Churchill Downs Race 5 - Race 5 - Allowance
LUCKY BERNADINE (1) broke through for her maiden win over 1609m at Kentucky (Turf) last time, scoring comfortably. Is lightly raced and has plenty of scope for improvement. Inside draw will assist and she is a key runner. CRACK ON (12) settled well back then made steady ground to get up for seventh over 1106m in the G3 Indian Summer Stakes at Keeneland Turf (Turf). Will find this much easier. Top chance in this field. MAKE IT SKATE (9) is a last-start winner seven weeks ago, scoring by 0.8 lengths over 1609m at this track. Strong top-three chance. ILLUSTRATING (2) pushed forward and was a determined winner by 2.75 lengths over 1710m at Belmont Park Turf (Turf) last time out. Has the pace to take up a good early position from the favourable alley. Solid claims.
Jockey: Florent Geroux
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Raced twice to date. When well in the market at debut, 4th of 10 at Ellis Park Turf on July 18 over 1609m, 4 len behind Up Before The Dawn carrying 54kg at $4.06. Second-up scored a big 3.5 len win at Kentucky on September 7 over 1609m defeating Candy Novel carrying 54kg at $2.86. Capable of a strong showing.
Last Starts 61 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/11 | 07/09/2026 | 51 | MDN F 2 | $236,111.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Flavien Prat | 54kg | 1:36.63 | 10-2-1 | 3 |
| 3.5L | $2.86 |
| 4/10 | 18/07/2026 | - | MDN F 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FM | Luan Machado | 54kg | 1:37.35 | 9-7-4 | 7 |
| 4.0L | $4.06 |
Jockey: Walter A. Rodriguez
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third race start today. At debut, 4th of 12 at Kentucky on September 7 over 1308m, 3 len behind Sea Isle City carrying 54kg at $6.48. Second-up won by 2.75 len at Belmont Park Turf on October 9 over 1710m defeating Market Perception with 56kg at $5.59. Key chance likely to give a big sight.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/12 | 09/10/2026 | 32 | MDN OCLM F 2 | $114,943.00 | Belmont Park | 1710m | FM | Ricardo Santana Jr | 56kg | 1:42.44 | 1-1-1 | 1 |
| 2.8L | $5.59 |
| 4/12 | 07/09/2026 | - | MDN F 2 | $138,889.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 54kg | 1:18.45 | 7-5-4 | 10 |
| 3.3L | $6.48 |
Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third race start today. When well in the market at debut, won by 4 len at Kentucky on August 30 over 1609m defeating Dovetail carrying 54kg at $3.16. Last start 4th of 10 at this track on September 26 over 1609m, 1.5 len behind Nymira with 55.5kg at $2.31. Strong winning hope.
Last Starts 42 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/10 | 26/09/2026 | 27 | ALLOW F 2 | $176,389.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Luan Machado | 55.5kg | 1:36.54 | 6-6-4 | 6 |
| 1.6L | $2.31 |
| 1/7 | 30/08/2026 | - | MDN F 2 | $242,511.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Flavien Prat | 54kg | 1:38.27 | 5-1-1 | 7 |
| 3.8L | $3.16 |
Jockey: Luan Machado
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes here off a 42-day let-up. Last start sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 10 at this track on September 26 over 1609m, 1.5 len behind Nymira carrying 54.5kg at $62.78. The start before that came from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on August 5 over 1509m defeating Ignoring Alana with 54.5kg at $16.20. Not keen on her prospects.
Last Starts 42 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/10 | 26/09/2026 | 52 | ALLOW F 2 | $176,389.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Alexis Achard | 54.5kg | 1:36.54 | 3-2-3 | 7 |
| 1.5L | $62.78 |
| 1/10 | 05/08/2026 | 32 | MDN CLM F 2 | $41,369.00 | Indiana Downs | 1509m | FM | Alexis Achard | 54.5kg | 1:33.79 | 5-1-1 | 10 |
| 1.5L | $16.20 |
| 7/8 | 04/07/2026 | - | MDN F 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | FM | D Cannon | 54kg | 1:35.59 | 1-7-7 | 3 |
| 17.5L | $43.57 |
Jockey: Danny Sheehy
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a 43-day let-up. At the latest run won by 1.3 len at this track on September 25 over 1710m defeating Anywhere With You with 54kg at $4.42. The race before that 7th of 11 at Kentucky on August 29 over 1308m, 3 len behind Malibu Dancer with 54kg at $3.87. This is going to test her.
