Tokyo Race 11 - The Keio Hai Nisai Stakes(G2)
FRAOCHAN (2) Fresh from a break. Ran home into 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start at Sapporo and will try to take advantage of the gate. Can win. IMPULSE DRIVE (6) Stormed home to win last run at Hanshin and was a debutant last start. Cristian Demuro and Ryou Takahashi have shared plenty of success together. Will be around the mark at odds. BLUE JAY (9) First up today. Dashed home to win last start at Sapporo. Christophe Lemaire adds value. Suitably placed in this race. NAUSET (4) First run back from a break. Went to the front and never looked back to win by a margin of 7L last time at Niigata. Appears well in this.

Jockey: Hironobu Tanabe
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a two-month let-up after a dominant Mdn win at Nakayama, leading throughout as favourite and beating Fontana D'Oro by five lengths. She had shown genuine progress the run before when beaten a nose by Satono Supremacy at Niigata at generous odds. The drop back to 1400m and rise into black type are the reservations, so she shapes as a minor chance rather than a leading hope.
Last Starts 47 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/14 | 20/09/2026 | 35 | MDN 2 | $100,200.00 | Nakayama | 1600m | Y | Kosei Miura | 55kg | 1:37.20 | 1-1-1 | 11 |
| 5.0L | $2.40 |
| 2/13 | 16/08/2026 | 21 | MDN 2 | $100,150.00 | Niigata | 1600m | Good | Kosei Miura | 55kg | 1:34.10 | 1-1-2 | 4 |
| 0.1L | $16.10 |
| 6/11 | 26/07/2026 | 50 | MDN 2 | $100,890.00 | Niigata | 1400m | Good | N Yokoyama | 55kg | 1:22.00 | 3-3-6 | 5 |
| 4.4L | $10.90 |
| 4/9 | 06/06/2026 | - | NEWCOMER 2 | $130,300.00 | Tokyo | 1600m | Good | Kazuo Yokoyama | 55kg | 1:34.30 | 6-6-4 | 4 |
| 4.8L | $25.80 |

Jockey: Tom Marquand
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a three-month break with strong two-run form already on the page. He was sent out an odds-on favourite at Sapporo and finished strongly when second to Blue Jay, beaten half a length, after winning his Hakodate NEWCOMER by eight lengths as a dominant short-priced favourite. The Blue Jay rematch is the obvious measuring stick, but his 100% place record and genuine finish make him a major winning player fresh.
Last Starts 76 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/14 | 22/08/2026 | 42 | OPEN 2 | $291,490.00 | Sapporo | 1500m | Good | Takeshi Yokoyama | 55kg | 1:29.30 | 5-4-2 | 7 |
| 0.5L | $1.90 |
| 1/11 | 11/07/2026 | - | NEWCOMER 2 | $133,090.00 | Hakodate | 1200m | Good | Takeshi Yokoyama | 55kg | 1:09.30 | 1-1-1 | 8 |
| 8.0L | $1.30 |

Jockey: Takuya Ono
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Was safely held in the G3 Saudi Arabia Royal Cup at this track, finishing second last behind Agordino and beaten five and a half lengths at big odds. His debut win at Niigata came at generous odds and he did track the speed, but that form has to be lifted considerably. First go around 1400m adds another question, and others bring stronger current credentials.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | 10/10/2026 | 69 | G3 OPEN 2 | $626,690.00 | Tokyo | 1600m | Good | Kazuki Kikuzawa | 56kg | 1:34.40 | 11-9-10 | 7 |
| 5.4L | $116.00 |
| 1/13 | 02/08/2026 | - | NEWCOMER 2 | $132,110.00 | Niigata | 1600m | Good | Kazuki Kikuzawa | 55kg | 1:36.70 | 6-3-1 | 13 |
| 0.1L | $39.90 |

Jockey: Akihide Tsumura
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a three-month break after putting a Mdn away by seven lengths at Niigata, where he was heavily supported into very short odds-on territory and scored with plenty in hand. His debut second to Beau Decor had already given him a sound base, and Akihide Tsumura is among the leading riders at this track. The black-type task is tougher, but his profile is solid enough for a placing push.
Last Starts 75 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/12 | 23/08/2026 | 22 | MDN 2 | $100,150.00 | Niigata | 1400m | Good | Akihide Tsumura | 55kg | 1:21.70 | 1-1-1 | 12 |
| 7.0L | $1.10 |
| 2/18 | 01/08/2026 | - | NEWCOMER 2 | $132,110.00 | Niigata | 1400m | Good | Kosei Miura | 55kg | 1:21.60 | 6-6-2 | 13 |
| 3.0L | $4.70 |

