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Ellis Park Race 8 - Ky Downs Preview Nashville Derby Stakes

EMERGENCE (7) finished third when resuming two runs back at Churchill Downs (Turf) then progressed nicely last time out to score by 14 lengths as public elect over 2414m at Churchill Downs (Dirt). Finds a tougher race but another big run will not surprise. ESMARK (5) was beaten for speed off the rails draw last start then hit the line hard to score over 1710m at Churchill Downs (Turf). Should be in the finish again. NATIVE RUNNER (4) is racing well. Scored at Churchill Downs (Turf) two back then finished second, beaten half a length, over 1710m in Listed grade at Churchill Downs (Turf) at the latest appearance five weeks ago. Should be thereabouts again. SIESTA KEY (9) opened this campaign last start with a fourth, beaten 1.1 lengths, over 1710m at Churchill Downs. Has an imposing record of two wins from four starts. Serious contender.

Race Time:8:12 PM
Saturday, August 2, 2025
Track:Good
Weather:N/A
Prize Money:$0.00
Distance:1811m
1
Silk
Mesero (1)1453x18x
Trainer: Dale L Romans 12 mths 6: 2-0-1

Jockey: Corey Lanerie

Weight: 53.5kgs

3 yo Grey/Roan C
Sire: NOT THIS TIME (USA)
Dam: LEMON LIQUEUR (USA)
Dam's Sire: Exchange Rate

Stats

Prize Money$242,541.00
Avg $$40,423.50
Win %33.33%
Place %50.00%
Career6: 2-0-1
Track0: 0-0-0
Distance1: 0-0-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up2: 2-0-0
2nd Up2: 0-0-0
Firm0: 0-0-0
Good1: 1-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

First-up. Finished off last preparation when last of 8 at Churchill Downs in the LR May 31 over 1811m, 42 len behind World Beater with 53.5kg at $6.01. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.8 len Keeneland April 12 over 1609m defeating States' Rights with 53.5kg at $6.96.

Last Starts 62 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
8/831/05/202549LR OPEN 3$429,688.00Churchill Downs1811mFMC Lanerie53.5kg1:47.398-8-84
  • 1. World Beater
  • 2. King Of Ashes
  • 3. Tomasello
42.5L$6.01
1/1212/04/2025155ALLOW 3$191,693.00Keeneland1609mGoodC Lanerie53.5kg1:37.7411-5-16
  • 1. Mesero
  • 2. States' Rights
  • 3. Assertiveness
0.8L$6.96
3/1208/11/202434ALLOW 2$193,303.00Churchill Downs1710mFMC Lanerie54.5kg1:42.774-5-33
  • 1. Giocoso
  • 2. Papiamento
  • 3. Mesero
0.8L$7.71
5/1105/10/202421G1 OPEN 2$867,052.00Keeneland1710mFastC Lanerie55.5kg1:43.179-4-57
  • 1. East Avenue
  • 2. Ferocious
  • 3. Filoso
11.8L$46.10
4/1114/09/202447G3 OPEN 2$441,176.00Churchill Downs1609mFastC Lanerie55.5kg1:36.088-5-410
  • 1. Jonathan's Way
  • 2. Owen Almighty
  • 3. Giocoso
7.8L$22.86
1/1229/07/2024-MDN 2$106,767.00Ellis Park1207mMC Lanerie54kg1:11.9712-4-12
  • 1. Mesero
  • 2. Trew Violence
  • 3. Snap Call
1.8L$6.29
2
Silk
Yinzer (2)35510851
Trainer: Steven Asmussen 12 mths 8: 2-0-1

Jockey: Keith Asmussen

Weight: 53.5kgs

3 yo Bay C
Sire: TWIRLING CANDY (USA)
Dam: REHEARSED (USA)
Dam's Sire: Tapit

Stats

Prize Money$177,952.00
Avg $$22,244.00
Win %25.00%
Place %37.50%
Career8: 2-0-1
Track1: 1-0-0
Distance0: 0-0-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up1: 0-0-1
2nd Up1: 0-0-0
Firm1: 0-0-0
Good0: 0-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

At the latest run won by 1.5 len at this track July 5 over 1710m defeating Sing Sing carrying 54.5kg at $8.29. Before that 5th of 11 at Churchill Downs on June 7 over 1609m, 5 len behind Native Runner with 53.5kg at $13.26.

