Churchill Downs Race 10 - Blame S. Stakes
HIT SHOW (3) rates on top after winning the 1811m Stakes at Keeneland in October and then running 2nd at Churchill Downs over 1811m, before a solid 5th in stronger company at Meydan. VIBE (8) is the fresh danger, coming off back-to-back mile wins, latest by 3L at Churchill Downs, and stretches to 1810m. ORIGINAL SIN (6) is progressive and last-start winner over 1811m at Keeneland by 2.8L. RATTLE N ROLL (1) has depth with a Keeneland Stakes 2nd over 1811m last October and a strong Churchill Downs record, but was well beaten last time.

Jockey: Flavien Prat
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Has been around the mark, including a 2nd at Keeneland over 1811m on 25 Oct, beaten 1L by Hit Show at $19. Last start 5th of 8 at Keeneland over 1911m on 18 Apr, beaten 11L on FT, with 53.5kg after settling back. Also ninth in Riyadh over 1800m on 14 Feb at $101. Draws barrier 1 with Flavien Prat and owns a strong Churchill Downs record (4 wins, 1 second, 3 thirds from 11); can feature with the right run.
Last Starts 42 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/8 | 18/04/2026 | 63 | G3 OPEN 4U | $509,461.00 | Keeneland | 1911m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:58.34 | 7-6-5 | 8 |
| 11.0L | $5.56 |
| 9/13 | 14/02/2026 | 56 | SAUG1 CUP 4U | $7,490,637.00 | Riyadh Dirt | 1800m | Fast | Joel Rosario | 57kg | 1:51.03 | - | 11 |
| 13.8L | $101.00 |
| 1/5 | 20/12/2025 | 22 | LR OPEN 3U | $229,709.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1811m | Fast | Joel Rosario | 56.5kg | 1:49.76 | 5-2-1 | 5 |
| 2.0L | $1.70 |
| 5/8 | 28/11/2025 | 34 | G2 OPEN 3U | $916,031.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 55kg | 1:48.69 | 8-6-5 | 6 |
| 5.4L | $8.34 |
| 2/11 | 25/10/2025 | 28 | G3 OPEN 3U | $532,725.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | Fast | Emmanuel Esquivel | 55.5kg | 1:50.39 | 11-5-2 | 6 |
| 1.0L | $14.30 |
| 6/7 | 27/09/2025 | 175 | G2 OPEN 3U | $764,526.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | Fast | J R Leparoux | 56kg | 1:49.25 | 7-7-6 | 3 |
| 11.8L | $11.20 |

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Back in trip 402m and drops 2.5kg after a forgive run when 7th at Churchill Downs over 1408m on 2 May, beaten 8.9L on FT with 56kg. Prior spring efforts solid, including 4th in the 1811m Stakes at Churchill on 31 May 2025 at $5.50 behind Mystik Dan, and a 1710m Stakes 3rd on 2 May 2025 behind Fierceness. Draws barrier 2 with Jose L. Ortiz for Steven M. Asmussen; track record here reads 5:1-1-1. Can feature with the right run.
Last Starts 28 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/11 | 02/05/2026 | 280 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,396,648.00 | Churchill Downs | 1408m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 56kg | 1:20.49 | 9-6-7 | 4 |
| 8.9L | $35.23 |
| 4/6 | 26/07/2025 | 56 | G2 OPEN 3U | $458,716.00 | Del Mar | 1710m | Fast | Kazushi Kimura | 55kg | 1:42.61 | 3-4-4 | 4 |
| 6.5L | $5.80 |
| 4/7 | 31/05/2025 | 29 | G3 OPEN 4U | $429,688.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 54.5kg | 1:48.45 | 2-2-4 | 4 |
| 2.4L | $5.68 |
| 3/6 | 02/05/2025 | 41 | G2 OPEN 4U | $1,171,875.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | Fast | Joel Rosario | 54.5kg | 1:40.66 | 1-3-3 | 3 |
| 4.3L | $8.37 |
| 2/5 | 22/03/2025 | 35 | G2 OPEN 4U | $792,393.00 | Fairgrounds | 1811m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 55.5kg | 1:48.10 | 1-2-2 | 1 |
| 2.5L | $4.20 |
| 1/8 | 15/02/2025 | 41 | G3 OPEN 4U | $402,576.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | Fast | Jose Ortiz | 54.5kg | 1:42.89 | 3-3-1 | 4 |
| 0.1L | $2.70 |

