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Belmont Park Race 8 - Dwyer S. Stakes

TED NOFFEY (6) puts an unbeaten record on the line after four straight wins, the latest over 1710m in the G1 Breeders Cup Juvenile at Del Mar (Dirt). Only other try fresh was a winning debut and can make it two from two. SEA STRIKE (9) was well held in the Travers Stakes won by Leading Change over 2012m at Saratoga at his last appearance ten weeks ago. Should park just off the speed. Expecting a bold showing. OVERTIME RULES (2) made it back-to-back wins when successful last start over 1408m at Keeneland (Dirt), getting home by 1.5 lengths. Taking on a better line-up this time but he deserves plenty of thought. STIMULATE (3) had been in great form winning two on end before finishing third last time out over 1710m at Churchill Downs.

Race Time:8:12 PM

Saturday, November 7, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:cloudy

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1609m

Bravaro (1)11x244421x

Trainer: Saffie A Joseph (Jnr) 12 mths 8: 3-2-0

Jockey: Paco Lopez

Weight: 56kgs

3 yo Bay C

Sire: UPSTART (USA)

Dam: OPERA STAR (USA)

Dam's Sire: Tamarkuz

Stats

Prize Money$878,172.00

Avg $$109,771.50

Win %37.50%

Place %62.50%

Career8: 3-2-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance2: 1-1-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 1-1-0

2nd Up2: 1-0-0

Firm6: 3-2-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign by 0.5 len Charles Town LR August 28 over 1408m defeating Langvad carrying 53kg at $8.70. When resuming last campaign second in a small field at Gulfstream Park in the G3 Holy Bull Stakes January 31 over 1710m, 6 len behind Nearly carrying 54.5kg at $6.90. Not at this stage.

Last Starts 71 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/7	28/08/2026	27	LR OPEN 3	$713,267.00	Charles Town	1408m	Fast	Pascacio Lopez	53kg	1:25.00	6-1-1	2	1. Bravaro 2. Langvad 3. Ryan's Run	0.5L	$8.70
2/7	01/08/2026	59	LR OPEN 3	$142,653.00	Colonial Downs	1609m	Fast	Pascacio Lopez	55.5kg	1:35.24	5-2-2	2	1. Sabino Canyon 2. Bravaro 3. Exosome	0.3L	$1.90
4/9	03/06/2026	60	LR OPEN 3	$278,940.00	Saratoga	1408m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	56kg	1:21.60	1-3-4	9	1. Sculcos Folly 2. B Thedonald 3. Party In The Army	9.5L	$1.88
4/12	04/04/2026	35	G2 OPEN 3	$1,091,703.00	Belmont At The Big A	1811m	Fast	Edwin Gonzalez	56kg	1:51.71	9-6-4	9	1. Albus 2. Right To Party 3. Ocelli	2.6L	$8.79
4/9	28/02/2026	28	G2 OPEN 3	$596,910.00	Gulfstream Park	1710m	Fast	Tyler Gaffalione	55.5kg	1:43.33	7-5-4	4	1. Commandment 2. Chief Wallabee 3. Solitude Dude	11.0L	$10.90
2/6	31/01/2026	98	G3 OPEN 3	$392,297.00	Gulfstream Park	1710m	Fast	Tyler Gaffalione	54.5kg	1:44.52	4-2-2	6	1. Nearly 2. Bravaro 3. Project Ace	5.8L	$6.90

Overtime Rules (2)611

Trainer: Arnaud Delacour 12 mths 3: 2-0-0

Jockey: Samuel Marin

Weight: 55.5kgs

3 yo Dark Bay/Brown G

Sire: COMPLEXITY (USA)

Dam: URBAN INSIGHT (USA)

Dam's Sire: Street Sense

Stats

Prize Money$157,618.00

Avg $$52,539.33

Win %66.67%

Place %66.67%

Career3: 2-0-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 1-0-0

Firm3: 2-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Chasing a hat-trick. Comes off a 34 day let-up. Most recently won by 1.5 len at Keeneland on October 4 over 1408m defeating Speedstorm with 54.5kg at $22.40. The run before that won by 4 len at Colonial Downs on September 7 over 1308m defeating Eleos with 54kg at $5.50. Has the right credentials.

