Saratoga Race 12 - Resorts World Casino Manhattan S. Stakes
RHETORICAL (7) returned to winning form second up last start, scoring by 3 lengths over 1811m in the G1 Old Forester Turf Classic at Churchill Downs Turf (Turf). Improvement in store so he looks the testing material. DETERMINISTIC (5) showed good pace and went on to score by 0.8 lengths when resuming last time out over 1811m in the G3 Fort Marcy Stakes at Aqueduct Turf (Turf). Meeting a tougher field but on his best form he is capable of a big performance. BRIGHT PICTURE (6) found one better last start in the G1 Prix Ganay at Longchamp over 2100m after he gave away a big start. Has a strong record at this trip, scoring three times from six starts. Has the pace to be in a prominent position from the outset. One of the main contenders. TEST SCORE (2) was never in contention when resuming last start over 1811m in the G1 Old Forester Turf Classic at Churchill Downs Turf (Turf), finishing eighth and beaten 16 lengths. Manuel Franco who has four wins when partnering stays on. Solid claims on best form.

Jockey: Javier Castellano
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. Not raced for 57 days. First-up scored a big 4 len win at Gulfstream Park Turf G3 Canadian Turf Stakes February 28 over 1710m defeating Battle Of Normandy with 56.5kg at $12.40. Second run from a spell sat on the pace before fading to run last of 7 at Keeneland Turf in the G1 Maker's Mark Mile Stakes on April 10 over 1609m, 4 len behind Zulu Kingdom carrying 56kg at $16.29. Latest form makes this a pretty tough assignment.
Last Starts 57 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | 10/04/2026 | 41 | G1 OPEN 4U | $946,143.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | Javier Castellano | 56kg | 1:34.90 | 4-4-7 | 6 |
| 3.9L | $16.29 |
| 1/8 | 28/02/2026 | 77 | G3 OPEN 4U | $245,787.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FM | Javier Castellano | 56.5kg | 1:38.07 | 6-1-1 | 4 |
| 3.8L | $12.40 |
| 2/10 | 13/12/2025 | 35 | LR OPEN 3 | $191,424.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FM | Javier Castellano | 56kg | 1:40.73 | 4-4-2 | 2 |
| 0.1L | $5.50 |
| 1/9 | 08/11/2025 | 63 | G3 OPEN 3 | $305,344.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1811m | FM | Javier Castellano | 53.5kg | 1:48.23 | 8-1-1 | 9 |
| 0.3L | $8.73 |
| 8/14 | 06/09/2025 | 36 | LR OPEN 3 | $3,058,104.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | Good | Javier Castellano | 53.5kg | 1:33.51 | 8-4-8 | 13 |
| 4.6L | $16.20 |
| 3/6 | 01/08/2025 | 28 | G2 OPEN 3 | $620,155.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FM | Javier Castellano | 54.5kg | 1:35.06 | 4-5-3 | 3 |
| 3.5L | $21.10 |

Jockey: Manuel Franco
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Second run back. First-up after three months second last of 9 at Churchill Downs Turf in the G1 Old Forester Turf Classic on May 2 over 1811m, 16 len behind Rhetorical with 56kg at $5.72. Previously second-up 2nd of 14 at Churchill Downs Turf in the G1 American Turf Stakes on May 3 2025 over 1710m, 1.3 len behind Zulu Kingdom carrying 55.5kg at $6.90. Don't underestimate.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/9 | 02/05/2026 | 98 | G1 OPEN 4U | $2,094,972.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | Manuel Franco | 56kg | 1:45.96 | 4-9-8 | 8 |
| 16.6L | $5.72 |
| 1/12 | 24/01/2026 | 56 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,494,768.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1811m | FM | Manuel Franco | 56kg | 1:47.04 | 2-1-1 | 1 |
| 0.3L | $8.60 |
| 3/8 | 29/11/2025 | 35 | G1 OPEN 3 | $458,015.00 | Del Mar | 1811m | FM | J J Hernandez | 55.5kg | 1:50.74 | 4-6-3 | 3 |
| 0.5L | $1.80 |
| 1/5 | 25/10/2025 | 56 | G2 OPEN 3 | $304,414.00 | Santa Anita Park | 1811m | FM | J J Hernandez | 56kg | 1:47.66 | 5-3-1 | 5 |
| 1.5L | $1.60 |
| 4/12 | 30/08/2025 | 28 | G3 OPEN 3 | $5,426,357.00 | Kentucky | 2112m | FM | Manuel Franco | 56kg | 2:06.76 | 4-4-4 | 2 |
| 4.0L | $3.91 |
| 3/9 | 02/08/2025 | 29 | G1 OPEN 3 | $1,162,791.00 | Saratoga | 1911m | FM | Manuel Franco | 55.5kg | 1:52.82 | 3-4-3 | 5 |
| 0.6L | $3.65 |

