Keeneland Race 7 - Race 7 - Allowance
OUTFIELDER (4) finished fourth in the G3 Mahony Stakes at Saratoga Turf (Turf) over this distance last time out. Form over this journey is strong, boasting two wins from three starts. Has the pace to be in a prominent position from the outset. Expecting a bold showing. SCHWARZENEGGER (3) is a promising type who scored at his last run before a break five months ago over 1106m at Churchill Downs Turf (Turf). Has a high cruising speed. Expecting a bold showing. TWO SEVEN O (1) was well in commission last time but ran below expectations when fifth and beaten 3 lengths over 1106m in stakes class at Colonial Downs Turf (Turf). Should camp just off the leaders. Will be in this for a long way. OSCAR'S HOPE (7) is struggling to break through but hasn't been far away, the latest offering a fourth, beaten 2.5 lengths, over 1308m in the G2 Franklin-Simpson Stakes at Kentucky (Turf). Significant class drop this time. Must be respected.

Jockey: Francisco Arrieta
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a 31-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last in a small field in stakes class at Colonial Downs Turf at Colonial Downs Turf on September 7 over 1106m, 3 len behind Spirited Sol carrying 54.5kg at $4. Before that 3rd in a small field at Ellis Park Turf on August 1 over 1106m, 2 len behind Trouble Calling with 54.5kg at $1.87. One of the prime contenders in a most suitable contest.
Last Starts 31 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/6 | 07/09/2026 | 37 | LR OPEN 3U | $208,333.00 | Colonial Downs | 1106m | FM | Diego A Herrera | 54.5kg | 1:01.67 | 4-5-5 | 3 |
| 3.1L | $4.00 |
| 3/6 | 01/08/2026 | 28 | ALLOW 3 | $154,066.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | Y | Francisco Arrieta | 54.5kg | 1:03.18 | 4-4-3 | 5 |
| 2.1L | $1.87 |
| 1/7 | 04/07/2026 | 64 | LR OPEN 3 | $253,991.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FM | Francisco Arrieta | 54.5kg | 1:01.03 | 1-2-1 | 7 |
| 2.0L | $6.14 |
| 1/7 | 01/05/2026 | 34 | LR OPEN 3 | $209,497.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1207m | Fast | Edwin Gonzalez | 55kg | 1:09.08 | 5-1-1 | 5 |
| 0.3L | $7.80 |
| 1/7 | 28/03/2026 | 42 | ALLOW OCLM 3 | $175,562.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1207m | Fast | Francisco Arrieta | 56kg | 1:10.08 | 4-2-1 | 2 |
| 0.3L | $5.00 |
| 1/11 | 14/02/2026 | 87 | CLM 3U | $58,488.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1207m | SP | Francisco Arrieta | 51.5kg | 1:10.19 | 5-1-1 | 7 |
| 4.5L | $18.00 |

Jockey: John R. Velazquez
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. Freshened for 53 days. First-up raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 1.3 len in stakes class at Monmouth Park Turf at Monmouth Park Turf on July 11 over 1106m defeating Big Destroyer with 52.5kg at $5.70. Last start 3rd of 7 in the G3 Mahony Stakes at Saratoga Turf on August 16 over 1106m, 1.75 len behind Stradale carrying 55.5kg at $13.60. Preferred in something easier.
Last Starts 53 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/7 | 16/08/2026 | 36 | G3 OPEN 3 | $320,970.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Javier Castellano | 55.5kg | 1:03.34 | 7-6-3 | 1 |
| 1.8L | $13.60 |
| 1/6 | 11/07/2026 | 63 | LR OPEN 3 | $145,138.00 | Monmouth Park | 1106m | FM | J Ferrer | 52.5kg | 1:03.90 | 3-3-1 | 2 |
| 1.3L | $5.70 |
| 4/7 | 09/05/2026 | 65 | LR OPEN 3 | $314,246.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 53.5kg | 1:01.36 | 2-4-4 | 4 |
| 3.4L | $15.74 |
| 1/5 | 05/03/2026 | 20 | ALLOW 3 | $75,843.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | Fast | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | 0:56.77 | 4-2-1 | 1 |
| 3.0L | $4.10 |
| 1/11 | 13/02/2026 | 125 | MDN OCLM 3 | $71,327.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | FM | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | 0:56.19 | 11-2-1 | 4 |
| 3.5L | $3.00 |
| 9/12 | 11/10/2025 | - | MDN 2 | $129,376.00 | Keeneland | 1308m | Fast | Walter A Rodriguez | 54kg | 1:18.11 | 8-8-9 | 3 |
| 26.9L | $12.62 |

