Nagoya Race 2 - Race 2 - 1500
SEISUI CARMEN (7) appeals as the horse with the clearest upside after breaking through by three lengths at Nagoya as favourite. THE PRIOR DEFEAT BY BAY TREE (1) is the obvious form reference to respect, but she has now shown she can put a race away at this course and distance. BAY TREE has the most direct counterclaim: he also won here last time, was favourite, beat Sturm Kaiser by a length and a half and has the inside draw with weight relief. STRADONE (6) is harder to ignore than his career record suggests after winning by two and a half lengths at Nagoya at generous odds, though his previous Chukyo run was plain. ETOILE FILLE (5) adds depth after a narrow favourite's win over Articiel, but she profiles more as a solid danger than the runner with the strongest overall case.

Jockey: Rei Ogasahara
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Improved sharply to win at Nagoya over this trip last start, travelling as though ready to strike before putting Sturm Kaiser away by a length and a half as favourite. That was a marked lift from his previous sixth here, when beaten ten lengths by Alula Mefa'A at long odds. Proven at the track and distance and meets Seisui Carmen again off a favourable draw, so the latest win gives him a sound winning case.
Last Starts 16 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 01/09/2026 | 14 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Seigo Tsukamoto | 57kg | 1:38.60 | 4-2-1 | 9 |
| 1.5L | $2.50 |
| 6/12 | 18/08/2026 | 31 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Katsuki Niwa | 57kg | 1:36.40 | 8-6-6 | 7 |
| 10.0L | $87.80 |
| 14/15 | 18/07/2026 | 21 | MDN 3 | $98,840.00 | Fukushima | 1700m | Good | N Yokoyama | 57kg | 1:47.00 | 15-15-14 | 10 |
| 19.9L | $44.90 |
| 10/16 | 27/06/2026 | 174 | MDN 3 | $96,760.00 | Fukushima | 2000m | Good | N Yokoyama | 57kg | 1:59.60 | 13-15-10 | 1 |
| 5.8L | $27.20 |
| 8/17 | 04/01/2026 | - | NEWC 3 | $117,770.00 | Nakayama | 2000m | Good | Rui Funayama | 54kg | 2:04.00 | 16-12-8 | 7 |
| 4.5L | $21.40 |

Jockey: Masaaki Oohata
Weight: 57kgs
Stats
Comments
Recent form leaves him with plenty to find after finishing seventh at Nagoya last start, beaten over 17 lengths by Alula Mefa'A after fading late and being unwanted in the market. He was last here the start prior, beaten a long way by Ardent Eye. The class drop is some help, but five unplaced runs at this track and distance make the task look difficult.
Last Starts 14 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/11 | 03/09/2026 | 14 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Masaaki Ohata | 57kg | 1:36.30 | 11-6-7 | 11 |
| 17.0L | $415.40 |
| 12/12 | 20/08/2026 | 21 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Masaaki Ohata | 57kg | 1:35.30 | 6-9-12 | 1 |
| 21.0L | $39.80 |
| 7/11 | 30/07/2026 | 16 | COND 3U | $8,676.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Hosokawa Satoshi | 57kg | 1:37.30 | 8-9-7 | 6 |
| 6.7L | $289.40 |
| 9/12 | 14/07/2026 | 28 | COND 3U | $8,676.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Tatsuya Watanabe | 57kg | 1:36.70 | 8-7-9 | 3 |
| 17.8L | $22.40 |
| 1/10 | 16/06/2026 | 11 | COND 3 | $8,932.00 | Nagoya | 920m | Fast | Junki Mochizuki | 57kg | 0:56.30 | 2-1-1 | 5 |
| 3.0L | $4.40 |
| 6/12 | 05/06/2026 | 17 | COND 3 | $8,932.00 | Nagoya | 1400m | Good | Junki Mochizuki | 57kg | 1:31.70 | 1-1-6 | 2 |
| 6.8L | $6.80 |

