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Fort Erie Race 8 - Harvest Moon Cup S. Stakes

SCAT FACTOR (5) went forward last start over 1710m in Listed grade at Fort Erie Turf and held on well for second, beaten 1.75 lengths. Nicely placed to feature in the finish. PAT'S GAMBLE (2) has been kept fresh since finishing second last start over 1308m in Listed grade at this track. Genuine contender. IF YOU INSIST (4) is having his first run since August 18. Goes very well when fresh with two wins from four starts, the latest over 1308m at this track at the start of last prep. Makes plenty of appeal. HEARD A GHOST (7) was a winner on dirt over 1710m at this track two back but missed the frame on turf over 1710m at Fort Erie Turf last time. Will find this much easier. Too good to ignore.

Race Time:7:53 PM

Tuesday, October 20, 2026

Track:Fast

Weather:fine

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1710m

Kiddie Holiday (1)3524144414

Trainer: John C Simms 12 mths 58: 9-10-11

Jockey: Sofia Vives

Weight: 55.5kgs

7 yo Bay G

Sire: AMI'S HOLIDAY (CAN)

Dam: KID'S COLLECTION (CAN)

Dam's Sire: Lemon Drop Kid

Stats

Prize Money$323,460.00

Avg $$5,576.90

Win %15.52%

Place %51.72%

Career58: 9-10-11

Track24: 5-3-6

Distance17: 4-2-2

Tr / Dist3: 0-0-1

1st Up6: 1-1-2

2nd Up6: 0-2-2

Firm49: 8-9-9

Good1: 0-1-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic24: 4-4-4

Comments

Most recently ran second last in a small field at this track on October 6 over 1006m, 0.9 len behind Cantucci carrying 55.5kg at $7.20. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 4 len at this track on September 21 over 1207m defeating Fairway To Heaven with 55.5kg at $2.15. Thereabouts last time out. Definite top-three prospect.

Last Starts 14 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/5	06/10/2026	15	CLM 3U	$35,022.00	Fort Erie	1006m	Fast	I Mosqueira	55.5kg	0:57.99	4-3-4	1	1. Cantucci 2. Back To Reality 3. Fairway To Heaven	0.9L	$7.20
1/5	21/09/2026	14	CLM 3U	$28,125.00	Fort Erie	1207m	Fast	J Crawford	55.5kg	1:10.42	3-1-1	1	1. Kiddie Holiday 2. Fairway To Heaven 3. Blue Max	3.8L	$2.15
4/6	07/09/2026	14	LR OPEN 3U	$44,444.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	I Mosqueira	55.5kg	1:16.35	3-4-4	2	1. Stylish Gent 2. Pat's Gamble 3. Mia And Me	2.1L	$11.70
4/7	24/08/2026	21	CLM 3U	$40,014.00	Fort Erie	1106m	Fast	I Mosqueira	55.5kg	1:04.53	4-4-4	6	1. Souper Iconic 2. Mia And Me 3. Little Red Domi	2.8L	$9.75
4/5	03/08/2026	7	CLM 3U	$34,772.00	Fort Erie	1207m	M	P Mailhot	56kg	1:09.83	3-5-4	4	1. Paperback Hero 2. Mia And Me 3. Where Is Essa	3.5L	$2.85
1/5	27/07/2026	15	CLM 3U	$35,377.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	P Mailhot	55.5kg	1:17.69	2-1-1	5	1. Kiddie Holiday 2. Blue Max 3. Fairway To Heaven	2.3L	$2.95

Pat's Gamble (2)8x37223222

Trainer: John C Simms 12 mths 29: 3-9-5

Jockey: Edgar Zenteno

Weight: 55.5kgs

6 yo Dark Bay/Brown G

Sire: GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE (CAN)

Dam: AUNT PAT (USA)

Dam's Sire: Mr. Greeley

Stats

Prize Money$284,458.00

Avg $$9,808.90

Win %10.34%

Place %58.62%

Career29: 3-9-5

Track5: 0-5-0

Distance4: 0-2-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up4: 1-0-1

2nd Up4: 0-1-1

Firm28: 3-8-5

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic20: 2-4-3

Comments

Racing well recently. Returns from a 43-day let-up. At the latest run 2nd in a small field in Listed grade at this track at this track on September 7 over 1308m, 0.1 len behind Stylish Gent carrying 55.5kg at $1.85. The run before that 2nd of 7 at this track on August 18 over 1308m, 3 len behind Stirling Castle carrying 55.5kg at $2.95. Rates highly. Big chance.

