Churchill Downs Race 4 - Race 4 - Allowance
DEFIANT LASS (11) has switched yards since finishing second five weeks ago over 1710m at Gulfstream Park Turf. Plenty to like about her prospects. SURPRISE ENDING (8) resumes. Wasn't far away at last run before a break, finishing fourth over 1710m at Ellis Park Turf (Turf) four-and-a-half months ago. Sure to make her presence felt. LAST CURTAIN CALL (3) was too good for a maiden field last start over 1710m at Keeneland (Dirt), scoring by 6 lengths. Re-unites with Mario Gutierrez who was on board last start. Tougher task this time but expected to be competitive again. NOW OR NEVERMORE (9) was out of the money two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 1207m at Belmont Park Turf, beaten 3 lengths into fifth. Well placed to make amends. Something for the Multiples: TRUSTY TROUTMAN (7)

Jockey: Francisco Arrieta
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
At the latest run ran last in a small field at Keeneland on October 24 over 1710m, 23 len behind Lolo Le Plume carrying 53.5kg at $6.31. The run before that 2nd of 9 at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on August 24 over 1710m, 1.5 len behind More Galilady carrying 53.5kg at $26.30. Looking to others in this race.
Last Starts 21 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/6 | 24/10/2026 | 61 | CLM FM 3U | $112,069.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Fast | Tyler Gaffalione | 53.5kg | 1:44.86 | 5-5-6 | 3 |
| 23.8L | $6.31 |
| 2/9 | 24/08/2026 | 36 | ALLOW FM 3U | $48,502.00 | Indiana Downs | 1710m | Good | Jane Elliott | 53.5kg | 1:46.68 | 6-5-2 | 7 |
| 1.5L | $26.30 |
| 6/7 | 19/07/2026 | 23 | ALLOW FM 3U | $148,041.00 | Ellis Park | 1811m | Y | Antongeorgi Iii William | 53.5kg | 1:49.67 | 5-7-6 | 7 |
| 11.0L | $35.52 |
| 4/5 | 26/06/2026 | 43 | ALLOW OCLM F 3 | $177,127.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | SP | Antongeorgi Iii William | 53.5kg | 1:44.73 | 5-5-4 | 3 |
| 7.5L | $25.78 |
| 2/8 | 14/05/2026 | 60 | ALLOW F 3 | $47,486.00 | Indiana Downs | 1609m | FM | Antongeorgi Iii William | 54kg | 1:37.47 | 8-6-2 | 6 |
| 2.8L | $11.10 |
| 4/7 | 15/03/2026 | 56 | ALLOW OCLM F 3 | $77,949.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1609m | FM | J Castanon | 53.5kg | 1:37.34 | 7-4-4 | 4 |
| 2.5L | $26.50 |

Jockey: Mario Gutierrez
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes here off a 29-day let-up. Last start won by 6 len at Keeneland on October 15 over 1710m defeating She's On A Roll carrying 54.5kg at $14.37. The race before that ran second last of 11 at Kentucky on September 9 over 1308m, 10 len behind Paris Twilight carrying 55kg at $41.21. An inside alley is a big advantage. Winning prospects.
Last Starts 30 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/5 | 15/10/2026 | 36 | MDN FM 3U | $158,046.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Good | Mario Gutierrez | 54.5kg | 1:46.01 | 1-1-1 | 3 |
| 5.8L | $14.37 |
| 10/11 | 09/09/2026 | 40 | MDN FM 3U | $236,111.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Mario Gutierrez | 55kg | 1:17.08 | 7-10-10 | 6 |
| 10.3L | $41.21 |
| 11/12 | 31/07/2026 | 51 | MDN FM 3U | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FM | Yedsit Hazlewood | 54kg | 1:02.15 | 10-10-11 | 4 |
| 15.2L | $10.32 |
| 5/12 | 10/06/2026 | 17 | MDN FM 3U | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Edgar Morales | 53.5kg | 1:02.77 | 1-6-5 | 2 |
| 8.5L | $14.56 |
| 7/9 | 24/05/2026 | 140 | MDN FM 3U | $167,598.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | SP | Mario Gutierrez | 53.5kg | 1:48.34 | 3-7-7 | 6 |
| 18.8L | $10.90 |
| 4/10 | 04/01/2026 | 70 | MDN F 3 | $125,561.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Mario Gutierrez | 55.5kg | 1:33.58 | 2-5-4 | 5 |
| 1.1L | $11.80 |