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Colt back from a spell of five months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation by 2.25 len Churchill Downs Turf May 17 over 1106m defeating Rose Ruler with 53.5kg at $1.75. When resuming last campaign seventh of 11 at this track in the LR April 19 over 1106m, 7 len behind Reb Five with 54.5kg at $2.61. Winning hope in a suitable contest.
Last Starts 144 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/12 | 17/05/2026 | 28 | ALLOW 3U | $177,374.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Florent Geroux | 53.5kg | 1:02.37 | 2-1-1 | 7 |
| 2.3L | $1.75 |
| 7/11 | 19/04/2026 | 170 | LR OPEN 3 | $436,681.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 54.5kg | 1:04.06 | 2-4-7 | 2 |
| 7.3L | $2.61 |
| 5/12 | 31/10/2025 | 26 | G1 OPEN 2 | $1,522,070.00 | Del Mar | 1006m | FM | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | 0:56.02 | 2-1-5 | 10 |
| 2.9L | $9.10 |
| 1/8 | 05/10/2025 | 37 | LR OPEN 2 | $458,716.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 53.5kg | 1:02.28 | 3-1-1 | 6 |
| 0.5L | $3.32 |
| 2/9 | 29/08/2025 | - | MDN 2 | $155,039.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 54kg | 1:03.31 | 1-1-2 | 9 |
| 0.3L | $1.65 |

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a 53-day let-up. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 in the G3 Mahony Stakes at Saratoga Turf on August 16 over 1106m, 2.75 len behind Stradale with 55.5kg at $1.68. Before that sat on the speed throughout before fading 10th of 22 in the G1 Commonwealth Cup at Ascot on June 19 over 1207m, 6 len behind Venetian Sun with 58kg at $26. Thereabouts last time and rates highly.
Last Starts 53 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/7 | 16/08/2026 | 58 | G3 OPEN 3 | $320,970.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | 1:03.34 | 3-3-4 | 2 |
| 2.8L | $1.68 |
| 10/22 | 19/06/2026 | 41 | G1 OPEN 3 | $1,270,460.00 | Ascot Uk | 1207m | Good Firm | David Egan | 58kg | 1:12.08 | 2-4-10 | 21 |
| 6.3L | $26.00 |
| 1/7 | 09/05/2026 | 49 | LR OPEN 3 | $314,246.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 53.5kg | 1:01.36 | 4-2-1 | 7 |
| 3.0L | $2.03 |
| 1/5 | 21/03/2026 | 141 | LR OPEN 3 | $351,124.00 | Turfway Park | 1207m | Fast | John R Velazquez | 53.5kg | 1:10.65 | 2-1-1 | 4 |
| 4.5L | $1.52 |
| 14/14 | 31/10/2025 | 27 | G1 OPEN CG 2 | $1,522,070.00 | Del Mar | 1609m | FM | David Egan | 55.5kg | 1:34.93 | 4-7-14 | 3 |
| 13.0L | $11.40 |
| 1/7 | 04/10/2025 | 41 | ALLOW 2 | $182,648.00 | Keeneland | 1207m | Fast | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | 1:11.26 | 2-1-1 | 7 |
| 2.0L | $1.68 |

