Keeneland Race 8 - Race 8 - Allowance
RISK TOLERANCE (2) is having his first run since January 24. Goes very well when fresh with two wins from four starts, the latest over 1609m at Tampa Bay Downs Turf at the start of last prep. Comes to hand quickly so a bold showing is expected. MCRAVIN (9) has won three from four and is unbeaten in two runs this campaign,. Rates strongly and right in the mix again. FOND FAREWELL (4) scored narrowly over 1207m at Turfway Park (Synthetic) last time out with today's jockey Vincent Cheminaud in the irons. Gets some weight relief this time so he is one of the contenders again. REAGAN'S WIT (6) is back from a break of 12 weeks. Raced below par at his only appearance last prep when fifth over 1710m in Listed grade at Fairgrounds Turf (Turf). Has a win and two minor placings at this journey from four starts and is a key contender. Something for the Multiples: EJTIMAA (12)

Jockey: Flavien Prat
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last preparation second of 10 at Gulfstream Park Turf January 24 over 1609m, a 0.3 lengths behind Mi Bago with 55kg at $2.50. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.75 len Tampa Bay Downs Turf December 26 over 1609m defeating Thundering carrying 55kg at $1.80. Could prove too smart for these.
Last Starts 75 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/10 | 24/01/2026 | 29 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $130,045.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Flavien Prat | 55kg | 1:34.11 | 9-7-2 | 3 |
| 0.3L | $2.50 |
| 1/10 | 26/12/2025 | 83 | ALLOW 3U | $84,992.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1609m | FM | Samy Camacho | 55kg | 1:35.31 | 4-2-1 | 5 |
| 1.8L | $1.80 |
| 2/11 | 04/10/2025 | 434 | ALLOW 3U | $133,942.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1710m | FM | Manuel Franco | 55.5kg | 1:40.91 | 5-5-2 | 3 |
| 0.5L | $4.37 |
| 8/10 | 27/07/2024 | 97 | ALLOW OCLM 3 | $165,414.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Manuel Franco | 55.5kg | 1:41.10 | 9-7-8 | 10 |
| 3.5L | $5.40 |
| 1/12 | 21/04/2024 | - | MDN 3U | $122,888.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1710m | FM | Manuel Franco | 53.5kg | 1:41.40 | 7-2-1 | 2 |
| 0.8L | $4.05 |

Jockey: John R. Velazquez
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming after ten weeks in the paddock. Finished off last campaign fifth of 7 at Tampa Bay Downs Turf in the G3 Tampa Bay Stakes January 31 over 1710m, 8 len behind Quatrocento carrying 53.5kg at $7.50. When resuming last campaign fourth of 10 at Delaware Park Turf June 14 over 1710m, 1.5 len behind Light Mood carrying 54.5kg at $3.70. Solid top-three proposition.
Last Starts 68 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/7 | 31/01/2026 | 49 | G3 OPEN 4U | $249,643.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1710m | FM | D E Centeno | 53.5kg | 1:41.51 | 7-5-5 | 1 |
| 8.5L | $7.50 |
| 4/10 | 13/12/2025 | 49 | LR OPEN 3 | $191,424.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 55.5kg | 1:40.73 | 3-3-4 | 7 |
| 2.1L | $10.70 |
| 10/12 | 25/10/2025 | 56 | G3 OPEN 3 | $913,242.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 53.5kg | 1:35.78 | 8-10-10 | 10 |
| 5.5L | $12.77 |
| 7/12 | 30/08/2025 | 21 | G3 OPEN 3 | $5,426,357.00 | Kentucky | 2112m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 54.5kg | 2:06.76 | 5-7-7 | 6 |
| 10.3L | $7.00 |
| 2/8 | 09/08/2025 | 22 | G2 OPEN 3 | $775,194.00 | Colonial Downs | 1609m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 53.5kg | 1:35.36 | 6-6-2 | 4 |
| 1.0L | $3.00 |
| 1/10 | 18/07/2025 | 34 | ALLOW OCLM 3 | $168,196.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 54.5kg | 1:40.32 | 3-2-1 | 3 |
| 2.3L | $17.90 |

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of seven months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 14 at Kentucky in the LR September 6 over 1609m, 2.5 len behind Plensa carrying 53.5kg at $6.13. Previous preparation first-up to post a big 3 len win. Oaklawn Park February 23 2025 over 1710m defeating Shepherd with 56kg at $3. Has the ability to run well.
Last Starts 215 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/14 | 06/09/2025 | 36 | LR OPEN 3 | $3,058,104.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | Good | Jose Ortiz | 53.5kg | 1:33.51 | 2-8-5 | 10 |
| 2.6L | $6.13 |
| 2/6 | 01/08/2025 | 41 | G2 OPEN 3 | $620,155.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 55.5kg | 1:35.06 | 2-2-2 | 4 |
| 3.0L | $8.50 |
| 6/8 | 21/06/2025 | 35 | G3 OPEN 3 | $777,605.00 | Thistledown | 1811m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 57kg | 1:50.72 | 1-4-6 | 6 |
| 11.5L | $2.90 |
| 9/9 | 17/05/2025 | 48 | G1 OPEN 3 | $3,125,000.00 | Pimlico | 1911m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 57kg | 1:55.47 | 1-7-9 | 8 |
| 30.5L | $6.30 |
| 1/6 | 30/03/2025 | 35 | LR OPEN 3 | $316,957.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1609m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 54kg | 1:37.13 | 1-1-1 | 3 |
| 4.0L | $2.20 |
| 1/10 | 23/02/2025 | 308 | MDN 3 | $177,134.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1710m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 56kg | 1:43.48 | 1-1-1 | 3 |
| 3.3L | $3.00 |

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming. Finished off last campaign 5th of 11 at Fairgrounds Turf in LR on January 17 over 1710m, 3 len behind Kupuna carrying 56kg at $8.90. Won previous preparation first up scored a big 8 len win at Fairgrounds Turf January 20 2025 over 1710m defeating Thermoscat carrying 54.5kg at $3. Definite winning hope.
Last Starts 82 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/11 | 17/01/2026 | 197 | LR OPEN 4U | $149,477.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | FM | Flavien Prat | 56kg | 1:42.37 | 10-10-5 | 9 |
| 3.3L | $8.90 |
| 6/8 | 04/07/2025 | 48 | G3 OPEN 3 | $305,810.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 54.5kg | 1:33.11 | 7-6-6 | 4 |
| 8.3L | $4.75 |
| 1/7 | 17/05/2025 | 40 | LR OPEN 3 | $156,250.00 | Pimlico | 1609m | Good | Jose Ortiz | 53.5kg | 1:40.25 | 3-1-1 | 4 |
| 3.3L | $1.50 |
| 4/12 | 07/04/2025 | 30 | G3 OPEN 3 | $958,466.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Good | Jose Ortiz | 53.5kg | 1:43.84 | 7-7-4 | 2 |
| 3.3L | $2.83 |
| 2/7 | 08/03/2025 | 47 | LR OPEN 3 | $200,642.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1609m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 54kg | 1:33.24 | 6-2-2 | 3 |
| 0.3L | $3.90 |
| 1/12 | 20/01/2025 | 155 | MDN 3 | $93,548.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | Good | Jose Ortiz | 54.5kg | 1:45.05 | 11-1-1 | 5 |
| 8.0L | $3.00 |

Jockey: Julien R. Leparoux
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Most recently second last of 7 at Fairgrounds Turf on March 16 over 1106m, 9 len behind Vesture with 54.5kg at $9. The start before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 10 at Fairgrounds Turf on January 24 over 1609m, 5 len behind Flying Mohawk with 54.5kg at $4.20. Fully tested on his recent run.
Last Starts 24 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/7 | 16/03/2026 | 51 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $78,652.00 | Fairgrounds | 1106m | Y | D Cannon | 54.5kg | 1:02.65 | 5-6-6 | 1 |
| 9.1L | $9.00 |
| 3/10 | 24/01/2026 | 28 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $83,707.00 | Fairgrounds | 1609m | Y | Pascacio Lopez | 54.5kg | 1:39.46 | 1-1-3 | 2 |
| 4.8L | $4.20 |
| 4/8 | 27/12/2025 | 63 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $85,758.00 | Fairgrounds | 1609m | FM | Pascacio Lopez | 54.5kg | 1:34.58 | 1-2-4 | 2 |
| 6.8L | $4.40 |
| 1/10 | 25/10/2025 | 14 | ALLOW 3U | $182,648.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | J R Leparoux | 55.5kg | 1:35.17 | 3-1-1 | 3 |
| 0.5L | $8.93 |
| 7/7 | 11/10/2025 | 31 | ALLOW 3U | $95,890.00 | Keeneland | 1308m | Fast | I Ortiz Jr | 55kg | 1:17.76 | 2-7-7 | 5 |
| 13.1L | $5.81 |
| 6/12 | 10/09/2025 | 39 | ALLOW 3U | $290,520.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 55kg | 1:13.33 | 12-9-6 | 5 |
| 5.1L | $4.94 |

