Keeneland Race 1 - Race 1 - Mdn Special Weight
POWERLINE (5) has the strongest race experience, having been second on debut at Saratoga before failing to quicken as a short odds-on favourite at the same venue. That last run was below market expectation, but the break gives him the chance to reset and the Steven Asmussen-Flavien Prat profile is a clear positive. SUPREME COMMANDER (8) is the most appealing debut runner, with Tyler Gaffalione booked and Brendan P Walsh bringing a strong track profile plus a 21% trainer-sire strike rate. HIGHWAYMEN (2) is another well-credentialled newcomer for Cherie Devaux, whose debut numbers and Curlin combination read well, while Jose Ortiz adds further polish. BOURBON NEAT (7) has a deep black-type family, including G2 winner Slammed, and William Walden's debut record is strong enough to make him a genuine first-start threat.
Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Makes his debut for Cherie Devaux, whose first-starter figures of 13 wins from 57 runners give him a solid platform. The Curlin combination is also notable, with 10 wins and 20 placings from 44 starts, while Jose Ortiz is a proven senior rider with a strong record at this venue. Race experience is absent, but the stable and bloodline pointers make him one of the better winning chances.
Jockey: Andres P. Ulloa
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Back after five weeks on the sidelines following a much better second at Horseshoe Indianapolis, beaten just under a length after tracking the speed and working home evenly. That came in a small field and he was beaten over 12 lengths on debut at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf, so the improvement still requires caution. The 1408m is new territory and he must lift again to trouble the main chances.
Last Starts 40 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/6 | 22/09/2026 | 70 | MDN CLM 2 | $40,278.00 | Indiana Downs | 1106m | Fast | Andres Patricio Ulloa | 55kg | 1:05.49 | 1-2-2 | 1 |
| 0.8L | $10.90 |
| 5/7 | 14/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $46,444.00 | Indiana Downs | 1509m | FM | Andres Patricio Ulloa | 54.5kg | 1:30.27 | 7-6-5 | 4 |
| 11.5L | $52.40 |
Jockey: Francisco Arrieta
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Made a sound debut at this track when third over 1207m, beaten just under three lengths after settling midfield and working home evenly at long odds. That gives him race experience and a local placing to build from, though he has not raced at around 1408m before. With natural improvement second-up he is a genuine place hope, but the trip keeps the winning case measured.
Last Starts 30 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/10 | 02/10/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $158,046.00 | Keeneland | 1207m | Fast | Francisco Arrieta | 54kg | 1:11.61 | 1-5-3 | 9 |
| 2.8L | $15.93 |
Jockey: Flavien Prat
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a lengthy spell after a below-par Saratoga fourth, beaten just over nine lengths when a short odds-on favourite and unable to quicken from a rearward spot. His debut second at Saratoga behind The Good Life reads better, and he was near the top of betting there as well. With Steven Asmussen and Flavien Prat in his corner, he has the right profile to resume as the horse to beat.
Last Starts 71 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/9 | 22/08/2026 | 35 | MDN 2 | $164,051.00 | Saratoga | 1308m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 56kg | 1:17.55 | 9-5-4 | 1 |
| 9.3L | $1.63 |
| 2/6 | 18/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $164,051.00 | Saratoga | 1207m | Fast | Ricardo Santana Jr | 56kg | 1:11.14 | 6-2-2 | 4 |
| 3.5L | $2.61 |
Jockey: Joel Rosario
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a two-month break after finishing fifth at Del Mar, beaten eight and a half lengths when tracking the lead but only fair late. The start prior at Del Mar Turf was similar in shape, pressing forward before fading to seventh. He is race fit and a fourth-up peak is possible, but with three unplaced runs behind him and 1408m still untried, he profiles as a minor-money chance.