Jockey: Souha Kondou
Weight: 53kgs
Stats
Comments
Was second last at Nagoya last start and well beaten by Alula Mefa'A after weakening through the line, with the market giving little encouragement. Two back she was seventh behind Heavenly Sky, beaten just over seven lengths after settling rearward and making no impression. Her placing record at this track and distance is a minor positive, but she must find more late strength.
Last Starts 14 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | 03/09/2026 | 14 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Souha Kondo | 52kg | 1:36.30 | 3-11-10 | 2 |
| 23.3L | $84.60 |
| 7/12 | 20/08/2026 | 21 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Tatsuya Watanabe | 55kg | 1:36.60 | 8-8-7 | 4 |
| 7.1L | $14.90 |
| 5/12 | 30/07/2026 | 16 | COND 3U | $8,676.00 | Nagoya | 920m | Fast | Katsuto Maruno | 55kg | 0:57.20 | 8-7-5 | 6 |
| 4.2L | $4.30 |
| 10/12 | 14/07/2026 | 13 | COND 3U | $8,676.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Tsutsui Yusuke | 55kg | 1:36.70 | 4-7-10 | 12 |
| 18.1L | $8.70 |
| 2/12 | 01/07/2026 | 9 | COND 3 | $9,123.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Junki Mochizuki | 55kg | 1:36.90 | 3-3-2 | 10 |
| 1.0L | $8.70 |
| 7/11 | 22/06/2026 | 20 | COND 3 | $8,932.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Tsutsui Yusuke | 55kg | 1:37.30 | 4-6-7 | 11 |
| 7.9L | $7.80 |

Jockey: Takahiro Imai
Weight: 57kgs
Stats
Comments
Looked a stronger prospect when he led and beat Waltz Princess by five lengths at Nagoya two starts ago as favourite, but he failed to back that up when ninth here last start, finishing well held behind Alula Mefa'A despite being near the top of an open market. The return of the winning rider and third-up fitness are positives, yet he has to recover that prior peak quickly.
Last Starts 14 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/11 | 03/09/2026 | 10 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Takahiro Imai | 57kg | 1:36.30 | 4-8-9 | 1 |
| 20.3L | $7.00 |
| 1/11 | 24/08/2026 | 65 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Takahiro Imai | 57kg | 1:37.00 | 4-1-1 | 4 |
| 5.0L | $2.90 |
| 12/16 | 20/06/2026 | 56 | MDN 3 | $96,760.00 | Tokyo | 1600m | Good | Hiroto Mayuzumi | 57kg | 1:36.10 | 13-12-12 | 13 |
| 14.7L | $387.90 |
| 12/13 | 25/04/2026 | 48 | MDN 3 | $102,930.00 | Tokyo | 2100m | Good | Shoma Sato | 54kg | 2:12.80 | 11-11-12 | 3 |
| 20.6L | $87.20 |
| 8/14 | 08/03/2026 | - | MDN 3 | $101,660.00 | Nakayama | 1800m | Good | Kazuki Kikuzawa | 57kg | 1:56.20 | 12-8-8 | 8 |
| 20.6L | $39.60 |

Jockey: Hiroshi Oohara
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Bounced back strongly at Nagoya last start, sitting right there and beating Articiel by a neck as favourite over this distance. That was a major improvement on her 3yo Maiden run at Niigata Dirt, where she was 11th and beaten over 11 lengths behind Jorvik at long odds. Her on-pace style suits her when she is travelling sweetly, and she is a genuine place hope again.
Last Starts 15 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/9 | 02/09/2026 | 24 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Hiroshi Ohara | 55kg | 1:38.90 | 1-1-1 | 10 |
| 0.3L | $2.50 |
| 11/15 | 09/08/2026 | 56 | MDN 3 | $98,110.00 | Niigata | 1200m | Good | Kazuki Kikuzawa | 55kg | 1:12.60 | 2-2-11 | 6 |
| 11.2L | $151.50 |
| 12/12 | 14/06/2026 | 78 | MDN 3 | $96,760.00 | Hakodate | 1000m | Good | Seina Imamura | 53kg | 0:58.60 | 11-12-12 | 11 |
| 22.3L | $29.90 |
| 6/16 | 28/03/2026 | 41 | MDN 3 | $101,660.00 | Nakayama | 1200m | M | Naota Uezato | 52kg | 1:11.30 | - | 9 |
| 8.5L | $130.00 |
| 13/16 | 15/02/2026 | - | NEWC 3 | $114,290.00 | Tokyo | 1600m | Good | Makoto Sugihara | 55kg | 1:39.80 | 4-4-13 | 15 |
| 17.0L | $87.10 |

