Churchill Downs Race 6 - Race 6 - Allowance
PASEO (4) won her maiden three starts back and is nearing another victory with placings at her last two runs, most recently when third over 1911m at Keeneland Turf (Turf). Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr sticks. Expecting a bold showing. STRUCK AT MIDNIGHT (1) progressed nicely last time out at the second run of the campaign and finished just 0.4 lengths from the winner in third over 1710m at this track after being prominent at the turn. Best figures measure up. Sure to run well. ONEHOTMESS (3) recorded her first win last start over 2213m at Woodbine, getting home by 6 lengths. Tougher assignment this time but is one of the main contenders. CHARM OF VENICE (6) drifted back second up last start and boxed on well to finish 1.75 lengths from the winner in fourth over 1911m at Keeneland Turf (Turf). Expected to play a major role.

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 at Kentucky on September 6 over 1609m, 3 len behind Perrylu with 53.5kg at $10.25. Second run from a spell 3rd in a small field at this track on September 24 over 1710m, 0.4 len behind Essential Lady with 53.5kg at $4.31. Can improve. Top chance if at her best.
Last Starts 36 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/5 | 24/09/2026 | 18 | ALLOW F 3 | $186,111.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 53.5kg | 1:40.61 | 2-2-3 | 5 |
| 0.4L | $4.31 |
| 4/10 | 06/09/2026 | 183 | ALLOW FM 3U | $250,000.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 53.5kg | 1:37.00 | 7-8-4 | 3 |
| 3.1L | $10.25 |
| 7/8 | 07/03/2026 | 35 | LR OPEN F 3 | $140,449.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | FM | Sofia Vives | 54.5kg | 1:43.80 | 4-7-7 | 3 |
| 11.8L | $8.70 |
| 1/6 | 31/01/2026 | 36 | ALLOW OCLM F 3 | $78,459.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | FM | Pascacio Lopez | 54kg | 1:44.86 | 1-3-1 | 3 |
| 0.1L | $7.30 |
| 1/10 | 26/12/2025 | 27 | MDN OCLM F 2 | $45,942.00 | Fairgrounds | 1609m | FM | Pascacio Lopez | 54.5kg | 1:37.49 | 9-4-1 | 3 |
| 0.5L | $1.90 |
| 2/12 | 29/11/2025 | 38 | MDN F 2 | $82,443.00 | Fairgrounds | 1609m | FM | Pascacio Lopez | 54.5kg | 1:37.89 | 7-1-2 | 7 |
| 1.8L | $3.10 |

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Most recently 5th of 11 at Keeneland Turf on October 3 over 1911m, 1.75 len behind Siouxse with 56kg at $11.23. The start before that won by 1.0 len at Kentucky on August 30 over 2414m defeating Episist with 56kg at $7.73. Not beaten far last start and worth including.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/11 | 03/10/2026 | 34 | ALLOW FM 3U | $172,414.00 | Keeneland | 1911m | Good | Luis Saez | 56kg | 1:57.30 | 1-3-5 | 1 |
| 1.9L | $11.23 |
| 1/9 | 30/08/2026 | 24 | MDN FM 3U | $242,511.00 | Kentucky | 2414m | FM | Luis Saez | 56kg | 2:28.30 | 1-2-1 | 4 |
| 1.0L | $7.73 |
| 2/8 | 06/08/2026 | 43 | MDN FM 3U | $99,857.00 | Colonial Downs | 1811m | FM | Samuel Marin | 56kg | 1:49.92 | 2-2-2 | 7 |
| 0.5L | $11.70 |
| 8/11 | 24/06/2026 | 31 | MDN FM 3U | $174,165.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Luan Machado | 56.5kg | 1:35.75 | 1-10-8 | 8 |
| 7.0L | $23.00 |
| 5/9 | 24/05/2026 | 31 | MDN FM 3U | $167,598.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | SP | Luan Machado | 56.5kg | 1:48.34 | 1-3-5 | 2 |
| 4.3L | $41.24 |
| 8/11 | 23/04/2026 | 256 | MDN FM 3U | $160,116.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | FM | Luan Machado | 57kg | 1:51.96 | 8-9-8 | 9 |
| 9.8L | $34.87 |

Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Racing well recently. Most recently ran on from midfield and scored a big 6 len win at Woodbine on October 4 over 2213m defeating Just In Touch with 56kg at $1.80. Before that 2nd of 10 at Woodbine on September 5 over 2012m, 0.8 len behind Starla with 56kg at $2.75. Broke through last time and is worth thought again.
Last Starts 26 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | 04/10/2026 | 29 | MDN FM 3U | $180,316.00 | Woodbine Mohawk | 2213m | Good | Emma-Jayne Wilson | 56kg | 2:19.65 | 4-1-1 | 7 |
| 6.0L | $1.80 |
| 2/10 | 05/09/2026 | 41 | MDN FM 3U | $179,030.00 | Woodbine Mohawk | 2012m | Good | Emma-Jayne Wilson | 56kg | 2:05.93 | 9-8-2 | 9 |
| 0.8L | $2.75 |
| 5/10 | 26/07/2026 | 43 | MDN FM 3U | $166,909.00 | Saratoga | 2213m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 57kg | 2:15.75 | 10-6-5 | 8 |
| 5.7L | $9.38 |
| 2/10 | 13/06/2026 | 212 | MDN FM 3U | $160,530.00 | Woodbine Mohawk | 1710m | FM | Emma-Jayne Wilson | 56kg | 1:43.12 | 3-3-2 | 3 |
| 3.0L | $4.10 |
| 7/8 | 13/11/2025 | 26 | MDN 3U | $175,725.00 | Woodbine Aw | 1811m | Fast | Rafael Manuel Hernandez | 53.5kg | 1:52.25 | 5-4-7 | 5 |
| 13.1L | $9.50 |
| 3/7 | 18/10/2025 | 28 | MDN FM 3U | $175,190.00 | Woodbine Inner | 1710m | Good | Rafael Manuel Hernandez | 55kg | 1:42.34 | 2-3-3 | 1 |
| 5.3L | $3.20 |

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Recent form sound. Last start came from midfield; 3rd of 11 at Keeneland Turf on October 3 over 1911m, 0.6 len behind Siouxse with 54.5kg at $8.84. The run before that came from midfield; 3rd of 10 at Kentucky on September 6 over 1609m, 0.6 len behind Perrylu with 54.5kg at $4.91. Went close last time. Leading player again.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/11 | 03/10/2026 | 27 | ALLOW FM 3U | $172,414.00 | Keeneland | 1911m | Good | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 54.5kg | 1:57.30 | 5-4-3 | 4 |
| 0.6L | $8.84 |
| 3/10 | 06/09/2026 | 28 | ALLOW FM 3U | $250,000.00 | Kentucky | 1609m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 54.5kg | 1:37.00 | 6-5-3 | 4 |
| 0.6L | $4.91 |
| 1/12 | 09/08/2026 | 34 | MDN FM 3U | $142,653.00 | Ellis Park | 1710m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:39.96 | 2-2-1 | 1 |
| 0.5L | $1.79 |
| 2/10 | 06/07/2026 | 29 | MDN FM 3U | $145,138.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | SP | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:37.38 | 8-4-2 | 8 |
| 0.8L | $2.23 |
| 2/10 | 07/06/2026 | 98 | MDN FM 3U | $167,364.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:47.16 | 4-1-2 | 3 |
| 2.0L | $7.43 |
| 2/9 | 01/03/2026 | 37 | MDN F 3 | $117,978.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1811m | FM | Edgar Perez | 55.5kg | 1:47.63 | 2-3-2 | 1 |
| 0.3L | $4.30 |

