Churchill Downs Race 10 - Race 10 - Mdn Special Weight
BELZONI (4) raced on the speed last start and battled on well but found one better over 1710m at Keeneland (Dirt). Junior Alvarado has registered two minor placings when on board. Likely to feature. FERROUS (9) went forward over 1609m at Keeneland Turf (Turf) last time and held on for second. Has the gate speed to cross from out wide. Among the leading chances. BETTER QUALITY (5) started at $5.74 last time and ran below expectations, finishing 11th and beaten 29 lengths at this track (Dirt) over 1609m. Suitably placed so anticipating a big run this time. MR POPOVER (7) is a nicely bred two-year-old colt making his first appearance at the races. By Tapit from Bayou Tortuga who has produced some fine gallopers, including winners at black type level. Promising type who is sure to be well-found in betting.

Jockey: Axel Concepcion
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming after a break; only one run when 4th of 9 at Ellis Park on July 26 over 1207m, 6 len behind Bet On Silver with 54kg at $13.94. Others have firmer winning claims.
Last Starts 102 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/9 | 26/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | Fast | Cristian Mauricio Torres | 54kg | 1:11.69 | 1-6-4 | 7 |
| 6.8L | $13.94 |

Jockey: Jareth Loveberry
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Having third race start. At debut, sat on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Ellis Park on August 8 over 1408m, 3 len behind Caribbean Life carrying 54kg at $8.58. Second-up 6th of 8 at this track on September 26 over 1509m, 21 len behind Staunch carrying 54kg at $5.55. Others read better. This will test.
Last Starts 40 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/8 | 26/09/2026 | 49 | MDN 2 | $166,667.00 | Churchill Downs | 1509m | Fast | Jaime A Torres | 54kg | 1:30.00 | 3-5-6 | 2 |
| 21.5L | $5.55 |
| 2/9 | 08/08/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1408m | Fast | Francisco Arrieta | 54kg | 1:23.30 | 2-2-2 | 3 |
| 3.3L | $8.58 |

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Resumes from a spell. Finished off last preparation fifth of 12 at Ellis Park August 23 over 1609m, 9 len behind Henriques with 54kg at $3.97. On debut fifth of 9 at Ellis Park July 17 over 1308m, 7 len behind Salahudin carrying 54kg at $15.60. Cannot make a strong case.
Last Starts 74 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/12 | 23/08/2026 | 37 | MDN 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | Fast | Jaime A Torres | 54kg | 1:39.31 | 4-7-5 | 6 |
| 9.0L | $3.97 |
| 5/9 | 17/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1308m | Fast | Axel Concepcion | 54kg | 1:18.13 | 8-7-5 | 1 |
| 7.8L | $15.60 |

Jockey: James Graham
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Lining up for just third start. At debut, 2nd of 9 at this track on September 19 over 1308m, 1.3 len behind Just For Pipa with 54kg at $13.86. Second-up ran second last of 12 at this track on October 25 over 1609m, 29 len behind Fools Rush In carrying 54kg at $5.74. This race is well within his grasp.
Last Starts 11 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12 | 25/10/2026 | 36 | MDN 2 | $172,414.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Jim Graham | 54kg | 1:36.29 | 12-10-11 | 11 |
| 29.2L | $5.74 |
| 2/9 | 19/09/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $172,414.00 | Churchill Downs | 1308m | Fast | Jim Graham | 54kg | 1:18.44 | 9-4-2 | 1 |
| 1.3L | $13.86 |

Jockey: Keith J. Asmussen
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Last start 4th of 8 at Keeneland on October 11 over 1308m, 6 len behind Fleetfoot Mac carrying 54kg at $9.92. The race before that 6th of 12 at Kentucky on August 30 over 1308m, 5.5 len behind Jaded with 54kg at $10.67. Finds a few better today. Can't recommend.
Last Starts 25 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/8 | 11/10/2026 | 42 | MDN 2 | $158,046.00 | Keeneland | 1308m | SP | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | 1:17.82 | 3-4-4 | 6 |
| 6.3L | $9.92 |
| 6/12 | 30/08/2026 | 35 | MDN 2 | $242,511.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | 1:17.77 | 3-4-6 | 1 |
| 5.4L | $10.67 |
| 7/9 | 26/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | Fast | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | 1:11.69 | 2-4-7 | 5 |
| 10.6L | $12.16 |

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Two-year-old colt by Tapit out of Bayou Tortuga having his first start. Has the right credentials to run a forward race.

Jockey: Abel Cedillo
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Lining up for just third start. At very long odds at debut, 5th of 9 at Ellis Park on August 8 over 1408m, 7 len behind Caribbean Life carrying 54kg at $58.08. Second-up eased back early on 8th of 12 at this track on September 12 over 1609m, 28 len behind Coach Pope with 54kg at $99.80. Looks one of the also-rans.
Last Starts 54 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12 | 12/09/2026 | 35 | MDN 2 | $166,667.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Abel Cedillo | 54kg | 1:35.77 | 12-10-8 | 3 |
| 28.6L | $99.80 |
| 5/9 | 08/08/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1408m | Fast | Abel Cedillo | 54kg | 1:23.30 | 4-4-5 | 1 |
| 7.8L | $58.08 |

Jockey: Cristian A. Torres
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Keeneland Turf on October 9 over 1609m, 0.3 len behind Cavalli carrying 54kg at $12.54. The race before that 4th of 12 at Kentucky on August 30 over 1308m, 2.5 len behind Jaded carrying 54kg at $14.36. Making headway. Likely to measure up again.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/12 | 09/10/2026 | 40 | MDN 2 | $158,046.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | FM | Cristian Mauricio Torres | 54kg | 1:37.27 | 3-1-2 | 6 |
| 0.3L | $12.54 |
| 4/12 | 30/08/2026 | 42 | MDN 2 | $242,511.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Cristian Mauricio Torres | 54kg | 1:17.77 | 6-3-4 | 10 |
| 2.4L | $14.36 |
| 3/9 | 19/07/2026 | 32 | MDN 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | Good | Jaime A Torres | 54kg | 1:39.51 | 8-2-3 | 9 |
| 0.8L | $8.67 |
| 3/6 | 17/06/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $44,630.00 | Indiana Downs | 1609m | SP | Marcelino Pedroza | 54kg | 1:40.44 | 6-3-3 | 4 |
| 16.3L | $3.10 |

Jockey: Mario Gutierrez
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Two-year-old colt by Cyberknife out of Suchada having his first start. Looks ready to run a big race.