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Saratoga Race 3 - Race 3 - Claiming

REASONED ANALYSIS (6) was in the firing line on the corner and finished 2.5 lengths from the winner in third when resuming last start at this track (Dirt) over this distance. Form over this journey is strong, boasting two wins from three starts. Should be poised just off the lead. Will prove tough to beat. ELIMINATE (5) scored at his most recent appearance, getting home by 2.5 lengths over 1609m at Aqueduct (Dirt). That continued the solid form this campaign, with two wins and two minor placings from five outings. Top chance again. GEWURZTRAMINER (1) is in fine form, filling a minor placing again last start over 1710m at Churchill Downs (Dirt) to make it four top-three finishes on the trot. Expected to run well again. DREAMLIKE (3) finished third last start at the first run back from a spell over 1811m at this track (Dirt), beaten 5 lengths. Will strip fitter this time. Nicely placed to run well again.

Race Time:5:40 PM

Saturday, August 1, 2026

Track:Firm

Weather:OCAST

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1609m

Gewurztraminer (1)2128312232

Trainer: Kinnon Larose 12 mths 33: 10-9-6

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.

Weight: 56kgs

5 yo Chestnut G

Sire: COLLECTED (USA)

Dam: SKY MIRAGE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Sky Mesa

Stats

Prize Money$707,549.00

Avg $$21,440.88

Win %30.30%

Place %75.76%

Career33: 10-9-6

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance10: 3-2-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up3: 0-1-1

2nd Up3: 1-0-1

Firm25: 8-6-4

Good4: 0-2-2

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic1: 0-1-0

Comments

Racing well recently. Comes off a 44 day let-up. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Churchill Downs on June 18 over 1710m, nose behind Fountain Run with 53.5kg at $1.72. The run before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Churchill Downs on May 29 over 1710m, 3 len behind Dance Some Mo with 55.5kg at $3.07. Nice effort last time so worth following up.

Last Starts 44 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/6	18/06/2026	20	ALLOW 4U	$83,682.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	53.5kg	1:42.05	2-1-2	4	1. Fountain Run 2. Gewurztraminer 3. My Noble Knight	0.1L	$1.72
3/8	29/05/2026	27	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$187,151.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	Fast	Emmanuel Esquivel	55.5kg	1:43.93	4-2-3	8	1. Dance Some Mo 2. Glen Airy 3. Gewurztraminer	3.0L	$3.07
2/11	02/05/2026	38	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$175,978.00	Oaklawn Park	1609m	Fast	Emmanuel Esquivel	56kg	1:35.81	2-2-2	4	1. Forged Steel 2. Gewurztraminer 3. Zambezi	1.0L	$5.20
2/8	25/03/2026	24	HCP 4U	$59,410.00	Turfway Park	1609m	Fast	Luan Machado	56kg	1:37.34	2-1-2	2	1. Azoi 2. Gewurztraminer 3. Swiss Slang	2.5L	$2.40
1/8	01/03/2026	23	ALLOW 4U	$56,180.00	Oaklawn Park	1811m	Fast	Emmanuel Esquivel	54.5kg	1:49.49	1-1-1	2	1. Gewurztraminer 2. Bright Spark 3. Underdressed	1.0L	$2.20
3/12	06/02/2026	54	ALLOW 4U	$54,208.00	Oaklawn Park	1811m	Fast	Emmanuel Esquivel	53.5kg	1:50.68	2-2-3	10	1. Money Run 2. Bright Spark 3. Gewurztraminer	2.8L	$7.10

Tuscan Sky (2)x276355x38

Trainer: Todd Pletcher (USA)12 mths 13: 3-1-2

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Weight: 55kgs

5 yo Grey/Roan G

Sire: VINO ROSSO (USA)

Dam: SOUTH ANDROS (USA)

Dam's Sire: Sky Mesa

Stats

Prize Money$417,971.00

Avg $$32,151.62

Win %23.08%

Place %46.15%

Career13: 3-1-2

Track1: 0-0-0

Distance2: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist1: 0-0-0

1st Up4: 2-1-1

2nd Up4: 1-0-0

Firm10: 1-1-2

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 7 at Aqueduct on May 22 over 1308m, 4.5 len behind T Kraft with 55kg at $4.22. Second-up ran second last of 9 at this track on July 4 over 1609m, 14 len behind Warp Nine with 55kg at $15.38. Fully tested on his recent run.

