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Fort Erie Race 2 - Race 2 - Allowance

BAXLEY (1) has switched yards since finishing second five-and-a-half weeks ago over 1207m at Woodbine All Weather. Shapes well and a bold showing is expected. CONN SMYTHE (2) was comfortably accounted for when fifth last time out over 1408m at Fort Erie Turf, beaten 4 lengths. That followed a win at Woodbine All Weather at the previous outing. Best figures measure up. Sure to run well. IF YOU INSIST (5) has put together a couple of wins at this course, the latest on July 7 over 1673m when he got home by 1.5 lengths. Winning rider J Crawford retains the mount. Suitably placed so anticipating another big run. SCAT FACTOR (3) raced on the pace last start and lifted strongly to hold second, beaten 1.5 lengths, over today's journey at this track. Suitably placed so anticipating a big run again.

Race Time:8:58 PM

Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Track:Fast

Weather:Cloudy

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1673m

Baxley (1)116x121822

Trainer: Harold Ladauceur (USA)12 mths 13: 6-4-0

Jockey: Prayven Badrie

Weight: 55.5kgs

5 yo Dark Bay/Brown G

Sire: KLIMT (USA)

Dam: CURLAMOROUS (USA)

Dam's Sire: Curlin

Stats

Prize Money$288,236.00

Avg $$22,172.00

Win %46.15%

Place %76.92%

Career13: 6-4-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance1: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up3: 2-1-0

2nd Up3: 1-1-0

Firm10: 5-2-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic4: 1-2-0

Comments

Recent form sound. Returns from a 37-day let-up. At the latest run 2nd in a small field at Woodbine All Weather on June 21 over 1207m, 1.75 len behind Souped Up with 56kg at $3.25. The start before that 2nd of 7 at Woodbine All Weather on May 30 over 1106m, 4 len behind Go Kart Mozart carrying 56kg at $5.05. Capable of a strong showing.

Last Starts 37 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/5	21/06/2026	22	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$164,017.00	Woodbine Aw	1207m	Fast	Prayven Badrie	56kg	1:10.48	3-2-2	2	1. Souped Up 2. Baxley 3. Gilt Edge	1.8L	$3.25
2/7	30/05/2026	34	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$164,246.00	Woodbine Aw	1106m	Fast	Prayven Badrie	56kg	1:05.12	7-5-2	4	1. Go Kart Mozart 2. Baxley 3. Dark Screen	4.0L	$5.05
8/9	26/04/2026	32	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$171,179.00	Woodbine Aw	1408m	Fast	Sofia Vives	56kg	1:24.02	3-5-8	8	1. The Great Oz 2. Wyoming Bill 3. Ice Chocolat	10.6L	$1.60
1/7	25/03/2026	22	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$146,067.00	Turfway Park	1207m	Fast	Walter A Rodriguez	56kg	1:09.45	4-2-1	2	1. Baxley 2. Brodeur 3. The Great Oz	5.3L	$3.08
2/6	03/03/2026	48	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$42,556.00	Mahoning Valley	1609m	M	Rocco Bowen	56kg	1:40.91	3-2-2	1	1. Mighty Les 2. Baxley 3. Extradition	1.3L	$2.10
1/7	14/01/2026	465	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$45,291.00	Mahoning Valley	1207m	M	Rocco Bowen	56kg	1:10.94	3-1-1	6	1. Baxley 2. Saint Goar 3. Mighty Les	2.0L	$4.40

Conn Smythe (2)2454851115

Trainer: Desmond Maynard (Canada)12 mths 21: 3-4-1

Jockey: Jeffrey Ian Alderson

Weight: 55.5kgs

4 yo Bay G

Sire: MOHAATHER (GB)

Dam: HABITA (IRE)

Dam's Sire: Montjeu

Stats

Prize Money$102,828.00

Avg $$4,896.57

Win %14.29%

Place %38.10%

Career21: 3-4-1

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance5: 2-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 0-0-0

2nd Up2: 0-1-0

Firm16: 3-3-1

Good4: 0-1-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic9: 3-0-1

Comments

At the latest run ran last in a small field at Fort Erie Turf on June 30 over 1408m, 4 len behind Mad Dog N Joe carrying 55.5kg at $8.60. The race before that won by 2 len at Woodbine All Weather June 12 over 1710m defeating Shamateur with 56kg at $2.45. Expected to finish much closer.

Last Starts 28 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/5	30/06/2026	18	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$36,357.00	Fort Erie Turf	1408m	FM	Jeffrey Ian Alderson	55.5kg	1:23.81	5-5-5	4	1. Mad Dog N Joe 2. Lasting Silence 3. Pat's Gamble	4.1L	$8.60
1/6	12/06/2026	19	HCP 3U	$39,888.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Jeffrey Ian Alderson	56kg	1:46.95	1-3-1	1	1. Conn Smythe 2. Shamateur 3. Three Sonny Sideup	2.0L	$2.45
1/6	24/05/2026	14	CLM 3U	$55,726.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Jeffrey Ian Alderson	55.5kg	1:46.71	1-1-1	4	1. Conn Smythe 2. Blondina's Boy 3. Sol De Verano	4.5L	$2.15
1/9	10/05/2026	36	MDN CLM 3U	$45,391.00	Woodbine Aw	1408m	Fast	Jeffrey Ian Alderson	56kg	1:24.91	4-1-1	4	1. Conn Smythe 2. Spiritual Man 3. Baytown Anubis	4.0L	$1.90
5/9	04/04/2026	24	MDN CLM 3U	$41,485.00	Gulfstream Park	1710m	Fast	Edgar Perez	57kg	1:43.55	8-5-5	7	1. Frosted Punk 2. Tapstick 3. My Foolish Notion	4.3L	$5.00
8/10	11/03/2026	10	MDN CLM 4U	$32,303.00	Tampa Bay Downs	1609m	FM	Edwin Gonzalez	55.5kg	1:37.41	4-7-8	5	1. Mr Funtastico 2. Sulion 3. Commander's Coin	6.9L	$3.60

Scat Factor (3)9348112x52

Trainer: Alison Jennings 12 mths 24: 4-4-3

Jockey: Alexis Sanchez

Weight: 55.5kgs

5 yo Grey/Roan G

Sire: THE FACTOR (USA)

Dam: SCAT GAL (USA)

Dam's Sire: Scat Daddy

Stats

Prize Money$104,919.00

Avg $$4,371.63

Win %16.67%

Place %45.83%

Career24: 4-4-3

Track10: 2-3-2

Distance6: 2-3-1

Tr / Dist4: 1-3-0

1st Up5: 0-0-0

2nd Up4: 0-1-0

Firm16: 2-3-2

Good3: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic10: 2-1-1

Comments

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 8 at Fort Erie Turf on June 7 over 1408m, 4.5 len behind J P Hellish carrying 55.5kg at $11.20. Second-up 2nd in a small field at this track on July 7 over 1673m, 1.5 len behind If You Insist carrying 55.5kg at $2.50. Thereabouts last start and should be competitive.

Last Starts 21 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/5	07/07/2026	30	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1673m	Fast	Alexis Sanchez	55.5kg	1:42.63	2-2-2	1	1. If You Insist 2. Scat Factor 3. Le Grand Garcon	1.5L	$2.50
5/8	07/06/2026	229	HCP 3U	$33,682.00	Fort Erie Turf	1408m	Good	Kirk Johnson	55.5kg	1:23.43	3-5-5	1	1. J P Hellish 2. Mannix 3. Star Scholar	4.4L	$11.20
2/8	21/10/2025	14	LR OPEN 3U	$45,662.00	Fort Erie	1710m	Fast	Alexis Sanchez	55.5kg	1:45.12	7-2-2	7	1. Victory March 2. Scat Factor 3. Le Grand Garcon	1.5L	$5.30
1/6	07/10/2025	21	HCP 3U	$36,927.00	Fort Erie	1710m	SP	Alexis Sanchez	56kg	1:45.32	6-1-1	4	1. Scat Factor 2. Sunrise Drive 3. Hiatus	0.1L	$6.95
1/5	16/09/2025	15	ALLOW 3U	$38,303.00	Fort Erie	1811m	Fast	Alexis Sanchez	55.5kg	1:50.52	2-1-1	4	1. Scat Factor 2. Sunrise Drive 3. Hiatus	1.8L	$9.75
8/10	01/09/2025	14	LR OPEN 3U	$45,872.00	Fort Erie Turf	1710m	Good	Alexis Sanchez	55.5kg	1:44.85	8-8-8	5	1. Hiatus 2. Jack The Cat 3. Fast And Ready	6.4L	$17.95

Audax Minor (4)2261126x47

Trainer: Steven Cathcart (USA)12 mths 21: 2-4-0

Jockey: Chad Lee

Weight: 55.5kgs

4 yo Bay G

Sire: DANISH DYNAFORMER (CAN)

Dam: MISS MEDAGLIA (USA)

Dam's Sire: Medaglia D'Oro

Stats

Prize Money$78,691.00

Avg $$3,747.19

Win %9.52%

Place %28.57%

Career21: 2-4-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance16: 2-3-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 0-0-0

2nd Up2: 0-1-0

Firm16: 2-4-0

Good1: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic13: 2-4-0

Comments

Third-up today. Resuming raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at Woodbine All Weather on May 31 over 1710m, 4 len behind Mad Dog N Joe carrying 56kg at $33.35. Last start ran last of 7 at Woodbine All Weather on July 10 over 1710m, 6 len behind Delian League carrying 53.5kg at $4.90. Better than that recent lacklustre performance suggests.

Last Starts 18 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
7/7	10/07/2026	40	CLM 3U	$42,671.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Christoff Douglas	53.5kg	1:46.84	5-6-7	7	1. Delian League 2. Chancel 3. Pet Sounds	6.2L	$4.90
4/7	31/05/2026	197	HCP 3U	$56,764.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Da Sean Zavier Gaskin	56kg	1:45.69	2-2-4	4	1. Mad Dog N Joe 2. Cornwall 3. Jim's Hope	3.8L	$33.35
6/8	15/11/2025	20	CLM 3U	$80,000.00	Woodbine Aw	1408m	Fast	Da Sean Zavier Gaskin	54kg	1:23.77	8-6-6	1	1. Shadow Realm 2. Rapid Grey 3. Good King Sam	9.5L	$15.20
2/7	26/10/2025	44	CLM 3U	$79,756.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Da Sean Zavier Gaskin	54kg	1:47.42	5-4-2	6	1. Graffiti Writer 2. Audax Minor 3. Shamateur	3.5L	$9.05
1/6	12/09/2025	21	CLM 3U	$61,009.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Da Sean Zavier Gaskin	54.5kg	1:45.95	1-1-1	2	1. Audax Minor 2. Compton 3. Sol De Verano	0.5L	$4.05
1/10	22/08/2025	28	MDN CLM 3U	$50,388.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Da Sean Zavier Gaskin	54.5kg	1:44.72	1-1-1	6	1. Audax Minor 2. Armino 3. Arrakasta Izan	5.0L	$6.50

If You Insist (5)1971150x11

Trainer: Mark Fournier 12 mths 24: 7-4-0

Jockey: Luis Contreras

Weight: 56kgs

5 yo Bay G

Sire: FRAC DADDY (USA)

Dam: OK ONE MORE (CAN)

Dam's Sire: Include

Stats

Prize Money$143,384.00

Avg $$5,974.33

Win %29.17%

Place %45.83%

Career24: 7-4-0

Track8: 6-2-0

Distance6: 4-0-0

Tr / Dist4: 4-0-0

1st Up4: 2-0-0

2nd Up4: 1-1-0

Firm19: 4-3-0

Good1: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic14: 1-2-0

Comments

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming ran on from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at this track May 31 over 1308m defeating Bingo's Grind carrying 56kg at $2.50. Second run from a spell won by 1.5 len at this track July 7 over 1673m defeating Scat Factor carrying 55.5kg at $1.60. Should be near his top.

Last Starts 21 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/5	07/07/2026	37	ALLOW 3U	$41,800.00	Fort Erie	1673m	Fast	J Crawford	55.5kg	1:42.63	1-1-1	2	1. If You Insist 2. Scat Factor 3. Le Grand Garcon	1.5L	$1.60
1/6	31/05/2026	191	CLM 3U	$24,477.00	Fort Erie	1308m	Fast	J Crawford	56kg	1:17.10	3-1-1	1	1. If You Insist 2. Bingo's Grind 3. Kiddie Holiday	0.3L	$2.50
10/10	21/11/2025	14	CLM 3U	$41,069.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Jalon L Samuel	56kg	1:48.11	8-9-10	10	1. Sunrise Drive 2. Mehlek 3. Fast And Ready	21.6L	$12.40
5/11	07/11/2025	18	CLM 3U	$44,885.00	Woodbine Aw	1710m	Fast	Kirk Johnson	56kg	1:46.78	6-3-5	9	1. Good Sin 2. Mo Tourist 3. Fast And Ready	12.5L	$20.10
1/9	20/10/2025	27	CLM 3U	$23,288.00	Fort Erie	1673m	SP	Christopher Husbands	56kg	1:43.86	1-1-1	6	1. If You Insist 2. Mister Meseeks 3. My Two Aunt Joans	2.5L	$1.70
1/4	23/09/2025	22	CLM 3U	$32,339.00	Fort Erie	1710m	Fast	Christopher Husbands	56kg	1:45.42	4-2-1	2	1. He's A Shooter, If You Insist 3. Bill Needle	0.1L	$1.35