Last Starts 43 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/6	07/09/2026	20	LR OPEN 3U	$44,444.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	Edgar Zenteno	55.5kg	1:16.35	5-3-2	1	1. Stylish Gent 2. Pat's Gamble 3. Mia And Me	0.1L	$1.85
2/7	18/08/2026	28	ALLOW 3U	$41,084.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	Edgar Zenteno	55.5kg	1:16.82	1-4-2	6	1. Stirling Castle 2. Pat's Gamble 3. If You Insist	3.3L	$2.95
2/6	21/07/2026	21	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie Turf	1308m	SP	Edgar Zenteno	55.5kg	1:18.11	2-1-2	4	1. Lasting Silence 2. Pat's Gamble 3. Le Grand Garcon	0.3L	$3.20
3/5	30/06/2026	9	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$36,357.00	Fort Erie Turf	1408m	FM	Steve Jadoo	55.5kg	1:23.81	4-3-3	1	1. Mad Dog N Joe 2. Lasting Silence 3. Pat's Gamble	3.5L	$3.80
2/5	21/06/2026	21	LR OPEN CG 3U	$41,841.00	Fort Erie	1106m	Fast	Steve Jadoo	55.5kg	1:03.55	4-3-2	2	1. Garofoli 2. Pat's Gamble 3. Star Scholar	5.5L	$8.35
2/5	31/05/2026	14	ALLOW 3U	$34,937.00	Fort Erie	1106m	Fast	Steve Jadoo	55.5kg	1:03.09	5-4-2	4	1. Garofoli 2. Pat's Gamble 3. Shakoo Makoo	3.8L	$15.65

If You Insist (3)1150x1123x

Trainer: Mark Fournier 12 mths 26: 7-5-1

Jockey: Juan Crawford

Weight: 55.5kgs

5 yo Bay G

Sire: FRAC DADDY (USA)

Dam: OK ONE MORE (CAN)

Dam's Sire: Include

Stats

Prize Money$151,079.00

Avg $$5,810.73

Win %26.92%

Place %50.00%

Career26: 7-5-1

Track10: 6-3-1

Distance7: 4-1-0

Tr / Dist5: 4-1-0

1st Up4: 2-0-0

2nd Up4: 1-1-0

Firm21: 4-4-1

Good1: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic14: 1-2-0

Comments

Gelding returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last preparation third of 7 at this track August 18 over 1308m, 4 len behind Stirling Castle carrying 55.5kg at $7.35. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.3 len this track May 31 over 1308m defeating Bingo's Grind with 56kg at $2.50. Likely to play a major role.

Last Starts 63 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/7	18/08/2026	21	ALLOW 3U	$41,084.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	J Crawford	55.5kg	1:16.82	5-3-3	2	1. Stirling Castle 2. Pat's Gamble 3. If You Insist	4.3L	$7.35
2/5	28/07/2026	21	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1673m	Fast	Luis Contreras	56kg	1:42.66	1-1-2	5	1. Scat Factor 2. If You Insist 3. Baxley	0.8L	$6.10
1/5	07/07/2026	37	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1673m	Fast	J Crawford	55.5kg	1:42.63	1-1-1	2	1. If You Insist 2. Scat Factor 3. Le Grand Garcon	1.5L	$1.60
1/6	31/05/2026	191	CLM 3U	$24,477.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	J Crawford	56kg	1:17.10	3-1-1	1	1. If You Insist 2. Bingo's Grind 3. Kiddie Holiday	0.3L	$2.50
10/10	21/11/2025	14	CLM 3U	$41,069.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Jalon L Samuel	56kg	1:48.11	8-9-10	10	1. Sunrise Drive 2. Mehlek 3. Fast And Ready	21.6L	$12.40
5/11	07/11/2025	18	CLM 3U	$44,885.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Kirk Johnson	56kg	1:46.78	6-3-5	9	1. Good Sin 2. Mo Tourist 3. Fast And Ready	12.5L	$20.10