Last Starts 28 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
8/9	04/07/2026	43	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$188,679.00	Saratoga	1609m	Fast	John R Velazquez	55kg	1:36.58	3-6-8	5	1. Warp Nine 2. Full Screen 3. Reasoned Analysis	14.5L	$15.38
3/7	22/05/2026	342	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$128,492.00	Belmont At The Big A	1308m	Fast	Flavien Prat	55kg	1:15.68	2-6-3	7	1. T Kraft 2. Over And Ollie 3. Tuscan Sky	4.5L	$4.22
5/6	14/06/2025	42	G3 OPEN 3U	$233,281.00	Monmouth Park	1609m	SP	F Pennington	53.5kg	1:37.16	6-6-5	2	1. Bishops Bay 2. Nelson Avenue 3. Surface To Air	17.5L	$4.70
5/5	03/05/2025	35	G2 OPEN 4U	$312,500.00	Belmont At The Big A	1811m	FM	Ricardo Santana Jr	54.5kg	1:45.70	5-5-5	5	1. Deterministic 2. Carson's Run 3. Kay Army	14.3L	$6.50
3/6	29/03/2025	42	G3 OPEN 4U	$261,490.00	Gulfstream Park	1710m	Fast	Dylan Davis	53.5kg	1:41.97	3-3-3	2	1. White Abarrio 2. Power Squeeze 3. Tuscan Sky	6.3L	$9.10
6/8	15/02/2025	56	G3 OPEN 4U	$402,576.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	53.5kg	1:42.89	7-8-6	3	1. Hall Of Fame 2. Komorebino Omoide 3. Maycocks Bay	6.6L	$7.90

Dreamlike (3)32132322x3

Trainer: Linda Rice (USA)12 mths 24: 3-10-6

Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.

Weight: 55kgs

6 yo Chestnut G

Sire: GUN RUNNER (USA)

Dam: TIME TO TAP (USA)

Dam's Sire: Tapit

Stats

Prize Money$1,055,174.00

Avg $$43,965.58

Win %12.50%

Place %79.17%

Career24: 3-10-6

Track5: 1-1-1

Distance7: 1-6-0

Tr / Dist1: 0-1-0

1st Up6: 1-3-1

2nd Up5: 0-2-1

Firm17: 2-5-6

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic1: 0-0-0

Comments

Second-up. First-up after two months 3rd of 8 at this track on July 25 over 1811m, 5 len behind Wynstock carrying 57kg at $7.69. Previously second-up 2nd of 7 at Aqueduct on September 12 over 1609m, 0.8 len behind Commuted with 55.5kg at $3.80. Solid top-three hope.

Last Starts 7 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/8	25/07/2026	63	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$181,422.00	Saratoga	1811m	Fast	K Carmouche	57kg	1:49.91	8-5-3	1	1. Wynstock 2. Emerging Market 3. Dreamlike	5.0L	$7.69
2/7	23/05/2026	28	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$125,698.00	Belmont At The Big A	1811m	Good	K Carmouche	56kg	1:51.28	6-4-2	4	1. Classicist 2. Dreamlike 3. Otello	0.3L	$4.38
2/7	25/04/2026	29	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$125,182.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	M	K Carmouche	56kg	1:37.25	7-5-2	7	1. Bramito 2. Dreamlike 3. Contrary Thinking	1.3L	$3.92
3/7	27/03/2026	27	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$120,787.00	Belmont At The Big A	1811m	Fast	Sahin Civaci	56kg	1:50.06	5-4-3	7	1. Wynstock 2. Le Gris 3. Dreamlike	2.8L	$3.56
2/9	28/02/2026	24	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$120,787.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Good	Sahin Civaci	56kg	1:37.32	5-3-2	2	1. Donegal Surges 2. Dreamlike 3. Whittington Park	1.5L	$4.37
3/7	04/02/2026	40	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$122,682.00	Belmont At The Big A	1811m	Fast	Sahin Civaci	56kg	1:53.22	6-4-3	7	1. Yo Daddy 2. Classicist 3. Dreamlike	4.5L	$6.21

Reasoned Analysis (4)x11x4x31x3

Trainer: Chad C Brown 12 mths 8: 3-0-2

Jockey: Dylan Davis

Weight: 55kgs

5 yo Bay G

Sire: UPSTART (USA)

Dam: WE LOVE LUCY (USA)

Dam's Sire: Majesticperfection

Stats

Prize Money$364,937.00

Avg $$45,617.13

Win %37.50%

Place %62.50%

Career8: 3-0-2

Track2: 0-0-1

Distance3: 2-0-1

Tr / Dist1: 0-0-1

1st Up6: 1-0-2

2nd Up2: 2-0-0

Firm7: 2-0-2

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Second run back. First-up after 16 months 3rd of 9 at this track on July 4 over 1609m, 2.5 len behind Warp Nine carrying 55kg at $10.61. Previously second-up won by 1.0 len at Aqueduct April 17 2025 over 1609m defeating Ignite The Light carrying 55kg at $2.55. Strips fitter and is an excellent winning chance.

