Keeneland Race 9 - Race 9 - Allowance
IRON MAN CAL (11) was highly fancied when he resumed four weeks ago over 1609m at Santa Anita Turf and was only beaten 1.5 lengths into sixth. Steps up a level but he is fitter and up to the task. PITKIN (9) was a strong winner last time over 1710m at Gulfstream Park Turf (Turf), scoring by 0.8 lengths and in line for a hat-trick here. Looks a genuine threat again here. CAPITOL HILL (5) scored a commanding victory at Aqueduct Turf (Turf) over 1609m at his latest appearance on November 1. Looks one of the genuine hopes in the race. TENACIOUS LEADER (10) ran below expectations when fresh from a spell at Gulfstream Park Turf (Turf) over 1710m last time, finishing fifth and beaten 4 lengths. Should be thereabouts in this suitable race.

Jockey: John R. Velazquez
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign second last of 8 at Colonial Downs Inner Turf in the G2 Secretariat Stakes August 9 over 1609m, 5 len behind Giocoso with 53.5kg at $14.50. When resuming last campaign third of 8 at Turfway Park in the LR March 22 2025 over 1710m, 2.25 len behind Banks with 53.5kg at $3.98. Hard to enthuse.
Last Starts 246 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/8 | 09/08/2025 | 49 | G2 OPEN 3 | $775,194.00 | Colonial Downs | 1609m | FM | John R Velazquez | 53.5kg | 1:35.36 | 8-8-7 | 3 |
| 5.0L | $14.50 |
| 1/5 | 21/06/2025 | 56 | ALLOW 3U | $71,540.00 | Delaware Park | 1673m | FM | Kevin Gomez | 52kg | 1:42.20 | 2-2-1 | 2 |
| 1.5L | $2.70 |
| 5/7 | 26/04/2025 | 35 | LR OPEN 3 | $199,681.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1609m | Good | Manuel Franco | 54.5kg | 1:38.06 | 7-7-5 | 2 |
| 0.9L | $8.90 |
| 3/8 | 22/03/2025 | 152 | LR OPEN 3 | $396,197.00 | Turfway Park | 1710m | Fast | John R Velazquez | 53.5kg | 1:45.92 | 2-3-3 | 1 |
| 2.3L | $3.98 |
| 1/11 | 21/10/2024 | 51 | NOV 2 | $11,430.00 | Southwell | 1408m | Neutral | Shane Gray | 62kg | 1:28.02 | 6-5-1 | 2 |
| 1.5L | $2.50 |
| 3/5 | 31/08/2024 | 24 | NOV 2 | $71,770.00 | Chester | 1408m | Good | James Doyle | 61.5kg | 1:27.13 | 1-1-3 | 1 |
| 2.3L | $3.75 |

Jockey: Santiago Gonzalez
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second-up. Comes off a 37-day let-up. First-up after 11 months 6th of 9 at Turfway Park on March 6 over 1609m, 9 len behind Swiss Slang with 56kg at $25. Previously second-up 4th of 9 at Turfway Park on December 19 2024 over 1207m, 10 len behind Chunk Of Gold with 54kg at $19.36. Unlikely to threaten.
Last Starts 37 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/9 | 06/03/2026 | 310 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $146,067.00 | Turfway Park | 1609m | Fast | Santiago Gonzalez | 56kg | 1:37.66 | 7-5-6 | 9 |
| 9.8L | $25.00 |
| 1/6 | 30/04/2025 | 21 | ALLOW 3 | $54,313.00 | Indiana Downs | 1609m | Fast | Fernando De La Cruz | 53.5kg | 1:36.82 | 2-1-1 | 2 |
| 4.0L | $8.80 |
| 7/9 | 09/04/2025 | 46 | ALLOW OCLM 3 | $191,693.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Fast | Angel Serpa | 53.5kg | 1:45.30 | 2-8-7 | 1 |
| 10.4L | $57.43 |
| 8/11 | 22/02/2025 | 35 | LR OPEN 3 | $281,804.00 | Turfway Park | 1710m | Fast | Rafael Manuel Hernandez | 55.5kg | 1:45.98 | 10-9-8 | 10 |
| 15.8L | $84.76 |
| 1/12 | 18/01/2025 | 30 | MDN 3 | $129,032.00 | Turfway Park | 1609m | Fast | Evin A Roman | 54.5kg | 1:41.96 | 6-3-1 | 2 |
| 0.8L | $46.79 |
| 4/9 | 19/12/2024 | 20 | MDN 2 | $63,482.00 | Turfway Park | 1207m | Fast | Evin A Roman | 54kg | 1:11.11 | 4-4-4 | 8 |
| 10.0L | $19.36 |

