Belmont Park Race 8 - Race 8 - Allowance
JOKER ON FIRE (6) finds it hard to win with just one success from 14 starts. Was again denied last start when he found one better over 1106m at Saratoga Turf. Likely contender with strong prospects. STORMY BIRTHDAY (1) doesn't win very often but ran a strong race last time out over 1106m at Saratoga Turf (Turf), finishing fourth and beaten 1.5 lengths after being in contention on the bend. Finds a suitable race and can figure in the finish. TRUE LEGEND (7) showed good pace and went on to score by 2 lengths when resuming last time out over 1106m at Saratoga Turf (Turf). Suitably placed so anticipating another big run. LIGHT FANTASTIC (3) scored last start at Saratoga Turf (Turf) to make it three wins from four starts this campaign. Has the pace to be in a prominent position from the outset. Not to be discounted.

Jockey: Flavien Prat
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Racing well recently. Comes off a 29 day let-up. Last start 4th of 9 at Saratoga Turf on August 28 over 1106m, 1.5 len behind Illmatic carrying 57kg at $14.40. Before that 3rd of 10 at Saratoga Inner Turf on July 25 over 1609m, 0.6 len behind Jack's World with 57kg at $43.86. Winning prospects enhanced by the inside stall.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/9 | 28/08/2026 | 34 | ALLOW 3U | $149,786.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Christopher Elliott | 57kg | 1:02.23 | 7-2-4 | 7 |
| 1.6L | $14.40 |
| 3/10 | 25/07/2026 | 21 | ALLOW 3U | $152,395.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FM | Jamie Rodriguez | 57kg | 1:35.54 | 9-1-3 | 6 |
| 0.6L | $43.86 |
| 5/12 | 04/07/2026 | 49 | ALLOW 3U | $152,395.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Jamie Rodriguez | 57kg | 1:02.07 | 6-3-5 | 5 |
| 2.4L | $14.57 |
| 9/9 | 16/05/2026 | 190 | ALLOW 3U | $114,525.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Javier Castellano | 57kg | 1:08.63 | 2-7-9 | 8 |
| 10.1L | $4.36 |
| 2/10 | 07/11/2025 | 28 | ALLOW 3U | $123,664.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Javier Castellano | 54.5kg | 1:08.42 | 7-2-2 | 2 |
| 2.3L | $3.94 |
| 3/7 | 10/10/2025 | 26 | ALLOW 3U | $123,288.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Romero Ramsay Maragh | 54.5kg | 1:08.61 | 7-6-3 | 5 |
| 2.3L | $9.96 |

Jockey: Christopher Elliott
Weight: 57kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 51 day let-up. At the latest run won by 0.5 len at Saratoga Turf on August 6 over 1106m defeating Sir Walta carrying 57kg at $23.44. The run before that ran second last of 10 at Saratoga Turf on July 12 over 1106m, 7 len behind Out Of The Fog with 57kg at $18.85. Not going well enough. Needs to lift.
Last Starts 51 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/9 | 06/08/2026 | 25 | MDN CLM 3U | $79,886.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Manuel Franco | 57kg | 1:03.14 | 1-2-1 | 4 |
| 0.5L | $23.44 |
| 9/10 | 12/07/2026 | 29 | MDN CLM 3U | $81,277.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Silvera Ruben | 57kg | 1:02.95 | 1-8-9 | 1 |
| 7.0L | $18.85 |
| 4/8 | 13/06/2026 | 28 | MDN CLM 3U | $66,946.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Silvera Ruben | 57kg | 1:09.01 | 3-2-4 | 2 |
| 1.3L | $35.72 |
| 5/9 | 16/05/2026 | 14 | MDN CLM 3U | $67,039.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | K Carmouche | 57kg | 1:09.17 | 2-4-5 | 8 |
| 5.1L | $8.59 |
| 5/9 | 02/05/2026 | 143 | MDN CLM 3U | $67,039.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | K Carmouche | 57kg | 1:09.50 | 2-5-5 | 6 |
| 9.0L | $13.00 |
| 9/9 | 10/12/2025 | 28 | MDN CLM 3U | $58,193.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1308m | Fast | Jose Lezcano | 55.5kg | 1:19.69 | 6-8-9 | 3 |
| 36.3L | $11.76 |