Last Starts 27 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
1/905/07/202528ALLOW OCLM 3$155,963.00Ellis Park1710mFMKeith J Asmussen54.5kg1:40.162-1-13
  • 1. Yinzer
  • 2. Sing Sing
  • 3. The Warden
1.5L$8.29
5/1107/06/202535ALLOW OCLM 3$197,512.00Churchill Downs1609mFMKeith J Asmussen53.5kg1:35.081-3-53
  • 1. Native Runner
  • 2. Anegada
  • 3. Maui Strong
4.8L$13.26
8/1003/05/202542ALLOW OCLM 3$198,438.00Churchill Downs1710mSPJose Ortiz53.5kg1:42.837-6-88
  • 1. Goal Oriented
  • 2. Hypnus
  • 3. Tiz Secure
13.1L$22.26
10/1022/03/202535G2 OPEN 3$1,584,786.00Fairgrounds1911mFastBen Curtis55.5kg1:56.204-10-104
  • 1. Tiztastic
  • 2. Chunk Of Gold
  • 3. Instant Replay
51.6L$43.00
1/915/02/202528MDN 3$88,567.00Fairgrounds1710mFastKeith J Asmussen54.5kg1:44.492-1-15
  • 1. Yinzer
  • 2. Morlock
  • 3. Only In America
2.0L$12.20
5/918/01/202528MDN 3$96,774.00Fairgrounds1710mSPLanfranco Dettori54.5kg1:46.335-2-51
  • 1. Hypnus
  • 2. Cromwell
  • 3. Doroteo
8.3L$3.70
3
Silk
I Know I Know (3)4211754x23
Trainer: P L Biancone (USA)12 mths 10: 2-2-1

Jockey: Julien Leparoux

Weight: 53.5kgs

3 yo Dark Bay/Brown G
Sire: JESS'S DREAM (USA)
Dam: PROVE ME (USA)
Dam's Sire: Big Drama

Stats

Prize Money$195,349.00
Avg $$19,534.90
Win %20.00%
Place %50.00%
Career10: 2-2-1
Track0: 0-0-0
Distance0: 0-0-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up3: 0-1-0
2nd Up2: 0-1-1
Firm0: 0-0-0
Good2: 1-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic5: 1-2-1

Comments

Dual acceptor. Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 7 at Gulfstream Park on June 6 over 1673m, 6 len behind Iron Hand with 55kg at $6.70. Last start 3rd of 8 at Gulfstream Park in LR on July 5 over 1673m, 3.5 len behind Prevent with 52.5kg at $25.70.

Last Starts 27 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
3/805/07/202529LR OPEN 3U$114,679.00Gulfstream Park1673mFastJonathan Ocasio52.5kg1:39.311-4-31
  • 1. Prevent
  • 2. Kalik
  • 3. I Know I Know
3.5L$25.70
2/706/06/2025156ALLOW 3$90,202.00Gulfstream Park1673mFastJonathan Ocasio55kg1:40.505-2-21
  • 1. Iron Hand
  • 2. I Know I Know
  • 3. Krioyo
5.8L$6.70
4/701/01/202533LR OPEN 3$266,129.00Gulfstream Park1673mFastJoe Bravo54.5kg1:39.177-5-42
  • 1. Mi Bago
  • 2. Hammerhead
  • 3. Maui Strong
3.8L$12.40
5/1029/11/202427LR OPEN 2$175,038.00Gulfstream Park1509mFMJoe Bravo54.5kg1:27.066-6-510
  • 1. Mi Bago
  • 2. Hit That Review
  • 3. Bucaro
7.8L$15.30
7/1002/11/202422LR OPEN 2$144,597.00Gulfstream Park1609mGoodJoe Bravo55.5kg1:35.046-7-710
  • 1. Naughty Rascal
  • 2. Tank
  • 3. Scarecrow
8.8L$3.40
1/611/10/202412ALLOW OCLM 2$88,150.00Gulfstream Park1673mFastJoe Bravo54.5kg1:41.463-1-11
  • 1. I Know I Know
  • 2. Bridle A Butterfly
  • 3. Rocka Storm
2.3L$2.30
4
Silk
Native Runner (4)387011612
Trainer: Kenneth G McPeek (USA)12 mths 9: 3-1-1

Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr.