Jockey: Jaime A. Torres
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second run back. First-up after three months 5th of 9 at Keeneland on October 14 over 1609m, 6 len behind Lit Ship carrying 53.5kg at $23.48. Previously second-up 3rd of 7 at Ellis Park Turf on July 24 over 1609m, 6 len behind Dagmara with 55.5kg at $7.81. Should progress from that first-up run.
Last Starts 31 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/9 | 14/10/2026 | 82 | ALLOW FM 3U | $172,414.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | SP | Jaime A Torres | 53.5kg | 1:38.38 | 3-4-5 | 3 |
| 5.8L | $23.48 |
| 3/7 | 24/07/2026 | 33 | ALLOW F 3 | $148,041.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FM | Jaime A Torres | 55.5kg | 1:34.43 | 6-5-3 | 3 |
| 5.8L | $7.81 |
| 1/8 | 21/06/2026 | 204 | MDN CLM FM 3U | $96,234.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 53.5kg | 1:41.39 | 1-2-1 | 5 |
| 1.8L | $8.64 |
| 6/12 | 29/11/2025 | 42 | MDN F 2 | $183,206.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Jaime A Torres | 54kg | 1:44.64 | 5-6-6 | 6 |
| 6.8L | $31.38 |
| 3/12 | 18/10/2025 | 28 | MDN F 2 | $167,428.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | Axel Concepcion | 54kg | 1:37.99 | 1-3-3 | 3 |
| 5.5L | $11.75 |
| 12/12 | 20/09/2025 | 33 | MDN F 2 | $183,486.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Jaime A Torres | 54kg | 1:38.63 | 2-12-LR | 2 |
| 99.0L | $17.25 |

Jockey: Summer Pauly
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a 54-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd in a small field at Churchill Downs on September 20 over 1609m, 7 len behind Cara Felce with 53.5kg at $9.26. Before that ran on from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at Kentucky on September 6 over 1308m defeating Alta Avenue carrying 54kg at $27.50. Looks to be making up the numbers.
Last Starts 55 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/6 | 20/09/2026 | 14 | ALLOW FM 3U | $86,111.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Summer Pauly | 53.5kg | 1:36.86 | 4-2-3 | 1 |
| 7.5L | $9.26 |
| 1/12 | 06/09/2026 | 20 | ALLOW F 3 | $138,889.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Summer Pauly | 54kg | 1:17.30 | 6-2-1 | 7 |
| 0.3L | $27.50 |
| 2/5 | 17/08/2026 | 52 | CLM FM 3U | $57,061.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | M | Summer Pauly | 53.5kg | 1:37.99 | 1-3-2 | 1 |
| 5.5L | $11.17 |
| 6/11 | 26/06/2026 | 22 | CLM FM 3U | $86,471.00 | Churchill Downs | 1308m | SP | Jaime A Torres | 53.5kg | 1:18.05 | 5-8-6 | 1 |
| 4.6L | $21.17 |
| 3/4 | 04/06/2026 | 57 | CLM FM 3U | $86,471.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | Fast | Edgar Morales | 53.5kg | 1:11.52 | 1-3-3 | 2 |
| 5.0L | $8.91 |
| 2/5 | 08/04/2026 | 33 | ALLOW FM 3U | $37,700.00 | Mahoning Valley | 1609m | Fast | Angel I Diaz | 54.5kg | 1:42.27 | 5-2-2 | 1 |
| 0.3L | $2.70 |

Jockey: Julien R. Leparoux
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Last start 3rd in a small field at Keeneland on October 24 over 1710m, 8 len behind Lolo Le Plume with 55.5kg at $7.93. The race before that ran last of 7 at Saratoga on August 30 over 1609m, 19 len behind Donor Advised with 57kg at $19.64. Win doesn't look likely.
Last Starts 21 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/6 | 24/10/2026 | 55 | CLM FM 3U | $112,069.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Fast | Abel Cedillo | 55.5kg | 1:44.86 | 4-3-3 | 6 |
| 8.3L | $7.93 |
| 7/7 | 30/08/2026 | 35 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $171,184.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | Fast | Javier Castellano | 57kg | 1:37.27 | 4-7-7 | 6 |
| 19.8L | $19.64 |
| 7/8 | 26/07/2026 | 240 | ALLOW FM 3U | $148,041.00 | Ellis Park | 1308m | Fast | Jaime A Torres | 55.5kg | 1:16.16 | 7-8-7 | 4 |
| 12.1L | $19.40 |
| 5/6 | 28/11/2025 | 63 | ALLOW FM 3U | $193,893.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Abel Cedillo | 53.5kg | 1:35.30 | 4-5-5 | 6 |
| 6.9L | $10.76 |
| 3/8 | 26/09/2025 | 47 | ALLOW FM 3U | $126,911.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 53.5kg | 1:44.22 | 3-3-3 | 5 |
| 3.8L | $2.35 |
| 3/7 | 10/08/2025 | 45 | LR OPEN F 3 | $310,078.00 | Ellis Park | 1408m | Fast | Edgar Morales | 53.5kg | 1:23.08 | 7-5-3 | 5 |
| 3.5L | $11.85 |

