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Fort Erie Race 5 - Race 5 - Allowance

STIRLING CASTLE (1) displayed plenty of early toe over 1207m at this track last time and dug deep to score by 8 lengths. In a suitable race and can figure in the finish. IF YOU INSIST (2) had been in sparkling form winning two races on end before most recently finished second over 1673m at this track. This looks a winnable race. PAT'S GAMBLE (6) turned in a good effort when narrowly defeated last time at Fort Erie Turf over 1308m. Should be in the finish again. CONN SMYTHE (7) was out of the money two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 1673m at this track, beaten 8 lengths into fifth. Likely improver with strong top-three prospects.

Race Time:10:30 PM

Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:Overcast

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1308m

Stirling Castle (1)32176x1121

Trainer: Anthony Adamo 12 mths 11: 4-2-2

Jockey: Sofia Vives

Weight: 55.5kgs

4 yo Bay G

Sire: SOUPER SPEEDY (USA)

Dam: LYNNESSA (CAN)

Dam's Sire: Old Forester

Stats

Prize Money$95,449.00

Avg $$8,677.18

Win %36.36%

Place %72.73%

Career11: 4-2-2

Track3: 2-1-0

Distance3: 1-1-0

Tr / Dist1: 0-1-0

1st Up2: 1-0-1

2nd Up2: 1-0-0

Firm9: 2-2-2

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic7: 1-1-2

Comments

Form hard to fault. At the latest run scored a big 8 len win at this track on August 3 over 1207m defeating Half To Reload with 55.5kg at $2.85. The start before that 2nd in a small field at this track on July 20 over 1308m, 4 len behind Always A Way with 55.5kg at $4.95. Big chance to make it back-to-back successes.

Last Starts 16 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/6	03/08/2026	14	CLM 3U	$40,014.00	Fort Erie	1207m	M	Sofia Vives	55.5kg	1:09.17	1-1-1	4	1. Stirling Castle 2. Half To Reload 3. Rye's My Guy	8.3L	$2.85
2/6	20/07/2026	36	CLM 3U	$40,711.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	Da Sean Zavier Gaskin	55.5kg	1:17.51	3-2-2	5	1. Always A Way 2. Stirling Castle 3. Mia And Me	3.8L	$4.95
1/6	14/06/2026	35	ALLOW 3U	$34,937.00	Fort Erie	1207m	Fast	Da Sean Zavier Gaskin	55.5kg	1:12.06	2-1-1	4	1. Stirling Castle 2. Cooler Man 3. Glintindaddyseye	0.8L	$1.80
1/6	10/05/2026	147	ALLOW 3U	$27,933.00	Mountaineer Park	1207m	Good	L Negron	54.5kg	1:12.34	1-1-1	4	1. Stirling Castle 2. Zealous Storm 3. Connect The Dots	0.3L	$2.80
6/9	14/12/2025	24	CLM 3U	$80,245.00	Woodbine Aw	1207m	Fast	Da Sean Zavier Gaskin	55kg	1:10.94	4-6-6	4	1. Red Pharaoh 2. Magic Power 3. Rapid Grey	12.5L	$42.90
7/9	20/11/2025	28	CLM 3U	$60,916.00	Woodbine Aw	1308m	Fast	Eswan Flores	56kg	1:18.56	3-5-7	7	1. Tiger Town 2. Captivating Name 3. Ride For The Purse	3.4L	$5.50

If You Insist (2)971150x112

Trainer: Mark Fournier 12 mths 25: 7-5-0

Jockey: Juan Crawford

Weight: 55.5kgs

5 yo Bay G

Sire: FRAC DADDY (USA)

Dam: OK ONE MORE (CAN)

Dam's Sire: Include

Stats

Prize Money$148,513.00

Avg $$5,940.52

Win %28.00%

Place %48.00%

Career25: 7-5-0

Track9: 6-3-0

Distance6: 2-3-0

Tr / Dist4: 2-2-0

1st Up4: 2-0-0

2nd Up4: 1-1-0

Firm20: 4-4-0

Good1: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic14: 1-2-0

Comments

Recent form sound. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 2nd in a small field at this track on July 28 over 1673m, 0.8 len behind Scat Factor with 56kg at $6.10. The race before that won by 1.5 len at this track on July 7 over 1673m defeating Scat Factor with 55.5kg at $1.60. Strong effort last time and looks a leading hope.