Weight: 53.5kgs

3 yo Bay C
Sire: LAOBAN (USA)
Dam: INTERMITTENT (USA)
Dam's Sire: Bernardini

Stats

Prize Money$269,135.00
Avg $$29,903.89
Win %33.33%
Place %55.56%
Career9: 3-1-1
Track0: 0-0-0
Distance0: 0-0-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up1: 0-0-1
2nd Up1: 0-0-0
Firm0: 0-0-0
Good1: 0-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Racing well recently. Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently 2nd in a small field at Churchill Downs in LR on June 28 over 1710m, 0.5 len behind Minaret Station with 53.5kg at $8.74. The run before that won by a 0.3 len at Churchill Downs June 7 over 1609m defeating Anegada carrying 53.5kg at $29.02.

Last Starts 34 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
2/528/06/202521LR OPEN 3$388,802.00Churchill Downs1710mFMBrian Joseph Hernandez Jr53.5kg1:44.293-4-24
  • 1. Minaret Station
  • 2. Native Runner
  • 3. Freedom's Not Free
0.5L$8.74
1/1107/06/202556ALLOW OCLM 3$197,512.00Churchill Downs1609mFMBrian Joseph Hernandez Jr53.5kg1:35.089-5-16
  • 1. Native Runner
  • 2. Anegada
  • 3. Maui Strong
0.3L$29.02
6/712/04/202525G3 OPEN 3$638,978.00Keeneland1710mFastJose Ortiz56kg1:44.156-7-64
  • 1. Gosger
  • 2. Bracket Buster
  • 3. Praetor
10.8L$14.93
1/518/03/202526HCP 3$44,374.00Fairgrounds1673mFastJose Ortiz55.5kg1:41.703-1-11
  • 1. Native Runner
  • 2. Magnum Force
  • 3. Golden Ice
4.3L$2.90
1/920/02/202531MDN OCLM 3$46,699.00Fairgrounds1710mFastBrian Joseph Hernandez Jr55.5kg1:45.897-2-16
  • 1. Native Runner
  • 2. Tested
  • 3. Diamond Eyed Jack
0.1L$3.40
10/1220/01/202530MDN 3$93,548.00Fairgrounds1710mGoodBrian Joseph Hernandez Jr54.5kg1:45.057-11-101
  • 1. Reagan's Wit
  • 2. Thermoscat
  • 3. Lebowski
11.1L$26.90
5
Silk
Esmark (5)3x611
Trainer: Victoria H Oliver 12 mths 4: 2-0-1

Jockey: Luan Machado

Weight: 53.5kgs

3 yo Chestnut C
Sire: CONSTITUTION (USA)
Dam: NEVERTHESAME (USA)
Dam's Sire: Scat Daddy

Stats

Prize Money$250,094.00
Avg $$62,523.50
Win %50.00%
Place %75.00%
Career4: 2-0-1
Track0: 0-0-0
Distance0: 0-0-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up2: 0-0-1
2nd Up1: 1-0-0
Firm0: 0-0-0
Good0: 0-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Chasing a hat-trick. Comes off a 43 day let-up. Most recently won by a nose at Churchill Downs June 20 over 1710m defeating Seven Wonders carrying 54.5kg at $2.84. Before that came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Churchill Downs May 26 over 1710m defeating War And Majesty carrying 53.5kg at $6.12.

Last Starts 42 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
1/820/06/202525ALLOW 3U$197,512.00Churchill Downs1710mFMLuis Saez54.5kg1:40.675-5-11
  • 1. Esmark
  • 2. Seven Wonders
  • 3. Warlander
0.1L$2.84
1/1226/05/202543MDN 3U$187,500.00Churchill Downs1710mFMJunior Alvarado53.5kg1:41.077-2-16
  • 1. Esmark
  • 2. War And Majesty
  • 3. Fateful Lightning
1.0L$6.12
6/1213/04/2025225MDN 3$175,719.00Keeneland1710mFMJohn R Velazquez54.5kg1:41.719-5-67
  • 1. Dublin's Knight
  • 2. World Beater
  • 3. Salamis
8.8L$15.98
3/1231/08/2024-MDN 2$261,137.00Kentucky1207mFMJohn R Velazquez54kg1:10.0211-6-310
  • 1. Floodlites
  • 2. Hit That Review
  • 3. Esmark
3.5L$20.17
6
Silk
Coalmoon (6)925x216x21
Trainer: P H Lobo (USA)12 mths 10: 2-3-1

Jockey: Joseph Ramos

Weight: 53.5kgs

3 yo Dark Bay/Brown G
Sire: COAL FRONT (USA)
Dam: STELLA MOON (USA)
Dam's Sire: Malibu Moon

