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Ellis Park Race 7 - Water Tower S. Presented By Sterling Industrial Stakes

BLACKMAIL (2) ran eighth at his latest appearance over 1811m at Saratoga Turf, clocking in 1.75 lengths from the winner. Should be in the finish. ROYAL CAUSEWAY (7) is in great form, lifting strongly to score last start over 1710m at this track (Turf) to make it two in succession. No reason he cannot add to the picket fence. BRAVE FORCE (6) is coming off a last-start third, beaten 4 lengths, over 1710m at Churchill Downs Turf. Has definite claims. KNICK'S HONOR (4) built on a nice third two starts back at Canterbury Park Turf (Turf) with success as favourite over 1609m at Listed level at Canterbury Park Turf (Turf) five weeks ago, getting home by 0.8 lengths. Well placed and there is no reason he cannot score again.

Race Time:7:55 PM

Sunday, August 2, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:OCAST

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1811m

Fancy Sailor (1)3161

Trainer: Brian A Lynch 12 mths 4: 2-0-1

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.

Weight: 54kgs

3 yo Chestnut C

Sire: JUSTIFY (USA)

Dam: TIZ RO (CAN)

Dam's Sire: Hard Spun

Stats

Prize Money$170,193.00

Avg $$42,548.25

Win %50.00%

Place %75.00%

Career4: 2-0-1

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 0-0-1

2nd Up1: 1-0-0

Firm3: 2-0-0

Good1: 0-0-1

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Comes off a 58 day let-up. Last start won by 1.5 len at Churchill Downs Turf June 5 over 1609m defeating Zakinthos with 53.5kg at $3.56. The race before that 6th of 10 at Churchill Downs Turf on May 8 over 1710m, 6 len behind West End Kid with 53.5kg at $7.41. This is going to test him.

Last Starts 58 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/9	05/06/2026	28	ALLOW OCLM 3	$177,127.00	Churchill Downs	1609m	FM	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	53.5kg	1:33.65	8-2-1	8	1. Fancy Sailor 2. Zakinthos 3. Six O Clock	1.5L	$3.56
6/10	08/05/2026	61	ALLOW OCLM 3	$177,374.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	FM	Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr	53.5kg	1:40.66	7-7-6	5	1. West End Kid 2. Zeus's Echo 3. Time For America	6.0L	$7.41
1/9	08/03/2026	42	MDN 3	$117,978.00	Gulfstream Park	1609m	FM	Joel Rosario	55.5kg	1:33.92	3-3-1	1	1. Fancy Sailor 2. Comprehensive 3. Zephyros	0.3L	$3.10
3/10	25/01/2026	-	MDN 3	$119,829.00	Gulfstream Park	1509m	Good	Luis Saez	55.5kg	1:29.45	9-5-3	7	1. Vasy 2. Democracy Defender 3. Fancy Sailor	0.5L	$5.00

Blackmail (2)71277x128

Trainer: Mark E Casse (USA)12 mths 8: 2-2-0

Jockey: Francisco Arrieta

Weight: 55kgs

3 yo Dark Bay/Brown G

Sire: NOT THIS TIME (USA)

Dam: WAVING (USA)

Dam's Sire: Street Cry

Stats

Prize Money$259,017.00

Avg $$32,377.13

Win %25.00%

Place %50.00%

Career8: 2-2-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance1: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 1-0-0

2nd Up2: 1-1-0

Firm8: 2-2-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic2: 1-0-0

Comments

Comes here off a 29-day let-up. Most recently 8th of 10 at Saratoga Turf in the G1 Belmont Derby Invitational on July 4 over 1811m, 1.75 len behind Title Role with 55.5kg at $36.95. The start before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Saratoga Inner Turf in the G3 Pennine Ridge Stakes on June 4 over 1710m, 1.3 len behind West End Kid carrying 55.5kg at $14.06. Thereabouts last time and rates highly.

