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Saratoga Race 4 - Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming

FAVORABLE SCENARIO (4) resumed last time out and finished second over 1609m at Saratoga Inner Turf, beaten 1.75 lengths. Credentials hard to knock. PLAYA DEL MAR (9) was a winner over 1609m at Aqueduct at the last run before a ten weeks spell. Returns today and encounters a turf track for the first time. Should settle just off the speed despite the draw. Sure to be in the finish. ELNAJD (6) ran below expectations last time at Saratoga Inner Turf (Turf), finishing fifth and beaten 5 lengths starting at $4.18. Hard to beat in this suitable race. GOLDEN CHANNEL (7) raced on the speed last start and battled on well but found one better over 1710m at Monmouth Park Turf (Turf). Yet to find winning form this prep but has been thereabouts with two placings from three starts. Minor claims.

Race Time:6:47 PM

Friday, July 10, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:cloudy

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1710m

Sardis (1)11736x0255

Trainer: Ilkay Kantarmaci (U.S.A.)12 mths 21: 2-4-4

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Weight: 57kgs

5 yo Bay G

Sire: INTO MISCHIEF (USA)

Dam: ENDLESS CHAT (USA)

Dam's Sire: Bernardini

Stats

Prize Money$479,848.00

Avg $$22,849.90

Win %9.52%

Place %47.62%

Career21: 2-4-4

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance4: 0-2-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up5: 0-2-0

2nd Up4: 1-1-1

Firm13: 1-1-2

Good1: 0-0-0

Soft1: 0-1-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic1: 0-0-1

Comments

At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Aqueduct Turf on June 14 over 1811m, 7 len behind Paros with 55kg at $10.26. The start before that 5th of 12 at Laurel Turf on May 15 over 1609m, 3.5 len behind King Size with 56kg at $36.10. He can atone.

Last Starts 26 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/7	14/06/2026	30	CLM 4U	$97,629.00	Belmont At The Big A	1811m	FM	Ricardo Santana Jr	55kg	1:48.42	3-3-5	1	1. Paros 2. Big Blue Line 3. Ocean Atlantique	7.3L	$10.26
5/12	15/05/2026	28	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$89,385.00	Laurel Park	1609m	FM	Mychel J Sanchez	56kg	1:34.61	5-5-5	10	1. King Size 2. Naptown 3. Hold Out	3.5L	$36.10
2/8	17/04/2026	20	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$81,215.00	Laurel Park	1710m	FM	Mychel J Sanchez	56kg	1:42.28	5-1-2	6	1. What Say Thee 2. Sardis 3. Hittheroadjak	1.3L	$4.90
10/10	28/03/2026	118	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$122,191.00	Gulfstream Park	1509m	FM	John R Velazquez	55kg	1:27.04	9-10-10	8	1. X Y Prime 2. Talbingo 3. Burhan	8.1L	$11.70
6/12	30/11/2025	31	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$204,580.00	Churchill Downs	1811m	FM	Tyler Gaffalione	55kg	1:51.16	5-2-6	2	1. Presider 2. Mount Rundle 3. Daunt	7.2L	$5.83
3/7	30/10/2025	22	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$203,957.00	Churchill Downs	1609m	SP	Edgar Morales	56kg	1:39.06	1-3-3	5	1. Secret Chat 2. The Process 3. Sardis	2.3L	$5.59

Thirteen Colonies (2)8x31625x

Trainer: Philip Antonacci 12 mths 6: 1-1-1

Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.