Jockey: Seigo Tsukamoto
Weight: 57kgs
Stats
Comments
Turned his form around with a decisive Nagoya win last start, scoring by two and a half lengths from Plot Thickens at generous odds and making an immediate mark at this track and trip. The run prior at Chukyo was poor, finishing last in a 3yo Maiden over 2000m and beaten over 17 lengths at big odds. With Seigo Tsukamoto aboard, the latest effort must be taken seriously.
Last Starts 16 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/11 | 01/09/2026 | 23 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Katsuki Niwa | 57kg | 1:37.50 | 5-2-1 | 8 |
| 2.5L | $17.00 |
| 16/16 | 09/08/2026 | 14 | MDN 3 | $98,110.00 | Chukyo | 2000m | Good | Yuichiro Shibata | 55kg | 1:59.90 | 13-14-16 | 5 |
| 16.9L | $333.50 |
| 9/10 | 26/07/2026 | 91 | MDN 3 | $98,840.00 | Chukyo | 2200m | Good | Yuichiro Shibata | 55kg | 2:11.50 | 10-10-9 | 5 |
| 11.2L | $211.00 |
| 10/12 | 26/04/2026 | 22 | MDN 3 | $102,930.00 | Kyoto | 2000m | Good | Yuichiro Shibata | 55kg | 2:00.40 | 12-11-10 | 1 |
| 6.0L | $323.50 |
| 10/18 | 04/04/2026 | 118 | MDN 3 | $102,930.00 | Hanshin | 1800m | Good | Yuichiro Shibata | 55kg | 1:47.60 | - | 14 |
| 11.3L | $399.70 |
| 13/13 | 07/12/2025 | 77 | MDN 2 | $103,880.00 | Chukyo | 1800m | Good | Atsuya Nishimura | 56kg | 1:53.80 | 12-13-13 | 11 |
| 31.6L | $54.30 |

Jockey: Katsuto Maruno
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Stamped herself as a key chance when winning at Nagoya last start, beating Sicilian Mind by three lengths as favourite and improving sharply from her previous seventh behind Alula Mefa'A. She is one from two at the distance and has already shown she handles the circuit. The remaining query is whether she repeats that peak, especially with Bay Tree holding a recent head-to-head edge.
Last Starts 16 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/12 | 01/09/2026 | 14 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Seigo Tsukamoto | 55kg | 1:38.70 | 9-4-1 | 12 |
| 3.0L | $2.70 |
| 7/12 | 18/08/2026 | 38 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Keigo Ohata | 55kg | 1:36.40 | 10-8-7 | 3 |
| 11.0L | $73.50 |
| 12/15 | 11/07/2026 | 49 | MDN 3 | $98,840.00 | Fukushima | 1700m | Good | Takuya Kowata | 55kg | 1:45.70 | 11-10-12 | 14 |
| 17.7L | $190.50 |
| 14/15 | 23/05/2026 | - | MDN 3 | $99,450.00 | Tokyo | 1600m | Good | Kazuma Harada | 55kg | 1:38.30 | 15-15-14 | 4 |
| 23.0L | $208.70 |

Jockey: Hiirou Muro
Weight: 57kgs
Stats
Comments
Has a track-and-distance win in the book, but the last two runs have been too plain to overlook. He was last at Nagoya most recently, finished well held by Alula Mefa'A at long odds, and had also been beaten over 15 lengths behind Heavenly Sky the start prior. The class drop gives him some hope of improvement, but current form points more to a minor chance.
Last Starts 14 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | 03/09/2026 | 14 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Soichi Kato | 57kg | 1:36.30 | 7-9-11 | 4 |
| 23.8L | $96.90 |
| 11/12 | 20/08/2026 | 22 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Seigo Tsukamoto | 57kg | 1:36.60 | 7-9-11 | 9 |
| 15.1L | $13.50 |
| 6/11 | 29/07/2026 | 15 | COND 3U | $8,676.00 | Nagoya | 1700m | M | Seigo Tsukamoto | 57kg | 1:54.50 | 2-2-6 | 3 |
| 6.2L | $4.10 |
| 6/12 | 14/07/2026 | 26 | COND 3U | $8,676.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Seigo Tsukamoto | 57kg | 1:37.60 | 6-3-6 | 12 |
| 10.0L | $8.10 |
| 1/11 | 18/06/2026 | 32 | COND 3 | $8,932.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Seigo Tsukamoto | 57kg | 1:37.40 | 5-4-1 | 3 |
| 0.2L | $2.60 |
| 8/10 | 17/05/2026 | 8 | MDN 3 | $99,450.00 | Kyoto | 2000m | Good | Toshiki Akiyama | 57kg | 2:00.60 | 9-9-8 | 4 |
| 3.0L | $96.40 |

