Ellis Park Race 10 - Race 10 - Mdn Special Weight
PASEO (1) did a good job last start to finish second at this track (Dirt) over 1609m, beaten 0.8 lengths. Cherry-ripe now. Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr has registered two minor placings when on board. Fitter and a likely improver. ZERO ABSOLUTE (2) went forward and gave a great sight before finishing second last time out over 1106m at this track (Turf). Should enjoy a good run just off the speed. Looks well placed so expect another big run. EPISIST (11) continues to race well, the latest offering a third, beaten 9 lengths, over 1710m on dirt at Churchill Downs. Switches to a turf track for the first time today. The switch to this surface will not stop her. MARCHELINE (7) finished 7 lengths from the winner in fourth at her most recent outing over 1609m at this track (Dirt). Well placed on this occasion and is a likely improver.

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. Resuming held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Churchill Downs Turf on June 7 over 1811m, 2 len behind Sneakily with 53.5kg at $7.43. Second-up 2nd of 10 at this track on July 6 over 1609m, 0.8 len behind Queen Of Capri with 53.5kg at $2.23. Well placed and sure to prove tough to beat.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/10 | 06/07/2026 | 29 | MDN FM 3U | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | SP | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:37.38 | 8-4-2 | 8 |
| 0.8L | $2.23 |
| 2/10 | 07/06/2026 | 98 | MDN FM 3U | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:47.16 | 4-1-2 | 3 |
| 2.0L | $7.43 |
| 2/9 | 01/03/2026 | 37 | MDN F 3 | $117,978.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1811m | FM | Edgar Perez | 55.5kg | 1:47.63 | 2-3-2 | 1 |
| 0.3L | $4.30 |
| 3/8 | 23/01/2026 | 70 | MDN F 3 | $125,561.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | Fast | Tyler Gaffalione | 55.5kg | 1:36.59 | 5-3-3 | 3 |
| 7.8L | $5.80 |
| 8/12 | 14/11/2025 | 22 | MDN F 2 | $183,206.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Luan Machado | 54kg | 1:36.92 | 9-8-8 | 6 |
| 8.0L | $9.40 |
| 4/12 | 23/10/2025 | 56 | MDN F 2 | $167,428.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | Luan Machado | 54kg | 1:37.07 | 4-4-4 | 8 |
| 4.5L | $5.96 |

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Recent form sound. Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at this track on July 18 over 1106m, 2.75 len behind Spin A Tune carrying 54kg at $3.80. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Churchill Downs Turf on June 10 over 1106m, 3 len behind Lady Jancis carrying 53.5kg at $34.93. This is well within her grasp.
Last Starts 23 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/9 | 18/07/2026 | 38 | MDN FM 3U | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FM | Axel Concepcion | 54kg | 1:01.89 | 3-1-2 | 4 |
| 2.8L | $3.80 |
| 2/12 | 10/06/2026 | 17 | MDN FM 3U | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Axel Concepcion | 53.5kg | 1:02.77 | 8-2-2 | 9 |
| 3.3L | $34.93 |
| 9/9 | 24/05/2026 | - | MDN FM 3U | $167,598.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | SP | Axel Concepcion | 53.5kg | 1:48.34 | 8-9-9 | 7 |
| 60.8L | $23.01 |

Jockey: Keith J. Asmussen
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Three-year-old filly by Not This Time out of My Day having her first start. Expecting a bright start to her career.

Jockey: Florent Geroux
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
First-starter by Cairo Prince out of Surfs Edge. Maybe later.

Jockey: Ben Curtis
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resumes racing after a long spell. Only one run when ran second last of 11 at Gulfstream Park All Weather on January 18 over 1710m, 35 len behind Ring Rights with 55.5kg at $12.70. Can return with a bold run.
Last Starts 204 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | 18/01/2026 | - | MDN F 3 | $125,561.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | Fast | Luis Saez | 55.5kg | 1:45.52 | 5-10-10 | 2 |
| 35.8L | $12.70 |