Stats

Prize Money$215,652.00
Avg $$21,565.20
Win %20.00%
Place %60.00%
Career10: 2-3-1
Track1: 0-0-0
Distance0: 0-0-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up3: 0-2-0
2nd Up3: 2-0-1
Firm0: 0-0-0
Good0: 0-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic3: 1-1-0

Comments

Third-up today. Freshened for 41 days. Resuming 2nd of 11 at Churchill Downs on May 26 over 1609m, 1.5 len behind Racing Driver carrying 54.5kg at $8.89. Last start won by 5.5 len at Churchill Downs June 22 over 1509m defeating Art Fair with 54.5kg at $1.92.

Last Starts 40 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
1/622/06/202527ALLOW 3$129,082.00Churchill Downs1509mFastLuan Machado54.5kg1:27.835-1-11
  • 1. Coalmoon
  • 2. Art Fair
  • 3. Acknowledge
5.5L$1.92
2/1126/05/202565ALLOW 3$129,688.00Churchill Downs1609mFastLuan Machado54.5kg1:36.717-5-26
  • 1. Racing Driver
  • 2. Coalmoon
  • 3. Strategic Force
1.5L$8.89
6/822/03/202536LR OPEN 3$396,197.00Turfway Park1710mFastAdam Beschizza54.5kg1:45.925-5-65
  • 1. Banks
  • 2. Megalodon
  • 3. End Of Romance
6.5L$6.49
1/714/02/202521MDN 3$66,345.00Turfway Park1609mFastAdam Beschizza54.5kg1:39.602-2-12
  • 1. Coalmoon
  • 2. Hard Circle
  • 3. Courageous Clay
1.0L$1.96
2/1224/01/202565MDN 3$66,452.00Turfway Park1609mFastLuan Machado54.5kg1:39.616-1-28
  • 1. Desperate Proposal
  • 2. Coalmoon
  • 3. Brotha Keny
0.3L$4.08
5/720/11/202424MDN 2$140,030.00Churchill Downs1710mFastBrian Joseph Hernandez Jr54kg1:45.204-5-51
  • 1. Baby Max
  • 2. Lured Away
  • 3. South Bend Tom
10.8L$2.14
7
Silk
Emergence (7)18x31
Trainer: B H Cox (USA)12 mths 4: 2-0-1

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Weight: 53.5kgs

3 yo Dark Bay/Brown C
Sire: UNCLE MO (USA)
Dam: BELLE WATLING (USA)
Dam's Sire: Pulpit

Stats

Prize Money$204,768.00
Avg $$51,192.00
Win %50.00%
Place %75.00%
Career4: 2-0-1
Track0: 0-0-0
Distance0: 0-0-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up2: 1-0-1
2nd Up2: 1-0-0
Firm0: 0-0-0
Good0: 0-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic1: 1-0-0

Comments

Third-up today. Resumes off a 50 day letup. First-up 3rd of 9 at Churchill Downs on May 9 over 1710m, 4 len behind Tomasello with 53.5kg at $6. Second-up won by 14 len at Churchill Downs June 13 over 2414m defeating Domingo with 53.5kg at $2.72. Racing well.

Last Starts 49 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
1/813/06/202535ALLOW 3U$197,512.00Churchill Downs2414mSPVincent Cheminaud53.5kg2:31.726-1-15
  • 1. Emergence
  • 2. Domingo
  • 3. Presider
14.5L$2.72
3/909/05/202569ALLOW OCLM 3$198,438.00Churchill Downs1710mFMLanfranco Dettori53.5kg1:40.619-4-37
  • 1. Tomasello
  • 2. Discreet Dancer
  • 3. Emergence
3.8L$6.00
8/1001/03/202528LR OPEN 3$345,104.00Gulfstream Park1609mFMLuis Saez53.5kg1:32.518-9-89
  • 1. Mi Bago
  • 2. Enterdadragon
  • 3. George Briggs
12.1L$7.90
1/1001/02/2025-MDN 3$151,613.00Gulfstream Park1710mFastLuis Saez53.5kg1:42.828-1-17
  • 1. Emergence
  • 2. Daham
  • 3. Trip Aces
3.3L$8.80
8
Silk
Tomasello (8)6322113x
Trainer: Mark E Casse (USA)12 mths 7: 2-2-2