Last Starts 43 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/12 | 25/09/2026 | 27 | MDN F 2 | $166,667.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Danny Sheehy | 54kg | 1:43.43 | 4-1-1 | 6 |
| 1.3L | $4.42 |
| 7/11 | 29/08/2026 | 22 | MDN F 2 | $242,511.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Danny Sheehy | 54kg | 1:18.32 | 5-4-7 | 6 |
| 3.0L | $3.87 |
| 2/11 | 07/08/2026 | - | MDN F 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FM | Danny Sheehy | 54kg | 1:01.84 | 4-4-2 | 8 |
| 4.0L | $27.69 |
Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a 29-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd in a small field at Keeneland Turf on October 9 over 1710m, 2 len behind Silver Road with 54.5kg at $4.93. The run before that 7th of 9 in stakes class at Kentucky at Kentucky on September 7 over 1609m, 6 len behind Citrus Springs carrying 53.5kg at $8.55. Genuine hope on best form.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/5 | 09/10/2026 | 32 | ALLOW F 2 | $172,414.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | FM | John R Velazquez | 54.5kg | 1:43.74 | 5-3-3 | 2 |
| 2.0L | $4.93 |
| 7/9 | 07/09/2026 | 24 | LR OPEN F 2 | $1,041,667.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 53.5kg | 1:35.49 | 9-7-7 | 9 |
| 6.9L | $8.55 |
| 1/7 | 14/08/2026 | - | MDN F 2 | $128,388.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 56kg | 1:04.33 | 7-3-1 | 4 |
| 1.3L | $3.71 |
Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third race start today. At debut, 7th of 11 at Ellis Park on August 22 over 1207m, 7 len behind Harmoniously carrying 54kg at $11.18. Second-up won by 0.8 len at this track on September 18 over 1609m defeating Novo Mesto carrying 54kg at $9.15. Key chance likely to give a big sight.
Last Starts 50 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 18/09/2026 | 27 | MDN F 2 | $166,667.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 54kg | 1:34.40 | 7-2-1 | 9 |
| 0.8L | $9.15 |
| 7/11 | 22/08/2026 | - | MDN F 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | Fast | Danny Sheehy | 54kg | 1:12.32 | 10-9-7 | 1 |
| 7.6L | $11.18 |
Jockey: Johan Rosado
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 36 day let-up. Last start 7th of 11 in the G2 Jessamine Stakes at Keeneland Turf on October 2 over 1710m, 6 len behind Serenas Ghost with 53.5kg at $31.39. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 7 in Listed grade at Colonial Downs Turf at Colonial Downs Turf on September 7 over 1710m, 2 len behind Popcorn with 53kg at $3.60. Not doing enough of late to threaten.
Last Starts 36 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/11 | 02/10/2026 | 25 | G2 OPEN F 2 | $574,713.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Good | Luan Machado | 53.5kg | 1:45.57 | 8-6-7 | 11 |
| 6.6L | $31.39 |
| 2/7 | 07/09/2026 | 58 | LR OPEN 2 | $173,611.00 | Colonial Downs | 1710m | FM | Samuel Marin | 53kg | 1:42.37 | 2-2-2 | 2 |
| 2.0L | $3.60 |
| 1/7 | 11/07/2026 | - | MDN F 2 | $101,597.00 | Colonial Downs | 1609m | FM | Johan Rosado | 54kg | 1:38.29 | 2-1-1 | 3 |
| 1.3L | $3.40 |
Jockey: Jareth Loveberry
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 59 day let-up. At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on September 9 over 1609m defeating Seismic Girl with 54.5kg at $4.30. The run before that 5th of 7 at Saratoga Turf on August 14 over 1106m, 8 len behind Early Autumn with 56kg at $15.72. In winning form but this a tough assignment.
Last Starts 59 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 09/09/2026 | 26 | MDN CLM F 2 | $40,278.00 | Indiana Downs | 1609m | FM | Joseph D Ramos | 54.5kg | 1:36.27 | 5-7-1 | 2 |
| 1.0L | $4.30 |
| 5/7 | 14/08/2026 | 28 | MDN F 2 | $128,388.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 56kg | 1:04.33 | 3-5-5 | 3 |
| 8.0L | $15.72 |
| 10/10 | 17/07/2026 | 27 | MDN F 2 | $130,624.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | Fast | Ricardo Santana Jr | 56kg | 1:07.07 | 8-10-10 | 10 |
| 25.1L | $11.80 |
| 5/12 | 20/06/2026 | - | MDN F 2 | $128,312.00 | Churchill Downs | 1006m | Fast | Ricardo Santana Jr | 54kg | 0:58.73 | 9-4-5 | 12 |
| 11.6L | $46.52 |
Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second-up. First-up after two months eased back early on 7th of 9 in the G3 Indian Summer Stakes at Keeneland Turf on October 4 over 1106m, 2 len behind Adonius with 52kg at $10.76. Previously second-up won by 0.8 len at Ellis Park Turf on July 10 over 1106m defeating Never Gonna Stop carrying 54kg at $9.40. Strips fitter and is an excellent winning chance.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/9 | 04/10/2026 | 64 | G3 OPEN 2 | $502,874.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Danny Sheehy | 52kg | 1:03.46 | 8-9-7 | 4 |
| 2.0L | $10.76 |
| 2/11 | 01/08/2026 | 22 | LR OPEN 2 | $285,307.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | Y | Danny Sheehy | 53kg | 1:03.79 | 11-4-2 | 3 |
| 0.5L | $25.49 |
| 1/12 | 10/07/2026 | 21 | MDN F 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FM | Danny Sheehy | 54kg | 1:03.22 | 8-3-1 | 3 |
| 0.8L | $9.40 |
| 3/8 | 19/06/2026 | - | MDN F 2 | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Danny Sheehy | 54kg | 1:03.75 | 8-5-3 | 4 |
| 2.5L | $54.13 |