Scat Factor (4)8112x52122

Trainer: Alison Jennings 12 mths 27: 5-6-3

Jockey: Alexis Sanchez

Weight: 55.5kgs

5 yo Grey/Roan G

Sire: THE FACTOR (USA)

Dam: SCAT GAL (USA)

Dam's Sire: Scat Daddy

Stats

Prize Money$127,109.00

Avg $$4,707.74

Win %18.52%

Place %51.85%

Career27: 5-6-3

Track12: 3-4-2

Distance8: 3-4-1

Tr / Dist6: 2-4-0

1st Up5: 0-0-0

2nd Up4: 0-1-0

Firm19: 3-5-2

Good3: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic10: 2-1-1

Comments

Racing well recently. Returns from a 43-day let-up. Most recently sat on the pace when 2nd of 10 in Listed grade at Fort Erie Turf at Fort Erie Turf on September 7 over 1710m, 1.75 len behind Quiet Intent with 55.5kg at $7.25. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at this track on August 10 over 1710m, 5 len behind Lasting Silence with 56kg at $4.50. Winning hope.

Last Starts 43 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/10	07/09/2026	28	LR OPEN 3U	$44,444.00	Fort Erie Turf	1710m	FM	Alexis Sanchez	55.5kg	1:44.16	3-4-2	2	1. Quiet Intent 2. Scat Factor 3. Mad Dog N Joe	1.8L	$7.25
2/9	10/08/2026	13	ALLOW 3U	$41,084.00	Fort Erie	1710m	Fast	Alexis Sanchez	56kg	1:42.84	3-2-2	1	1. Lasting Silence 2. Scat Factor 3. Le Grand Garcon	5.0L	$4.50
1/5	28/07/2026	21	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1673m	Fast	Alexis Sanchez	55.5kg	1:42.66	2-2-1	3	1. Scat Factor 2. If You Insist 3. Baxley	0.8L	$7.45
2/5	07/07/2026	30	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1673m	Fast	Alexis Sanchez	55.5kg	1:42.63	2-2-2	1	1. If You Insist 2. Scat Factor 3. Le Grand Garcon	1.5L	$2.50
5/8	07/06/2026	229	HCP 3U	$33,682.00	Fort Erie Turf	1408m	Good	Kirk Johnson	55.5kg	1:23.43	3-5-5	1	1. J P Hellish 2. Mannix 3. Star Scholar	4.4L	$11.20
2/8	21/10/2025	14	LR OPEN 3U	$45,662.00	Fort Erie	1710m	Fast	Alexis Sanchez	55.5kg	1:45.12	7-2-2	7	1. Victory March 2. Scat Factor 3. Le Grand Garcon	1.5L	$5.30

Delian League (5)3363515323

Trainer: Philip Hall (USA)12 mths 24: 4-4-7

Jockey: Leo Salles

Weight: 55.5kgs

5 yo Bay G

Sire: CLASSIC EMPIRE (USA)

Dam: QUEEN OF TROY (USA)

Dam's Sire: Street Cry

Stats

Prize Money$104,012.00

Avg $$4,333.83

Win %16.67%

Place %62.50%

Career24: 4-4-7

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance6: 2-0-2

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 0-0-0

2nd Up2: 0-1-0

Firm23: 4-4-7

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic11: 1-1-3

Comments

Last start 3rd in a small field at Fort Erie Turf on September 29 over 1609m, 6 len behind Buttonwood Tree with 56kg at $8.30. The race before that 2nd of 8 at Fort Erie Turf on September 15 over 1609m, 6 len behind Little Red Domi with 56kg at $3.40. Out of his depth.

