Churchill Downs Race 4 - Race 4 - Allowance
OUTFIELDER (3) scored last start at Keeneland Turf (Turf) over this distance after he was in the firing line on the turn. Boasts excellent form at today's trip with three wins from four starts. Should be poised just off the lead. Expecting a bold showing. THROCKMORTON (7) showed good early dash last time out and led for most of the way before being claimed and finishing half a length away in second over 1106m at Keeneland Turf (Turf). Will take catching. BEACH HEIST (5) saluted last start at this track (Turf) over this distance after she was in the firing line on the corner. Has never been out of the money in four starts at this trip, including two wins. Should be poised just off the lead. Capable of testing this field. FOURTH AND CENTRAL (4) is a last-start winner over 1006m at Gulfstream Park Turf (Synthetic), showing good early speed on the occasion and leading throughout to score by 1.5 lengths. Has a strong association with M A Vasquez who has been in the saddle for his last three wins. Not to be discounted.

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
He is resuming after a three-and-a-half months break. Not seen since winning by 2 len Ellis Park Turf August 1 over 1106m defeating Ganaas with 54.5kg at $3.11. On debut third of 12 at Churchill Downs September 12 2025 over 1207m, 4 len behind Spun D M C carrying 54kg at $14.49. Will struggle against these.
Last Starts 96 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/6 | 01/08/2026 | 28 | ALLOW 3 | $154,066.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | Y | Axel Concepcion | 54.5kg | 1:03.18 | 3-1-1 | 3 |
| 2.0L | $3.11 |
| 2/7 | 04/07/2026 | 27 | LR OPEN 3 | $253,991.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FM | Ben Curtis | 54.5kg | 1:01.03 | 3-3-2 | 5 |
| 2.0L | $1.64 |
| 1/7 | 07/06/2026 | 36 | ALLOW 3 | $196,653.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Luis Saez | 55.5kg | 1:01.31 | 4-2-1 | 4 |
| 3.0L | $3.86 |
| 8/11 | 02/05/2026 | 29 | G2 OPEN 3 | $1,047,486.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Luis Saez | 53.5kg | 1:33.87 | 4-7-8 | 2 |
| 17.5L | $13.24 |
| 1/7 | 03/04/2026 | 48 | LR OPEN 3 | $582,242.00 | Keeneland | 1408m | SP | Luis Saez | 53.5kg | 1:24.03 | 6-2-1 | 4 |
| 0.1L | $5.70 |
| 1/9 | 14/02/2026 | 28 | MDN 3 | $92,725.00 | Fairgrounds | 1207m | Fast | Luis Saez | 54.5kg | 1:09.18 | 1-1-1 | 1 |
| 6.3L | $2.50 |

Jockey: Miguel Angel Vasquez
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Recent form sound. Comes off a 46 day let-up. At the latest run won by 1.5 len at Gulfstream Park Turf on September 20 over 1006m defeating Banded Rocket with 54.5kg at $1.90. The run before that won by 1.5 len at Gulfstream Park All Weather on August 30 over 1006m defeating Augustinian carrying 54.5kg at $1.90. Won last start and is well-placed again.
Last Starts 46 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/6 | 20/09/2026 | 21 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $86,806.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | Fast | M A Vasquez | 54.5kg | 0:56.00 | 1-1-1 | 4 |
| 1.5L | $1.90 |
| 1/7 | 30/08/2026 | 36 | ALLOW OCLM 3 | $99,857.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | Fast | M A Vasquez | 54.5kg | 0:56.82 | 1-1-1 | 7 |
| 1.5L | $1.90 |
| 1/7 | 25/07/2026 | 34 | ALLOW OCLM 3 | $101,597.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | FM | M A Vasquez | 56kg | 0:54.88 | 1-1-1 | 7 |
| 3.8L | $11.50 |
| 6/7 | 21/06/2026 | 288 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $97,629.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1207m | Fast | M A Vasquez | 54.5kg | 1:09.92 | 1-4-6 | 4 |
| 6.5L | $10.30 |
| 1/7 | 06/09/2025 | 28 | LR OPEN CG 2 | $152,905.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1207m | Fast | Marcos Meneses | 55kg | 1:11.18 | 1-1-1 | 7 |
| 1.8L | $11.80 |
| 5/8 | 09/08/2025 | 70 | LR OPEN 2 | $116,279.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1207m | SP | Marcos Meneses | 54.5kg | 1:12.00 | 6-6-5 | 4 |
| 8.0L | $14.30 |

Jockey: Axel Concepcion
Weight: 52kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 39 day let-up. Most recently raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by a 0.3 len at this track on September 27 over 1106m defeating Shirley Ann carrying 53.5kg at $4.32. The start before that ran second last of 8 at Saratoga on August 8 over 1408m, 6 len behind Will Not Be Swayed carrying 55.5kg at $5.78. Great chance to win again.
Last Starts 39 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/12 | 27/09/2026 | 50 | ALLOW FM 3U | $176,389.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Axel Concepcion | 53.5kg | 1:02.11 | 2-2-1 | 6 |
| 0.3L | $4.32 |
| 7/8 | 08/08/2026 | 34 | ALLOW OCLM FM 3U | $171,184.00 | Saratoga | 1408m | Fast | Manuel Franco | 55.5kg | 1:23.78 | 1-3-7 | 8 |
| 5.8L | $5.78 |
| 2/7 | 05/07/2026 | 35 | LR OPEN F 3 | $253,991.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | FM | Axel Concepcion | 53.5kg | 1:01.55 | 3-1-2 | 1 |
| 0.1L | $2.13 |
| 2/7 | 31/05/2026 | 205 | ALLOW F 3 | $196,653.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Flavien Prat | 53.5kg | 1:01.73 | 2-5-2 | 1 |
| 2.0L | $3.23 |
| 3/11 | 07/11/2025 | 21 | LR OPEN F 2 | $229,008.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Nik Juarez | 54.5kg | 1:08.49 | 5-2-3 | 4 |
| 0.9L | $5.53 |
| 1/10 | 17/10/2025 | - | MDN F 2 | $167,428.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Nik Juarez | 54kg | 1:02.83 | 3-1-1 | 8 |
| 2.8L | $7.28 |