Jockey: Takeshi Yokoyama
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Ran well above market expectations in the G3 Saudi Arabia Royal Cup at this track, finishing fourth behind Agordino and beaten just under two lengths after being unwanted in betting. The run prior, he beat Seiun Iris in a Niigata Mdn and his only start around 1400m was a win. Takeshi Yokoyama has won this race twice, so he has the right support to run into the minors if he repeats that latest effort.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/11 | 10/10/2026 | 63 | G3 OPEN 2 | $626,690.00 | Tokyo | 1600m | Good | Takeshi Yokoyama | 56kg | 1:34.40 | 1-1-4 | 8 |
| 1.8L | $54.10 |
| 1/13 | 08/08/2026 | 20 | MDN 2 | $100,150.00 | Niigata | 1400m | Good | Kosei Miura | 55kg | 1:21.70 | 3-3-1 | 13 |
| 1.8L | $1.90 |
| 2/16 | 19/07/2026 | - | NEWCOMER 2 | $133,090.00 | Fukushima | 1200m | Good | Kosei Miura | 55kg | 1:10.50 | 4-4-2 | 6 |
| 1.8L | $5.90 |

Jockey: Cristian Demuro
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a two-month freshening after making a winning debut at Hanshin, where he was heavily supported into very short odds-on territory and beat Jasper Reve by half a length. He had to work for it but picked up well in the run home, which gives the performance substance. The move to 1400m is untested and this is a stronger assignment, yet his professionalism and market confidence make him a serious winning hope.
Last Starts 48 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 19/09/2026 | - | NEWCOMER 2 | $132,170.00 | Hanshin | 1200m | Good | Yuichi Kitamura | 55kg | 1:09.50 | 3-3-1 | 8 |
| 0.5L | $1.20 |

Jockey: Miku Kobayashi
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a two-month let-up after winning on debut at Nakayama, where he started at generous odds and beat Segeln by three lengths in a sharp 1200m performance. That was a positive start, but he has not raced around 1400m and now meets a far deeper black-type field. He will have to bring another level to trouble the stronger exposed form lines.
Last Starts 48 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/16 | 19/09/2026 | - | NEWCOMER 2 | $132,170.00 | Nakayama | 1200m | Good | Miku Kobayashi | 53kg | 1:09.60 | 1-1-1 | 5 |
| 3.0L | $12.90 |

Jockey: Alexis Pouchin
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a two-month let-up unbeaten from two starts, most recently beating Maru Mori Muso at Nakayama by just under two lengths after travelling like the winner. His Sapporo debut was stronger again on the margin, defeating Parfect Game by three and a half lengths as favourite. The first attempt around 1400m is the query, but his race record and third-up profile keep him firmly in the placing conversation.
Last Starts 48 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/9 | 19/09/2026 | 35 | OPEN 2 | $290,550.00 | Nakayama | 1200m | Good | Takeshi Yokoyama | 55kg | 1:08.50 | 2-2-1 | 6 |
| 1.8L | $3.80 |
| 1/12 | 15/08/2026 | - | NEWCOMER 2 | $132,110.00 | Sapporo | 1200m | Good | Takeshi Yokoyama | 55kg | 1:10.50 | 1-1-1 | 5 |
| 3.5L | $2.70 |

Jockey: Christophe Lemaire
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a three-month break with the best winning profile in the race. He is two from two, having won his Sapporo debut by two and a half lengths as favourite before driving hard late to beat Fraochan by half a length when near the top of betting. Christophe Lemaire is the top-ranked rider for wins at this track and has won this race four times from six rides in the last decade. He sets a strong standard.
Last Starts 76 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/14 | 22/08/2026 | 21 | OPEN 2 | $291,490.00 | Sapporo | 1500m | Good | Katsuma Sameshima | 55kg | 1:29.30 | 3-4-1 | 6 |
| 0.5L | $4.00 |
| 1/12 | 01/08/2026 | - | NEWCOMER 2 | $132,110.00 | Sapporo | 1500m | Good | Katsuma Sameshima | 55kg | 1:30.40 | 1-1-1 | 7 |
| 2.5L | $2.50 |

Jockey: Kosei Miura
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Won first-up at Kyoto, starting favourite and holding Anmut by a nose after coming under pressure late. He is now two wins from three starts overall and is already a winner at this distance, which is a useful edge in a race with several 1400m queries. The concern is his earlier G3 Hakodate Nisai Stakes run, when second last and beaten over 10 lengths, so he profiles as a place chance with upside rather than the safest winner.
Last Starts 20 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | 17/10/2026 | 90 | OPEN 2 | $298,720.00 | Kyoto | 1400m | Good | Kohei Matsuyama | 56kg | 1:20.50 | 1-1-1 | 7 |
| 0.1L | $2.00 |
| 12/13 | 19/07/2026 | 36 | G3 OPEN 2 | $587,390.00 | Hakodate | 1200m | Y | Yuichi Kitamura | 55kg | 1:10.40 | 4-4-12 | 13 |
| 10.2L | $4.00 |
| 1/11 | 13/06/2026 | - | NEWCOMER 2 | $130,300.00 | Hanshin | 1200m | Good | Kohei Matsuyama | 55kg | 1:08.20 | 1-1-1 | 6 |
| 3.0L | $2.60 |