Jockey: Pietro Moran
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming. Finished off last preparation fifth of 11 at Turfway Park February 6 over 1609m, 5 len behind First Strike with 56kg at $6.98. Previously first up; fifth of 8 at Gulfstream Park All Weather December 27 over 1710m, 7 len behind Private Thoughts with 53kg at $8.50. Will struggle against these.
Last Starts 65 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/11 | 06/02/2026 | 41 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $148,359.00 | Turfway Park | 1609m | Fast | Rafael Manuel Hernandez | 56kg | 1:38.52 | 11-5-5 | 5 |
| 5.3L | $6.98 |
| 5/8 | 27/12/2025 | 182 | ALLOW 3U | $153,139.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | Fast | John R Velazquez | 53kg | 1:40.50 | 8-7-5 | 3 |
| 7.0L | $8.50 |
| 3/7 | 28/06/2025 | 28 | G3 OPEN 3 | $233,281.00 | Woodbine Aw | 1710m | Fast | Rafael Manuel Hernandez | 54.5kg | 1:45.00 | 6-4-3 | 6 |
| 1.5L | $2.30 |
| 1/11 | 31/05/2025 | 28 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $179,062.00 | Woodbine Aw | 1710m | Fast | Rafael Manuel Hernandez | 53.5kg | 1:44.07 | 7-1-1 | 5 |
| 2.0L | $2.20 |
| 11/14 | 03/05/2025 | 42 | G1 OPEN 3 | $1,562,500.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | Good | Junior Alvarado | 55.5kg | 1:41.64 | 13-13-11 | 13 |
| 9.3L | $31.77 |
| 2/8 | 22/03/2025 | 28 | LR OPEN 3 | $396,197.00 | Turfway Park | 1710m | Fast | Rafael Manuel Hernandez | 53.5kg | 1:45.92 | 8-4-2 | 7 |
| 1.3L | $6.14 |

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming. Finished off last preparation seventh of 10 at Gulfstream Park Turf January 24 over 1609m, 6 len behind Mi Bago with 55kg at $8. When resuming last campaign fifth of 9 at Gulfstream Park Turf December 27 over 1710m, 1.5 len behind Abrumar carrying 55kg at $10.20. Others rate better.
Last Starts 78 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/10 | 24/01/2026 | 28 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $130,045.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 55kg | 1:34.11 | 5-2-7 | 10 |
| 5.8L | $8.00 |
| 5/9 | 27/12/2025 | 301 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $88,821.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 55kg | 1:38.67 | 2-4-5 | 4 |
| 1.5L | $10.20 |
| 1/12 | 01/03/2025 | 84 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $154,093.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 54.5kg | 1:32.99 | 2-2-1 | 2 |
| 0.3L | $3.40 |
| 2/12 | 07/12/2024 | 59 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $93,991.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FM | Javier Castellano | 53.5kg | 1:40.14 | 1-1-2 | 2 |
| 0.8L | $3.30 |
| 2/11 | 09/10/2024 | 34 | ALLOW 3U | $158,960.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Good | Flavien Prat | 53.5kg | 1:44.05 | 4-1-2 | 5 |
| 0.3L | $5.69 |
| 2/11 | 05/09/2024 | 55 | ALLOW 3U | $279,412.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Flavien Prat | 53.5kg | 1:33.22 | 6-1-2 | 2 |
| 1.5L | $4.32 |

Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming. Finished off last campaign winning by 1.3 len Aqueduct Turf November 1 over 1609m defeating Favorable Scenario carrying 53.5kg at $2.92. On debut seventh of 9 at Gulfstream Park February 15 2025 over 1609m, 41 len behind Gosger with 53.5kg at $13.60. Could prove too smart for these.
Last Starts 162 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 01/11/2025 | 34 | ALLOW 3U | $134,351.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1609m | FM | Sahin Civaci | 53.5kg | 1:36.12 | 9-4-1 | 10 |
| 1.3L | $2.92 |
| 2/7 | 28/09/2025 | 22 | LR OPEN 3 | $229,358.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1609m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 53.5kg | 1:35.14 | 7-6-2 | 6 |
| 1.3L | $4.18 |
| 11/14 | 06/09/2025 | 35 | LR OPEN 3 | $3,058,104.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | Good | Junior Alvarado | 53.5kg | 1:33.51 | 12-11-11 | 12 |
| 8.4L | $11.26 |
| 7/9 | 02/08/2025 | 29 | G1 OPEN 3 | $1,162,791.00 | Saratoga | 1911m | FM | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | 1:52.82 | 5-5-7 | 1 |
| 3.2L | $14.10 |
| 2/8 | 04/07/2025 | 28 | G3 OPEN 3 | $305,810.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FM | John R Velazquez | 53.5kg | 1:33.11 | 8-5-2 | 6 |
| 0.8L | $21.80 |
| 8/10 | 06/06/2025 | 44 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $171,073.00 | Saratoga | 1811m | Fast | Junior Alvarado | 54.5kg | 1:48.23 | 6-9-8 | 9 |
| 24.6L | $27.75 |

Jockey: Gabriel Saez
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Back from a spell. Finished off last preparation faded in the straight 8th of 10 at Fairgrounds Turf on January 17 over 1710m, 13 len behind Sabi carrying 54.5kg at $15.50. When resuming last campaign 5th of 9 at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on October 22 over 1609m, 2.25 len behind Steppin Silver carrying 55.5kg at $20.40. Hard to recommend.
Last Starts 85 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/10 | 17/01/2026 | 87 | ALLOW 4U | $52,317.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | FM | C J McMahon | 54.5kg | 1:41.55 | 1-1-8 | 10 |
| 13.0L | $15.50 |
| 5/9 | 22/10/2025 | 340 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $54,795.00 | Indiana Downs | 1609m | Good | Gabriel Saez | 55.5kg | 1:36.03 | 2-1-5 | 2 |
| 2.3L | $20.40 |
| 12/12 | 16/11/2024 | 29 | ALLOW 3U | $266,362.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Samuel E Bermudez | 55.5kg | 1:41.09 | 5-10-12 | 2 |
| 20.9L | $36.59 |
| 1/12 | 18/10/2024 | 34 | ALLOW 3U | $158,960.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | Good | Samuel E Bermudez | 55.5kg | 1:38.21 | 1-1-1 | 1 |
| 1.3L | $10.43 |
| 2/8 | 14/09/2024 | 12 | ALLOW 3U | $40,294.00 | Charles Town | 1408m | Fast | M A Mawing | 56kg | 1:26.86 | 6-1-2 | 6 |
| 1.8L | $7.60 |
| 3/8 | 02/09/2024 | 45 | ALLOW 3U | $73,529.00 | Monmouth Park | 1710m | FM | Isaac Castillo | 55kg | 1:43.16 | 2-1-3 | 2 |
| 4.0L | $9.40 |

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming after a break of ten months. Finished off last campaign sixth of 12 at Churchill Downs Turf June 8 over 2213m, 2.5 len behind Safe Trip Home with 55.5kg at $13.64. When resuming last campaign second of 7 at Hawthorne Turf September 5 2024 over 1609m, 0.5 len behind Woodcock Flight with 54kg at $2.10. May need the run.
Last Starts 308 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/12 | 08/06/2025 | 28 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $208,398.00 | Churchill Downs | 2213m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 55.5kg | 2:15.47 | 8-8-6 | 2 |
| 2.4L | $13.64 |
| 5/12 | 11/05/2025 | 34 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $209,375.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 55.5kg | 1:47.26 | 11-6-5 | 2 |
| 4.3L | $10.18 |
| 5/6 | 07/04/2025 | 44 | ALLOW 4U | $207,668.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:37.85 | 5-4-5 | 4 |
| 4.0L | $5.23 |
| 3/12 | 22/02/2025 | 56 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $85,346.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 54.5kg | 1:44.19 | 5-4-3 | 2 |
| 2.3L | $3.40 |
| 2/10 | 28/12/2024 | 36 | LR OPEN 3 | $154,083.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | SP | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 52.5kg | 1:44.80 | 7-4-2 | 1 |
| 2.3L | $10.20 |
| 1/10 | 22/11/2024 | 28 | ALLOW 3U | $89,802.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 53kg | 1:42.79 | 10-1-1 | 3 |
| 4.5L | $2.20 |

Jockey: Antonio Fresu
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Racing second-up today. Last run 6th of 9 at Santa Anita Turf on March 14 over 1609m, 1.5 len behind Captain Choochies carrying 55.5kg at $3. At only start last preparation settled towards the rear 2nd of 10 at Del Mar Turf in LR on July 18 over 1609m, 0.5 len behind Game Warrior carrying 56kg at $1.50. Even fitter and is an excellent winning chance.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/9 | 14/03/2026 | 239 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $99,719.00 | Santa Anita Park | 1609m | FM | Antonio Fresu | 55.5kg | 1:34.95 | 2-5-6 | 3 |
| 1.6L | $3.00 |
| 2/10 | 18/07/2025 | 76 | LR OPEN 3 | $152,905.00 | Del Mar | 1609m | FM | Antonio Fresu | 56kg | 1:36.32 | 10-8-2 | 3 |
| 0.5L | $1.50 |
| 6/14 | 03/05/2025 | 183 | G1 OPEN 3 | $1,562,500.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | Good | Antonio Fresu | 55.5kg | 1:41.64 | 6-8-6 | 9 |
| 4.3L | $5.44 |
| 2/12 | 01/11/2024 | 26 | G1 OPEN CG 2 | $1,522,070.00 | Del Mar | 1609m | FM | Antonio Fresu | 55.5kg | 1:34.48 | 3-3-2 | 6 |
| 0.3L | $30.00 |
| 1/8 | 06/10/2024 | 29 | G3 OPEN 2 | $144,509.00 | Santa Anita Park | 1609m | FM | Antonio Fresu | 55.5kg | 1:34.45 | 4-2-1 | 3 |
| 0.1L | $2.30 |
| 1/9 | 07/09/2024 | 36 | MDN 2 | $110,294.00 | Del Mar | 1609m | FM | Antonio Fresu | 54.5kg | 1:36.05 | 1-1-1 | 3 |
| 2.5L | $3.40 |

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resumes after a break of nine weeks and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation fourth of 11 at Turfway Park February 6 over 1609m, 4 len behind First Strike carrying 56kg at $4.38. Previously first up; third of 10 at this track October 25 over 1609m, 0.6 len behind Pineland carrying 53.5kg at $30.49. Will take a lot from this run but stays under notice.
Last Starts 65 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/11 | 06/02/2026 | 41 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $148,359.00 | Turfway Park | 1609m | Fast | Joseph D Ramos | 56kg | 1:38.52 | 2-6-4 | 2 |
| 4.3L | $4.38 |
| 5/7 | 27/12/2025 | 34 | LR OPEN 3 | $153,139.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 53.5kg | 1:41.31 | 3-2-5 | 4 |
| 5.9L | $6.30 |
| 1/12 | 23/11/2025 | 29 | ALLOW 3U | $193,893.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Sophie Doyle | 53.5kg | 1:41.97 | 4-2-1 | 5 |
| 0.3L | $11.50 |
| 3/10 | 25/10/2025 | 64 | ALLOW 3U | $182,648.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | Sophie Doyle | 53.5kg | 1:35.17 | 1-2-3 | 2 |
| 0.6L | $30.49 |
| 5/6 | 22/08/2025 | 27 | ALLOW 3 | $158,140.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FM | Gabriel Saez | 53.5kg | 1:34.22 | 5-6-5 | 3 |
| 4.0L | $6.51 |
| 5/12 | 26/07/2025 | 45 | ALLOW 3 | $155,963.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FM | Gabriel Saez | 54.5kg | 1:34.26 | 9-6-5 | 5 |
| 2.1L | $11.57 |