Last Starts 29 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
8/10	04/07/2026	30	G1 OPEN 3	$1,088,534.00	Saratoga	1811m	FM	Edgard J Zayas	55.5kg	1:47.55	7-7-8	1	1. Title Role 2. West End Kid 3. Remember Mamba	1.8L	$36.95
2/9	04/06/2026	40	G3 OPEN 3	$418,410.00	Saratoga	1710m	FM	Javier Castellano	55.5kg	1:40.94	3-3-2	5	1. West End Kid 2. Blackmail 3. Bottas	1.3L	$14.06
1/5	25/04/2026	70	LR OPEN 3	$218,341.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	FM	Javier Castellano	54.5kg	1:40.21	1-2-1	3	1. Blackmail 2. Instability 3. Longshoreman	0.3L	$11.57
7/8	14/02/2026	34	ALLOW OCLM 3	$79,173.00	Tampa Bay Downs	1609m	FM	Samy Camacho	53.5kg	1:35.26	2-1-D3	2	1. Mr Mo's Magic 2. Brooklyn Styles 3. You Mule	0.5L	$4.40
7/9	11/01/2026	36	ALLOW OCLM 3	$128,550.00	Gulfstream Park	1710m	FM	Rajiv Maragh	55.5kg	1:40.50	9-8-7	9	1. Thousandsticks 2. Knoty Knicks 3. Patrol Squad Six	9.5L	$13.30
2/10	06/12/2025	13	ALLOW OCLM 2	$84,992.00	Tampa Bay Downs	1609m	FM	Antonio A Gallardo	55.5kg	1:38.81	5-2-2	9	1. Truman's Commander 2. Blackmail 3. A Million Dreams	0.8L	$5.40

Aguila Negra (3)0340017932

Trainer: Deivys Salvador 12 mths 11: 1-1-2

Jockey: Amir Mendoza

Weight: 54kgs

3 yo Bay G

Sire: CATHOLIC BOY (USA)

Dam: MALTESE GOOGOL (USA)

Dam's Sire: Speightstown

Stats

Prize Money$72,792.00

Avg $$6,617.45

Win %9.09%

Place %36.36%

Career11: 1-1-2

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance1: 0-0-1

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm9: 1-1-1

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic4: 1-0-0

Comments

Most recently 2nd of 7 at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on July 8 over 1609m, 1.0 len behind Underappreciated carrying 51kg at $8. The run before that 3rd in a small field at Horseshoe Indianapolis on June 22 over 1673m, 3 len behind Covert Law carrying 51.5kg at $29. Others make more appeal.

Last Starts 25 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/7	08/07/2026	16	CLM 3U	$34,833.00	Indiana Downs	1609m	FM	W Meeks	51kg	1:34.29	6-1-2	6	1. Underappreciated 2. Aguila Negra 3. Hyperbolize	1.0L	$8.00
3/6	22/06/2026	55	ALLOW 3U	$47,420.00	Indiana Downs	1673m	SP	Amir Mendoza	51.5kg	1:42.87	4-2-3	2	1. Covert Law 2. Right On Right On 3. Aguila Negra	3.3L	$29.00
9/12	28/04/2026	18	CLM 3U	$90,247.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	FM	Jann N Hernandez	53.5kg	1:41.77	3-5-9	10	1. Gene And Jude 2. Garryowen 3. Hyperbolize	11.2L	$43.34
7/7	10/04/2026	28	CLM 3U	$84,425.00	Keeneland	1710m	Fast	Jann N Hernandez	54.5kg	1:45.56	6-7-7	5	1. Arthur Jr 2. Profound 3. Hot Property	35.5L	$29.79
1/6	13/03/2026	20	MDN CLM 3	$52,247.00	Turfway Park	1710m	Fast	Jann N Hernandez	54.5kg	1:46.23	4-1-1	4	1. Aguila Negra 2. Bourbon Rage 3. Al Amjaad	4.5L	$6.31
11/12	21/02/2026	35	MDN 3	$142,653.00	Turfway Park	1308m	Fast	Jann N Hernandez	54.5kg	1:19.38	4-11-11	7	1. Canterville 2. Jet Off 3. Sedona Spirit	29.8L	$64.84