Jockey: Fernando De La Cruz

Weight: 53.5kgs

3 yo Bay C
Sire: AUTHENTIC (USA)
Dam: DAKOTA QUEEN (USA)
Dam's Sire: War Front

Stats

Prize Money$315,536.00
Avg $$45,076.57
Win %28.57%
Place %85.71%
Career7: 2-2-2
Track0: 0-0-0
Distance2: 1-0-1
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up1: 0-0-0
2nd Up1: 0-0-1
Firm0: 0-0-0
Good1: 1-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic2: 0-1-1

Comments

Resuming after a nine weeks break. Finished off last campaign third of 8 at Churchill Downs in the LR May 31 over 1811m, 2.5 len behind World Beater with 53.5kg at $8.83. On debut sixth of 11 at Churchill Downs November 23 over 1308m, 11 len behind Mo Quality carrying 54kg at $17.42.

Last Starts 62 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
3/831/05/202522LR OPEN 3$429,688.00Churchill Downs1811mFMJose Ortiz53.5kg1:47.393-2-31
  • 1. World Beater
  • 2. King Of Ashes
  • 3. Tomasello
2.5L$8.83
1/909/05/202531ALLOW OCLM 3$198,438.00Churchill Downs1710mFMJose Ortiz54.5kg1:40.612-1-14
  • 1. Tomasello
  • 2. Discreet Dancer
  • 3. Emergence
0.1L$2.92
1/1208/04/202545MDN 3$175,719.00Keeneland1811mGoodJose Ortiz54.5kg1:51.541-1-11
  • 1. Tomasello
  • 2. Van Ginkel
  • 3. Meritorious
3.0L$3.95
2/1022/02/202535MDN 3$151,369.00Gulfstream Park1509mFMJavier Castellano53.5kg1:27.975-3-26
  • 1. After Taxes
  • 2. Tomasello
  • 3. World Beater
0.8L$3.90
2/1118/01/202535MDN 3$151,613.00Gulfstream Park1710mFastJavier Castellano53.5kg1:42.628-1-211
  • 1. King Of Ashes
  • 2. Tomasello
  • 3. Spirit Of The Law
0.3L$5.80
3/1214/12/202421MDN 2$123,267.00Turfway Park1207mFastFernando De La Cruz54kg1:10.286-5-34
  • 1. Buy The Rights
  • 2. Sinister Smile
  • 3. Tomasello
3.0L$8.77
9
Silk
Siesta Key (9)118x4
Trainer: B H Cox (USA)12 mths 4: 2-0-0

Jockey: Florent Geroux

Weight: 53.5kgs

3 yo Bay C
Sire: INTO MISCHIEF (USA)
Dam: COCOA BEACH (CHI)
Dam's Sire: Doneraile Court

Stats

Prize Money$165,549.00
Avg $$41,387.25
Win %50.00%
Place %50.00%
Career4: 2-0-0
Track0: 0-0-0
Distance0: 0-0-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up2: 1-0-0
2nd Up1: 1-0-0
Firm0: 0-0-0
Good0: 0-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Second-up. First-up after nine months in a small field at Churchill Downs in LR on June 28 over 1710m, 1.1 len behind Minaret Station with 53.5kg at $8.28. Previously second-up won by a 0.1 len at Colonial Downs LR September 7 over 1710m defeating Aristotle carrying 54.5kg at $2.10.

Last Starts 34 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
4/528/06/2025265LR OPEN 3$388,802.00Churchill Downs1710mFMFlavien Prat53.5kg1:44.295-2-42
  • 1. Minaret Station
  • 2. Native Runner
  • 3. Freedom's Not Free
1.1L$8.28
8/1206/10/202429G2 OPEN 2$505,780.00Keeneland1710mFMLuan Machado54.5kg1:42.2812-8-83
  • 1. Minaret Station
  • 2. Golden Afternoon
  • 3. Clock Tower
9.6L$18.47
1/807/09/202437LR OPEN 2$183,824.00Colonial Downs1710mFMManuel Franco54.5kg1:44.667-3-13
  • 1. Siesta Key
  • 2. Aristotle
  • 3. Thrilla
0.1L$2.10
1/801/08/2024-MDN 2$49,155.00Indiana Downs1609mFastAxel Concepcion54.5kg1:40.635-3-15
  • 1. Siesta Key
  • 2. The Count Is On
  • 3. Boss Of All Bosses
1.0L$2.10

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