Ayr Race 5 - Outcider Hcp
APPROACHING DAWN (7) opened his account tackling 1600m at Musselburgh and looks well positioned to remain competitive with confidence high. Leading contender. HUNTERIAN (5) placed both starts this campaign and his Hamilton Park second attempting 1700m suggests a maiden win is close. Represents the main danger. MAYOR OF MAGHERA (1) outran big odds when third contesting 1800m at Musselburgh beaten 1.3L and should be prominent from an early stage. Holds appeal. BRAES OF DOUNE (3) has not raced since finishing fifth at Hamilton Park in May 2025. Brings enough ability to make the frame fresh. Not discounted.

Jockey: D Nolan
Weight: 64.5kgs
Stats
Comments
At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 8 at Musselburgh on June 5 over 1800m, 1.3 len behind Poet's Dawn with 59kg at $41. The race before that didn't finish the race at Perth May 13 over 4000m. Major player.
Last Starts 14 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/8 | 05/06/2026 | 23 | HCP 4U | $18,150.00 | Musselburgh | 1810m | Good | Andrew Mullen | 59kg | 1:52.19 | 2-4-3 | 4 |
| 1.3L | $41.00 |
| 0/9 | 13/05/2026 | 57 | HDLE HCP 4U | $15,430.00 | Perth Uk | 4023m | Good Soft | