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Southwell Race 7 - Bettingsites.co.uk Your Betting Guide Hcp (Gbbplus Race)

AFFETTUOSO (2) left a lasting impression powering clear for a 7L victory at Lingfield. Looks nicely weighted providing handicap debut and could prove hard to beat. NOCHEBUENA (1) was well supported in a highly valuable contest at Doncaster last time. Came up short and back down in grade now will warrant thought. Big winning chance in this grade. CLIFF DANGER (7) impressed when a 0.75L winner at this track two starts ago. Creditable effort since and is clearly in great form at present. Set to give another bold showing. SASSICAIA (6) was consistent during the summer. Might improve further after a mini-break revisiting the all weather. Potential threat to all.

Race Time:7:00 PM

Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Track:Synthetic

Weather:Overcast

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:2427m

Nochebuena (1)4x212x9

Trainer: R M Beckett (Kimpton, Hants)12 mths 5: 1-2-0

Jockey: H Crouch

Weight: 62.5kgs

3 yo Bay F

Sire: STUDY OF MAN (IRE)

Dam: CASCANUECES (USA)

Dam's Sire: Smart Strike

Stats

Prize Money$42,203.00

Avg $$8,440.60

Win %20.00%

Place %60.00%

Career5: 1-2-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance3: 1-1-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up3: 0-1-0

2nd Up1: 1-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good3: 1-1-0

Soft1: 0-1-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic1: 0-0-0

Comments

Second-up. First-up after two months ran second last of 10 at Doncaster on September 11 over 2400m, 29 len behind Silver Lake with 57kg at $5.50. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Doncaster on June 14 over 2400m defeating Kenneth with 55.5kg at $1.80. Winning claims if anywhere near her best.

Last Starts 25 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
9/10	11/09/2026	63	HCP F 3U	$154,270.00	Doncaster	2414m	Good	Jason Hart	57kg	2:30.95	3-10-9	2	1. Silver Lake 2. Thatwilldoso 3. Room Fourteen	29.8L	$5.50
2/7	10/07/2026	26	HCP F 3U	$90,750.00	Ascot Uk	2414m	Good Firm	Harry Vigors	49.5kg	2:34.22	3-3-2	2	1. Hoseki 2. Nochebuena 3. Dojin	0.1L	$2.88
1/5	14/06/2026	23	NOV 3U	$21,780.00	Doncaster	2414m	Good Soft	Edward Greatrex	55.5kg	2:36.40	2-2-1	2	1. Nochebuena 2. Kenneth 3. Jumpingthegun	0.5L	$1.83
2/6	22/05/2026	163	NOV F 3U	$27,220.00	Haydock Park	2011m	Soft	Hector Crouch	58kg	2:15.96	-	6	1. Fashion's Fancy 2. Nochebuena 3. Tribal Queen	0.3L	$7.00
4/8	10/12/2025	-	NOV F 2	$14,520.00	Kempton Park	1408m	NS	Rossa Ryan	58kg	1:26.79	8-6-4	1	1. Botagoz 2. Areti 3. Twinkle Belle	4.0L	$7.50

Affettuoso (5)52x5x1

Trainer: Roger Varian (Newmarket, Suffolk)12 mths 4: 1-1-0

Jockey: Ray Dawson

Weight: 61kgs

3 yo Chestnut G

Sire: NEW BAY (GB)

Dam: CABALETTA (GB)

Dam's Sire: Mastercraftsman

Stats

Prize Money$14,902.00

Avg $$3,725.50

Win %25.00%

Place %50.00%

Career4: 1-1-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance1: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up3: 1-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-1-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good1: 0-0-0

Soft1: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic2: 1-1-0

Comments

Having second run back today. Last start favourite; scored a big 7 len win at Lingfield All Weather on September 12 over 2400m defeating Astrid with 59kg at $1.10. At only start last preparation 5th of 12 at Carlisle on June 9 over 1800m, 5 len behind Turret carrying 59kg at $4. Must be respected.

Last Starts 24 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/5	12/09/2026	95	NOV 3U	$21,780.00	Lingfield	2414m	Neutral	Ray Dawson	59kg	2:30.86	1-1-1	2	1. Affettuoso 2. Astrid 3. Electric Arc	7.5L	$1.11
5/12	09/06/2026	185	NOV 3U	$18,150.00	Carlisle	1810m	Good Soft	Rowan Scott	59kg	2:02.02	4-1-5	11	1. Turret 2. Glory Road 3. Steel Raven	4.8L	$4.00
2/7	06/12/2025	43	NOV 2	$11,430.00	Wolverhampton	1911m	Neutral	Cieren Fallon	60.5kg	2:02.24	3-3-2	3	1. Archers Bay 2. Affettuoso 3. Shangri La	0.8L	$1.83
5/5	24/10/2025	-	MDN 2	$72,600.00	Doncaster	1609m	Soft	Ray Dawson	60.5kg	1:48.44	5-5-5	4	1. Golden Story 2. Infraad 3. Arbaawy	11.8L	$4.50

Without Compromise (4)131538x267

Trainer: Antony Brittain (Warthill, N Yorks)12 mths 23: 3-3-4

Jockey: Cam Hardie

Weight: 61kgs

5 yo Bay G

Sire: FRANKEL (GB)

Dam: WITHOUT YOU BABE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Lemon Drop Kid

Stats

Prize Money$49,236.00

Avg $$2,140.70

Win %13.04%

Place %43.48%

Career23: 3-3-4

Track4: 0-0-1

Distance1: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up4: 0-1-0

2nd Up4: 1-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good5: 0-1-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic18: 3-2-4

Comments

Last start 7th of 17 at Doncaster on September 11 over 2000m, 5.5 len behind Almekarem with 64kg at $51. The run before that eased back early on 6th of 8 at Pontefract on August 16 over 2000m, 14 len behind High Degree with 59.5kg at $26. Can't recommend.

Last Starts 25 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
7/17	11/09/2026	26	HCP 3U	$45,370.00	Doncaster	2011m	Good	Cam Hardie	64kg	2:09.84	12-9-7	5	1. Almekarem 2. Canvas 3. Optician	5.3L	$51.00
6/8	16/08/2026	21	HCP 3U	$45,230.00	Pontefract	2011m	Good Firm	Cam Hardie	59.5kg	2:09.87	7-7-6	4	1. High Degree 2. Financer 3. Shoof Baeed	14.5L	$26.00
2/5	26/07/2026	128	HCP 3U	$30,380.00	Pontefract	2011m	Good Firm	Cam Hardie	61.5kg	2:09.81	4-4-2	5	1. Jez Bomb 2. Without Compromise 3. Pomme Pomme	3.3L	$23.00
8/12	20/03/2026	24	HCP 4U	$63,520.00	Wolverhampton	1911m	Neutral	Cam Hardie	60kg	1:56.88	-	4	1. My Fermoy 2. Fierce Fortitude 3. Way Of Life	5.3L	$19.00
3/6	24/02/2026	54	HCP 4U	$18,290.00	Newcastle	2011m	Neutral	Cam Hardie	60.5kg	2:11.77	-	1	1. Triple Double A 2. Knockbrex 3. Without Compromise	4.3L	$4.50
5/6	01/01/2026	19	HCP 4U	$33,400.00	Newcastle	2011m	Neutral	Cam Hardie	59.5kg	2:11.97	3-3-5	4	1. Midnight Lion 2. Machete 3. Urban Road	12.8L	$4.50
1/12	13/12/2025	16	HCP 3U	$16,970.00	Newcastle	2049m	Neutral	Cam Hardie	62.5kg	2:13.41	4-1-1	10	1. Without Compromise 2. Inappropriate 3. Bearwith	0.0L	$3.00
3/10	27/11/2025	21	APP HCP 3U	$17,240.00	Newcastle	2011m	Neutral	Cam Hardie	60.5kg	2:12.21	4-1-3	9	1. Knockbrex 2. Jez Bomb 3. Without Compromise	2.5L	$3.25
1/10	06/11/2025	10	APP HCP 3U	$12,890.00	Newcastle	2011m	Neutral	Cam Hardie	62kg	2:15.95	2-2-1	6	1. Without Compromise 2. Molinari 3. Percy Willis	3.5L	$3.00
2/13	27/10/2025	13	HCP 3U	$12,890.00	Newcastle	2011m	NS	Cam Hardie	62kg	2:14.65	2-1-2	5	1. Jez Bomb 2. Without Compromise 3. Falcon Nine	0.8L	$4.00
1/9	14/10/2025	50	HCP 4U	$14,020.00	Newcastle	2049m	Neutral	Cam Hardie	58kg	2:17.30	3-1-1	6	1. Without Compromise 2. Jack Sparowe 3. Molinari	0.3L	$3.75

Spirit Of Jura (2)06x4752536

Trainer: Charlie Johnston (Middleham Moor, N Yorks)12 mths 19: 4-3-2

Jockey: Connor Beasley

Weight: 61kgs

4 yo Chestnut M

Sire: MASAR (IRE)

Dam: PAMONA (IRE)

Dam's Sire: Duke Of Marmalade

Stats

Prize Money$82,422.00

Avg $$4,338.00

Win %21.05%

Place %47.37%

Career19: 4-3-2

Track4: 2-1-0

Distance3: 0-2-1

Tr / Dist1: 0-1-0

1st Up3: 1-0-0

2nd Up3: 0-1-1

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good9: 1-1-2

Soft1: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic9: 3-2-0

Comments

Comes here off a 34-day let-up. At the latest run ran last in a small field at Bath on September 2 over 2300m, 4.5 len behind Pierian carrying 62.5kg at $17. Before that ran last in a small field at Hamilton Park on July 17 over 2400m, 9 len behind Rizal carrying 61kg at $6. Can do much better.

Last Starts 34 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
6/6	02/09/2026	47	HCP F 3U	$36,300.00	Bath	2313m	Good	Callum Shepherd	62.5kg	2:32.21	1-2-6	3	1. Pierian 2. Asset 3. Aravalli	4.5L	$17.00
3/3	17/07/2026	6	HCP 3U	$16,620.00	Hamilton Park Uk	2414m	Good Firm	Jason Hart	61kg	2:38.57	1-2-3	1	1. Rizal 2. Nightsinwhitesatin 3. Spirit Of Jura	9.0L	$6.00
5/5	11/07/2026	24	HCP 3U	$18,330.00	Hamilton Park Uk	2615m	Good	Connor Beasley	62.5kg	2:58.32	1-1-5	2	1. Spirit Of Acklam 2. Prince Of The Seas 3. Sure And Stedfast	1.8L	$3.50
2/6	17/06/2026	52	HCP 4U	$21,780.00	Ripon	2414m	Good	Oliver Stammers	60.5kg	2:33.84	5-4-2	2	1. Raulin 2. Spirit Of Jura 3. Something	0.1L	$6.50
5/6	26/04/2026	18	HCP 4U	$19,060.00	Nottingham	2816m	Good	Rossa Ryan	59kg	3:06.50	-	6	1. Codiak 2. Just An Hour 3. Imperial Sovereign	2.8L	$8.00
7/7	08/04/2026	35	HCP F 4U	$21,780.00	Kempton Park	2212m	NS	Callum Shepherd	60.5kg	2:22.48	-	4	1. Dojin 2. Rastnet 3. Caramay	6.0L	$13.00
4/6	04/03/2026	147	HCP F 4U	$17,240.00	Southwell	2212m	Neutral	Oisin Murphy	61kg	2:24.02	-	1	1. Bint Al Daar 2. Kate O'riley 3. Caramay	3.5L	$3.75
6/9	08/10/2025	14	HCP F 3U	$21,780.00	Nottingham	2816m	Good Soft	Joe Fanning	61kg	3:09.71	8-7-6	5	1. Pique' 2. Personal Best 3. Loving Look	12.8L	$17.00
11/11	24/09/2025	27	HCP F 3U	$92,250.00	Goodwood	2816m	Good Soft	Archie Young	57kg	3:04.76	2-11-11	8	1. Dancingwithmyself 2. Finalise 3. Crystal Flyer	60.3L	$15.00
2/12	28/08/2025	12	HCP 3U	$63,520.00	Southwell	2414m	Neutral	Archie Young	57kg	2:36.51	7-1-2	5	1. Say What You See 2. Spirit Of Jura 3. Always A Star	0.2L	$4.50
3/7	16/08/2025	14	HCP F 3U	$90,750.00	Newmarket Uk	2816m	Good Firm	Joe Fanning	57kg	3:02.31	2-2-3	7	1. Moon Angel 2. Orchard Keeper 3. Spirit Of Jura	1.8L	$3.75

Now Maybe (6)82x362x5

Trainer: George Baker (Epsom Downs, Surrey)12 mths 6: 0-2-1

Jockey: Benoit D L Sayette

Weight: 60.5kgs

3 yo Chestnut G

Sire: LUCKY VEGA (IRE)

Dam: RED POPPY (GB)

Dam's Sire: Declaration Of War

Stats

Prize Money$16,337.00

Avg $$2,722.83

Win %0.00%

Place %50.00%

Career6: 0-2-1

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance1: 0-1-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up3: 0-0-1

2nd Up2: 0-1-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good4: 0-1-1

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy1: 0-0-0

Synthetic1: 0-1-0

Comments

Second run back. First-up after three months ran second last in a small field at Ascot on September 5 over 2000m, 5 len behind Gavriel carrying 56kg at $19. Previously second-up ran second last of 7 at Navan on May 16 over 2011m, 10 len behind Santa Bravado carrying 62.5kg at $6.50. Rates highly and expected to do much better with that run under his belt.