Weight: 57kgs

4 yo Bay G

Sire: HIT IT A BOMB (USA)

Dam: EVERY SINGLE DAY (USA)

Dam's Sire: Strong Mandate

Stats

Prize Money$182,541.00

Avg $$30,423.50

Win %16.67%

Place %50.00%

Career6: 1-1-1

Track1: 0-1-0

Distance3: 1-1-1

Tr / Dist1: 0-1-0

1st Up2: 0-0-1

2nd Up1: 1-0-0

Firm3: 1-1-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft1: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Resuming after a break of ten months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 8 at Colonial Downs Turf in the G3 Virginia Derby September 6 over 1811m, soft track; 4.5 len behind World Beater with 53.5kg at $8.20. Previously first up; third of 12 at Gulfstream Park Turf March 22 2025 over 1710m, 2.5 len behind A P Kid carrying 53.5kg at $16.90. Might need the run.

Last Starts 307 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/8	06/09/2025	50	G3 OPEN 3	$764,526.00	Colonial Downs	1811m	Soft	Axel Concepcion	53.5kg	1:53.01	2-5-5	6	1. World Beater 2. Mesero 3. Outrunner	4.6L	$8.20
2/10	18/07/2025	41	ALLOW OCLM 3	$168,196.00	Saratoga	1710m	FM	Ricardo Santana Jr	55.5kg	1:40.32	2-1-2	10	1. Simulate 2. Thirteen Colonies 3. Plensa	2.3L	$23.50
6/6	07/06/2025	55	LR OPEN 3	$466,563.00	Saratoga	1609m	M	Umberto Rispoli	54.5kg	1:36.83	6-6-6	6	1. A P Kid 2. Mi Bago 3. Golden Channel	28.4L	$11.70
1/11	13/04/2025	22	MDN 3	$175,719.00	Keeneland	1710m	FM	I Ortiz Jr	54.5kg	1:43.02	2-1-1	2	1. Thirteen Colonies 2. Moon Channel 3. Lebowski	4.3L	$4.46
3/12	22/03/2025	77	MDN 3	$148,970.00	Gulfstream Park	1710m	FM	Jorge Ruiz	53.5kg	1:39.42	10-5-3	9	1. A P Kid 2. Golden Channel 3. Thirteen Colonies	2.6L	$16.90
8/10	04/01/2025	-	MDN 3	$151,613.00	Gulfstream Park	1609m	FM	Reyluis Gutierrez	53.5kg	1:34.83	8-7-8	2	1. Souper Times 2. Candytown 3. Global Prosperity	5.6L	$34.20

Chips And Fish (3)223195

Trainer: Antonio Arriaga 12 mths 6: 1-2-1

Jockey: Ruben Silvera

Weight: 55kgs

3 yo Chestnut C

Sire: OMAHA BEACH (USA)

Dam: SIRANEUSE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Tapit

Stats

Prize Money$76,274.00

Avg $$12,712.33

Win %16.67%

Place %66.67%

Career6: 1-2-1

Track1: 0-0-0

Distance4: 1-0-1

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 0-1-0

2nd Up1: 0-1-0

Firm6: 1-2-1

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

At the latest run 5th of 8 at Aqueduct Turf on June 19 over 1710m, 7 len behind Chummers carrying 54.5kg at $7.35. The race before that ran last of 9 at Saratoga Inner Turf in the G3 Pennine Ridge Stakes on June 4 over 1710m, 8 len behind West End Kid with 54.5kg at $79.63. Fully tested on his recent run.