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 35 day let-up. Last start 2nd of 9 at Churchill Downs Turf in the G1 Old Forester Turf Classic on May 2 over 1811m, 3 len behind Rhetorical with 56kg at $9.01. The race before that 4th of 11 at Meydan in the G1 Dubai Turf on March 28 over 1800m, 3.5 len behind Ombudsman carrying 57kg at $51. Hard to make a case on recent form.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/9 | 02/05/2026 | 35 | G1 OPEN 4U | $2,094,972.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 56kg | 1:45.96 | 8-2-2 | 9 |
| 3.3L | $9.01 |
| 4/11 | 28/03/2026 | 42 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,915,709.00 | Meydan | 1800m | Good | James Doyle | 57kg | 1:47.46 | - | 4 |
| 3.3L | $51.00 |
| 1/9 | 14/02/2026 | 57 | QAG2 OPEN 4U | $713,267.00 | Doha | 1600m | Good | Pierre-Charles Boudot | 58kg | 1:34.71 | - | 6 |
| 1.3L | $1.00 |
| 5/14 | 19/12/2025 | 13 | LR OPEN 3U | $208,333.00 | Meydan | 1400m | Y | James Doyle | 58kg | 1:23.79 | 7-6-5 | 13 |
| 1.8L | $8.50 |
| 3/15 | 06/12/2025 | 91 | LR OPEN 3U | $416,667.00 | Abu Dhabi | 1400m | Good | James Doyle | 58kg | 1:21.89 | - | 3 |
| 0.7L | $5.50 |
| 8/9 | 06/09/2025 | 13 | G3 OPEN 3U | $156,830.00 | Haydock Park | 1643m | Good | James Doyle | 59.5kg | 1:37.90 | 7-7-8 | 8 |
| 8.8L | $8.00 |

Jockey: John R. Velazquez
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up held ground to the line 3rd of 7 at Keeneland Turf on April 8 over 1710m, 3 len behind Dresden Row carrying 53.5kg at $2.06. Last start raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 0.5 len at Aqueduct Turf May 7 over 1911m defeating Risk Tolerance carrying 55kg at $1.95. Won last start and is well-placed again.
Last Starts 30 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/5 | 07/05/2026 | 29 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $125,698.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1911m | FM | John R Velazquez | 55kg | 1:53.87 | 3-2-1 | 1 |
| 0.5L | $1.95 |
| 3/7 | 08/04/2026 | 242 | ALLOW 4U | $218,341.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | FM | John R Velazquez | 53.5kg | 1:42.17 | 4-3-3 | 5 |
| 3.3L | $2.06 |
| 3/7 | 09/08/2025 | 62 | G1 OPEN 3U | $1,550,388.00 | Colonial Downs | 2012m | FM | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | 1:59.58 | 3-1-3 | 7 |
| 1.3L | $1.60 |
| 2/8 | 08/06/2025 | 36 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,555,210.00 | Saratoga | 1811m | Good | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | 1:48.93 | 4-3-2 | 2 |
| 0.1L | $5.10 |
| 7/10 | 03/05/2025 | 22 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,562,500.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | Good | Lanfranco Dettori | 56kg | 1:48.20 | 2-8-7 | 1 |
| 2.8L | $4.44 |
| 2/7 | 11/04/2025 | 76 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,038,339.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | Good | Lanfranco Dettori | 56kg | 1:36.56 | 2-3-2 | 1 |
| 4.3L | $4.10 |