Last Starts 22 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/5	28/07/2026	21	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1673m	Fast	Luis Contreras	56kg	1:42.66	1-1-2	5	1. Scat Factor 2. If You Insist 3. Baxley	0.8L	$6.10
1/5	07/07/2026	37	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1673m	Fast	J Crawford	55.5kg	1:42.63	1-1-1	2	1. If You Insist 2. Scat Factor 3. Le Grand Garcon	1.5L	$1.60
1/6	31/05/2026	191	CLM 3U	$24,477.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	J Crawford	56kg	1:17.10	3-1-1	1	1. If You Insist 2. Bingo's Grind 3. Kiddie Holiday	0.3L	$2.50
10/10	21/11/2025	14	CLM 3U	$41,069.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Jalon L Samuel	56kg	1:48.11	8-9-10	10	1. Sunrise Drive 2. Mehlek 3. Fast And Ready	21.6L	$12.40
5/11	07/11/2025	18	CLM 3U	$44,885.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Kirk Johnson	56kg	1:46.78	6-3-5	9	1. Good Sin 2. Mo Tourist 3. Fast And Ready	12.5L	$20.10
1/9	20/10/2025	27	CLM 3U	$23,288.00	Fort Erie	1673m	SP	Christopher Husbands	56kg	1:43.86	1-1-1	6	1. If You Insist 2. Mister Meseeks 3. My Two Aunt Joans	2.5L	$1.70

Forest Buzz (3)6x45573x25

Trainer: Cory B Machesney (Canada)12 mths 27: 4-4-3

Jockey: Chad Lee

Weight: 55.5kgs

6 yo Bay G

Sire: OLD FORESTER (USA)

Dam: HONEY HARBOUR (USA)

Dam's Sire: Gone West

Stats

Prize Money$218,882.00

Avg $$8,106.74

Win %14.81%

Place %40.74%

Career27: 4-4-3

Track3: 0-1-0

Distance7: 2-0-0

Tr / Dist1: 0-0-0

1st Up5: 0-3-0

2nd Up5: 2-0-0

Firm22: 4-4-2

Good3: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic16: 3-3-2

Comments

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 2nd in a small field at this track on July 28 over 1006m, nose behind Truly Mischief carrying 56kg at $13.30. Last start ran second last in a small field at this track on August 3 over 1207m, 10 len behind Stirling Castle with 56kg at $5.65. Will need to improve many lengths to feature.

Last Starts 16 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/6	03/08/2026	6	CLM 3U	$40,014.00	Fort Erie	1207m	M	Steve Jadoo	56kg	1:09.17	6-4-5	5	1. Stirling Castle 2. Half To Reload 3. Rye's My Guy	10.8L	$5.65
2/6	28/07/2026	315	CLM 3U	$35,377.00	Fort Erie	1006m	Fast	Steve Jadoo	56kg	0:57.12	5-1-2	3	1. Truly Mischief 2. Forest Buzz 3. Forester Humor	0.1L	$13.30
3/8	16/09/2025	21	HCP 3U	$33,257.00	Fort Erie Turf	1006m	FM	J Crawford	55.5kg	0:57.47	5-3-3	7	1. Small Talk 2. Mamba On Three 3. Forest Buzz	1.8L	$8.30
7/7	26/08/2025	32	HCP 3U	$33,023.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	J Crawford	55.5kg	1:17.60	4-7-7	4	1. Stylish Gent 2. Half To Reload 3. Cost Basis	16.4L	$7.05
5/7	25/07/2025	26	HCP 3U	$55,505.00	Woodbine Mohawk	1207m	Good	Emma-Jayne Wilson	55kg	1:09.41	3-5-5	3	1. Small Talk 2. Legal Attack 3. Guildsman	4.3L	$3.50
5/8	29/06/2025	22	HCP 3U	$93,313.00	Woodbine Mohawk	1207m	FM	Emma-Jayne Wilson	55.5kg	1:08.52	8-8-5	8	1. Light The Lamp 2. Fighter In The Win 3. Forester's Fortune	5.8L	$9.30

Takemybourbonneat (4)2121199x35

Trainer: Anthony Adamo 12 mths 13: 4-2-2

Jockey: Luis R. Reyes

Weight: 53kgs

4 yo Bay M

Sire: SOUPER SPEEDY (USA)

Dam: BOURBONSTRAIGHTUP (CAN)

Dam's Sire: Old Forester

Stats

Prize Money$202,522.00

Avg $$15,578.62

Win %30.77%

Place %61.54%

Career13: 4-2-2

Track3: 1-0-1

Distance7: 2-1-0

Tr / Dist2: 1-0-0

1st Up3: 0-1-1

2nd Up3: 1-0-1

Firm12: 4-2-2

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic10: 3-2-1

Comments

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 3rd in a small field at this track on June 7 over 1106m, 5.5 len behind Soupergirl carrying 55.5kg at $1.70. Second-up ran second last in a small field at this track on July 21 over 1308m, 16 len behind Momaxie carrying 55.5kg at $2.75. Cannot be ruled out despite a moderate effort last time.