Last Starts 21 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/8	19/06/2026	15	CLM 3U	$79,498.00	Belmont At The Big A	1710m	FM	Christopher Elliott	54.5kg	1:41.43	5-4-5	7	1. Chummers 2. In The Dark 3. Tim And Sam	7.1L	$7.35
9/9	04/06/2026	18	G3 OPEN 3	$418,410.00	Saratoga	1710m	FM	Christopher Elliott	54.5kg	1:40.94	2-6-9	2	1. West End Kid 2. Blackmail 3. Bottas	8.1L	$79.63
1/7	17/05/2026	10	MDN CLM 3U	$83,799.00	Belmont At The Big A	1710m	FM	Silvera Ruben	54.5kg	1:45.16	1-1-1	2	1. Chips And Fish 2. Fateful Lightning 3. Languid	2.0L	$15.26
3/7	07/05/2026	41	MDN CLM 3U	$57,263.00	Belmont At The Big A	1710m	FM	Dalila A Rivera	51.5kg	1:44.86	2-3-3	3	1. Noble One, Rules Of The Road 3. Chips And Fish	1.8L	$6.84
2/7	27/03/2026	12	MDN CLM 3	$47,753.00	Belmont At The Big A	1408m	Fast	Luis R Rivera (Jnr)	55.5kg	1:25.66	3-2-2	3	1. Solomini's World 2. Chips And Fish 3. Big Brooklyn	4.3L	$1.85
2/6	15/03/2026	-	MDN CLM 3U	$37,219.00	Belmont At The Big A	1308m	Fast	Jamie Rodriguez	55kg	1:16.88	6-2-2	4	1. Shellac 2. Chips And Fish 3. Senor Poncho	6.5L	$8.48

Favorable Scenario (4)3x142x8x2

Trainer: Chad C Brown 12 mths 6: 1-2-1

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Weight: 57kgs

6 yo Chestnut G

Sire: GOOD MAGIC (USA)

Dam: LEMON GIN (USA)

Dam's Sire: First Samurai

Stats

Prize Money$164,989.00

Avg $$27,498.17

Win %16.67%

Place %66.67%

Career6: 1-2-1

Track2: 1-1-0

Distance1: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up4: 1-1-1

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm5: 0-2-1

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic1: 0-0-0

Comments

Racing second-up today. Last outing made some head-way from midfield; 2nd of 12 at Saratoga Inner Turf on June 6 over 1609m, 1.75 len behind Sounds Like A Plan carrying 57kg at $8.39. At only start last preparation 8th of 11 at Gulfstream Park All Weather on January 16 over 1673m, 6 len behind Cruise The Nile with 55kg at $3.20. Among the top chances.

Last Starts 34 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/12	06/06/2026	141	ALLOW 3U	$167,364.00	Saratoga	1609m	FM	Flavien Prat	57kg	1:33.96	7-4-2	5	1. Sounds Like A Plan 2. Favorable Scenario 3. Winnebago	1.8L	$8.39
8/11	16/01/2026	76	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$122,682.00	Gulfstream Park	1673m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	55kg	1:39.28	4-7-8	11	1. Cruise The Nile 2. Quereme Pass 3. Lost And Confused	5.8L	$3.20
2/10	01/11/2025	28	ALLOW 3U	$134,351.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	FM	Dylan Davis	56kg	1:36.12	2-2-2	1	1. Capitol Hill 2. Favorable Scenario 3. Cuando	1.3L	$3.09
4/11	04/10/2025	57	ALLOW 3U	$182,648.00	Keeneland	1710m	FM	Flavien Prat	56kg	1:41.53	8-4-4	11	1. Tenacious Leader 2. Montador 3. Rocky Joy	1.9L	$5.99
1/7	08/08/2025	909	MDN 3U	$155,039.00	Saratoga	1609m	FM	I Ortiz Jr	56kg	1:35.72	6-4-1	3	1. Favorable Scenario 2. Johny's Rendezvous 3. Wicked Improbable	0.1L	$4.60
3/8	11/02/2023	-	MDN 3	$119,149.00	Gulfstream Park	1207m	Fast	Joel Rosario	53.5kg	1:10.35	6-4-3	3	1. Gold Magic 2. Etnico 3. Favorable Scenario	4.0L	$3.70

Elnajd (5)1225

Trainer: B H Cox (USA)12 mths 4: 1-2-0

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Weight: 57kgs

4 yo Chestnut H

Sire: SPEIGHTSTOWN (USA)

Dam: FILFILA (USA)

Dam's Sire: Kitten's Joy

Stats

Prize Money$110,470.00

Avg $$27,617.50

Win %25.00%

Place %75.00%

Career4: 1-2-0

Track1: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 1-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-1-0

Firm4: 1-2-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Returns from a 34-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 12 at Saratoga Inner Turf on June 6 over 1609m, 5 len behind Sounds Like A Plan carrying 57kg at $4.18. Before that 2nd of 10 at Keeneland on April 19 over 1408m, 1.3 len behind Frosty Indulgence carrying 53.5kg at $2.91. Can bounce back after a modest effort last time.