Jockey: Joel Rosario
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation fifth of 10 at this track October 8 over 1710m, 3.5 len behind English Chunnel carrying 55.5kg at $4.37. Previously first up; second of 11 at Churchill Downs Turf May 25 over 1609m, 2 len behind Nantasket Beach with 55.5kg at $2.27. Marginal prospects.
Last Starts 183 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/10 | 08/10/2025 | 38 | ALLOW 3U | $197,869.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Good | Victor Espinoza | 55.5kg | 1:43.77 | 6-4-5 | 7 |
| 3.5L | $4.37 |
| 3/12 | 31/08/2025 | 57 | ALLOW 3U | $775,194.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Victor Espinoza | 52.5kg | 1:32.20 | 5-2-3 | 10 |
| 4.5L | $4.04 |
| 5/7 | 05/07/2025 | 41 | G3 OPEN 4U | $267,584.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FM | Victor Espinoza | 53.5kg | 1:32.81 | 6-5-5 | 5 |
| 3.1L | $7.50 |
| 2/11 | 25/05/2025 | 232 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $209,375.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | C Lanerie | 55.5kg | 1:33.98 | 9-2-2 | 11 |
| 2.0L | $2.27 |
| 3/9 | 05/10/2024 | 21 | G1 OPEN 3U | $1,806,358.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | Christopher Hayes | 55.5kg | 1:34.23 | 7-5-3 | 1 |
| 2.3L | $10.70 |
| 3/11 | 14/09/2024 | 37 | G2 OPEN 3U | $346,860.00 | Leopardstown | 1609m | Good | Chris Hayes | 59.5kg | 1:38.94 | - | 2 |
| 1.8L | $21.00 |

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. Not raced for 36 days. Resuming won by 1.3 len at Gulfstream Park Turf January 3 over 1710m defeating George Briggs carrying 55kg at $7.60. Last start won by 1.0 len at Tampa Bay Downs Turf March 4 over 1710m defeating Spirit Prince carrying 55kg at $2.50. Racing well. Has strong claims.
Last Starts 36 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 04/03/2026 | 60 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $79,354.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1710m | FM | D E Centeno | 55kg | 1:41.41 | 2-1-1 | 10 |
| 1.0L | $2.50 |
| 1/9 | 03/01/2026 | 70 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $128,550.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FM | Jorge Ruiz | 55kg | 1:41.16 | 3-1-1 | 7 |
| 1.3L | $7.60 |
| 2/10 | 25/10/2025 | 35 | ALLOW 3U | $85,457.00 | Laurel Park | 1710m | FM | V Carrasco | 54.5kg | 1:42.34 | 3-4-2 | 2 |
| 0.8L | $2.10 |
| 1/7 | 20/09/2025 | - | MDN 3U | $72,630.00 | Laurel Park | 1710m | FM | V Carrasco | 55.5kg | 1:44.02 | 4-3-1 | 6 |
| 0.5L | $9.20 |

Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resumes after a break of eight months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign sixth of 8 at Ellis Park Turf in the LR August 2 over 1811m, 5 len behind Tomasello with 53.5kg at $4.91. When resuming last campaign sixth of 12 at this track April 13 over 1710m, 8 len behind Dublin's Knight with 54.5kg at $15.98. Likely to feature.
Last Starts 250 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/8 | 02/08/2025 | 43 | LR OPEN 3 | $387,597.00 | Ellis Park | 1811m | FM | Luan Machado | 53.5kg | 1:47.13 | 5-5-6 | 4 |
| 5.0L | $4.91 |
| 1/8 | 20/06/2025 | 25 | ALLOW 3U | $197,512.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Luis Saez | 54.5kg | 1:40.67 | 5-5-1 | 1 |
| 0.1L | $2.84 |
| 1/12 | 26/05/2025 | 43 | MDN 3U | $187,500.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 53.5kg | 1:41.07 | 7-2-1 | 6 |
| 1.0L | $6.12 |
| 6/12 | 13/04/2025 | 225 | MDN 3 | $175,719.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | FM | John R Velazquez | 54.5kg | 1:41.71 | 9-5-6 | 7 |
| 8.8L | $15.98 |
| 3/12 | 31/08/2024 | - | MDN 2 | $261,137.00 | Kentucky | 1207m | FM | John R Velazquez | 54kg | 1:10.02 | 11-6-3 | 10 |
| 3.5L | $20.17 |

Jockey: Javier Castellano
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second run back. First-up after three months ran last of 8 at Gulfstream Park Turf on March 6 over 1006m, 6 len behind Okiro carrying 55kg at $6.50. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Penn National Turf in the G3 Penn Mile Stakes on June 27 over 1609m, 1.0 len behind Dream On with 55.5kg at $16.20. Unlikely to threaten.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | 06/03/2026 | 90 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $122,191.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | FM | Junior Alvarado | 55kg | 0:54.44 | 7-8-8 | 8 |
| 6.1L | $6.50 |
| 3/12 | 06/12/2025 | 36 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $159,265.00 | Turfway Park | 1308m | Fast | V Carrasco | 54.5kg | 1:15.30 | 9-4-3 | 1 |
| 2.5L | $7.19 |
| 2/5 | 31/10/2025 | 12 | ALLOW 3 | $214,612.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | Good | J R Leparoux | 55.5kg | 1:01.82 | 1-4-2 | 2 |
| 1.8L | $8.55 |
| 6/9 | 19/10/2025 | 48 | LR OPEN 3 | $228,311.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Jamie Rodriguez | 55.5kg | 1:08.64 | 1-1-6 | 8 |
| 3.4L | $15.11 |
| 6/8 | 01/09/2025 | 23 | LR OPEN 3 | $206,422.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Luis Saez | 55.5kg | 1:42.17 | 2-4-6 | 4 |
| 4.5L | $21.20 |
| 8/8 | 09/08/2025 | 43 | G2 OPEN 3 | $775,194.00 | Colonial Downs | 1609m | FM | V Carrasco | 53.5kg | 1:35.36 | 4-7-8 | 7 |
| 5.5L | $27.30 |

Jockey: Sonny Leon
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second-up. Comes off a 46-day let-up. First-up after 10 months 3rd of 8 at Tampa Bay Downs Turf on February 22 over 1609m, 4 len behind Sherlock's Jewel carrying 53.5kg at $2.90. Previously second-up 2nd of 7 at Tampa Bay Downs on November 29 2024 over 1207m, 3.5 len behind John Dutton carrying 53.5kg at $6.50. Needs more time.
Last Starts 46 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/8 | 22/02/2026 | 287 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $80,599.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1609m | FM | Sonny Leon | 53.5kg | 1:35.21 | 5-6-3 | 1 |
| 3.8L | $2.90 |
| 1/9 | 11/05/2025 | 35 | ALLOW 3U | $79,688.00 | Monmouth Park | 1710m | FM | Sonny Leon | 55.5kg | 1:41.88 | 9-5-1 | 6 |
| 0.5L | $5.50 |
| 1/8 | 06/04/2025 | 15 | CLM 4U | $50,319.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1609m | FM | Sonny Leon | 54kg | 1:33.47 | 8-3-1 | 5 |
| 1.0L | $6.60 |
| 4/10 | 22/03/2025 | 28 | HCP 4U | $42,789.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 2213m | FM | J Castanon | 54.5kg | 2:16.21 | 9-7-4 | 1 |
| 2.8L | $2.10 |
| 3/9 | 22/02/2025 | 35 | HCP CG 4U | $41,868.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1811m | FM | J Castanon | 54.5kg | 1:48.99 | 6-7-3 | 6 |
| 1.0L | $3.10 |
| 1/10 | 18/01/2025 | 21 | HCP 4U | $40,323.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1710m | FM | J Castanon | 53.5kg | 1:41.60 | 5-3-1 | 6 |
| 1.8L | $11.50 |