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 62-day break after finishing 5th at Meydan over 2012m on 28 Mar, beaten 6.26L with 57.5kg at $13 behind Magnitude. Prior won the Fair Grounds 1710m Stakes on 14 Feb by a nose with 55.5kg at $2.10 after settling back. Also 2nd at Churchill Downs over 1811m on 28 Nov, 0.5L behind Magnitude with Irad Ortiz Jr at $6.50. Proven stakes performer who can feature with the right run.
Last Starts 63 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/9 | 28/03/2026 | 42 | G1 OPEN 4U | $4,597,701.00 | Meydan | 2000m | Fast | Florent Geroux | 57kg | 2:04.38 | - | 5 |
| 7.4L | $13.00 |
| 1/6 | 14/02/2026 | 78 | G3 OPEN 4U | $356,633.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | Fast | Florent Geroux | 55.5kg | 1:42.49 | 6-2-1 | 5 |
| 0.1L | $2.10 |
| 2/8 | 28/11/2025 | 34 | G2 OPEN 3U | $916,031.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | Fast | I Ortiz Jr | 56.5kg | 1:48.69 | 4-3-2 | 3 |
| 0.5L | $6.21 |
| 1/11 | 25/10/2025 | 28 | G3 OPEN 3U | $532,725.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | Fast | I Ortiz Jr | 57kg | 1:50.39 | 7-3-1 | 11 |
| 1.0L | $4.57 |
| 4/7 | 27/09/2025 | 55 | G2 OPEN 3U | $764,526.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | Fast | Florent Geroux | 56.5kg | 1:49.25 | 6-5-4 | 2 |
| 6.5L | $4.54 |
| 1/7 | 03/08/2025 | 36 | LR OPEN 3U | $310,078.00 | Mountaineer Park | 1710m | Fast | Florent Geroux | 56kg | 1:43.63 | 4-1-1 | 6 |
| 0.1L | $2.40 |

Jockey: Junior Alvarado
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 27-day break after finishing 6th at Churchill Downs over 1609m on 2 May, beaten 4.3L with 53.5kg on FT. Prior run a solid 2nd at Gulfstream Park over 1710m on 28 Mar, beaten 0.8L by Grande at $8 after racing handy. Churchill Downs record is 2:1-0-0, including a 1710m win on heavy on 21 Nov. Each-way claims back to a track he handles.
Last Starts 28 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/9 | 02/05/2026 | 35 | LR OPEN 4U | $279,330.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Junior Alvarado | 53.5kg | 1:33.97 | 7-6-6 | 8 |
| 4.3L | $6.64 |
| 2/7 | 28/03/2026 | 41 | G3 OPEN 4U | $245,787.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | Fast | Junior Alvarado | 54.5kg | 1:44.26 | 3-2-2 | 2 |
| 0.8L | $8.40 |
| 2/8 | 15/02/2026 | 86 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $80,599.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1408m | Fast | Samy Camacho | 53.5kg | 1:21.69 | 7-5-2 | 4 |
| 5.0L | $3.40 |
| 1/6 | 21/11/2025 | 28 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $215,267.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | SP | Junior Alvarado | 55kg | 1:44.88 | 1-2-1 | 4 |
| 0.3L | $2.70 |
| 3/8 | 24/10/2025 | 54 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $213,090.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | Fast | Junior Alvarado | 56kg | 1:44.36 | 8-4-3 | 8 |
| 2.5L | $3.31 |
| 1/7 | 31/08/2025 | 35 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $178,295.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | Fast | Junior Alvarado | 56.5kg | 1:36.54 | 2-4-1 | 2 |
| 0.5L | $9.30 |

Jockey: Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr.
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 27‑day break after finishing 3rd at Churchill Downs over 1609m on 2 May, beaten 3.8L carrying 55.5kg after making late ground. Two back was 4th in a Churchill Downs Stakes over 1811m on 28 Nov at $34, beaten 5.4L by Magnitude. Notably won the Mahoning Valley Stakes over 2012m on 25 Oct as a $1.55 favorite. Consistent profile and back slightly in trip; can feature with the right run.
Last Starts 28 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/14 | 02/05/2026 | 155 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $187,151.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 55.5kg | 1:34.28 | 14-4-3 | 6 |
| 3.8L | $4.77 |
| 4/8 | 28/11/2025 | 34 | G2 OPEN 3U | $916,031.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | Fast | Luan Machado | 55kg | 1:48.69 | 7-5-4 | 7 |
| 5.4L | $51.59 |
| 1/6 | 25/10/2025 | 28 | LR OPEN 3U | $152,207.00 | Mahoning Valley | 2012m | Fast | W Martinez | 57kg | 2:04.37 | 2-2-1 | 6 |
| 0.1L | $1.40 |
| 4/7 | 27/09/2025 | 134 | G3 OPEN 3U | $611,621.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Luan Machado | 55kg | 1:35.44 | 7-5-4 | 7 |
| 4.3L | $12.31 |
| 1/6 | 16/05/2025 | 202 | ALLOW 3U | $29,688.00 | Belterra Park | 1609m | Fast | Albin Jimenez | 55.5kg | 1:40.49 | 5-1-1 | 1 |
| 4.0L | $1.10 |
| 1/12 | 26/10/2024 | 38 | LR OPEN 3U | $144,509.00 | Mahoning Valley | 2012m | Fast | W Martinez | 55.5kg | 2:07.45 | 10-2-1 | 4 |
| 0.3L | $1.30 |