Jockey: Albin Jimenez
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
At the latest run 5th of 8 at Belmont Park Turf on October 21 over 1207m, 3 len behind Long Legged Queen with 56kg at $4.91. Before that 8th of 11 at Keeneland Turf on October 2 over 1106m, 10 len behind La Puma carrying 53.5kg at $25.86. Definite winning chance. Keep safe.
Last Starts 24 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/8 | 21/10/2026 | 19 | ALLOW FM 3U | $150,862.00 | Belmont Park | 1207m | FM | Rocco Bowen | 56kg | 1:08.15 | 7-6-5 | 3 |
| 3.2L | $4.91 |
| 8/11 | 02/10/2026 | 35 | ALLOW F 3 | $201,149.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | Good | Mitchell Murrill | 53.5kg | 1:03.81 | 8-7-8 | 5 |
| 10.3L | $25.86 |
| 8/9 | 28/08/2026 | 27 | G2 OPEN F 3 | $1,069,900.00 | Charles Town | 1408m | Fast | Mitchell Murrill | 53kg | 1:25.36 | 9-6-8 | 8 |
| 19.3L | $24.60 |
| 1/10 | 01/08/2026 | - | MDN FM 3U | $99,857.00 | Colonial Downs | 1207m | FM | Jareth Loveberry | 54kg | 1:08.28 | 7-1-1 | 4 |
| 6.0L | $23.30 |

Jockey: Edgar Morales
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming. Finished off last preparation seventh of 12 at Kentucky September 7 over 1408m, 6 len behind Ada Clare with 53.5kg at $19.93. On debut fourth of 10 at Keeneland Turf April 12 over 1609m, 3.5 len behind How About Now with 54.5kg at $19.63. Others rate better.
Last Starts 68 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/12 | 07/09/2026 | 31 | ALLOW FM 3U | $250,000.00 | Kentucky | 1408m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:23.13 | 10-7-7 | 1 |
| 6.0L | $19.93 |
| 6/8 | 07/08/2026 | 42 | ALLOW FM 3U | $145,506.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:01.96 | 6-7-6 | 2 |
| 2.7L | $11.59 |
| 1/8 | 26/06/2026 | 47 | MDN FM 3U | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1006m | SP | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 0:58.55 | 4-3-1 | 2 |
| 1.3L | $6.50 |
| 6/11 | 10/05/2026 | 28 | MDN FM 3U | $167,598.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:48.49 | 7-6-6 | 7 |
| 5.3L | $4.31 |
| 4/10 | 12/04/2026 | - | MDN F 3 | $160,116.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 54.5kg | 1:36.81 | 9-5-4 | 6 |
| 3.3L | $19.63 |

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Racing well recently. Returns from a 34-day let-up. Most recently ran on from midfield; 2nd of 10 at Gulfstream Park Turf on October 10 over 1710m, 1.75 len behind Souper Zonda with 53.5kg at $25.50. The race before that 3rd of 9 in Listed grade at Gulfstream Park All Weather at Gulfstream Park All Weather on September 12 over 1673m, 1.0 len behind Miss Mary Nell with 53.5kg at $10.40. Can improve again. Top chance.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/10 | 10/10/2026 | 28 | ALLOW FM 3U | $86,207.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FM | Samy Camacho | 53.5kg | 1:40.12 | 6-3-2 | 4 |
| 1.8L | $25.50 |
| 3/9 | 12/09/2026 | 33 | LR OPEN FM 3U | $138,889.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1673m | Fast | Juan J Hernandez | 53.5kg | 1:41.67 | 8-2-3 | 9 |
| 1.0L | $10.40 |
| 3/8 | 10/08/2026 | 36 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $99,857.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FM | M A Vasquez | 56kg | 1:40.52 | 3-3-3 | 3 |
| 2.0L | $5.70 |
| 2/7 | 05/07/2026 | 429 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $101,597.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | FM | Samy Camacho | 56.5kg | 0:55.64 | 5-4-2 | 5 |
| 0.3L | $6.00 |
| 1/10 | 02/05/2025 | 21 | MDN FM 3U | $187,500.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | Fast | Vincent Cheminaud | 53.5kg | 1:44.58 | 1-1-1 | 4 |
| 0.5L | $5.90 |
| 2/9 | 11/04/2025 | 168 | MDN F 3 | $175,719.00 | Keeneland | 1408m | Good | Vincent Cheminaud | 54.5kg | 1:23.40 | 4-4-2 | 5 |
| 2.3L | $14.48 |