Last Starts 28 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/9	04/07/2026	443	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$188,679.00	Saratoga	1609m	Fast	Dylan Davis	55kg	1:36.58	2-1-3	4	1. Warp Nine 2. Full Screen 3. Reasoned Analysis	2.5L	$10.61
1/7	17/04/2025	39	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$134,185.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Dylan Davis	55kg	1:36.49	1-1-1	1	1. Reasoned Analysis 2. Ignite The Light 3. Magnolia Midnight	1.0L	$2.55
3/6	09/03/2025	274	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$134,831.00	Belmont At The Big A	1308m	Fast	Eric Cancel	55kg	1:16.65	5-5-3	5	1. Just Beat The Odds 2. Twenty Four Mamba 3. Reasoned Analysis	13.0L	$4.05
4/11	08/06/2024	63	G1 OPEN 3	$755,287.00	Saratoga	1408m	Fast	Eric Cancel	55.5kg	1:21.30	7-7-4	6	1. Book'em Danno 2. Prince Of Monaco 3. Nutella Fella	8.5L	$35.50
1/10	06/04/2024	41	LR OPEN 3	$230,415.00	Belmont At The Big A	1408m	Fast	Eric Cancel	53.5kg	1:24.35	7-2-1	6	1. Reasoned Analysis 2. Maximus Meridius 3. Eliminate	3.3L	$16.50
1/6	25/02/2024	79	MDN 3	$121,396.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Eric Cancel	55.5kg	1:42.00	1-1-1	5	1. Reasoned Analysis 2. Cuando 3. Sardis	0.5L	$4.85

Mr. Papagiorgio (5)x36x433114

Trainer: Richard E Dutrow 12 mths 18: 5-1-6

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz

Weight: 56kgs

5 yo Dark Bay/Brown G

Sire: ENTICED (USA)

Dam: AVERYBLAKE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Curlin

Stats

Prize Money$340,726.00

Avg $$18,929.22

Win %27.78%

Place %66.67%

Career18: 5-1-6

Track2: 0-0-0

Distance10: 3-1-2

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up4: 0-0-3

2nd Up4: 0-1-2

Firm11: 3-0-2

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Comes off a 35 day let-up. Last start 4th of 8 at Aqueduct on June 27 over 1609m, 2.75 len behind Eliminate carrying 56kg at $9.44. The race before that won by 8 len at Monmouth Park May 24 over 1710m defeating Deposition carrying 55kg at $1.30. Can't make much of a case.

Last Starts 35 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/8	27/06/2026	34	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$125,523.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Reyluis Gutierrez	56kg	1:35.18	7-1-4	4	1. Eliminate 2. General Banker 3. Otello	2.8L	$9.44
1/3	24/05/2026	28	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$66,341.00	Monmouth Park	1710m	SP	Pascacio Lopez	55kg	1:45.87	2-1-1	2	1. Mr Papagiorgio 2. Deposition 3. Tok Tok	8.5L	$1.30
1/7	26/04/2026	42	CLM 4U	$87,336.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	M	Flavien Prat	55kg	1:37.66	1-1-1	3	1. Mr Papagiorgio 2. Peek 3. Frizzante	1.5L	$5.56
3/6	15/03/2026	28	CLM 4U	$75,843.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Flavien Prat	55kg	1:36.58	3-2-3	2	1. Commuted 2. Frizzante 3. Mr Papagiorgio	0.5L	$2.51
3/6	15/02/2026	31	CLM 4U	$85,592.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Manuel Franco	55kg	1:39.03	1-3-3	6	1. Unlimitedpotential 2. Cicciobello 3. Mr Papagiorgio	7.8L	$3.44
4/6	15/01/2026	83	HCP 4U	$92,676.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	R Silvera	56kg	1:38.37	4-2-4	1	1. Ridgewood Runner 2. Systemic Change 3. Feeling Woozy	15.0L	$12.71