Keeneland Race 5 - Race 5 - Allowance
JUST BUY IT (1) was a determined maiden winner last time out, scoring by 0.1 lengths over 1408m at Kentucky (Turf). Sparingly raced and has more to offer. Has the inside gate and he is a key runner. IRISH LAW (9) was out of the money two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 1308m at Kentucky, beaten 8 lengths into ninth. This is a nice drop in grade so he is one of the main contenders. CITY OF OSCARS (8) turned in a modest performance when sixth last time out over 1609m at Kentucky, beaten 8 lengths. That followed a win at Colonial Downs Inner Turf at the previous outing. Perfectly placed and is sure to make amends. MIRACLE MARK (12) was in the placings again last time when 3 lengths adrift in third over 1308m at Kentucky (Turf). Looks well placed so expect a big run this time.

Jockey: John R. Velazquez
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second-up today. Last outing came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Kentucky on September 7 over 1609m defeating Democracy Defender with 55kg at $6.05. At only start last preparation ran second last of 12 at this track on April 3 over 1609m, 19 len behind Heading carrying 54.5kg at $6.94. Facing a tougher challenge.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/12 | 07/09/2026 | 157 | MDN 3U | $236,111.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Javier Castellano | 55kg | 1:36.08 | 7-5-1 | 1 |
| 1.0L | $6.05 |
| 11/12 | 03/04/2026 | 160 | MDN 3 | $160,116.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | Good | Luis Saez | 54.5kg | 1:38.54 | 8-12-11 | 11 |
| 19.4L | $6.94 |
| 12/12 | 25/10/2025 | 45 | MDN 2 | $167,428.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | FM | Lanfranco Dettori | 54kg | 1:50.59 | 11-11-12 | 12 |
| 67.8L | $3.76 |
| 3/10 | 10/09/2025 | 24 | MDN 2 | $259,939.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Nik Juarez | 54kg | 1:34.04 | 5-3-3 | 8 |
| 7.5L | $2.91 |
| 2/11 | 17/08/2025 | - | MDN 2 | $155,039.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FM | Nik Juarez | 54kg | 1:36.64 | 10-2-2 | 11 |
| 0.3L | $9.84 |

Jockey: Flavien Prat
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 35 day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 11 at Kentucky on September 6 over 2414m, 12 len behind Telescopic carrying 55.5kg at $14.38. The start before that 4th of 12 at Kentucky on August 30 over 1609m, 8 len behind Blast Furnace with 55.5kg at $4.02. Worth another chance.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/11 | 06/09/2026 | 7 | ALLOW 3U | $250,000.00 | Kentucky | 2414m | FM | Danny Sheehy | 55.5kg | 2:29.58 | 2-7-6 | 3 |
| 12.1L | $14.38 |
| 4/12 | 30/08/2026 | 51 | ALLOW 3U | $256,776.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 55.5kg | 1:35.36 | 5-2-4 | 10 |
| 8.6L | $4.02 |
| 4/6 | 10/07/2026 | 27 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $174,165.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 57kg | 1:39.57 | 1-2-4 | 6 |
| 1.9L | $6.00 |
| 2/10 | 13/06/2026 | 35 | ALLOW 3U | $65,690.00 | Monmouth Park | 1710m | FM | Samuel Marin | 55kg | 1:43.56 | 3-2-2 | 5 |
| 0.3L | $2.60 |
| 6/8 | 09/05/2026 | 42 | ALLOW 3U | $122,905.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1710m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 57kg | 1:44.10 | 5-5-6 | 7 |
| 3.9L | $2.96 |
| 2/10 | 28/03/2026 | 294 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $120,787.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Joel Rosario | 55kg | 1:34.24 | 5-2-2 | 9 |
| 0.1L | $5.50 |

Jockey: Jareth Loveberry
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming from a lengthy break. Only one run when won by a 0.3 len at Turfway Park on February 19 over 1207m defeating The Hund carrying 54.5kg at $5.84. Others rate better.
Last Starts 234 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/11 | 19/02/2026 | - | MDN 3 | $68,474.00 | Turfway Park | 1207m | Fast | Rafael Manuel Hernandez | 54.5kg | 1:13.01 | 2-5-1 | 10 |
| 0.3L | $5.84 |