Jockey: Walter A. Rodriguez
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 42 day let-up. Last start 2nd of 9 at this track on September 17 over 1609m, 0.8 len behind Galatina with 55.5kg at $3.35. The race before that eased back early on 5th of 7 at Ellis Park Turf on July 19 over 1811m, 7 len behind Totally Justified with 56kg at $30.80. Happy enough to dismiss in this field.
Last Starts 43 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/9 | 17/09/2026 | 60 | CLM FM 3U | $105,556.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Walter A Rodriguez | 55.5kg | 1:34.34 | 9-3-2 | 6 |
| 0.8L | $3.35 |
| 5/7 | 19/07/2026 | 28 | ALLOW FM 3U | $148,041.00 | Ellis Park | 1811m | Y | Alexander Crispin | 56kg | 1:49.67 | 7-6-5 | 4 |
| 7.3L | $30.80 |
| 4/10 | 21/06/2026 | 53 | CLM FM 3U | $114,365.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Alexander Crispin | 56kg | 1:35.09 | 5-6-4 | 3 |
| 1.8L | $11.07 |
| 4/12 | 29/04/2026 | 17 | CLM FM 3U | $90,247.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Edgar Morales | 56.5kg | 1:43.17 | 9-6-4 | 12 |
| 3.6L | $6.01 |
| 8/10 | 12/04/2026 | 140 | ALLOW FM 4U | $174,672.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | FM | Edgar Morales | 53.5kg | 1:49.17 | 8-8-8 | 5 |
| 10.1L | $27.52 |
| 4/12 | 23/11/2025 | 44 | ALLOW FM 3U | $193,893.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | FM | Walter A Rodriguez | 55kg | 1:34.71 | 7-6-4 | 4 |
| 3.1L | $33.45 |

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. Resuming 6th of 9 in the G3 Oaks Invitational Stakes at Kentucky on September 9 over 2112m, 19 len behind Kentucky Belle carrying 54.5kg at $15.98. Second-up 4th of 11 at Keeneland Turf on October 3 over 1911m, 1.75 len behind Siouxse with 53.5kg at $6.33. Expected to go very well.
Last Starts 27 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/11 | 03/10/2026 | 24 | ALLOW FM 3U | $172,414.00 | Keeneland | 1911m | Good | Tyler Gaffalione | 53.5kg | 1:57.30 | 10-9-4 | 9 |
| 1.8L | $6.33 |
| 6/9 | 09/09/2026 | 81 | G3 OPEN F 3 | $2,777,778.00 | Kentucky | 2112m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 54.5kg | 2:07.45 | 7-8-6 | 2 |
| 19.5L | $15.98 |
| 1/10 | 20/06/2026 | 162 | MDN F 3 | $34,460.00 | Down Royal | 2112m | Soft | G F Carroll | 58.5kg | 2:21.36 | - | 9 |
| 2.8L | $17.00 |
| 5/14 | 09/01/2026 | 83 | MDN F 3 | $22,700.00 | Dundalk | 1609m | Neutral | Nicola Burns | 56kg | 1:40.74 | - | 12 |
| 3.3L | $51.00 |
| 9/13 | 18/10/2025 | - | MDN F 2 | $34,690.00 | Leopardstown | 1408m | Y | Jack Kearney | 56.5kg | 1:32.50 | - | 12 |
| 22.5L | $26.00 |

Jockey: Summer Pauly
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 9 at Horseshoe Indianapolis Turf on August 24 over 1710m, 3.5 len behind More Galilady carrying 53.5kg at $11.70. Second run from a spell ran last in a small field at Churchill Downs on September 26 over 1710m, 18 len behind Ile De La Cite with 53.5kg at $11.94. Prefer to watch at this stage.
Last Starts 34 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/6 | 26/09/2026 | 33 | ALLOW FM 3U | $176,389.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:44.43 | 4-6-6 | 3 |
| 18.5L | $11.94 |
| 5/9 | 24/08/2026 | 128 | ALLOW FM 3U | $48,502.00 | Indiana Downs | 1710m | Good | Joseph D Ramos | 53.5kg | 1:46.68 | 9-7-5 | 8 |
| 3.5L | $11.70 |
| 5/10 | 18/04/2026 | 42 | ALLOW F 3 | $174,672.00 | Keeneland | 1911m | FM | Joel Rosario | 53.5kg | 1:57.93 | 9-6-5 | 5 |
| 5.8L | $30.09 |
| 10/12 | 07/03/2026 | 48 | ALLOW OCLM F 3 | $120,787.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Dylan Davis | 55.5kg | 1:33.87 | 12-10-10 | 12 |
| 8.1L | $15.10 |
| 1/11 | 18/01/2026 | - | MDN F 3 | $125,561.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | Fast | David Egan | 55.5kg | 1:45.52 | 9-5-1 | 8 |
| 1.0L | $11.80 |