Last Starts 55 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/10 | 07/09/2026 | 11 | MDN 2 | $138,889.00 | Del Mar | 1106m | Fast | Armando Aguilar | 55.5kg | 1:04.19 | 2-2-5 | 9 |
| 8.5L | $29.90 |
| 7/9 | 27/08/2026 | 19 | MDN 2 | $114,123.00 | Del Mar | 1006m | FM | Kazushi Kimura | 55.5kg | 0:58.07 | 2-2-7 | 8 |
| 5.3L | $5.80 |
| 5/5 | 08/08/2026 | - | G3 OPEN 2 | $213,980.00 | Del Mar | 1207m | Fast | Kazushi Kimura | 53.5kg | 1:09.61 | 2-5-5 | 4 |
| 17.4L | $21.80 |
Jockey: Axel Concepcion
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Debuts with one of the stronger pedigree profiles in the race, being from a family that includes G2 winner Slammed and several other black-type performers across sprint and mile trips. William Walden's debut record is also persuasive, with 13 wins and 28 placings from 50 starters. Race-day manners remain the unknown, but the background gives him legitimate claims first time out.
Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Unraced colt from the Brendan P Walsh stable, which brings a strong track profile and a useful trainer-sire combination with 14 wins from 68 starts. Tyler Gaffalione is one of the leading riders at this venue and adds further confidence for a debut assignment. Without race evidence there is some uncertainty, but the stable, jockey and statistical profile make him a serious winning hope.
Jockey: Ben Curtis
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes in off consecutive thirds, the latest at Keeneland Turf over 1609m when beaten just over three lengths after coming from a long way back. He had been closer at Kentucky the start prior, beaten a length and a half, and his overall record of three placings from five starts shows consistency. The drop back in trip is the main concern, so he is a rough each-way hope rather than a leading win chance.
Last Starts 23 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/12 | 09/10/2026 | 32 | MDN 2 | $158,046.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | Jareth Loveberry | 54kg | 1:36.47 | 9-6-3 | 12 |
| 3.3L | $14.22 |
| 3/12 | 07/09/2026 | 15 | MDN 2 | $236,111.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Ben Curtis | 54kg | 1:17.31 | 4-7-3 | 1 |
| 1.5L | $18.30 |
| 6/12 | 23/08/2026 | 22 | MDN 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | Fast | Ben Curtis | 54kg | 1:39.31 | 5-5-6 | 5 |
| 10.5L | $7.21 |
| 7/12 | 01/08/2026 | 21 | MDN 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1710m | Y | Martin Garcia | 54kg | 1:45.07 | 3-8-7 | 3 |
| 9.5L | $3.30 |
| 2/8 | 11/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | SP | Martin Garcia | 54kg | 1:04.72 | 7-4-2 | 5 |
| 2.0L | $7.93 |
Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Has put together two placings this campaign, most recently second at this track over 1207m when beaten just over two lengths after leading and keeping on at long odds. The start prior was a third at Kentucky, beaten a length, so the form is honest. Barrier 11 is not ideal, but Luis Saez is a notable booking and his placed record gives him an outside each-way case.
Last Starts 30 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/10 | 02/10/2026 | 27 | MDN 2 | $158,046.00 | Keeneland | 1207m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 54kg | 1:11.61 | 4-2-2 | 5 |
| 2.3L | $17.90 |
| 3/8 | 05/09/2026 | 41 | MDN 2 | $242,511.00 | Kentucky | 1408m | FM | John R Velazquez | 54kg | 1:24.89 | 4-2-3 | 4 |
| 1.0L | $2.89 |
| 5/9 | 26/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | Fast | Cristian Mauricio Torres | 54kg | 1:11.17 | 7-4-5 | 2 |
| 9.3L | $4.32 |
Jockey: Manuel Franco
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a two-month break after a debut sixth at Churchill Downs, beaten ten lengths at big odds on good ground. He did make some late ground from well back, but the run came with no clear excuse and he has not raced at around 1408m before. Cherie Devaux gives him stable respect, though he has to take a clear second-up step to land in the money.
Last Starts 52 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/10 | 10/09/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $166,667.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | Good | Tyler Gaffalione | 54kg | 1:10.89 | 7-6-6 | 2 |
| 10.0L | $22.34 |