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second-up. First-up after five months 4th of 12 at Kentucky on September 7 over 1308m, 1.75 len behind Mission Improbable with 55kg at $92.87. Previously second-up 9th of 11 at Turfway Park on March 22 2025 over 1609m, 8 len behind Mcilroy carrying 54.5kg at $5.92. Needs to lift.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/12 | 07/09/2026 | 143 | ALLOW 3U | $250,000.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Rafael Manuel Hernandez | 55kg | 1:16.04 | 8-11-4 | 9 |
| 1.9L | $92.87 |
| 8/8 | 17/04/2026 | 62 | ALLOW 3U | $87,336.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | Fast | Dylan Davis | 57kg | 1:10.70 | 7-8-8 | 8 |
| 14.3L | $3.45 |
| 6/8 | 14/02/2026 | 42 | ALLOW 4U | $85,592.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1609m | Fast | Manuel Franco | 55kg | 1:38.33 | 2-5-6 | 8 |
| 12.1L | $4.82 |
| 3/8 | 03/01/2026 | 37 | ALLOW 4U | $89,686.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1308m | Fast | Flavien Prat | 55kg | 1:17.19 | 6-4-3 | 4 |
| 5.0L | $4.66 |
| 5/8 | 27/11/2025 | 42 | CLM 3U | $125,191.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 53.5kg | 1:11.12 | 5-5-5 | 1 |
| 5.0L | $3.42 |
| 4/9 | 16/10/2025 | 32 | CLM 3U | $118,721.00 | Keeneland | 1207m | Fast | Edgar Morales | 53.5kg | 1:10.46 | 3-4-4 | 2 |
| 7.0L | $6.04 |

Jockey: Alex Achard
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 7th of 11 at Ellis Park Turf on July 31 over 1106m, 7 len behind Stormtown carrying 53.5kg at $14.90. Last start 8th of 12 at Kentucky on September 7 over 1308m, 5 len behind Mission Improbable with 53.5kg at $29.45. Will need plenty of improvement to feature.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12 | 07/09/2026 | 38 | ALLOW 3U | $250,000.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Alexis Achard | 53.5kg | 1:16.04 | 7-8-8 | 1 |
| 5.1L | $29.45 |
| 7/11 | 31/07/2026 | 278 | ALLOW 3U | $145,506.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FM | Edgar Morales | 53.5kg | 1:01.07 | 9-9-7 | 10 |
| 7.8L | $14.90 |
| 6/7 | 26/10/2025 | 21 | ALLOW OCLM 2 | $193,303.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Luan Machado | 55.5kg | 1:36.70 | 6-6-6 | 5 |
| 18.5L | $5.14 |
| 11/12 | 05/10/2025 | 35 | G2 OPEN 2 | $611,621.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | FM | Luan Machado | 53.5kg | 1:42.51 | 9-8-11 | 9 |
| 5.6L | $18.50 |
| 1/12 | 31/08/2025 | 29 | MDN 2 | $263,566.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Luan Machado | 54kg | 1:35.23 | 7-1-1 | 1 |
| 2.8L | $3.54 |
| 3/12 | 02/08/2025 | 34 | MDN 2 | $155,039.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | Fast | Tyler Gaffalione | 54kg | 1:37.12 | 1-3-3 | 4 |
| 12.8L | $9.32 |

Jockey: Summer Pauly
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Most recently 7th of 11 at Churchill Downs Turf on September 13 over 1710m, 5 len behind Sound Cause carrying 55.5kg at $65.07. Before that ran last in a small field at Ellis Park on August 21 over 1609m, 14 len behind Feral with 56kg at $13.40. Needs plenty of luck to trouble the top few.
Last Starts 28 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/11 | 13/09/2026 | 23 | CLM 3U | $105,556.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Jane Elliott | 55.5kg | 1:42.17 | 11-7-7 | 8 |
| 4.9L | $65.07 |
| 5/5 | 21/08/2026 | 41 | CLM 3U | $64,194.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | Fast | Cristian Mauricio Torres | 56kg | 1:38.62 | 4-5-5 | 4 |
| 14.8L | $13.40 |
| 1/3 | 11/07/2026 | - | MDN 3U | $18,868.00 | Belterra Park | 1673m | SP | Cesar Orantes | 53.5kg | 1:43.08 | 3-1-1 | 1 |
| 11.5L | $3.10 |