Knick's Honor (4)1224725131

Trainer: Lynn Rarick 12 mths 13: 3-4-1

Jockey: Wesley Ho

Weight: 55kgs

3 yo Bay G

Sire: KNICKS GO (USA)

Dam: PURE ELATION (USA)

Dam's Sire: Kitten's Joy

Stats

Prize Money$122,036.00

Avg $$9,387.38

Win %23.08%

Place %61.54%

Career13: 3-4-1

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 1-0-0

2nd Up2: 0-1-0

Firm10: 3-3-1

Good2: 0-1-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Form hard to fault. Returns from a 36-day let-up. At the latest run favourite; won by 0.8 len at Canterbury Park Turf LR June 27 over 1609m defeating Jackie Paper with 52.5kg at $1.90. The run before that 3rd in a small field at Canterbury Park Turf on June 14 over 1609m, 4 len behind Athens Moon carrying 54.5kg at $3.30. Capable of a strong showing.

Last Starts 36 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/7	27/06/2026	13	LR OPEN 3	$69,735.00	Canterbury Park	1609m	FM	Eduardo Gallardo	52.5kg	1:36.18	2-1-1	4	1. Knick's Honor 2. Jackie Paper 3. Mr In Personal	0.8L	$1.90
3/6	14/06/2026	21	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$34,170.00	Canterbury Park	1609m	FM	Eduardo Gallardo	54.5kg	1:34.56	3-3-3	3	1. Athens Moon 2. Zoffarelli 3. Knick's Honor	3.8L	$3.30
1/7	24/05/2026	39	ALLOW 3U	$32,821.00	Canterbury Park	1609m	FM	Constantino Roman	54.5kg	1:37.26	1-2-1	2	1. Knick's Honor 2. Elston Gunnn 3. Outlaw Run	0.8L	$2.50
5/10	15/04/2026	26	HCP 3	$52,402.00	Tampa Bay Downs	1609m	FM	David Delgado	53.5kg	1:35.92	4-3-5	9	1. Jes See Me 2. Chingu 3. Live Stream	10.5L	$11.40
2/9	20/03/2026	13	HCP 3	$50,562.00	Tampa Bay Downs	1710m	FM	David Delgado	53.5kg	1:42.57	1-2-2	6	1. Empire Of Glory 2. Knick's Honor 3. Megacles	1.3L	$12.50
7/8	07/03/2026	21	LR OPEN 3	$175,562.00	Tampa Bay Downs	1609m	Good	David Delgado	54kg	1:37.61	5-8-7	6	1. Alpyland 2. Proton 3. Knoty Knicks	15.8L	$87.20

Brave Force (5)655431613

Trainer: Jack Sisterson 12 mths 9: 2-0-2

Jockey: Vincent Cheminaud

Weight: 54kgs

3 yo Bay G

Sire: GUN RUNNER (USA)

Dam: LIGHT BLOW (USA)

Dam's Sire: Kingmambo

Stats

Prize Money$272,334.00

Avg $$30,259.33

Win %22.22%

Place %44.44%

Career9: 2-0-2

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm7: 1-0-1

Good1: 0-0-1

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic4: 1-0-1

Comments

Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 36-day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 7 at Churchill Downs Turf in LR on June 27 over 1710m, 4 len behind Alpyland carrying 53.5kg at $18.48. The start before that won by 1.5 len at Churchill Downs May 16 over 1710m defeating Doctrine carrying 53.5kg at $7.28. Definite chance.