Jockey: Luan Machado
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation 4th of 10 at Churchill Downs Turf on June 7 over 1811m, 4.5 len behind Sneakily carrying 56.5kg at $93.43. When resuming last campaign 3rd of 7 at Turfway Park on February 12 over 1811m, 13 len behind Worry Be Gone with 57kg at $21.40. Unlikely to trouble the top few.
Last Starts 64 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/10 | 07/06/2026 | 93 | MDN FM 3U | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | Dylan Silva Machado | 56.5kg | 1:47.16 | 5-4-4 | 9 |
| 4.5L | $93.43 |
| 2/6 | 06/03/2026 | 22 | MDN FM 3U | $140,449.00 | Turfway Park | 2012m | Fast | Dylan Silva Machado | 57kg | 2:06.42 | 3-3-2 | 6 |
| 7.0L | $4.03 |
| 3/7 | 12/02/2026 | 95 | MDN FM 3U | $142,653.00 | Turfway Park | 1811m | Fast | Dylan Silva Machado | 57kg | 1:54.00 | 6-3-3 | 6 |
| 13.3L | $21.40 |
| 9/9 | 09/11/2025 | 31 | MDN FM 3U | $183,206.00 | Churchill Downs | 1308m | Fast | Chase Miller | 56kg | 1:16.67 | 2-9-9 | 3 |
| 22.6L | $19.89 |
| 6/12 | 09/10/2025 | 29 | MDN FM 3U | $167,428.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | Good | Chase Miller | 56kg | 1:50.38 | 12-9-6 | 3 |
| 12.6L | $29.78 |
| 5/12 | 10/09/2025 | - | MDN FM 3U | $259,939.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Chase Miller | 56kg | 1:14.54 | 12-8-5 | 8 |
| 5.0L | $99.55 |

Jockey: Axel Concepcion
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Recent form sound. Returns from a 34-day let-up. Most recently 4th of 10 at this track on July 6 over 1609m, 7 len behind Queen Of Capri with 53.5kg at $9.20. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Churchill Downs Turf on June 4 over 1106m, 2.25 len behind Sweet Sissone carrying 53.5kg at $25.24. Cannot be ruled out despite a moderate effort last time.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/10 | 06/07/2026 | 32 | MDN FM 3U | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | SP | Axel Concepcion | 53.5kg | 1:37.38 | 1-5-4 | 1 |
| 7.0L | $9.20 |
| 3/9 | 04/06/2026 | 49 | MDN FM 3U | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Axel Concepcion | 53.5kg | 1:01.99 | 7-5-3 | 9 |
| 2.3L | $25.24 |
| 8/10 | 16/04/2026 | - | MDN FM 3U | $160,116.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 53.5kg | 1:03.64 | 10-8-8 | 3 |
| 6.7L | $28.23 |

Jockey: Victor R. Carrasco
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second-up. First start 5th of 7 at Churchill Downs on May 1 over 1710m, 16 len behind Soaring High with 53.5kg at $22.68. Returned from break 7th of 10 at this track on July 6 over 1609m, 8 len behind Queen Of Capri carrying 53.5kg at $6.02. Unlikely to threaten.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/10 | 06/07/2026 | 66 | MDN FM 3U | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | SP | V Carrasco | 53.5kg | 1:37.38 | 7-7-7 | 3 |
| 8.8L | $6.02 |
| 5/7 | 01/05/2026 | - | MDN FM 3U | $167,598.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:43.40 | 7-5-5 | 2 |
| 16.8L | $22.68 |

Jockey: Jaime A. Torres
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
First-starter by Good Magic out of Funny Valentine. Sure to be better for this experience.

Jockey: Jane Elliott
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
First-starter by Liam's Map out of Flashing. Sure to be better for this experience.

Jockey: Erik Asmussen
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Racing well recently. Comes here off a 44-day let-up. Last start sat on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Churchill Downs on June 26 over 1710m, 9 len behind Bodacious Bay with 56.5kg at $25.32. The run before that 4th of 9 at Churchill Downs on May 29 over 1811m, 7 len behind Tap To Open carrying 56.5kg at $22.26. Worth following up.
Last Starts 45 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/8 | 26/06/2026 | 28 | MDN FM 3U | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | SP | Keith J Asmussen | 56.5kg | 1:43.98 | 3-4-3 | 4 |
| 9.5L | $25.32 |
| 4/9 | 29/05/2026 | 28 | MDN FM 3U | $167,598.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | Fast | Keith J Asmussen | 56.5kg | 1:50.76 | 8-4-4 | 9 |
| 7.8L | $22.26 |
| 4/7 | 01/05/2026 | 27 | MDN FM 3U | $167,598.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 56.5kg | 1:43.40 | 5-4-4 | 7 |
| 12.8L | $6.87 |
| 2/6 | 04/04/2026 | 106 | MDN FM 3U | $160,116.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1710m | SP | Erik Asmussen | 56kg | 1:45.09 | 3-2-2 | 1 |
| 1.0L | $7.90 |
| 4/8 | 19/12/2025 | 275 | MDN FM 3U | $153,139.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1609m | Fast | Johan Rosado | 55.5kg | 1:38.38 | 8-4-4 | 6 |
| 9.3L | $16.60 |
| 7/8 | 19/03/2025 | - | MDN F 3 | $83,467.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | Fast | Jaime A Torres | 54.5kg | 1:44.72 | 6-7-7 | 5 |
| 35.3L | $24.30 |

Jockey: Cristian A. Torres
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
First-starter by Cairo Prince out of Joyful Dreams. Betting the best guide.