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up made ground from midfield; 2nd of 12 in the G3 Quick Call Stakes at Saratoga Turf on July 19 over 1106m, 0.3 len behind Learntodiscover with 56kg at $7.28. Last start 8th of 12 in the G2 Franklin-Simpson Stakes at Kentucky on September 7 over 1308m, 6 len behind Take Charge Star carrying 54.5kg at $6.22. Genuine chance this time around.
Last Starts 31 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12 | 07/09/2026 | 50 | G2 OPEN 3 | $2,083,333.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Luis Saez | 54.5kg | 1:15.45 | 4-6-8 | 5 |
| 6.4L | $6.22 |
| 2/12 | 19/07/2026 | 71 | G3 OPEN 3 | $326,560.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Luis Saez | 56kg | 1:02.69 | 6-2-2 | 3 |
| 0.3L | $7.28 |
| 3/7 | 09/05/2026 | 20 | LR OPEN 3 | $314,246.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:01.36 | 3-3-3 | 2 |
| 3.1L | $3.47 |
| 2/11 | 19/04/2026 | 29 | LR OPEN 3 | $436,681.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Luis Saez | 54.5kg | 1:04.06 | 5-2-2 | 8 |
| 0.3L | $8.15 |
| 2/8 | 21/03/2026 | 132 | LR OPEN 3 | $175,562.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | Fast | Joe Bravo | 56kg | 0:55.63 | 6-3-2 | 1 |
| 0.1L | $6.50 |
| 1/4 | 09/11/2025 | 56 | LR OPEN 2 | $229,008.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Samuel Marin | 54.5kg | 1:08.91 | 4-1-1 | 1 |
| 1.3L | $2.12 |

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 31 day let-up. Most recently 4th of 12 in the G2 Franklin-Simpson Stakes at Kentucky on September 7 over 1308m, 2.5 len behind Take Charge Star carrying 54.5kg at $15.89. Before that 2nd of 7 in the G3 Mahony Stakes at Saratoga Turf on August 16 over 1106m, 0.3 len behind Stradale carrying 55.5kg at $17.49. This is well within his grasp.
Last Starts 31 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/12 | 07/09/2026 | 22 | G2 OPEN 3 | $2,083,333.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Ben Curtis | 54.5kg | 1:15.45 | 10-7-4 | 4 |
| 2.6L | $15.89 |
| 2/7 | 16/08/2026 | 49 | G3 OPEN 3 | $320,970.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 55.5kg | 1:03.34 | 5-5-2 | 3 |
| 0.3L | $17.49 |
| 6/6 | 28/06/2026 | 58 | G3 OPEN 3 | $348,675.00 | Churchill Downs | 1408m | Fast | Junior Alvarado | 54.5kg | 1:21.43 | 2-5-6 | 2 |
| 11.3L | $24.13 |
| 3/7 | 01/05/2026 | 28 | LR OPEN 3 | $209,497.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1207m | Fast | Lane J Luzzi | 56kg | 1:09.08 | 2-3-3 | 7 |
| 2.3L | $4.70 |
| 2/7 | 03/04/2026 | 46 | LR OPEN 3 | $582,242.00 | Keeneland | 1408m | SP | I Ortiz Jr | 53.5kg | 1:24.03 | 3-1-2 | 7 |
| 0.1L | $7.90 |
| 1/7 | 16/02/2026 | 44 | LR OPEN 3 | $213,980.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1207m | Fast | Luis Saez | 56kg | 1:10.34 | 2-1-1 | 7 |
| 1.5L | $3.60 |

Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation ran last of 12 in the G3 Quick Call Stakes at Saratoga Turf on July 19 over 1106m, 11 len behind Learntodiscover carrying 56kg at $11.59. When resuming last campaign 2nd of 8 at Churchill Downs on June 22 2025 over 1106m, 0.1 len behind Shake And Rattle carrying 54kg at $1.55. Other runners rate better.
Last Starts 81 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12 | 19/07/2026 | 287 | G3 OPEN 3 | $326,560.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 56kg | 1:02.69 | 4-8-12 | 11 |
| 11.7L | $11.59 |
| 4/8 | 05/10/2025 | 50 | LR OPEN 2 | $458,716.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 54.5kg | 1:02.28 | 4-2-4 | 2 |
| 0.8L | $3.46 |
| 1/5 | 16/08/2025 | 23 | LR OPEN 2 | $232,558.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 55.5kg | 1:02.75 | 2-2-1 | 4 |
| 1.8L | $4.70 |
| 1/7 | 24/07/2025 | 32 | MDN 2 | $122,324.00 | Saratoga | 1207m | Fast | I Ortiz Jr | 54kg | 1:11.31 | 2-1-1 | 5 |
| 10.5L | $1.80 |
| 2/8 | 22/06/2025 | - | MDN 2 | $143,079.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | Fast | C Lanerie | 54kg | 1:04.65 | 3-1-2 | 3 |
| 0.1L | $1.55 |