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Second run back. First-up after nine months won by 0.8 len at Aqueduct Turf G3 Fort Marcy Stakes May 2 over 1811m defeating Battle Of Normandy carrying 56kg at $1.69. Previously second-up won by 4.5 len at Aqueduct Turf G2 Fort Marcy Stakes May 3 2025 over 1811m defeating Carson's Run carrying 56kg at $3.10. Strong winning chance.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/5 | 02/05/2026 | 273 | G3 OPEN 4U | $244,413.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1811m | FM | K Carmouche | 56kg | 1:48.44 | 4-1-1 | 5 |
| 0.8L | $1.69 |
| 1/10 | 02/08/2025 | 55 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,162,791.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FM | K Carmouche | 57kg | 1:33.87 | 5-1-1 | 8 |
| 1.3L | $5.60 |
| 1/8 | 08/06/2025 | 36 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,555,210.00 | Saratoga | 1811m | Good | K Carmouche | 55.5kg | 1:48.93 | 2-1-1 | 4 |
| 0.1L | $6.80 |
| 1/5 | 03/05/2025 | 27 | G2 OPEN 4U | $312,500.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1811m | FM | K Carmouche | 56kg | 1:45.70 | 1-1-1 | 3 |
| 4.5L | $3.10 |
| 2/6 | 06/04/2025 | 148 | ALLOW 4U | $239,617.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | SP | Joel Rosario | 56kg | 1:51.39 | 3-1-2 | 2 |
| 1.8L | $3.50 |
| 1/7 | 09/11/2024 | 35 | G3 OPEN 3 | $304,414.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1811m | FM | Joel Rosario | 56kg | 1:46.58 | 2-1-1 | 3 |
| 1.0L | $2.75 |

Jockey: Flavien Prat
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 41-day let-up. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Longchamp in the G1 Prix Ganay on April 26 over 2100m, 3.5 len behind Daryz carrying 58kg at $5.30. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by a long-neck at Longchamp G2 Prix D'Harcourt April 5 over 2000m defeating Leffard carrying 57kg at $3.90. Definite chance.
Last Starts 41 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/5 | 26/04/2026 | 21 | G1 OPEN 4U | $501,670.00 | Longchamp | 2100m | Good | Alexis Pouchin | 58kg | 2:10.26 | 5-5-2 | 2 |
| 3.5L | $5.30 |
| 1/7 | 05/04/2026 | 21 | G2 OPEN 4U | $199,000.00 | Longchamp | 2000m | Good Soft | Maxime Guyon | 57kg | 2:04.29 | 3-2-1 | 3 |
| 0.4L | $3.90 |
| 1/7 | 15/03/2026 | 121 | G3 OPEN 4U | $121,390.00 | Saint Cloud | 2000m | Heavy | Maxime Guyon | 57kg | 2:15.64 | 3-2-1 | 3 |
| 1.3L | $6.00 |
| 7/8 | 14/11/2025 | 41 | BHRG2 CL1 TRPHY 3U | $1,526,718.00 | Sakhir | 2000m | Good Firm | Maxime Guyon | 58kg | 2:01.58 | - | 4 |
| 10.8L | $7.00 |
| 3/8 | 04/10/2025 | 57 | G2 OPEN 3U | $326,790.00 | Longchamp | 1950m | Soft | Maxime Guyon | 58kg | 2:05.61 | 5-4-3 | 1 |
| 3.0L | $4.70 |
| 1/8 | 08/08/2025 | 358 | CL3 4U | $29,310.00 | Clairefontaine | 2200m | Good Soft | Maxime Guyon | 56kg | 2:20.70 | 2-2-1 | 7 |
| 4.0L | $1.30 |

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 3rd of 7 at Keeneland Turf in the G1 Maker's Mark Mile Stakes on April 10 over 1609m, 1.3 len behind Zulu Kingdom with 56kg at $3.53. Second run from a spell scored a big 3 len win at Churchill Downs Turf G1 Old Forester Turf Classic May 2 over 1811m defeating Make Me King with 56kg at $2.96. One of the main contenders.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/9 | 02/05/2026 | 22 | G1 OPEN 4U | $2,094,972.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 56kg | 1:45.96 | 1-1-1 | 6 |
| 3.3L | $2.96 |
| 3/7 | 10/04/2026 | 160 | G1 OPEN 4U | $946,143.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 56kg | 1:34.90 | 1-2-3 | 1 |
| 1.3L | $3.53 |
| 4/13 | 01/11/2025 | 28 | G1 OPEN 3U | $3,053,435.00 | Del Mar | 1609m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 57kg | 1:33.66 | 5-1-4 | 11 |
| 2.1L | $4.70 |
| 1/11 | 04/10/2025 | 41 | G1 OPEN 3U | $1,902,588.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 57kg | 1:33.61 | 3-2-1 | 8 |
| 0.8L | $10.59 |
| 1/6 | 24/08/2025 | 36 | LR OPEN 3U | $232,558.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 55.5kg | 1:39.71 | 1-1-1 | 6 |
| 2.3L | $1.45 |
| 1/6 | 19/07/2025 | 62 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $175,841.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Manuel Franco | 56.5kg | 1:41.41 | 5-1-1 | 5 |
| 2.5L | $1.50 |