Last Starts 36 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/7	27/06/2026	42	LR OPEN 3	$383,543.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	Good	Tyler Gaffalione	53.5kg	1:42.29	6-4-3	7	1. Alpyland 2. Immortalised 3. Brave Force	4.0L	$18.48
1/7	16/05/2026	56	ALLOW OCLM 3	$177,374.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	SP	Vincent Cheminaud	53.5kg	1:44.55	7-3-1	4	1. Brave Force 2. Doctrine 3. Six O Clock	1.5L	$7.28
6/12	21/03/2026	21	G3 OPEN 3	$1,091,292.00	Turfway Park	1811m	Fast	Vincent Cheminaud	56kg	1:49.94	12-7-6	9	1. Fulleffort 2. Stark Contrast 3. Medici	15.5L	$92.73
1/9	28/02/2026	42	MDN 3	$140,449.00	Turfway Park	1609m	Fast	Vincent Cheminaud	54.5kg	1:40.05	6-3-1	8	1. Brave Force 2. Helpful Howie 3. Silver Sniper	1.3L	$7.36
3/12	17/01/2026	36	MDN 3	$149,477.00	Turfway Park	1710m	Fast	Vincent Cheminaud	54.5kg	1:48.10	9-4-3	11	1. Empire West 2. Maginnesontap 3. Brave Force	0.6L	$11.87
4/12	12/12/2025	41	MDN 2	$153,139.00	Turfway Park	1207m	Fast	Vincent Cheminaud	54kg	1:10.37	7-3-4	6	1. Great White 2. Canterville, Ghetto Fancy	3.8L	$4.95

Royal Causeway (6)4562344411

Trainer: Dallas Stewart 12 mths 10: 2-1-1

Jockey: Cristian A. Torres

Weight: 54kgs

3 yo Dark Bay/Brown C

Sire: NOT THIS TIME (USA)

Dam: BAHAMA HALO (USA)

Dam's Sire: More Than Ready

Stats

Prize Money$272,499.00

Avg $$27,249.90

Win %20.00%

Place %40.00%

Career10: 2-1-1

Track1: 1-0-0

Distance3: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm8: 2-1-1

Good1: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Recent form sound. Comes off a 29 day let-up. Most recently won by a 0.3 len at this track July 4 over 1710m defeating Doctrine with 55.5kg at $11.63. The run before that ran on from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at Churchill Downs Turf June 6 over 1811m defeating Feline Curious carrying 53.5kg at $5.80. Has the ability to be in the finish.

Last Starts 29 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/9	04/07/2026	28	ALLOW OCLM 3	$148,041.00	Ellis Park	1710m	FM	Cristian Mauricio Torres	55.5kg	1:39.59	7-5-1	5	1. Royal Causeway 2. Doctrine 3. Patrol Squad Six	0.3L	$11.63
1/12	06/06/2026	28	MDN 3U	$167,364.00	Churchill Downs	1811m	FM	Cristian Mauricio Torres	53.5kg	1:47.84	6-3-1	1	1. Royal Causeway 2. Feline Curious 3. Limelight	0.3L	$5.80
4/12	09/05/2026	49	MDN 3U	$167,598.00	Churchill Downs	1811m	FM	Tyler Gaffalione	53.5kg	1:46.26	1-3-4	3	1. Supercharger 2. Swerve 3. Comprehensive	3.3L	$10.72
4/9	21/03/2026	44	MDN 3	$105,337.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	FM	Tyler Gaffalione	54.5kg	1:43.42	9-7-4	9	1. Classic Tap 2. Swerve 3. Prepped	2.8L	$3.90
4/9	05/02/2026	28	MDN 3	$77,033.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	Good	Florent Geroux	54.5kg	1:45.05	9-1-D2	5	1. Black Hornet 2. Mischief Ride 3. Provider	0.8L	$5.00
3/9	08/01/2026	40	MDN 3	$80,717.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	FM	Florent Geroux	54.5kg	1:43.85	7-6-3	5	1. Touch Of Fire 2. Robert Lee 3. Royal Causeway	9.5L	$3.20