Jockey: Shou Kakihara
Weight: 57kgs
Stats
Comments
Finished sixth at Nagoya last start, beaten ten lengths by Alula Mefa'A after being just fair through the line, and that followed a fourth at Kasamatsu when still beaten just over eight lengths by Summer Blizzard. He remains a maiden after eight starts and is unplaced from his only go at this distance. The class drop helps only if he finds a much sharper finish.
Last Starts 14 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/11 | 03/09/2026 | 43 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Teruhiro Asano | 57kg | 1:36.30 | 9-6-6 | 7 |
| 10.0L | $22.70 |
| 4/10 | 22/07/2026 | 60 | COND 3 | $11,270.00 | Kasamatsu | 1400m | Fast | Yusuke Hara | 57kg | 1:29.40 | 5-4-4 | 7 |
| 8.3L | $5.40 |
| 8/16 | 23/05/2026 | 32 | MDN 3 | $99,450.00 | Tokyo | 1400m | Good | Yusuke Hara | 57kg | 1:24.60 | 2-2-8 | 2 |
| 11.7L | $139.50 |
| 4/10 | 21/04/2026 | 45 | COND 3 | $49,275.00 | Urawa | 1400m | Fast | Yusuke Hara | 56kg | 1:29.10 | 3-3-4 | 8 |
| 5.3L | $9.00 |
| 11/14 | 07/03/2026 | 10 | MDN 3 | $101,660.00 | Nakayama | 1800m | M | Shuto Kobayashi | 57kg | 1:54.90 | 6-5-11 | 15 |
| 13.9L | $30.40 |
| 2/12 | 25/02/2026 | 52 | COND 3 | $12,013.00 | Saga | 1400m | M | Yuji Tannai | 56kg | 1:31.00 | 7-5-2 | 3 |
| 0.8L | $3.50 |

Jockey: Hiroki Murakami
Weight: 57kgs
Stats
Comments
Held a narrow lead and tried hard when third at Nagoya last start, though Noble Queendom still beat him five and a half lengths. The prior run was poor, finishing last behind Heavenly Sky and beaten over 15 lengths, so consistency remains the issue. His three placings from six starts at this track and distance keep him in the minor-money mix rather than the main winning discussion.
Last Starts 10 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/9 | 07/09/2026 | 18 | COND 3 | $8,616.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | SP | Katsuto Maruno | 57kg | 1:36.00 | 2-2-3 | 4 |
| 5.5L | $7.20 |
| 12/12 | 20/08/2026 | 37 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Tsutsui Yusuke | 57kg | 1:36.60 | 5-6-12 | 10 |
| 15.3L | $9.10 |
| 7/12 | 14/07/2026 | 13 | COND 3U | $8,676.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Keigo Ohata | 57kg | 1:36.70 | 1-3-7 | 4 |
| 13.5L | $4.50 |
| 2/12 | 01/07/2026 | 13 | COND 3 | $9,123.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Keigo Ohata | 57kg | 1:36.30 | 1-1-2 | 2 |
| 1.0L | $28.90 |
| 5/12 | 18/06/2026 | 13 | COND 3 | $8,932.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Fast | Keigo Ohata | 57kg | 1:36.20 | 3-4-5 | 11 |
| 10.1L | $2.10 |
| 2/12 | 05/06/2026 | 26 | COND 3 | $8,932.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Katsuto Maruno | 57kg | 1:37.60 | 3-1-2 | 2 |
| 0.5L | $3.50 |

Jockey: Souichi Katou
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Produced a decisive lift at Nagoya last start, driving hard late to beat Cherry Bloom by four lengths when near the top of an open market. Before that she was ninth in a 3yo Maiden over 1000m at Hakodate Dirt, beaten eight and a half lengths by Memory Days at long odds. She is now one from one at this distance and has a leading trainer-jockey profile, which makes her a sound place chance.
Last Starts 16 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/11 | 01/09/2026 | 45 | COND 3 | $8,612.00 | Nagoya | 1500m | Good | Soichi Kato | 55kg | 1:37.30 | 4-3-1 | 9 |
| 4.0L | $6.90 |
| 9/12 | 18/07/2026 | 27 | MDN 3 | $98,840.00 | Hakodate | 1000m | Good | Hayato Yoshida | 55kg | 0:59.60 | 11-11-9 | 8 |
| 8.7L | $45.00 |
| 11/16 | 21/06/2026 | 131 | MDN 3 | $96,760.00 | Hakodate | 1200m | Good | Hayato Yoshida | 55kg | 1:08.30 | - | 6 |
| 7.9L | $113.10 |
| 9/16 | 10/02/2026 | 17 | MDN 3 | $104,560.00 | Kyoto | 1200m | Good | Manabu Sakai | 55kg | 1:13.70 | - | 2 |
| 10.1L | $62.70 |
| 8/17 | 24/01/2026 | 35 | MDN 3 | $107,740.00 | Kyoto | 1400m | Good | Keisuke Dazai | 55kg | 1:22.00 | - | 15 |
| 6.2L | $158.40 |
| 12/18 | 20/12/2025 | - | NEWC F 2 | $139,650.00 | Hanshin | 1600m | Good | Keisuke Dazai | 55kg | 1:35.50 | - | 1 |
| 5.8L | $265.10 |