Last Starts 34 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/12	04/10/2026	27	ALLOW 3U	$172,414.00	Keeneland	1408m	Fast	Flavien Prat	54.5kg	1:22.15	3-1-1	4	1. Overtime Rules 2. Speedstorm 3. Embry Show	1.5L	$22.40
1/7	07/09/2026	59	MDN 3U	$97,222.00	Colonial Downs	1308m	Fast	Pascacio Lopez	54kg	1:16.23	1-1-1	4	1. Overtime Rules 2. Eleos 3. Card Shark	4.3L	$5.50
6/8	10/07/2026	-	MDN 3U	$101,597.00	Colonial Downs	1106m	FM	Pascacio Lopez	54kg	1:02.71	4-2-6	1	1. Party Guest 2. Munny Problem 3. Fanti	6.8L	$4.60

Stimulate (3)5x113

Trainer: William I Mott (U.S.A.)12 mths 4: 2-0-1

Jockey: Junior Alvarado

Weight: 55.5kgs

3 yo Grey/Roan C

Sire: TAPIT (USA)

Dam: ELATE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Medaglia D'Oro

Stats

Prize Money$231,900.00

Avg $$57,975.00

Win %50.00%

Place %75.00%

Career4: 2-0-1

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance1: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 1-0-0

2nd Up1: 1-0-0

Firm3: 1-0-1

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Racing well recently. Comes off a 42 day let-up. Last start 3rd in a small field in Listed grade at Churchill Downs at Churchill Downs on September 26 over 1710m, 7 len behind Plutarch with 53.5kg at $3.91. Before that won by 1.5 len at Saratoga on August 22 over 1609m defeating Freddie B carrying 55kg at $2.08. Has a low draw and is in the mix.

Last Starts 42 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/6	26/09/2026	35	LR OPEN 3	$416,667.00	Churchill Downs	1710m	Fast	Luis Saez	53.5kg	1:41.79	2-3-3	5	1. Plutarch 2. Local Knowledge 3. Stimulate	7.8L	$3.91
1/8	22/08/2026	35	ALLOW 3U	$171,184.00	Saratoga	1609m	Fast	Jose Ortiz	55kg	1:37.46	3-1-1	4	1. Stimulate 2. Freddie B 3. Playa Del Mar	1.5L	$2.08
1/9	18/07/2026	329	MDN 3U	$164,051.00	Saratoga	1408m	SP	Junior Alvarado	55.5kg	1:23.33	7-1-1	2	1. Stimulate 2. Gadget Play 3. Criteria	2.8L	$3.79
5/8	23/08/2025	-	MDN 2	$155,039.00	Saratoga	1207m	Fast	Junior Alvarado	54kg	1:09.47	8-5-5	7	1. Big Dom 2. Dr Kapur 3. Vino Vici	10.0L	$7.70

White Smoke Rising (4)2x1153

Trainer: Charlton Baker 12 mths 5: 2-1-1

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

Weight: 55.5kgs

3 yo Grey/Roan C

Sire: VOLATILE (USA)

Dam: LITTLE CYCLONE (USA)

Dam's Sire: City Zip

Stats

Prize Money$217,265.00

Avg $$43,453.00

Win %40.00%

Place %80.00%

Career5: 2-1-1

Track1: 0-0-1

Distance1: 0-0-1

Tr / Dist1: 0-0-1

1st Up2: 1-1-0

2nd Up1: 1-0-0

Firm4: 2-1-1

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Returns from a 44-day let-up. At the latest run 3rd of 8 at this track on September 24 over 1609m, 5 len behind Kinetic carrying 55.5kg at $2.85. The race before that got back early 5th of 7 in the G2 Amsterdam Stakes at Saratoga on July 31 over 1308m, 6 len behind Local Knowledge carrying 54.5kg at $22.65. Chance with the aid of an inside gate.

Last Starts 44 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/8	24/09/2026	55	ALLOW OCLM 3U	$150,000.00	Belmont Park	1609m	Fast	Ricardo Santana Jr	55.5kg	1:35.82	5-4-3	1	1. Kinetic 2. Secured Landing 3. White Smoke Rising	4.8L	$2.85
5/7	31/07/2026	28	G2 OPEN 3	$356,633.00	Saratoga	1308m	Good	Ricardo Santana Jr	54.5kg	1:14.89	7-6-5	5	1. Local Knowledge 2. Solitude Dude 3. Obliteration	6.1L	$22.65
1/7	03/07/2026	57	ALLOW 3U	$174,165.00	Saratoga	1408m	Fast	John R Velazquez	55.5kg	1:23.22	3-2-1	7	1. White Smoke Rising 2. Private Desire 3. Silver Talent	1.8L	$3.88
1/7	07/05/2026	123	MDN 3U	$118,715.00	Belmont At The Big A	1308m	Fast	John R Velazquez	55kg	1:16.30	6-1-1	7	1. White Smoke Rising 2. Cite Your Sources 3. Onepac	1.5L	$1.72
2/6	04/01/2026	-	MDN 3	$119,581.00	Belmont At The Big A	1207m	Fast	Eric Cancel	55.5kg	1:12.20	6-2-2	6	1. Crossingthechannel 2. White Smoke Rising 3. Buntus Foclora	0.3L	$8.29

