Churchill Downs Race 3 - Race 3 - Mdn Special Weight
LOVE A WARRIOR (8) is knocking on the door after three minor placings from three runs since resuming from a spell, most recently finishing second over 1106m in the G3 Indian Summer Stakes at Keeneland Turf (Turf) on October 4. Significant class drop this time. Sure to be there at the finish. FIRE MARSHAL (9) is yet to break through after three career starts. Managed to find the placings at Saratoga Turf (Turf) two starts back when resuming before finishing fifth over 1207m at Belmont Park (Synthetic) last start. Likely to be about the money. RUPP (1) was 4.5 lengths from the winner in seventh over 1408m at Kentucky (Turf) last time following a minor placing on debut the run before. Leading player based on that debut performance. TAKE CHARGE BEACH (3) progressed nicely last start to finish a close second over 1308m at Kentucky after missing the placings at the previous appearance. Likely improver who looks sure to play a big role.

Jockey: Gerardo Corrales
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Had two starts to date. At debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Ellis Park on August 2 over 1106m, 1.75 len behind Never Sleep carrying 54kg at $9.09. Second-up ran second last of 8 at Kentucky on September 5 over 1408m, 4.5 len behind Majik Mooney carrying 54kg at $2.57. This race is well within his grasp.
Last Starts 58 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/8 | 05/09/2026 | 34 | MDN 2 | $242,511.00 | Kentucky | 1408m | FM | Florent Geroux | 54kg | 1:24.89 | 2-1-7 | 1 |
| 4.6L | $2.57 |
| 3/10 | 02/08/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1106m | Fast | Luan Machado | 54kg | 1:05.02 | 2-2-3 | 5 |
| 1.8L | $9.09 |

Jockey: Mario Gutierrez
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
First-starter by Epicenter out of Tiffany's Mo. Prefer to see him under race conditions.

Jockey: Edgar Morales
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 55 day let-up. At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 12 at Kentucky on September 7 over 1308m, 0.8 len behind Just Joe carrying 54kg at $8.53. The race before that 7th of 12 at Ellis Park on August 23 over 1609m, 13 len behind Henriques with 54kg at $17.16. Not beaten far last start and worth including.
Last Starts 56 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/12 | 07/09/2026 | 15 | MDN 2 | $236,111.00 | Kentucky | 1308m | FM | Edgar Morales | 54kg | 1:17.31 | 1-1-2 | 2 |
| 0.8L | $8.53 |
| 7/12 | 23/08/2026 | 40 | MDN 2 | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | Fast | Amir Mendoza | 54kg | 1:39.31 | 6-4-7 | 4 |
| 13.0L | $17.16 |
| 2/7 | 14/07/2026 | 40 | MDN 2 | $46,444.00 | Indiana Downs | 1509m | FM | Amir Mendoza | 54.5kg | 1:30.27 | 2-1-2 | 3 |
| 0.5L | $3.60 |
| 8/11 | 04/06/2026 | 21 | MDN 2 | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1106m | Fast | Edgar Morales | 54kg | 1:05.26 | 2-4-8 | 7 |
| 10.8L | $63.26 |
| 8/9 | 14/05/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $167,598.00 | Churchill Downs | 1006m | Fast | Edgar Morales | 54kg | 0:58.77 | 3-6-8 | 2 |
| 17.5L | $30.90 |

Jockey: Joseph D. Ramos
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
At debut, raced on the pace when 3rd of 9 at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on September 29 over 1006m, 7 len behind Practical Rose carrying 54.5kg at $5.80. Not likely to find this quite as easy as the debut outing.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/9 | 29/09/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $44,444.00 | Indiana Downs | 1006m | FM | Jim Graham | 54.5kg | 0:56.50 | 4-3-3 | 4 |
| 7.5L | $5.80 |

Jockey: Victor R. Carrasco
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
At debut, held ground to the line 2nd of 9 at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on September 29 over 1006m, 2 len behind Practical Rose with 54.5kg at $8. Doesn't need to improve a great deal to be opening his account.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/9 | 29/09/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $44,444.00 | Indiana Downs | 1006m | FM | V Carrasco | 54.5kg | 0:56.50 | 2-2-2 | 5 |
| 2.0L | $8.00 |

Jockey: Miguel Fernandez
Weight: 51.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes here off a 29-day let-up. Last start ran last of 12 at Belmont Park Turf on October 3 over 1710m, 28 len behind Permanent Record carrying 56kg at $76.36. The race before that ran second last of 12 at Colonial Downs Inner Turf on September 6 over 1609m, 18 len behind Spies Like Us with 51kg at $77.50. Wait until he shows something.
Last Starts 30 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12 | 03/10/2026 | 27 | MDN 2 | $143,678.00 | Belmont Park | 1710m | FM | Katie Davis | 56kg | 1:41.64 | 5-12-12 | 2 |
| 28.2L | $76.36 |
| 11/12 | 06/09/2026 | 56 | MDN 2 | $121,528.00 | Colonial Downs | 1609m | FM | Luis Fuenmayor | 51kg | 1:38.67 | 4-11-11 | 5 |
| 18.6L | $77.50 |
| 9/9 | 12/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $126,996.00 | Colonial Downs | 1106m | Good | Sonny Leon | 54kg | 1:05.50 | 9-9-9 | 8 |
| 16.5L | $34.90 |

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
First-starter by Charlatan out of Aurora Point. Prefer to see him at the races before recommending.

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Form hard to fault. Last start came from midfield; 2nd of 9 in the G3 Indian Summer Stakes at Keeneland Turf on October 4 over 1106m, nose behind Adonius carrying 53.5kg at $25.16. The start before that led but faded 2nd of 10 at Churchill Downs on September 10 over 1207m, 1.75 len behind Endrush with 54kg at $6.35. Leading player.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/9 | 04/10/2026 | 24 | G3 OPEN 2 | $502,874.00 | Keeneland | 1106m | FM | Luis Saez | 53.5kg | 1:03.46 | 4-3-2 | 5 |
| 0.1L | $25.16 |
| 2/10 | 10/09/2026 | 46 | MDN 2 | $166,667.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | Good | Luis Saez | 54kg | 1:10.89 | 1-1-2 | 3 |
| 1.8L | $6.35 |
| 3/9 | 26/07/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1207m | Fast | Keith J Asmussen | 54kg | 1:11.17 | 2-3-3 | 1 |
| 6.3L | $33.54 |

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. First-up held ground to the line 2nd of 8 at Saratoga Turf on August 21 over 1106m, 0.5 len behind Scalene carrying 56kg at $8. Second run from a spell 5th of 9 at Belmont Park on October 16 over 1207m, 8 len behind Worth Waiting For with 56kg at $3.67. Capable of a better showing. Respect.
Last Starts 17 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/9 | 16/10/2026 | 56 | MDN OCLM 2 | $114,943.00 | Belmont Park | 1207m | Fast | Samuel Marin | 56kg | 1:12.19 | 5-3-5 | 1 |
| 8.3L | $3.67 |
| 2/8 | 21/08/2026 | 64 | MDN 2 | $164,051.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Flavien Prat | 56kg | 1:04.09 | 3-1-2 | 7 |
| 0.5L | $8.00 |
| 5/9 | 18/06/2026 | - | MDN 2 | $118,550.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1106m | FM | Flavien Prat | 56kg | 1:03.02 | 3-3-5 | 2 |
| 10.5L | $4.71 |