Last Starts 21 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/6	29/09/2026	14	CLM 3U	$38,958.00	Fort Erie Turf	1609m	FM	Prayven Badrie	56kg	1:38.77	3-2-3	6	1. Buttonwood Tree 2. Onenightstandards 3. Delian League	6.3L	$8.30
2/8	15/09/2026	23	CLM 3U	$38,958.00	Fort Erie Turf	1609m	FM	Prayven Badrie	56kg	1:37.37	6-3-2	4	1. Little Red Domi 2. Delian League 3. Buttonwood Tree	6.0L	$3.40
3/6	23/08/2026	16	CLM 3U	$53,638.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Prayven Badrie	56kg	1:45.01	3-6-3	1	1. This Dude A Breeze 2. Onenightstandards 3. Delian League	8.0L	$11.40
5/6	07/08/2026	28	CLM 3U	$53,638.00	Woodbine Aw	1408m	Fast	Prayven Badrie	56kg	1:24.49	6-5-5	2	1. Chancel 2. Sunrise Drive 3. Big Baby Henry	3.8L	$4.95
1/7	10/07/2026	28	CLM 3U	$42,671.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Prayven Badrie	56kg	1:46.84	4-1-1	2	1. Delian League 2. Chancel 3. Pet Sounds	3.5L	$5.70
5/7	12/06/2026	20	HCP 3U	$50,628.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Prayven Badrie	56kg	1:46.66	6-6-5	3	1. Alley Oop Johnny 2. Swan Lake 3. Graffiti Writer	8.0L	$9.45

Heard A Ghost (6)244x321319

Trainer: Michael J Blake 12 mths 17: 3-2-4

Jockey: Helen Marie Vanek

Weight: 55.5kgs

4 yo Chestnut G

Sire: SHAMAN GHOST (CAN)

Dam: HEARD THAT (CAN)

Dam's Sire: Street Boss

Stats

Prize Money$98,002.00

Avg $$5,764.82

Win %17.65%

Place %52.94%

Career17: 3-2-4

Track6: 1-1-2

Distance4: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist1: 1-0-0

1st Up3: 1-0-2

2nd Up3: 0-1-0

Firm11: 2-1-2

Good1: 0-0-1

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic7: 1-0-1

Comments

Comes here off a 43-day let-up. At the latest run ran second last of 10 in Listed grade at Fort Erie Turf at Fort Erie Turf on September 7 over 1710m, 17 len behind Quiet Intent carrying 55.5kg at $8.65. The race before that scored a big 13 len win at this track on August 31 over 1710m defeating Grand Warrior carrying 55.5kg at $3.85. Better than that recent plain performance suggests.

Last Starts 43 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
9/10	07/09/2026	7	LR OPEN 3U	$44,444.00	Fort Erie Turf	1710m	FM	Helen Marie King	55.5kg	1:44.16	8-7-9	7	1. Quiet Intent 2. Scat Factor 3. Mad Dog N Joe	17.3L	$8.65
1/5	31/08/2026	34	ALLOW 3U	$41,084.00	Fort Erie	1710m	SP	Luis R Reyes	55.5kg	1:44.32	1-1-1	1	1. Heard A Ghost 2. Grand Warrior 3. Audax Minor	13.8L	$3.85
3/6	28/07/2026	21	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	Helen Marie King	56kg	1:16.13	3-3-3	3	1. Mymathes Correct 2. Glintindaddyseye 3. Heard A Ghost	6.5L	$6.70
1/6	07/07/2026	7	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie Turf	1408m	FM	Luis R Reyes	55.5kg	1:24.48	1-1-1	1	1. Heard A Ghost 2. Drop Your Gloves 3. Lumberyard	2.0L	$2.45
2/8	30/06/2026	16	ALLOW 3U	$36,357.00	Fort Erie Turf	1408m	FM	Luis R Reyes	55.5kg	1:24.55	6-4-2	5	1. Mymathes Correct 2. Heard A Ghost 3. Wolf Beach	2.0L	$5.60
3/6	14/06/2026	244	CLM 3U	$32,218.00	Fort Erie Turf	1006m	SP	Luis R Reyes	55.5kg	0:58.43	5-5-3	5	1. Tiernan 2. Doadster 3. Heard A Ghost	8.5L	$5.65