Jockey: John R. Velazquez
Weight: 57kgs
Stats
Comments
Recent form sound. At the latest run came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Saratoga Turf on September 7 over 1106m defeating Escapades carrying 57kg at $4.55. The start before that won by 4 len at Saratoga Turf on August 20 over 1106m defeating Two Ducks with 57kg at $4.35. Last-start winner who can measure up again.
Last Starts 19 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | 07/09/2026 | 18 | HCP 3U | $108,333.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Manuel Franco | 57kg | 1:02.32 | 3-1-1 | 2 |
| 1.8L | $4.55 |
| 1/8 | 20/08/2026 | 28 | CLM 3U | $82,739.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Manuel Franco | 57kg | 1:02.92 | 1-1-1 | 6 |
| 4.0L | $4.35 |
| 8/9 | 23/07/2026 | 40 | CLM 3U | $94,340.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | I Ortiz Jr | 57kg | 1:41.64 | 5-5-8 | 3 |
| 9.1L | $4.75 |
| 1/8 | 13/06/2026 | 325 | MDN CLM 3U | $66,946.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | K Carmouche | 57kg | 1:09.01 | 6-1-1 | 8 |
| 0.1L | $2.35 |
| 3/9 | 23/07/2025 | 34 | MDN 3U | $137,615.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Christopher Elliott | 56kg | 1:02.80 | 9-2-3 | 9 |
| 3.1L | $8.50 |
| 5/6 | 19/06/2025 | - | MDN 3U | $124,417.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Christopher Elliott | 54kg | 1:08.09 | 6-4-5 | 5 |
| 3.9L | $8.10 |

Jockey: Javier Castellano
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 29 day let-up. Last start settled back and ran on when 7th of 9 at Saratoga Turf on August 28 over 1106m, 4.5 len behind Illmatic with 57kg at $14.47. The start before that 4th of 9 at Saratoga Turf on August 1 over 1106m, 2.5 len behind Dakota Country carrying 57kg at $13.22. Not doing enough to threaten the top few today.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/9 | 28/08/2026 | 27 | ALLOW 3U | $149,786.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Javier Castellano | 57kg | 1:02.23 | 9-6-7 | 9 |
| 4.4L | $14.47 |
| 4/9 | 01/08/2026 | 28 | ALLOW 3U | $149,786.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Dylan Davis | 57kg | 1:03.63 | 1-1-4 | 4 |
| 2.4L | $13.22 |
| 11/12 | 04/07/2026 | 27 | ALLOW 3U | $152,395.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 57kg | 1:02.07 | 3-5-11 | 10 |
| 5.6L | $2.87 |
| 2/11 | 07/06/2026 | 155 | ALLOW 3U | $146,444.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Javier Castellano | 57kg | 1:01.64 | 5-4-2 | 3 |
| 0.3L | $6.18 |
| 6/9 | 03/01/2026 | 27 | ALLOW 4U | $115,097.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1408m | Fast | Luis R Rivera (Jnr) | 55kg | 1:25.16 | 5-5-6 | 8 |
| 7.8L | $9.36 |
| 5/8 | 07/12/2025 | 30 | ALLOW 3U | $124,043.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | Fast | Luis R Rivera (Jnr) | 54.5kg | 1:11.12 | 5-3-5 | 1 |
| 0.4L | $26.95 |

