Keeneland Race 10 - Toyota Blue Grass S. Stakes
RIVER THAMES (1) Was agonizingly close last start at Gulfstream Park and has the ideal alley. Shows good early pace. Good to see jockey Irad Ortiz Jr is jumping on. Has the ability to take this out. CHANCER MCPATRICK (6) Was strong late when 2nd last start at Tampa Bay Downs and promising career start. Flavien Prat is very comfortable aboard. Will be motoring home late. Respect. OWEN ALMIGHTY (4) Led all the way when winning by 3 1/2L last time at Tampa Bay Downs and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Will be positive in the run early. Among better hopes. BURNHAM SQUARE (3) Overtook some late when 4th last run at Gulfstream Park and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Going well this preparation. Should be swooping on the field late. Definite claims.

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Just short of the win last start at Gulfstream Park and has drawn to do little work. Likely to be well placed early. Irad Ortiz Jr is a smart booking. Very tidy performer.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2/6 | 01/03/2025 | - | Stakes | $415,000.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1709m | Fast | John R. Velazquez | 55kg | 1718.40. | 4-2-2-2-1 | 6 |
| 0.25L | $3.10 |
1/8 | 01/02/2025 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming | $96,000.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | Fast | John R. Velazquez | 54.5kg | 1605.40. | 2-2-2-1-1 | 1 |
| -6.5L | $1.70 |
1/9 | 11/01/2025 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $94,000.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1207m | Fast | John R. Velazquez | 53.5kg | 1171.10. | 3-3-2-1 | 8 |
| -4.75L | $3.90 |

Jockey: Sheldon Russell
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Solid effort to run into 2nd last start at Colonial Downs and can find a nice position from the draw. Putting up notable efforts since returning from a break. This won't be easy.
Last Starts 20 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2/7 | 15/03/2025 | - | Stakes | $500,000.00 | Colonial Downs | 1810m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. | 56kg | 1773.30. | 3-3-3-3-2 | 9 |
| 7.75L | $22.00 |
8/12 | 15/02/2025 | - | Stakes | $500,000.00 | Fair Grounds | 1810m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. | 55.5kg | 1814.10. | 3-9-10-9-6 | 10 |
| 19.2L | $32.40 |
3/5 | 21/12/2024 | - | Stakes | $100,000.00 | Fair Grounds | 1709m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. | 55.5kg | 1725.30. | 5-3-3-4-3 | 2 |
| 9.5L | $7.20 |
5/9 | 30/11/2024 | - | Stakes | $400,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1709m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. | 55.5kg | 1716.50. | 7-7-7-8-8 | 9 |
| 8.5L | $9.15 |
1/11 | 27/10/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $120,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1709m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. | 54kg | 1747.10. | 4-3-4-4-3 | 5 |
| -0.5L | $3.75 |
2/11 | 06/10/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $100,000.00 | Keeneland | 1408m | Fast | Colby J. Hernandez | 54kg | 1399.20. | 9-9-9-4 | 2 |
| 1.5L | $41.45 |

Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Got going late when 4th last run at Gulfstream Park and showing consistent performance in races. Very competitive this campaign. Finishes off strongly. Serious contender.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4/6 | 01/03/2025 | - | Stakes | $415,000.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1709m | Fast | Edgard J. Zayas | 56kg | 1718.40. | 5-6-5-3-5 | 3 |
| 3L | $2.90 |
1/7 | 01/02/2025 | - | Stakes | $265,000.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1709m | Fast | Edgard J. Zayas | 53.5kg | 1726.40. | 6-7-5-5-2 | 7 |
| -1.75L | $5.30 |
1/7 | 28/12/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $65,000.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1709m | Fast | Edgard J. Zayas | 53.5kg | 1738.30. | 6-4-1-1-1 | 1 |
| -9L | $2.30 |
3/11 | 30/11/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $120,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1709m | Fast | Francisco Arrieta | 54kg | 1725.20. | 8-8-10-8-4 | 9 |
| 0.75L | $19.09 |
2/11 | 26/10/2024 | - | Maiden Claiming | $78,000.00 | Keeneland | 1207m | Fast | Francisco Arrieta | 54kg | 1205.30. | 9-7-9-6 | 3 |
| 0.5L | $31.92 |