Last Starts 29 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/6	21/07/2026	44	ALLOW FM 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1308m	SP	Sofia Vives	55.5kg	1:18.85	5-2-5	2	1. Momaxie 2. Spirit Bear 3. Zippy Gamble	16.0L	$2.75
3/6	07/06/2026	211	ALLOW FM 3U	$34,937.00	Fort Erie	1106m	Fast	Da Sean Zavier Gaskin	55.5kg	1:03.51	3-2-3	6	1. Soupergirl 2. Empty Gesture 3. Takemybourbonneat	5.5L	$1.70
9/12	08/11/2025	28	ALLOW OCLM FM 3U	$174,962.00	Woodbine Aw	1308m	Fast	Sofia Vives	56kg	1:17.65	5-7-9	3	1. American Women 2. Home For A Rest 3. Salt	16.7L	$21.40
9/10	11/10/2025	32	ALLOW OCLM FM 3U	$174,429.00	Woodbine Aw	1207m	Fast	Sahin Civaci	56kg	1:09.84	1-8-9	8	1. Maximum Fifty 2. Home For A Rest 3. Anam Cara	21.0L	$4.95
1/10	09/09/2025	10	LR OPEN F 3	$152,905.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	Sofia Vives	53.5kg	1:16.43	5-1-1	4	1. Takemybourbonneat 2. Ruthless Action 3. Brengungirl	2.8L	$3.50
1/6	30/08/2025	56	CLM FM 3U	$81,240.00	Woodbine Aw	1207m	Fast	Sahin Civaci	54.5kg	1:10.68	6-1-1	1	1. Takemybourbonneat 2. Genius Of Love 3. Cymbal Court	2.0L	$2.40

Short Story Long (5)4440x64416

Trainer: Lindsey Hoad 12 mths 19: 3-0-0

Jockey: Steve Jadoo

Weight: 55.5kgs

4 yo Chestnut G

Sire: RELOAD (USA)

Dam: YOLIE (CAN)

Dam's Sire: Menifee

Stats

Prize Money$65,572.00

Avg $$3,451.16

Win %15.79%

Place %15.79%

Career19: 3-0-0

Track10: 2-0-0

Distance3: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist3: 1-0-0

1st Up3: 0-0-0

2nd Up3: 1-0-0

Firm13: 3-0-0

Good1: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic8: 1-0-0

Comments

Comes off a 37 day let-up. Last start ran last in a small field at this track on July 12 over 1207m, 6 len behind Rye's My Guy with 56kg at $17.40. The race before that won by a 0.3 len at this track on June 30 over 1207m defeating Cooler Man carrying 55.5kg at $9.50. Fully tested on his recent run.

Last Starts 38 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
6/6	12/07/2026	12	HCP 3U	$36,357.00	Fort Erie	1207m	Fast	Steve Jadoo	56kg	1:10.04	2-4-6	5	1. Rye's My Guy 2. Half To Reload 3. Fairway To Heaven	6.0L	$17.40
1/6	30/06/2026	16	ALLOW 3U	$36,357.00	Fort Erie	1207m	Fast	Steve Jadoo	55.5kg	1:11.05	4-3-1	1	1. Short Story Long 2. Cooler Man 3. Glintindaddyseye	0.3L	$9.50
4/6	14/06/2026	28	ALLOW 3U	$34,937.00	Fort Erie	1207m	Fast	Steve Jadoo	55.5kg	1:12.06	1-2-4	6	1. Stirling Castle 2. Cooler Man 3. Glintindaddyseye	2.5L	$20.65
4/6	17/05/2026	21	CLM 3U	$55,726.00	Woodbine Aw	1207m	Fast	Kemaire Blackett	53kg	1:11.69	3-4-4	4	1. Secret Threat 2. Commander At Sea 3. Heaven's Champion	3.6L	$31.80
6/7	26/04/2026	163	HCP 3U	$58,079.00	Woodbine Aw	1106m	Fast	Rico W Walcott	55.5kg	1:05.27	4-6-6	6	1. Lazio 2. Proud Ronin 3. Commander At Sea	15.3L	$58.25
10/13	14/11/2025	25	CLM 3U	$52,214.00	Woodbine Aw	1408m	Fast	Slade Jones	54kg	1:24.58	13-10-10	3	1. Drum Roll Please 2. Little Red Domi 3. Jmr Speedy Escape	14.4L	$170.55

Pat's Gamble (6)588x372232

Trainer: John C Simms 12 mths 27: 3-7-5

Jockey: Edgar Zenteno

Weight: 55.5kgs

6 yo Dark Bay/Brown G

Sire: GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE (CAN)

Dam: AUNT PAT (USA)

Dam's Sire: Mr. Greeley

Stats

Prize Money$270,825.00

Avg $$10,030.56

Win %11.11%

Place %55.56%

Career27: 3-7-5

Track3: 0-3-0

Distance6: 2-2-1

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up4: 1-0-1

2nd Up4: 0-1-1

Firm26: 3-6-5

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic20: 2-4-3

Comments

Recent form sound. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Fort Erie Turf on July 21 over 1308m, 0.3 len behind Lasting Silence with 55.5kg at $3.20. Before that 3rd in a small field at Fort Erie Turf on June 30 over 1408m, 3.5 len behind Mad Dog N Joe with 55.5kg at $3.80. Narrowly missed last start and is a top chance again.