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 48-day break after a convincing win at Keeneland over 1811m on 11 Apr, coming from well back to score by 2.8L with 53.5kg under Tyler Gaffalione. Prior run at Fair Grounds on 19 Feb was a plain 6th of 7 over 1710m, beaten 12.3L at $3. Scored at Fair Grounds the start before over 1710m by 1.0L at $4.40. Progressive 4yo colt for Brendan P. Walsh with solid recent strike-rate; can feature with the right run.
Last Starts 49 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | 11/04/2026 | 51 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $189,229.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | Fast | Tyler Gaffalione | 53.5kg | 1:49.65 | 7-2-1 | 3 |
| 2.8L | $7.24 |
| 6/7 | 19/02/2026 | 28 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $79,886.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | Fast | Ben Curtis | 55.5kg | 1:42.18 | 6-6-6 | 4 |
| 12.3L | $2.90 |
| 1/5 | 22/01/2026 | 53 | ALLOW 4U | $82,212.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | Fast | Ben Curtis | 54.5kg | 1:43.56 | 5-2-1 | 1 |
| 1.0L | $4.50 |
| 3/11 | 30/11/2025 | 31 | ALLOW 3U | $193,893.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | Fast | Tyler Gaffalione | 54.5kg | 1:35.95 | 11-7-3 | 1 |
| 4.5L | $5.47 |
| 1/6 | 30/10/2025 | 321 | MDN 3U | $182,648.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | SP | Tyler Gaffalione | 54.5kg | 1:38.70 | 5-4-1 | 2 |
| 1.3L | $5.04 |
| 3/7 | 13/12/2024 | 51 | MDN 2 | $169,492.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1710m | Fast | Ramon A Vazquez | 54.5kg | 1:47.53 | 6-4-3 | 2 |
| 2.8L | $4.80 |

Jockey: Reynier Arrieta
Weight: 53.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 41-day break after finishing 6th of 6 at Oaklawn Park over 1811m on 18 Apr, beaten 13.3L on FT with 52.5kg. Prior form strong, including a Churchill Downs 1609m Stakes win on 3 May (SY) by 0.8L at $2.62 after running on from back in the field. Also placed in an Oaklawn Stakes over 1609m on 25 Jan, 3rd at $1.95, and boasts a 5:3-0-2 record at this track. Down 1m in trip and up to 53.5kg; can feature with the right run.
Last Starts 42 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/6 | 18/04/2026 | 350 | G2 OPEN 4U | $1,819,505.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1811m | Fast | Reynier Arrieta | 52.5kg | 1:47.49 | 6-5-6 | 2 |
| 13.3L | $58.10 |
| 1/12 | 03/05/2025 | 35 | LR OPEN 4U | $312,500.00 | Churchill Downs | 1609m | SP | Luis Saez | 53.5kg | 1:35.25 | 11-2-1 | 8 |
| 0.8L | $2.80 |
| 4/9 | 29/03/2025 | 63 | LR OPEN 4U | $229,794.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1710m | Fast | Florent Geroux | 56kg | 1:43.75 | 6-6-4 | 6 |
| 6.3L | $8.10 |
| 3/9 | 25/01/2025 | 30 | LR OPEN 4U | $241,935.00 | Oaklawn Park | 1609m | Fast | Flavien Prat | 55.5kg | 1:38.98 | 9-6-3 | 8 |
| 3.0L | $2.10 |
| 1/6 | 26/12/2024 | 50 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $93,991.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | Fast | Florent Geroux | 53kg | 1:44.56 | 4-1-1 | 6 |
| 11.8L | $1.90 |
| 1/8 | 06/11/2024 | 207 | ALLOW 3U | $203,957.00 | Churchill Downs | 1509m | SP | Luis Saez | 53.5kg | 1:28.66 | 7-2-1 | 8 |
| 0.1L | $3.09 |