Last Starts 34 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/12	06/06/2026	48	ALLOW 3U	$167,364.00	Saratoga	1609m	FM	I Ortiz Jr	57kg	1:33.96	4-6-5	7	1. Sounds Like A Plan 2. Favorable Scenario 3. Winnebago	4.8L	$4.18
2/10	19/04/2026	56	ALLOW 4U	$174,672.00	Keeneland	1408m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	53.5kg	1:27.25	1-2-2	6	1. Frosty Indulgence 2. Elnajd 3. Tamino	1.3L	$2.91
2/7	22/02/2026	57	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$122,682.00	Gulfstream Park	1207m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	55kg	1:10.66	3-2-2	6	1. Mish 2. Elnajd 3. Long Pour	1.3L	$2.10
1/7	27/12/2025	-	MDN 3U	$82,695.00	Fairgrounds	1207m	Fast	Marcelino Pedroza	55.5kg	1:10.34	1-1-1	4	1. Elnajd 2. Chappelle 3. Mingo	1.5L	$8.60

Golden Channel (6)54213x262

Trainer: George Weaver (USA)12 mths 8: 1-3-1

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz

Weight: 57kgs

4 yo Bay H

Sire: ENGLISH CHANNEL (USA)

Dam: GOLDEN REVIEW (USA)

Dam's Sire: Medaglia D'Oro

Stats

Prize Money$156,460.00

Avg $$19,557.50

Win %12.50%

Place %62.50%

Career8: 1-3-1

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance3: 0-2-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 0-1-0

2nd Up2: 0-0-0

Firm6: 1-2-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic1: 0-0-0

Comments

Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Monmouth Park Turf on June 13 over 1710m, 0.3 len behind Relative Value with 55kg at $2.60. The race before that 6th of 8 at Aqueduct Turf on May 9 over 1710m, 4 len behind Arkhipov carrying 57kg at $2.96. Worth including.

Last Starts 27 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/10	13/06/2026	35	ALLOW 3U	$65,690.00	Monmouth Park	1710m	FM	Samuel Marin	55kg	1:43.56	3-2-2	5	1. Relative Value 2. Golden Channel 3. Post Command	0.3L	$2.60
6/8	09/05/2026	42	ALLOW 3U	$122,905.00	Belmont At The Big A	1710m	FM	Junior Alvarado	57kg	1:44.10	5-5-6	7	1. Arkhipov 2. Right To Vote 3. Ramblin' Wreck	3.9L	$2.96
2/10	28/03/2026	294	ALLOW OCLM 4U	$120,787.00	Gulfstream Park	1609m	FM	Joel Rosario	55kg	1:34.24	5-2-2	9	1. Indecisiveness 2. Golden Channel 3. Discreet Dancer	0.1L	$5.50
3/6	07/06/2025	28	LR OPEN 3	$466,563.00	Saratoga	1609m	M	Manuel Franco	54.5kg	1:36.83	3-3-3	4	1. A P Kid 2. Mi Bago 3. Golden Channel	9.8L	$13.30
1/7	10/05/2025	49	MDN 3	$87,500.00	Gulfstream Park	1609m	FM	Edwin Gonzalez	54kg	1:33.35	1-1-1	3	1. Golden Channel 2. Eleven Bravo 3. Abuelo	0.5L	$1.90
2/12	22/03/2025	28	MDN 3	$148,970.00	Gulfstream Park	1710m	FM	Joe Bravo	53.5kg	1:39.42	2-2-2	6	1. A P Kid 2. Golden Channel 3. Thirteen Colonies	2.5L	$6.50