Jockey: Jose Ortiz
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Assumed control from the start to win by a margin of 3 1/2L last time at Tampa Bay Downs and showing improvement in recent outings. Has plenty of early speed. Looks like solid value.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1/7 | 08/03/2025 | - | Stakes | $400,000.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1709m | Fast | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | 54.5kg | 1705.0. | 1-1-1-1-1 | 1 |
| -3.5L | $3.90 |
2/10 | 08/02/2025 | - | Stakes | $250,000.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1709m | Fast | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | 54.5kg | 1704.30. | 1-2-2-2-2 | 6 |
| 0.5L | $3.60 |
5/6 | 11/01/2025 | - | Stakes | $150,000.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1408m | Fast | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | 56.5kg | 1375.0. | 1-1-1-1 | 6 |
| -1L | $1.50 |
2/11 | 14/09/2024 | - | Stakes | $300,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | 55.5kg | 1601.20. | 2-4-4-3-3 | 5 |
| 2.75L | $3.99 |
1/7 | 11/08/2024 | - | Stakes | $175,000.00 | Ellis Park | 1408m | Fast | Cristian A. Torres | 54.5kg | 1406.0. | 1-3-3-2 | 7 |
| -4.75L | $1.67 |
1/10 | 20/06/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $120,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | Fast | Jose L. Ortiz | 54kg | 1050.0. | 8-3-2-1 | 9 |
| -3.5L | $2.40 |

Jockey: Luan Machado
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Didn't attack the line when 10th last time at Fair Grounds. Capable of bouncing back. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Should go very close.
Last Starts 48 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/12 | 15/02/2025 | - | Stakes | $500,000.00 | Fair Grounds | 1810m | Fast | Tyler Gaffalione | 55.5kg | 1814.10. | 2-2-2-2-8 | 4 |
| 22.7L | $1.80 |
9/10 | 01/11/2024 | - | Stakes | $2,000,000.00 | Del Mar | 1709m | Fast | Tyler Gaffalione | 55.5kg | 1717.50. | 9-9-8-8-9 | 1 |
| 13.35L | $2.80 |
1/11 | 05/10/2024 | - | Stakes | $600,000.00 | Keeneland | 1709m | Fast | Tyler Gaffalione | 55.5kg | 1719.30. | 1-1-1-1-1 | 5 |
| -5.25L | $3.78 |
1/10 | 24/08/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $71,000.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | Fast | Luan Machado | 54kg | 1176.0. | 2-1-1-1 | 6 |
| -8L | $2.22 |

Jockey: Flavien Prat
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Managed to place 2nd last start at Tampa Bay Downs and good career start. Flavien Prat has been successful aboard previously. Should get going late. Solid claims.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2/7 | 08/03/2025 | - | Stakes | $400,000.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1709m | Fast | Flavien Prat | 56.5kg | 1705.0. | 5-3-3-4-2 | 2 |
| 3.5L | $3.10 |
6/10 | 01/11/2024 | - | Stakes | $2,000,000.00 | Del Mar | 1709m | Fast | Flavien Prat | 55.5kg | 1717.50. | 7-7-9-7-8 | 10 |
| 6.6L | $3.20 |
1/9 | 05/10/2024 | - | Stakes | $500,000.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1609m | Fast | Flavien Prat | 55.5kg | 1608.30. | 1-9-9-3-2 | 10 |
| -2.75L | $1.55 |
1/9 | 02/09/2024 | - | Stakes | $300,000.00 | Saratoga | 1408m | Fast | Flavien Prat | 54.5kg | 1390.40. | 8-8-7-3 | 8 |
| -0.5L | $5.40 |
1/10 | 27/07/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $100,000.00 | Saratoga | 1307m | Fast | Flavien Prat | 54kg | 1299.50. | 6-10-9-5 | 4 |
| -1L | $3.35 |

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Came in 6th last start at Oaklawn Park but putting a tidy record together. Jockey Luis Saez and trainer Brad H Cox are a promising combination. Going well this campaign. Appears tested in this event.
Last Starts 40 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/13 | 23/02/2025 | - | Stakes | $1,250,000.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1709m | Fast | Florent Geroux | 53kg | 1716.50. | 13-13-13-11-8 | 2 |
| 7L | $19.10 |
1/7 | 20/01/2025 | - | Allowance Optional Claiming | $58,000.00 | Fair Grounds | 1709m | Fast | Florent Geroux | 54kg | 1774.50. | 4-5-4-2-1 | 4 |
| -0.75L | $1.50 |
4/5 | 21/12/2024 | - | Stakes | $100,000.00 | Fair Grounds | 1709m | Fast | Luis Saez | 55.5kg | 1725.30. | 4-5-5-3-4 | 5 |
| 16.5L | $1.80 |
1/9 | 07/11/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $120,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Luis Saez | 54kg | 1597.50. | 6-3-3-1-1 | 10 |
| -3.5L | $1.61 |
3/11 | 19/09/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $120,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1307m | Fast | Florent Geroux | 54kg | 1286.50. | 7-5-4-4 | 4 |
| 2.1L | $3.64 |