Last Starts 31 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/6	05/09/2026	85	HCP 3	$54,450.00	Ascot Uk	2011m	Good Firm	Jack Callan	56kg	2:11.76	3-6-5	3	1. Gavriel 2. Balzac 3. Lion Of Alba	4.8L	$19.00
2/17	12/06/2026	27	SELL MDN 3U	$34,460.00	Fairyhouse	2414m	Good	Shane Foley	60kg	2:38.76	-	2	1. Dreamkeeper 2. Now Maybe 3. Coexist	10.0L	$1.91
6/7	16/05/2026	21	HCP 3	$88,280.00	Navan	2011m	Good	Scott Mccullagh	62.5kg	2:10.67	-	2	1. Santa Bravado 2. Manton Bay 3. Fallacy	10.3L	$6.50
3/18	25/04/2026	164	SELL MDN 3	$44,900.00	Navan	2011m	GY	Shane Foley	61kg	2:07.40	-	3	1. Latin America 2. Genchev 3. Now Maybe	3.0L	$11.00
2/14	12/11/2025	51	SELL MDN 2	$26,010.00	Dundalk	1408m	Neutral	Shane Foley	61kg	1:27.76	-	5	1. Alissam 2. Now Maybe 3. Fox In Flight	0.1L	$3.13
8/9	22/09/2025	-	MDN 2	$48,550.00	Listowel	1609m	Heavy	Shane Foley	61kg	1:46.86	-	4	1. Cherry Hill Girl 2. World Tour 3. Castelluccia	17.5L	$4.50

Cliff Danger (3)647914

Trainer: T Ellis (Rugby, Warwicks)12 mths 6: 1-0-0

Jockey: Rob Hornby

Weight: 57.5kgs

3 yo Bay G

Sire: BATED BREATH (GB)

Dam: EILEENDOVER (GB)

Dam's Sire: Canford Cliffs

Stats

Prize Money$13,555.00

Avg $$2,259.17

Win %16.67%

Place %16.67%

Career6: 1-0-0

Track4: 1-0-0

Distance2: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist2: 1-0-0

1st Up1: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good2: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic4: 1-0-0

Comments

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 10 at this track on September 22 over 2400m, 3.5 len behind Solarize carrying 55kg at $5.50. Before that won by 0.8 len at this track on August 16 over 2400m defeating Astrological with 56.5kg at $7. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

Last Starts 14 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/10	22/09/2026	37	HCP 3U	$27,590.00	Southwell	2414m	Neutral	Kieran O'neill	55kg	2:34.26	4-2-4	5	1. Solarize 2. Fierce Fortitude 3. Tryfan	3.5L	$5.50
1/12	16/08/2026	42	HCP 3U	$19,600.00	Southwell	2414m	Neutral	Kieran O'neill	56.5kg	2:34.01	4-3-1	6	1. Cliff Danger 2. Astrological 3. Domination	0.8L	$7.00
9/14	05/07/2026	17	HCP 3	$16,330.00	Southwell	1609m	Neutral	Kieran O'neill	61kg	1:41.19	12-13-9	2	1. Kalokalo 2. Lightning Glory 3. Lillie Margot	8.0L	$17.00
7/13	18/06/2026	30	NOV 3U	$18,150.00	Southwell	1609m	Neutral	Finley Marsh	59kg	1:41.65	8-10-7	6	1. Centigrade 2. Star Of The Desert 3. Sheikhnshah	11.5L	$19.00
4/10	19/05/2026	23	NOV 3U	$21,780.00	Nottingham	2011m	Good Soft	Rob Hornby	58kg	2:14.68	-	4	1. Knights Charge 2. Bay Royale 3. Outflank	5.0L	$81.00
6/8	26/04/2026	-	NOV 3U	$18,150.00	Wetherby	1609m	Good Firm	Kieran O'neill	58kg	1:41.13	-	1	1. Princling 2. Ervani 3. Picture Palace	8.3L	$41.00