Churchill Downs Race 7 - Race 7 - Allowance
CAVALLI (12) wasted no time getting off the mark on debut over 1609m at Keeneland Turf (Turf) a month ago. Has plenty of upside and should go on with it. BEARAMOUR (8) finished sixth two runs back then did well last start but found one better over 1609m at this track, beaten only 0.3 lengths after being in the firing line on the bend. Finds a suitable race and can play a major role. ARRIVAL TIME (6) pushed forward and was a determined winner by 3 lengths over 1710m at Keeneland (Dirt) last time out. Sure to be competitive. JADED (2) lines up on the back of a 18 length fifth over 1710m at Keeneland. Expected to feature.
Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
At debut, won won by 0.8 len at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on September 16 over 1609m defeating Modern Legacy carrying 54.5kg at $7. Needs to go to a new level this time.
Last Starts 53 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/8 | 16/09/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $44,444.00 | Indiana Downs | 1609m | FM | Alexis Achard | 54.5kg | 1:35.76 | 7-4-1 | 7 |
| 0.8L | $7.00 |
Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Lining up for just third start. At debut, won by a 0.1 len at Kentucky on August 30 over 1308m defeating Roosevelt with 54kg at $24.21. Last start ran second last in a small field in the G1 Keeneland Futurity Stakes on October 3 over 1710m, 18 len behind American History carrying 55.5kg at $12.76. Should be right in the finish.
Last Starts 36 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/6 | 03/10/2026 | 34 | G1 OPEN 2 | $933,908.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Fast | I Ortiz Jr | 55.5kg | 1:44.88 | 5-5-5 | 5 |
| 18.8L | $12.76 |
| 1/12 | 30/08/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $242,511.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Axel Concepcion | 54kg | 1:17.77 | 11-8-1 | 6 |
| 0.1L | $24.21 |
Jockey: Assael Espinoza
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Racing well recently. Comes here off a 42-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 7 at this track on September 27 over 1609m, 0.4 len behind Majik Mooney carrying 55.5kg at $13.56. The run before that won by a 0.1 len at Kentucky on September 3 over 1609m defeating Sun Gate carrying 54kg at $8.06. In the finish last time and is a player.
Last Starts 42 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/7 | 27/09/2026 | 24 | ALLOW 2 | $176,389.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Asa Espinoza | 55.5kg | 1:36.77 | 1-2-3 | 4 |
| 0.4L | $13.56 |
| 1/10 | 03/09/2026 | 26 | MDN 2 | $142,653.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Asa Espinoza | 54kg | 1:40.78 | 3-1-1 | 10 |
| 0.1L | $8.06 |
| 3/10 | 08/08/2026 | 28 | MDN OCLM 2 | $75,606.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FM | Abel Cedillo | 54kg | 1:36.69 | 1-2-3 | 8 |
| 2.5L | $17.72 |
| 8/8 | 11/07/2026 | - | MDN OCLM 2 | $76,923.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | SP | Asa Espinoza | 54kg | 1:12.29 | 4-8-8 | 5 |
| 25.5L | $22.21 |
Jockey: Axel Concepcion
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 60 day let-up. Last start ran last of 12 at Listed level at Kentucky at Kentucky on September 9 over 1609m, 33 len behind How's Al Today carrying 54.5kg at $51.24. The run before that won by 1.3 len at Ellis Park Turf on August 15 over 1609m defeating Bold Speaker carrying 54kg at $5.75. Win would surprise.
Last Starts 60 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12 | 09/09/2026 | 25 | LR OPEN 2 | $1,041,667.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Axel Concepcion | 54.5kg | 1:34.84 | 3-11-12 | 2 |
| 33.0L | $51.24 |
| 1/10 | 15/08/2026 | 37 | MDN 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FM | Axel Concepcion | 54kg | 1:38.05 | 2-1-1 | 7 |
| 1.3L | $5.75 |
| 4/9 | 09/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | Fast | Jaime A Torres | 54kg | 1:05.44 | 5-4-4 | 1 |
| 8.6L | $7.07 |
Jockey: Francisco Arrieta
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Lining up for just third start. At debut, eased back early on 4th of 8 at Monmouth Park on September 5 over 1609m, 4 len behind Chuck's Munny with 54.5kg at $8.80. Second-up won by 0.8 len at Delaware Park Turf on October 7 over 1609m defeating Captain Cody with 55.5kg at $24.30. Might just find this lot a bit smart.
Last Starts 32 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 07/10/2026 | 32 | MDN 2 | $64,655.00 | Delaware Park | 1609m | Y | Madeline Rowland | 55.5kg | 1:42.39 | 10-4-1 | 10 |
| 0.8L | $24.30 |
| 4/8 | 05/09/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $59,700.00 | Monmouth Park | 1609m | Fast | Jorge A Vargas Jr | 54.5kg | 1:41.26 | 8-7-4 | 4 |
| 4.3L | $8.80 |
Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Raced twice to date. At debut, 5th of 11 at Kentucky on September 3 over 1609m, 6 len behind Pride Rock with 54kg at $16.87. Last start won by 3 len at Keeneland on October 18 over 1710m defeating Sagamore with 54kg at $3.16. Genuine contender in this suitable contest.
