Ryan

Weight: 65kgs

11 yo Bay G

Sire: NAYEF (USA)

Dam: IMAGERY (GER)

Dam's Sire: Monsun

Stats

Prize Money$581,192.00

Avg $$9,374.06

Win %8.06%

Place %43.55%

Career62: 5-11-11

Track15: 1-3-3

Distance8: 1-3-2

Tr / Dist5: 1-1-1

1st Up9: 1-1-1

2nd Up9: 2-0-1

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good23: 1-3-0

Soft28: 3-7-7

Heavy11: 1-1-4

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Last start ran on from midfield; finished 12th of 14 runners at Ballarat Bm64 on June 29 over 2600m, slow track; 22 len behind Ferago carrying 61.5kg at $41. Before that held ground to the line finished second of 10 starters at this track Gr Annual on May 1 over 5500m, on slow going 12 len behind Duke Of Bedford with 64.5kg at $5.50. Doubt he's going well enough to win, but might sneak into the top three.

Last Starts 5 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
12/14	29/06/2025	59	BM64	$35,000.00	Ballarat	2600m	Soft 7	Linda Meech	61.5kg	2:49.78	6-10-12	9	1. Ferago 2. Reddivo 3. Alhambra Palace	22.1L	$41.00
2/10	01/05/2025	2	STPL	$353,500.00	Warrnambool	5500m	Soft 7	Braidon Small	64.5kg	6:52.55	3-2-2	6	1. Duke Of Bedford 2. Instigator 3. Bazini	12.0L	$5.50
3/10	29/04/2025	23	STPL	$151,000.00	Warrnambool	3450m	Soft 6	Braidon Small	65.5kg	4:11.39	6-7-3	2	1. Duke Of Bedford 2. Freddy The Eagle 3. Instigator	4.3L	$11.00
3/8	17/04/2025	-	Trial	$0.00	Warrnambool	2800m	Soft	Braidon Small		3:21.99	-	0	1. Nelson 2. Heir To The Throne 3. Instigator	10.5L	$0.00
3/7	06/04/2025	9	STPL 3U	$35,000.00	Ballarat Synthetic	3250m	Synthetic	Braidon Small	72.5kg	3:58.74	2-3-3	5	1. Leaderboard 2. Schabau 3. Instigator	11.0L	$6.00
0/6	28/03/2025	21	STPL 3U	$35,000.00	Warrnambool	3450m	Soft 6	Braidon Small	72.5kg	4:11.22	4-99-LR	1	1. Tom Foolery 2. Duke Of Bedford 3. The Mighty Spar	99.0L	$8.00
3/10	20/03/2025	-	Trial	$0.00	Warrnambool	2800m	Soft	Braidon Small		3:27.89	-	0	1. Duke Of Bedford 2. Tom Foolery 3. Instigator	22L	$0.00
7/12	07/03/2025	243	BM64 3U	$27,000.00	Ballarat	2000m	Good 4	Declan Bates	62kg	2:04.57	10-9-7	7	1. Preferential 2. Miyazawa 3. Freddy The Eagle	8.1L	$101.00

Mustang Harry (3)3f05680x00

Trainer: Kaye Edwards (Casterton)12 mths 44: 2-2-5

Jockey: Jordan Hart

Weight: 65kgs

9 yo Bay G

Sire: GREENWOOD LAKE (USA)

Dam: ESPRIT DE LYS (AUS)

Dam's Sire: Bel Esprit

Stats

Prize Money$96,256.00

Avg $$2,187.64

Win %4.55%

Place %20.45%

Career44: 2-2-5

Track13: 1-1-1

Distance5: 1-1-1

Tr / Dist3: 0-1-1

1st Up7: 0-0-2

2nd Up7: 1-0-1

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good14: 0-0-1

Soft15: 1-0-3

Heavy14: 1-2-1

Synthetic1: 0-0-0

Comments

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up finished tenth of 12 starters at Casterton 0 - 58 on May 18 over 2000m, slow track; 9 len behind Mangione with 54kg at $101. Second run from a spell ran last at Casterton Bm58-Hwt on June 29 over 2000m, slow track; 18 len behind Idon'tgetit with 65kg at $201. Definite winning chance. Suspect he's just making up the numbers today.

Last Starts 5 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
12/12	29/06/2025	42	BM58 3U	$27,000.00	Casterton	2000m	Soft 6	Cillin Leonard	65kg	2:08.14	12-12-12	12	1. Idon'tgetit 2. Black Autumn 3. French Graffiti	18.5L	$201.00
3/5	21/05/2025	-	Trial	$0.00	Terang	2800m	Soft	Jordan Hart		3:29.10	-	0	1. Chimed 2. Balnarring Beach 3. Mustang Harry	5.5L	$0.00
10/12	18/05/2025	168	BM0-58 3U	$27,000.00	Casterton	2000m	Soft 6	Teo Nugent	54kg	2:07.44	9-10-10	8	1. Mangione 2. A Blue Star 3. Gambu	9.9L	$101.00
10/12	01/12/2024	41	BM64	$60,000.00	Warrnambool	3450m	Heavy 9	Jordan Hart	65kg	4:02.89	12-11-10	10	1. Exzello 2. Eyes To Me 3. Dempsey Girl	26.2L	$81.00
8/9	21/10/2024	17	BM58	$27,000.00	Warrnambool	2350m	Soft 5	Conor Brassil	67kg	2:29.19	9-9-8	6	1. Autumn Colours 2. Olympic Theatre 3. Golden Garden	19.0L	$101.00
6/10	04/10/2024	7	BM58	$27,000.00	Warrnambool	2350m	Soft 5	Conor Brassil	67.5kg	2:28.77	4-6-6	1	1. Pulveriser 2. Enrico Pallazzo 3. Naval Aviator	13.3L	$19.00
5/10	27/09/2024	11	BM0-58 3U	$27,000.00	Coleraine	2250m	Good 4	Seamus Cronin	56kg	2:21.89	10-7-5	9	1. Last Raider 2. Americain Miss 3. Highland Glory	4.8L	$51.00
4/5	27/05/2024	-	Trial	$0.00	Warrnambool	2800m	Soft	Richard O'Donoghue		3:30.04	-	0	1. Inayforhay 2. Killourney 3. Yulong Place	7.5L	$0.00