Jockey: Gavin Lerena
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Second run back. Comes off a 57-day let-up. First-up after three months made some head-way from midfield; 2nd of 7 at Keeneland Turf in the G1 Maker's Mark Mile Stakes on April 10 over 1609m, 0.8 len behind Zulu Kingdom carrying 56kg at $10.63. Previously second-up ran last of 13 at Del Mar Turf in the G1 Breeders' Cup Mile on November 1 over 1609m, 7 len behind Notable Speech with 57kg at $55.40. Fitter but others appeal more.
Last Starts 57 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/7 | 10/04/2026 | 76 | G1 OPEN 4U | $946,143.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | John R Velazquez | 56kg | 1:34.90 | 3-5-2 | 2 |
| 0.8L | $10.63 |
| 2/12 | 24/01/2026 | 29 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,494,768.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1811m | FM | Gavin Lerena | 56kg | 1:47.04 | 4-8-2 | 4 |
| 0.3L | $5.30 |
| 1/7 | 26/12/2025 | 55 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $90,352.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | John R Velazquez | 55kg | 1:31.81 | 6-1-1 | 7 |
| 5.3L | $3.50 |
| 13/13 | 01/11/2025 | 49 | G1 OPEN 3U | $3,053,435.00 | Del Mar | 1609m | FM | J J Hernandez | 57kg | 1:33.66 | 1-5-13 | 1 |
| 7.7L | $55.40 |
| 5/9 | 13/09/2025 | 181 | G1 OPEN 3U | $1,529,052.00 | Woodbine Inner | 1609m | FM | Jesus Velazquez | 57kg | 1:35.33 | 4-6-5 | 3 |
| 5.0L | $16.25 |
| 6/10 | 16/03/2025 | 71 | OPEN | $429,550.00 | Kenilworth | 1400m | Good | Gavin Lerena | 60kg | 1:25.38 | - | 2 |
| 6.0L | $1.33 |

Jockey: Dylan Davis
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second run back. First-up after two months 2nd in a small field at Aqueduct Turf in the G3 Fort Marcy Stakes on May 2 over 1811m, 0.8 len behind Deterministic with 54.5kg at $7.75. Previously second-up 2nd of 8 at Gulfstream Park Turf in the G3 Canadian Turf Stakes on February 28 over 1710m, 4 len behind Tiz Dashing carrying 55kg at $8.40. Unlikely to threaten.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/5 | 02/05/2026 | 63 | G3 OPEN 4U | $244,413.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1811m | FM | Dylan Davis | 54.5kg | 1:48.44 | 2-2-2 | 2 |
| 0.8L | $7.75 |
| 2/8 | 28/02/2026 | 35 | G3 OPEN 4U | $245,787.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FM | Flavien Prat | 55kg | 1:38.07 | 3-4-2 | 1 |
| 3.8L | $8.40 |
| 3/10 | 24/01/2026 | 364 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $130,045.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Luis Saez | 56kg | 1:34.11 | 2-3-3 | 2 |
| 2.0L | $4.10 |
| 11/12 | 25/01/2025 | 77 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,612,903.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1811m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 56kg | 1:44.50 | 6-12-11 | 9 |
| 5.3L | $11.90 |
| 1/9 | 09/11/2024 | 50 | G3 OPEN 3U | $456,621.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | Luan Machado | 55kg | 1:48.79 | 4-1-1 | 7 |
| 1.8L | $5.16 |
| 1/6 | 20/09/2024 | 68 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $147,059.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1710m | FM | Joel Rosario | 57kg | 1:43.97 | 3-2-1 | 5 |
| 0.1L | $3.45 |