Keeneland Race 6 - Race 6 - Allowance
BIG TROUBLE (6) lines up for the first time since August 1. Started the last campaign impressively when in the placings over 1106m at this track. One of the genuine hopes in the race. STORM CLOUD RISING (1) is racing well. Scored at Churchill Downs (Dirt) two back then finished second, beaten 2 lengths, over 1106m at this track (Turf) at the latest appearance two weeks ago. Well placed and worth another chance. LE AMAZONIA (4) was in the money at both runs prior to finishing fifth in stakes class over 1207m in Listed grade at Laurel Turf (Turf). Is back in grade for this. Has never missed the frame when fourth run back. Reunites with Junior Alvarado who has a win when partnering. Expected to measure up. LOVELY EMMA (8) is a talented filly who was well held last time in tougher grade over 1308m in the G2 Presque Isle Downs Masters Stakes (Synthetic). Has been in solid form this campaign with a win and a placing from four starts. Don't underestimate.

Jockey: Miguel Fernandez
Weight: 51.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Most recently made some head-way from midfield; 2nd of 12 at this track on October 7 over 1106m, 2 len behind Insightful Miss with 51.5kg at $89.24. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.5 len at Churchill Downs on September 10 over 1207m defeating Noroomformischief carrying 53.5kg at $3.55. Draws the inside and should take beating.
Last Starts 14 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/12 | 07/10/2026 | 27 | ALLOW FM 3U | $186,782.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Miguel Fernandez | 51.5kg | 1:03.01 | 6-2-2 | 12 |
| 2.0L | $89.24 |
| 1/7 | 10/09/2026 | 20 | ALLOW FM 3U | $86,111.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | Good | Walter A Rodriguez | 53.5kg | 1:11.27 | 3-2-1 | 2 |
| 0.5L | $3.55 |
| 5/8 | 21/08/2026 | 13 | ALLOW FM 3U | $60,628.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FM | Walter A Rodriguez | 53.5kg | 1:35.81 | 4-4-5 | 5 |
| 6.1L | $7.64 |
| 4/7 | 08/08/2026 | 13 | ALLOW F 3 | $154,066.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FM | Summer Pauly | 51.5kg | 1:01.35 | 6-7-4 | 4 |
| 2.5L | $24.34 |
| 1/8 | 26/07/2026 | 30 | ALLOW FM 3U | $61,684.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | Fast | Gerardo Corrales | 53.5kg | 1:11.11 | 7-2-1 | 1 |
| 2.5L | $16.53 |
| 9/11 | 26/06/2026 | 14 | CLM FM 3U | $86,471.00 | Churchill Downs | 1308m | SP | Gerardo Corrales | 53.5kg | 1:18.05 | 7-3-9 | 10 |
| 7.7L | $9.83 |

Jockey: Adam Beschizza
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 45 day let-up. At the latest run 2nd in a small field at Kentucky on September 6 over 1308m, 2.75 len behind Kehoe Beach with 56kg at $16.41. The race before that ran last of 7 at Gulfstream Park Turf on August 16 over 1609m, 13 len behind Fantasy Performer carrying 54kg at $4.60. Thereabouts last time but others are preferred.
Last Starts 45 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/5 | 06/09/2026 | 21 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $270,833.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Adam Beschizza | 56kg | 1:16.29 | 4-2-2 | 5 |
| 2.8L | $16.41 |
| 7/7 | 16/08/2026 | 21 | ALLOW FM 3U | $99,857.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Jose E Morelos | 54kg | 1:33.13 | 6-4-7 | 7 |
| 13.4L | $4.60 |
| 7/7 | 26/07/2026 | 84 | G2 OPEN FM 4U | $362,845.00 | Saratoga | 1207m | Fast | Edgard J Zayas | 54.5kg | 1:10.43 | 5-7-7 | 7 |
| 37.3L | $57.97 |
| 8/8 | 03/05/2026 | 16 | LR OPEN FM 4U | $209,497.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Ricardo Santana Jr | 54.5kg | 1:09.70 | 4-8-8 | 7 |
| 10.9L | $23.79 |
| 6/6 | 17/04/2026 | 118 | LR OPEN FM 4U | $218,341.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1609m | FM | Ricardo Santana Jr | 54.5kg | 1:36.68 | 3-5-6 | 2 |
| 10.0L | $12.88 |
| 4/11 | 20/12/2025 | 62 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $229,709.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Javier Castellano | 55kg | 1:32.31 | 2-4-4 | 1 |
| 5.1L | $13.40 |

Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 39 day let-up. Most recently 5th of 8 in Listed grade at Laurel Turf at Laurel Turf on September 12 over 1207m, 1.75 len behind Gift Of Gab with 55.5kg at $4.20. The run before that 3rd of 7 at Listed level at Saratoga Turf at Saratoga Turf on August 14 over 1106m, 2 len behind Zeitlos with 56kg at $13.84. Encouraging effort last start. In the mix.
Last Starts 39 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/8 | 12/09/2026 | 29 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $138,889.00 | Laurel Park | 1207m | Good | Jamie Rodriguez | 55.5kg | 1:09.29 | 2-1-5 | 6 |
| 1.8L | $4.20 |
| 3/7 | 14/08/2026 | 27 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $285,307.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | Y | Junior Alvarado | 56kg | 1:06.44 | 7-3-3 | 4 |
| 2.0L | $13.84 |
| 2/6 | 18/07/2026 | 98 | ALLOW FM 3U | $99,857.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | FM | Samy Camacho | 55.5kg | 0:54.88 | 4-2-2 | 1 |
| 1.5L | $3.60 |
| 2/6 | 11/04/2026 | 28 | ALLOW FM 4U | $109,170.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | Good | Samy Camacho | 54.5kg | 0:55.52 | 1-2-2 | 6 |
| 1.3L | $4.10 |
| 6/10 | 14/03/2026 | 35 | LR OPEN FM 4U | $175,562.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | Fast | Tyler Gaffalione | 54.5kg | 0:56.08 | 5-7-6 | 6 |
| 3.3L | $11.50 |
| 2/8 | 07/02/2026 | 28 | LR OPEN FM 4U | $178,317.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 53.5kg | 0:55.51 | 5-5-2 | 2 |
| 3.3L | $14.50 |

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 45 day let-up. Last start ran second last in a small field at Kentucky on September 6 over 1308m, 7 len behind Kehoe Beach with 56kg at $3.94. The run before that got back early 4th of 7 in stakes class at Saratoga Turf at Saratoga Turf on August 14 over 1106m, 4 len behind Zeitlos with 56kg at $9.53. Looks outclassed.
Last Starts 45 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/5 | 06/09/2026 | 23 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $270,833.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 56kg | 1:16.29 | 3-4-4 | 1 |
| 7.3L | $3.94 |
| 4/7 | 14/08/2026 | 47 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $285,307.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | Y | Manuel Franco | 56kg | 1:06.44 | 6-6-4 | 1 |
| 4.0L | $9.53 |
| 4/9 | 28/06/2026 | 25 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $196,653.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 55kg | 1:02.79 | 6-4-4 | 6 |
| 1.1L | $10.35 |
| 7/8 | 03/06/2026 | 42 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $196,653.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Samy Camacho | 55kg | 1:01.42 | 7-8-7 | 6 |
| 6.8L | $7.74 |
| 6/10 | 22/04/2026 | 39 | ALLOW FM 4U | $203,785.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Mario Gutierrez | 53.5kg | 1:04.25 | 5-5-6 | 2 |
| 4.6L | $11.01 |
| 2/10 | 14/03/2026 | 104 | LR OPEN FM 4U | $175,562.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | Fast | Mario Gutierrez | 55.5kg | 0:56.08 | 7-2-2 | 8 |
| 1.5L | $33.80 |

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 56.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 12 weeks. Finished off last preparation fourth of 7 at Ellis Park Turf in the LR August 1 over 1106m, 4 len behind Cloe carrying 56kg at $2.80. Previously first up; second of 10 at this track April 22 over 1106m, 2 len behind Lovely Emma carrying 53.5kg at $3.70. Should be right in the finish.
Last Starts 81 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/7 | 01/08/2026 | 22 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $356,633.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | Y | Francisco Arrieta | 56kg | 1:02.43 | 6-6-4 | 1 |
| 4.1L | $2.80 |
| 1/12 | 10/07/2026 | 12 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $145,138.00 | Indiana Downs | 1006m | FM | Mitchell Murrill | 56.5kg | 0:55.26 | 11-7-1 | 2 |
| 0.5L | $2.30 |
| 5/9 | 28/06/2026 | 25 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $196,653.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 55kg | 1:02.79 | 7-7-5 | 4 |
| 1.6L | $5.67 |
| 3/8 | 03/06/2026 | 42 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $196,653.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | D Cannon | 56.5kg | 1:01.42 | 5-4-3 | 4 |
| 2.3L | $8.82 |
| 2/10 | 22/04/2026 | 64 | ALLOW FM 4U | $203,785.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 53.5kg | 1:04.25 | 4-4-2 | 4 |
| 2.0L | $3.70 |
| 2/9 | 17/02/2026 | 38 | LR OPEN FM 4U | $142,653.00 | Fairgrounds | 1106m | FM | D Cannon | 56kg | 1:02.34 | 4-2-2 | 1 |
| 4.3L | $6.80 |