Last Starts 21 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 18/10/2026 | 45 | MDN 2 | $158,046.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Fast | Luis Saez | 54kg | 1:48.12 | 3-1-1 | 9 |
| 3.0L | $3.16 |
| 5/11 | 03/09/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $242,511.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | 1:39.41 | 5-5-5 | 9 |
| 6.4L | $16.87 |
Jockey: Yomar Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 51kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Most recently didn't finish the race at this track September 27 over 1609m. The run before that 10th of 12 in Listed grade at Kentucky at Kentucky on September 9 over 1609m, 22 len behind How's Al Today with 54.5kg at $14.14. Genuine chance this time around.
Last Starts 42 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | 27/09/2026 | 18 | ALLOW 2 | $176,389.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 55.5kg | 1:36.77 | 5-7-PU | 2 |
| 99.0L | $8.33 |
| 10/12 | 09/09/2026 | 52 | LR OPEN 2 | $1,041,667.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Flavien Prat | 54.5kg | 1:34.84 | 4-9-10 | 1 |
| 22.5L | $14.14 |
| 1/9 | 19/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | Good | Yedsit Hazlewood | 54kg | 1:39.51 | 1-3-1 | 3 |
| 0.1L | $10.37 |
Jockey: James Graham
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a 42-day let-up. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at this track on September 27 over 1609m, 0.3 len behind Majik Mooney carrying 54.5kg at $5.68. Before that ran second last of 7 in the G3 Iroquois Stakes at Churchill Downs on September 12 over 1609m, 8 len behind Salahudin with 55.5kg at $41.11. Can improve again. Top chance.
Last Starts 42 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/7 | 27/09/2026 | 15 | ALLOW 2 | $176,389.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Jim Graham | 54.5kg | 1:36.77 | 2-1-2 | 7 |
| 0.3L | $5.68 |
| 6/7 | 12/09/2026 | 34 | G3 OPEN 2 | $416,667.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Jim Graham | 55.5kg | 1:36.54 | 2-5-6 | 2 |
| 8.8L | $41.11 |
| 3/7 | 09/08/2026 | 38 | LR OPEN 2 | $356,633.00 | Ellis Park | 1408m | Fast | Jim Graham | 54.5kg | 1:23.34 | 3-2-3 | 5 |
| 8.3L | $9.93 |
| 1/6 | 02/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $101,597.00 | Colonial Downs | 1106m | Fast | Sheldon Russell | 54kg | 1:03.84 | 1-1-1 | 2 |
| 7.5L | $2.60 |
Jockey: Alex Achard
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Having third race start. At very big odds at debut, 8th of 10 at Churchill Downs on September 10 over 1207m, 17 len behind Endrush with 54kg at $56.18. Last start won by a nose at Horseshoe Indianapolis on September 30 over 1609m defeating Start The Disco with 54.5kg at $9.50. Not going well enough.
Last Starts 39 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/8 | 30/09/2026 | 20 | MDN 2 | $45,977.00 | Indiana Downs | 1609m | Fast | Alexis Achard | 54.5kg | 1:38.96 | 1-2-1 | 5 |
| 0.1L | $9.50 |
| 8/10 | 10/09/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $166,667.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | Good | Jaime A Torres | 54kg | 1:10.89 | 2-7-8 | 9 |
| 17.3L | $56.18 |
Jockey: Edgar Morales
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Most recently got back early 6th of 10 in the G2 Bourbon Stakes at Keeneland Turf on October 4 over 1710m, 6 len behind Agate carrying 53.5kg at $66.90. The start before that won by 6 len at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on August 25 over 1609m defeating Modern Legacy with 54.5kg at $4.90. Prefer others.
Last Starts 35 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/10 | 04/10/2026 | 40 | G2 OPEN 2 | $574,713.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | FM | Alexis Achard | 53.5kg | 1:42.64 | 10-10-6 | 7 |
| 6.0L | $66.90 |
| 1/11 | 25/08/2026 | 21 | MDN 2 | $45,649.00 | Indiana Downs | 1609m | Good | Alexis Achard | 54.5kg | 1:40.82 | 7-1-1 | 8 |
| 6.5L | $4.90 |
| 2/10 | 04/08/2026 | 30 | MDN 2 | $45,649.00 | Indiana Downs | 1509m | FM | Alexis Achard | 54.5kg | 1:32.26 | 9-1-2 | 10 |
| 0.8L | $7.70 |
| 8/11 | 05/07/2026 | 23 | MDN 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FM | Danny Sheehy | 54kg | 1:35.70 | 6-11-8 | 8 |
| 17.3L | $30.38 |
| 7/8 | 12/06/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1006m | Fast | Alexis Achard | 54kg | 0:57.00 | 8-8-7 | 2 |
| 23.4L | $33.86 |
Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Claiming his maiden victory on debut; won by a 0.3 len at Keeneland Turf on October 9 over 1609m defeating Ferrous carrying 54kg at $7.63. Can keep the momentum up.
Last Starts 30 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/12 | 09/10/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $158,046.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 54kg | 1:37.27 | 4-2-1 | 4 |
| 0.3L | $7.63 |