Ted Noffey (5)1111x

Trainer: Todd Pletcher (USA)12 mths 4: 4-0-0

Jockey: John R. Velazquez

Weight: 56kgs

3 yo Grey/Roan C

Sire: INTO MISCHIEF (USA)

Dam: STREAK OF LUCK (USA)

Dam's Sire: Old Fashioned

Stats

Prize Money$2,526,246.00

Avg $$631,561.50

Win %100.00%

Place %100.00%

Career4: 4-0-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 1-0-0

2nd Up1: 1-0-0

Firm4: 4-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Unbeaten four for four. Resuming after a year break. Finished off last preparation winning won by 1.0 len Del Mar G1 Breeders Cup Juvenile October 31 2025 over 1710m defeating Mr A P carrying 55.5kg at $1.80. On debut favourite; won by 1.5 len Saratoga August 2 2025 over 1308m defeating Criteria carrying 54kg at $4.80. Form shown last campaign makes for good reading.

Last Starts 372 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/6	31/10/2025	27	G1 OPEN CG 2	$3,044,140.00	Del Mar	1710m	Fast	John R Velazquez	55.5kg	1:42.25	1-1-1	6	1. Ted Noffey 2. Mr A P 3. Brant	1.0L	$1.80
1/6	04/10/2025	33	G1 OPEN 2	$989,346.00	Keeneland	1710m	Fast	John R Velazquez	55.5kg	1:43.98	5-1-1	6	1. Ted Noffey 2. Blackout Time 3. Litmus Test	2.8L	$1.92
1/7	01/09/2025	30	G1 OPEN 2	$458,716.00	Saratoga	1408m	Fast	John R Velazquez	55.5kg	1:22.35	1-1-1	7	1. Ted Noffey 2. Buetane 3. Curtain Call	8.5L	$4.81
1/8	02/08/2025	-	MDN 2	$155,039.00	Saratoga	1308m	Fast	John R Velazquez	54kg	1:17.56	2-1-1	8	1. Ted Noffey 2. Criteria 3. Legal Gambit	1.5L	$4.80

Igniter (6)x6x11x3315

Trainer: Richard E Dutrow 12 mths 9: 4-0-3

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Weight: 56kgs

3 yo Chestnut C

Sire: VOLATILE (USA)

Dam: MALIBU PRAYER (USA)

Dam's Sire: Malibu Moon

Stats

Prize Money$716,409.00

Avg $$79,601.00

Win %44.44%

Place %77.78%

Career9: 4-0-3

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance2: 2-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up4: 1-0-2

2nd Up3: 2-0-1

Firm7: 3-0-3

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Comes off a 49 day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 10 in the G1 Pennsylvania Derby at Parx on September 19 over 1811m, 15 len behind The Puma carrying 55.5kg at $14.70. The start before that came from midfield and scored a big 4 len win in stakes class at Ellis Park at Ellis Park on August 9 over 1609m defeating Corona De Oro carrying 53.5kg at $2.05. Prepared to risk today.

Last Starts 49 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/10	19/09/2026	41	G1 OPEN 3	$1,388,889.00	Parx	1811m	Fast	Luis Saez	55.5kg	1:49.10	6-6-5	3	1. The Puma 2. Further Ado 3. Sassmaster	15.3L	$14.70
1/5	09/08/2026	42	LR OPEN 3	$570,613.00	Ellis Park	1609m	Fast	Luis Saez	53.5kg	1:35.56	2-1-1	4	1. Igniter 2. Corona De Oro 3. Stop The Car	4.0L	$2.05
3/6	28/06/2026	43	G3 OPEN 3	$348,675.00	Churchill Downs	1408m	Fast	John R Velazquez	54.5kg	1:21.43	6-6-3	1	1. Deep Flame 2. American Man 3. Igniter	6.8L	$8.31
3/7	16/05/2026	63	LR OPEN 3	$209,497.00	Laurel Park	1207m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	55.5kg	1:09.77	3-3-3	4	1. Obliteration 2. Shane's Wonder 3. Igniter	3.6L	$4.50
1/5	14/03/2026	31	LR OPEN 3	$189,607.00	Belmont At The Big A	1207m	Fast	Manuel Franco	55kg	1:10.36	1-1-1	4	1. Igniter 2. Time To Roll 3. Blue Forty Two	1.0L	$1.67
1/7	11/02/2026	67	ALLOW OCLM 3	$118,402.00	Belmont At The Big A	1408m	Fast	Manuel Franco	56kg	1:25.71	4-1-1	4	1. Igniter 2. Blue Forty Two 3. Tartabull	4.3L	$2.04