Jockey: John R. Velazquez
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. Freshened for 45 days. First-up eased back early on 4th in a small field in stakes class at Colonial Downs Inner Turf at Colonial Downs Inner Turf on August 1 over 1106m, 2.5 len behind Roja carrying 55.5kg at $3.60. Last start 3rd in a small field at Kentucky on September 6 over 1308m, 5 len behind Kehoe Beach with 56kg at $4.57. Among the winning hopes on best form.
Last Starts 45 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/5 | 06/09/2026 | 36 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $270,833.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Ben Curtis | 56kg | 1:16.29 | 5-3-3 | 2 |
| 5.3L | $4.57 |
| 4/6 | 01/08/2026 | 78 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $213,980.00 | Colonial Downs | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | 1:02.68 | 6-5-4 | 6 |
| 2.5L | $3.60 |
| 2/8 | 15/05/2026 | 33 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $139,665.00 | Laurel Park | 1106m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 54.5kg | 1:01.84 | 6-5-2 | 4 |
| 1.0L | $3.40 |
| 8/11 | 12/04/2026 | 218 | G2 OPEN FM 3U | $582,242.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 55.5kg | 1:02.17 | 8-11-8 | 7 |
| 6.4L | $8.46 |
| 1/12 | 06/09/2025 | 90 | ALLOW F 3 | $336,391.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | Good | Lanfranco Dettori | 55.5kg | 1:14.01 | 8-3-1 | 11 |
| 0.8L | $5.72 |
| 1/6 | 08/06/2025 | 53 | LR OPEN F 3 | $272,162.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | Fast | Junior Alvarado | 53.5kg | 1:04.00 | 4-2-1 | 2 |
| 3.8L | $5.30 |

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 33 day let-up. Last start ran last of 8 in the G2 Presque Isle Downs Masters Stakes on September 18 over 1308m, 14 len behind Reagan's Flame carrying 56kg at $7.50. The run before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 7 at Listed level at Ellis Park Turf at Ellis Park Turf on August 1 over 1106m, 2.75 len behind Cloe with 55.5kg at $6.76. Has shown enough ability in the past to take this out.
Last Starts 33 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | 18/09/2026 | 48 | G2 OPEN FM 3U | $416,667.00 | Presque Isle Downs | 1308m | Fast | Israel O Rodriguez | 56kg | 1:14.62 | 3-8-8 | 7 |
| 14.3L | $7.50 |
| 3/7 | 01/08/2026 | 59 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $356,633.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | Y | Danny Sheehy | 55.5kg | 1:02.43 | 3-2-3 | 2 |
| 2.9L | $6.76 |
| 6/8 | 03/06/2026 | 42 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $196,653.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Luis Saez | 56kg | 1:01.42 | 8-5-6 | 2 |
| 6.5L | $3.95 |
| 1/10 | 22/04/2026 | 75 | ALLOW FM 4U | $203,785.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 53.5kg | 1:04.25 | 6-1-1 | 1 |
| 2.0L | $8.53 |
| 1/8 | 06/02/2026 | 27 | ALLOW OCLM FM 4U | $79,886.00 | Fairgrounds | 1106m | FM | Pascacio Lopez | 55.5kg | 1:02.32 | 2-1-1 | 7 |
| 1.5L | $3.00 |
| 1/10 | 10/01/2026 | 87 | ALLOW FM 4U | $82,212.00 | Fairgrounds | 1106m | M | Jose Ortiz | 54.5kg | 1:03.85 | 3-2-1 | 7 |
| 1.5L | $6.90 |

Jockey: Francisco Arrieta
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 32 day let-up. At the latest run 4th of 9 at Churchill Downs Turf on September 19 over 1609m, 4 len behind Caviar Breakfast with 55.5kg at $14.82. The race before that 7th of 10 at Listed level at Ellis Park Turf at Ellis Park Turf on August 23 over 1710m, 6 len behind Totally Justified with 55.5kg at $53.58. This race looks too tough.
Last Starts 32 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/9 | 19/09/2026 | 27 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $192,529.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Ben Curtis | 55.5kg | 1:33.30 | 7-3-4 | 9 |
| 3.8L | $14.82 |
| 7/10 | 23/08/2026 | 21 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $249,643.00 | Ellis Park | 1710m | FM | Francisco Arrieta | 55.5kg | 1:40.60 | 2-7-7 | 1 |
| 5.8L | $53.58 |
| 9/9 | 02/08/2026 | 21 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $356,633.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | Good | Antongeorgi Iii William | 55.5kg | 1:35.41 | 8-9-9 | 6 |
| 7.3L | $72.76 |
| 1/4 | 12/07/2026 | 21 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $153,846.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | Heavy | Antongeorgi Iii William | 55.5kg | 1:37.98 | 4-1-1 | 4 |
| 4.3L | $5.40 |
| 3/5 | 21/06/2026 | 44 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $186,890.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Francisco Arrieta | 55kg | 1:01.20 | 5-4-3 | 2 |
| 3.5L | $8.79 |
| 6/9 | 08/05/2026 | 23 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $187,151.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Gabriel Saez | 55.5kg | 1:33.71 | 9-7-6 | 7 |
| 6.3L | $66.84 |