Jockey: Dylan Davis
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a 30-day let-up. At the latest run sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 9 at Saratoga Inner Turf on August 27 over 1710m, 3 len behind Final Denile carrying 55kg at $22.19. The start before that ran second last of 7 in Listed grade at Saratoga Turf at Saratoga Turf on July 24 over 1710m, 17 len behind Chummers with 54.5kg at $23.85. Cannot enthuse.
Last Starts 30 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/9 | 27/08/2026 | 34 | ALLOW 3U | $99,857.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Dylan Davis | 55kg | 1:41.77 | 3-3-7 | 3 |
| 3.1L | $22.19 |
| 6/7 | 24/07/2026 | 13 | LR OPEN 3 | $290,276.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 54.5kg | 1:40.61 | 6-6-6 | 4 |
| 17.3L | $23.85 |
| 1/11 | 11/07/2026 | 28 | MDN 3U | $145,138.00 | Saratoga | 1710m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 55kg | 1:42.31 | 7-3-1 | 9 |
| 0.5L | $13.97 |
| 3/8 | 13/06/2026 | 27 | MDN CLM 3U | $66,946.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1710m | FM | Manuel Franco | 54.5kg | 1:43.03 | 7-3-3 | 8 |
| 1.4L | $11.72 |
| 9/10 | 17/05/2026 | - | MDN CLM 3U | $67,039.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1710m | FM | Manuel Franco | 54.5kg | 1:44.82 | 10-9-9 | 4 |
| 7.4L | $5.99 |

Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Racing well recently. Comes here off a 29-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 9 at Saratoga Turf on August 28 over 1106m, 0.5 len behind Illmatic with 57kg at $4.80. Before that 2nd of 9 at Saratoga Turf on August 1 over 1106m, nose behind Dakota Country carrying 57kg at $4.51. Poised to win after a narrow defeat last time.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/9 | 28/08/2026 | 27 | ALLOW 3U | $149,786.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Jose Lezcano | 57kg | 1:02.23 | 6-1-2 | 8 |
| 0.5L | $4.80 |
| 2/9 | 01/08/2026 | 23 | ALLOW 3U | $149,786.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Jose Lezcano | 57kg | 1:03.63 | 6-3-2 | 2 |
| 0.1L | $4.51 |
| 2/11 | 09/07/2026 | 32 | HCP 3U | $113,208.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Jose Lezcano | 57kg | 1:01.21 | 4-2-2 | 7 |
| 1.0L | $4.16 |
| 5/11 | 07/06/2026 | 22 | ALLOW 3U | $146,444.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Jose Lezcano | 57kg | 1:01.64 | 2-1-5 | 9 |
| 1.3L | $4.20 |
| 2/9 | 16/05/2026 | 184 | ALLOW 3U | $114,525.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Jose Lezcano | 57kg | 1:08.63 | 1-1-2 | 9 |
| 1.0L | $8.06 |
| 1/10 | 13/11/2025 | 237 | MDN CLM 3U | $79,389.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Javier Castellano | 55.5kg | 1:10.89 | 10-1-1 | 4 |
| 4.0L | $8.95 |

Jockey: Manuel Franco
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Second run back. Comes off a 38-day let-up. First-up after nine months ran on from midfield and won by 2 len at Saratoga Turf on August 19 over 1106m defeating Story Of Rory with 55.5kg at $5.23. Previously second-up 4th of 7 at Aqueduct Turf on October 11 over 1207m, 4 len behind Chummers with 54kg at $1.60. Strips fitter and is an excellent winning chance.
Last Starts 38 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/8 | 19/08/2026 | 256 | MDN 3U | $142,653.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Manuel Franco | 55.5kg | 1:03.27 | 4-1-1 | 6 |
| 2.0L | $5.23 |
| 14/14 | 06/12/2025 | 15 | LR OPEN 2 | $765,697.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1408m | Fast | Manuel Franco | 53.5kg | 1:24.90 | 11-9-14 | 5 |
| 27.8L | $23.46 |
| 3/9 | 21/11/2025 | 41 | MDN 2 | $122,137.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Manuel Franco | 54kg | 1:09.88 | 2-1-3 | 5 |
| 1.6L | $3.15 |
| 4/7 | 11/10/2025 | 20 | MDN 2 | $121,766.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Manuel Franco | 54kg | 1:10.06 | 4-1-4 | 2 |
| 3.8L | $1.60 |
| 2/9 | 21/09/2025 | - | MDN 2 | $122,324.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Manuel Franco | 54kg | 1:09.25 | 8-3-2 | 4 |
| 0.1L | $7.79 |

Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes off a 29 day let-up. At the latest run 6th of 9 at Saratoga Turf on August 28 over 1106m, 3 len behind Illmatic with 57kg at $7.38. The run before that 5th of 9 at Saratoga Turf on August 1 over 1106m, 2.5 len behind Dakota Country carrying 57kg at $9.68. Others have better credentials.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/9 | 28/08/2026 | 27 | ALLOW 3U | $149,786.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 57kg | 1:02.23 | 8-8-6 | 5 |
| 2.9L | $7.38 |
| 5/9 | 01/08/2026 | 28 | ALLOW 3U | $149,786.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Ricardo Santana Jr | 57kg | 1:03.63 | 5-5-5 | 7 |
| 2.5L | $9.68 |
| 2/12 | 04/07/2026 | 27 | ALLOW 3U | $152,395.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Flavien Prat | 57kg | 1:02.07 | 12-9-2 | 4 |
| 1.5L | $8.04 |
| 9/11 | 07/06/2026 | 207 | ALLOW 3U | $146,444.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Jamie Rodriguez | 57kg | 1:01.64 | 11-10-9 | 6 |
| 5.6L | $8.22 |
| 1/10 | 12/11/2025 | - | MDN CLM 3U | $73,282.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Manuel Franco | 54.5kg | 1:10.53 | 4-3-1 | 6 |
| 1.3L | $5.58 |

Jockey: Katie Davis
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Returns from a 29-day let-up. Last start 3rd of 9 at Saratoga Turf on August 28 over 1106m, 1.5 len behind Illmatic carrying 57kg at $30.19. Before that didn't finish the race at Saratoga July 3 over 1207m. Not far away last time. Worth plenty of thought.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/9 | 28/08/2026 | 56 | ALLOW 3U | $149,786.00 | Saratoga | 1106m | FM | Katie Davis | 57kg | 1:02.23 | 3-5-3 | 3 |
| 1.5L | $30.19 |
| 6/6 | 03/07/2026 | 26 | ALLOW 3U | $152,395.00 | Saratoga | 1207m | Fast | Tyler Gaffalione | 57kg | 1:10.42 | 2-6-PU | 4 |
| 99.0L | $6.70 |
| 6/9 | 07/06/2026 | 23 | ALLOW 3U | $146,444.00 | Saratoga | 1408m | Good | Manuel Franco | 57kg | 1:23.57 | 8-5-6 | 2 |
| 8.3L | $8.29 |
| 2/7 | 15/05/2026 | 76 | ALLOW 3U | $114,525.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | Fast | Manuel Franco | 57kg | 1:10.99 | 4-1-2 | 3 |
| 0.8L | $4.49 |
| 3/9 | 28/02/2026 | 23 | ALLOW 4U | $108,146.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1308m | Good | Manuel Franco | 55kg | 1:19.03 | 6-1-3 | 2 |
| 0.6L | $4.45 |
| 6/6 | 05/02/2026 | 222 | ALLOW 4U | $109,843.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | Fast | Manuel Franco | 55kg | 1:11.83 | 2-6-6 | 3 |
| 43.9L | $3.01 |

Jockey: Edgard J. Zayas
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. First-up won by 1.0 len at Gulfstream Park Turf on July 19 over 1006m defeating Thunder Zeus with 55.5kg at $4.30. Last start 3rd of 8 at Gulfstream Park Turf on August 24 over 1006m, 1.0 len behind Sabian carrying 54.5kg at $8.10. Looks safely held on recent runs.
Last Starts 33 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/8 | 24/08/2026 | 36 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $99,857.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | FM | Jose E Morelos | 54.5kg | 0:55.45 | 1-2-3 | 8 |
| 1.0L | $8.10 |
| 1/7 | 19/07/2026 | 108 | MDN CLM 3U | $53,701.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | FM | Jose E Morelos | 55.5kg | 0:56.21 | 2-1-1 | 3 |
| 1.0L | $4.30 |
| 5/7 | 02/04/2026 | 33 | MDN 3U | $98,981.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1006m | Fast | Nik Juarez | 54.5kg | 0:56.34 | 1-5-5 | 6 |
| 9.5L | $9.60 |
| 10/10 | 28/02/2026 | - | MDN 3 | $117,978.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1207m | Fast | Jorge Ruiz | 55.5kg | 1:10.44 | 5-6-10 | 5 |
| 24.4L | $47.90 |