Sea Strike (7)1516x

Trainer: Chad C Brown 12 mths 4: 2-0-0

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Weight: 56kgs

3 yo Chestnut C

Sire: MIDSHIPMAN (USA)

Dam: MEETMEONLINE (USA)

Dam's Sire: Line Of David

Stats

Prize Money$199,130.00

Avg $$49,782.50

Win %50.00%

Place %50.00%

Career4: 2-0-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 1-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm4: 2-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Resuming after a ten weeks break. Finished off last campaign sixth of 10 at Saratoga in the G1 Travers Stakes August 29 over 2012m, 6 len behind Leading Change carrying 57kg at $4.55. At his first start won by 2.25 len Aqueduct April 25 over 1207m defeating Tab At Zanzibar with 55.5kg at $1.38. Expect a forward showing.

Last Starts 70 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
6/10	29/08/2026	27	G1 OPEN 3	$1,783,167.00	Saratoga	2012m	Fast	Flavien Prat	57kg	2:02.98	3-2-6	7	1. Leading Change 2. Napoleon Solo 3. Golden Tempo	6.0L	$4.55
1/7	02/08/2026	57	LR OPEN 3	$213,980.00	Saratoga	1811m	Fast	Flavien Prat	54.5kg	1:48.94	6-1-1	4	1. Sea Strike 2. Chief Wallabee 3. Gulfy	8.3L	$6.81
5/13	06/06/2026	42	ALLOW 3U	$167,364.00	Saratoga	1308m	Fast	Flavien Prat	55kg	1:15.61	10-7-5	7	1. Buttah 2. Village Person 3. Local Knowledge	5.8L	$3.61
1/7	25/04/2026	-	MDN 3	$116,448.00	Belmont At The Big A	1207m	Fast	Flavien Prat	55.5kg	1:11.17	6-3-1	5	1. Sea Strike 2. Tab At Zanzibar 3. Complex Charlie	2.3L	$1.38

Mailata (8)341117x514

Trainer: Robert E Reid, Jnr 12 mths 9: 4-0-1

Jockey: Abner Adorno

Weight: 56kgs

3 yo Bay G

Sire: MAXIMUS MISCHIEF (USA)

Dam: BOUQUET OF GOLD (USA)

Dam's Sire: Medaglia D'Oro

Stats

Prize Money$347,880.00

Avg $$38,653.33

Win %44.44%

Place %55.56%

Career9: 4-0-1

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance1: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 0-0-1

2nd Up2: 1-0-0

Firm6: 2-0-1

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Returns from a 49-day let-up. Most recently 4th of 9 in the G2 Gallant Bob Stakes at Parx on September 19 over 1207m, 5 len behind Stradale carrying 54.5kg at $40.30. Before that won by 2.25 len in Listed grade at Parx at Parx on August 18 over 1308m defeating Flyin Hawaiian with 57kg at $19.10. Favour others today.

Last Starts 49 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/9	19/09/2026	32	G2 OPEN 3	$555,556.00	Parx	1207m	Fast	Abner Adorno	54.5kg	1:09.83	1-3-4	9	1. Stradale 2. Dr Kapur 3. Captivator	5.3L	$40.30
1/6	18/08/2026	31	LR OPEN 3	$106,990.00	Parx	1308m	M	Abner Adorno	57kg	1:17.99	1-2-1	5	1. Mailata 2. Flyin Hawaiian 3. Unwritten Rule	2.3L	$19.10
5/5	18/07/2026	162	LR OPEN 3	$142,653.00	Parx	1673m	Fast	Abner Adorno	57kg	1:43.28	3-4-5	2	1. Ponder And Dream 2. Mister Me 3. Our Notion	35.0L	$6.40
7/7	06/02/2026	38	LR OPEN 3	$285,307.00	Belmont At The Big A	1811m	Fast	Mychel J Sanchez	56kg	1:51.68	5-6-7	5	1. Talk To Me Jimmy 2. Grittiness 3. Ottinho	33.8L	$6.07
1/3	30/12/2025	34	LR OPEN 2	$114,855.00	Parx	1408m	Fast	Mychel J Sanchez	56.5kg	1:27.20	3-1-1	1	1. Mailata 2. Higher Sense 3. Tough Guy Tony	19.0L	$1.20
1/7	26/11/2025	28	LR OPEN 2	$152,672.00	Parx	1408m	SP	Mychel J Sanchez	54.5kg	1:23.29	3-1-1	6	1. Mailata 2. Mister Me 3. Red Zone Runner	3.5L	$4.70