Last Starts 29 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/6	21/07/2026	21	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie Turf	1308m	SP	Edgar Zenteno	55.5kg	1:18.11	2-1-2	4	1. Lasting Silence 2. Pat's Gamble 3. Le Grand Garcon	0.3L	$3.20
3/5	30/06/2026	9	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$36,357.00	Fort Erie Turf	1408m	FM	Steve Jadoo	55.5kg	1:23.81	4-3-3	1	1. Mad Dog N Joe 2. Lasting Silence 3. Pat's Gamble	3.5L	$3.80
2/5	21/06/2026	21	LR OPEN CG 3U	$41,841.00	Fort Erie	1106m	Fast	Steve Jadoo	55.5kg	1:03.55	4-3-2	2	1. Garofoli 2. Pat's Gamble 3. Star Scholar	5.5L	$8.35
2/5	31/05/2026	14	ALLOW 3U	$34,937.00	Fort Erie	1106m	Fast	Steve Jadoo	55.5kg	1:03.09	5-4-2	4	1. Garofoli 2. Pat's Gamble 3. Shakoo Makoo	3.8L	$15.65
7/10	17/05/2026	21	CLM 3U	$78,352.00	Woodbine Aw	1207m	Fast	Edgar Zenteno	56kg	1:10.66	9-8-7	3	1. La Belleza Negra 2. Arabian Prince 3. Forester's Fortune	6.6L	$55.20
3/5	26/04/2026	140	CLM 3U	$81,659.00	Woodbine Aw	1106m	Fast	Edgar Zenteno	55.5kg	1:05.06	5-4-3	4	1. La Belleza Negra 2. Last American Exit 3. Pat's Gamble	7.5L	$29.00

Conn Smythe (7)4548511155

Trainer: Desmond Maynard (Canada)12 mths 22: 3-4-1

Jockey: Jeffrey Ian Alderson

Weight: 55.5kgs

4 yo Bay G

Sire: MOHAATHER (GB)

Dam: HABITA (IRE)

Dam's Sire: Montjeu

Stats

Prize Money$103,618.00

Avg $$4,709.91

Win %13.64%

Place %36.36%

Career22: 3-4-1

Track1: 0-0-0

Distance2: 0-0-1

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 0-0-0

2nd Up2: 0-1-0

Firm17: 3-3-1

Good4: 0-1-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic9: 3-0-1

Comments

Most recently ran last in a small field at this track on July 28 over 1673m, 8 len behind Scat Factor with 55.5kg at $15.90. The start before that ran last in a small field at Fort Erie Turf on June 30 over 1408m, 4 len behind Mad Dog N Joe carrying 55.5kg at $8.60. Expect improvement on recent effort.

Last Starts 22 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/5	28/07/2026	28	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1673m	Fast	Jeffrey Ian Alderson	55.5kg	1:42.66	4-4-5	2	1. Scat Factor 2. If You Insist 3. Baxley	8.8L	$15.90
5/5	30/06/2026	18	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$36,357.00	Fort Erie Turf	1408m	FM	Jeffrey Ian Alderson	55.5kg	1:23.81	5-5-5	4	1. Mad Dog N Joe 2. Lasting Silence 3. Pat's Gamble	4.1L	$8.60
1/6	12/06/2026	19	HCP 3U	$39,888.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Jeffrey Ian Alderson	56kg	1:46.95	1-3-1	1	1. Conn Smythe 2. Shamateur 3. Three Sonny Sideup	2.0L	$2.45
1/6	24/05/2026	14	CLM 3U	$55,726.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Jeffrey Ian Alderson	55.5kg	1:46.71	1-1-1	4	1. Conn Smythe 2. Blondina's Boy 3. Sol De Verano	4.5L	$2.15
1/9	10/05/2026	36	MDN CLM 3U	$45,391.00	Woodbine Aw	1408m	Fast	Jeffrey Ian Alderson	56kg	1:24.91	4-1-1	4	1. Conn Smythe 2. Spiritual Man 3. Baytown Anubis	4.0L	$1.90
5/9	04/04/2026	24	MDN CLM 3U	$41,485.00	Gulfstream Park	1710m	Fast	Edgar Perez	57kg	1:43.55	8-5-5	7	1. Frosted Punk 2. Tapstick 3. My Foolish Notion	4.3L	$5.00