Jockey: Florent Geroux
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second run back. First-up after five months ran second last of 7 at Keeneland Turf on October 8 over 1106m, 10 len behind Outfielder carrying 54.5kg at $5.42. Previously second-up won by 2.25 len at this track on May 17 over 1106m defeating Rose Ruler with 53.5kg at $1.75. Expect a forward showing.
Last Starts 28 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/7 | 08/10/2026 | 144 | ALLOW 3 | $201,149.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 54.5kg | 1:02.41 | 3-4-6 | 3 |
| 10.6L | $5.42 |
| 1/12 | 17/05/2026 | 28 | ALLOW 3U | $177,374.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Florent Geroux | 53.5kg | 1:02.37 | 2-1-1 | 7 |
| 2.3L | $1.75 |
| 7/11 | 19/04/2026 | 170 | LR OPEN 3 | $436,681.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 54.5kg | 1:04.06 | 2-4-7 | 2 |
| 7.3L | $2.61 |
| 5/12 | 31/10/2025 | 26 | G1 OPEN 2 | $1,522,070.00 | Del Mar | 1006m | FM | John R Velazquez | 55.5kg | 0:56.02 | 2-1-5 | 10 |
| 2.9L | $9.10 |
| 1/8 | 05/10/2025 | 37 | LR OPEN 2 | $458,716.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 53.5kg | 1:02.28 | 3-1-1 | 6 |
| 0.5L | $3.32 |
| 2/9 | 29/08/2025 | - | MDN 2 | $155,039.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | John R Velazquez | 54kg | 1:03.31 | 1-1-2 | 9 |
| 0.3L | $1.65 |

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Last start tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 7 at Keeneland Turf on October 8 over 1106m, 0.5 len behind Outfielder carrying 53.5kg at $8.35. Before that 8th of 12 in the G2 Franklin-Simpson Stakes at Kentucky on September 7 over 1308m, 6 len behind Take Charge Star with 54.5kg at $6.22. Solid run last time and is a strong winning hope again.
Last Starts 28 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/7 | 08/10/2026 | 31 | ALLOW 3 | $201,149.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Luis Saez | 53.5kg | 1:02.41 | 1-1-2 | 5 |
| 0.5L | $8.35 |
| 8/12 | 07/09/2026 | 50 | G2 OPEN 3 | $2,083,333.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Luis Saez | 54.5kg | 1:15.45 | 4-6-8 | 5 |
| 6.4L | $6.22 |
| 2/12 | 19/07/2026 | 71 | G3 OPEN 3 | $326,560.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Luis Saez | 56kg | 1:02.69 | 6-2-2 | 3 |
| 0.3L | $7.28 |
| 3/7 | 09/05/2026 | 20 | LR OPEN 3 | $314,246.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:01.36 | 3-3-3 | 2 |
| 3.1L | $3.47 |
| 2/11 | 19/04/2026 | 29 | LR OPEN 3 | $436,681.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Luis Saez | 54.5kg | 1:04.06 | 5-2-2 | 8 |
| 0.3L | $8.15 |
| 2/8 | 21/03/2026 | 132 | LR OPEN 3 | $175,562.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | Fast | Joe Bravo | 56kg | 0:55.63 | 6-3-2 | 1 |
| 0.1L | $6.50 |

Jockey: Luan Machado
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
At the latest run 8th of 10 in the G3 Perryville Stakes at Keeneland on October 17 over 1408m, 12 len behind Dr Kapur with 53.5kg at $93.63. The race before that 5th of 14 at Listed level at Kentucky at Kentucky on September 7 over 1609m, 6 len behind Bottas carrying 54.5kg at $14.20. Looks tested again.
Last Starts 19 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/10 | 17/10/2026 | 40 | G3 OPEN 3 | $502,874.00 | Keeneland | 1408m | Fast | Luan Machado | 53.5kg | 1:24.25 | 10-9-8 | 8 |
| 12.1L | $93.63 |
| 5/14 | 07/09/2026 | 37 | LR OPEN 3 | $2,430,556.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Luan Machado | 54.5kg | 1:34.55 | 4-4-5 | 12 |
| 5.9L | $14.20 |
| 7/8 | 01/08/2026 | 91 | G2 OPEN 3 | $713,267.00 | Colonial Downs | 1710m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:41.24 | 4-7-7 | 7 |
| 5.8L | $16.70 |
| 11/13 | 02/05/2026 | 29 | G1 OPEN 3 | $1,396,648.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Luan Machado | 55.5kg | 1:40.31 | 1-10-11 | 1 |
| 17.1L | $28.58 |
| 4/11 | 03/04/2026 | 41 | G3 OPEN 3 | $873,362.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Good | Luan Machado | 53.5kg | 1:44.49 | 3-1-4 | 5 |
| 1.0L | $7.55 |
| 11/11 | 21/02/2026 | 35 | LR OPEN 3 | $249,643.00 | Turfway Park | 1710m | Fast | Luan Machado | 55.5kg | 1:46.83 | 1-10-11 | 1 |
| 39.1L | $2.89 |