Jockey: Victor R. Carrasco
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Racing well recently. Last start 2nd of 9 at Churchill Downs Turf on September 19 over 1710m, 1.75 len behind Restore with 55.5kg at $26.14. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by a 0.3 len at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on August 6 over 1710m defeating Culoir with 55.5kg at $12.20. Not far away last time. Worth plenty of thought.
Last Starts 22 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/9 | 19/09/2026 | 44 | ALLOW 3U | $182,471.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | V Carrasco | 55.5kg | 1:39.97 | 6-2-2 | 5 |
| 1.8L | $26.14 |
| 1/9 | 06/08/2026 | 25 | HCP 3U | $39,943.00 | Indiana Downs | 1710m | FM | V Carrasco | 55.5kg | 1:44.85 | 2-2-1 | 4 |
| 0.3L | $12.20 |
| 4/6 | 12/07/2026 | 45 | HCP 3U | $72,569.00 | Ellis Park | 1308m | Heavy | V Carrasco | 55.5kg | 1:16.17 | 6-6-4 | 2 |
| 9.2L | $20.36 |
| 4/6 | 28/05/2026 | 29 | ALLOW 3U | $115,922.00 | Churchill Downs | 1308m | Fast | Dylan Silva Machado | 56kg | 1:17.63 | 4-5-4 | 1 |
| 4.3L | $15.28 |
| 5/10 | 29/04/2026 | 19 | ALLOW 3U | $120,815.00 | Churchill Downs | 1408m | SP | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 57kg | 1:24.07 | 8-3-5 | 2 |
| 4.0L | $35.31 |
| 1/10 | 10/04/2026 | 29 | MDN CLM 3U | $80,058.00 | Keeneland | 1308m | Fast | Dylan Silva Machado | 56.5kg | 1:18.64 | 5-3-1 | 2 |
| 0.8L | $16.44 |

Jockey: Axel Concepcion
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Recent form sound. Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently came from midfield; 3rd of 12 at Kentucky on September 7 over 1308m, 3 len behind Guy Smiley carrying 55kg at $3.31. Before that 2nd of 11 at Kentucky on August 29 over 1408m, 1.5 len behind Rocky Joy with 55kg at $8.82. Has the ability to be in the finish.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/12 | 07/09/2026 | 9 | ALLOW 3U | $250,000.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 55kg | 1:16.28 | 7-2-3 | 11 |
| 3.0L | $3.31 |
| 2/11 | 29/08/2026 | 49 | ALLOW 3U | $256,776.00 | Kentucky | 1408m | FM | Axel Concepcion | 55kg | 1:23.20 | 8-2-2 | 1 |
| 1.5L | $8.82 |
| 3/6 | 11/07/2026 | 28 | ALLOW 3U | $148,041.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | SP | Jaime A Torres | 55.5kg | 1:03.51 | 2-4-3 | 2 |
| 6.0L | $4.99 |
| 2/5 | 13/06/2026 | 34 | CLM 3U | $105,997.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Francisco Arrieta | 56kg | 1:35.99 | 5-1-2 | 5 |
| 0.5L | $1.95 |
| 4/7 | 10/05/2026 | 44 | CLM 3U | $114,525.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | I Ortiz Jr | 56kg | 1:36.08 | 4-3-4 | 1 |
| 5.0L | $2.79 |
| 3/5 | 27/03/2026 | 50 | ALLOW 3U | $175,562.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1609m | Fast | Ramon A Vazquez | 55kg | 1:39.04 | 1-2-3 | 1 |
| 2.8L | $3.00 |

Jockey: Gerardo Corrales
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 42 day let-up. Last start eased back early on ran second last in a small field at Saratoga on August 30 over 1207m, 10 len behind Momentum Files carrying 55.5kg at $8.88. The run before that 5th of 7 at Saratoga on August 5 over 1207m, 7 len behind Sharons Beach with 56kg at $6.93. Has speed but unlikely to be there at the finish.
Last Starts 42 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/5 | 30/08/2026 | 25 | CLM 3U | $97,004.00 | Saratoga | 1207m | Fast | K Carmouche | 55.5kg | 1:10.48 | 5-4-4 | 1 |
| 10.3L | $8.88 |
| 5/7 | 05/08/2026 | 19 | HCP 3 | $111,270.00 | Saratoga | 1207m | Fast | Junior Alvarado | 56kg | 1:10.37 | 5-7-5 | 1 |
| 7.3L | $6.93 |
| 4/6 | 17/07/2026 | 35 | ALLOW 3U | $148,041.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | Fast | Martin Garcia | 53.5kg | 1:09.72 | 2-6-4 | 3 |
| 4.9L | $7.77 |
| 1/9 | 12/06/2026 | 18 | ALLOW 3 | $115,760.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | Fast | C Lanerie | 54.5kg | 1:10.03 | 1-7-1 | 9 |
| 0.8L | $4.93 |
| 2/10 | 25/05/2026 | 51 | CLM 3U | $106,145.00 | Churchill Downs | 1308m | Fast | C Lanerie | 53.5kg | 1:17.37 | 5-4-2 | 1 |
| 4.8L | $7.28 |
| 5/5 | 04/04/2026 | 34 | ALLOW OCLM 3 | $174,672.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Fast | C Lanerie | 53.5kg | 1:45.56 | 1-4-5 | 3 |
| 45.5L | $17.64 |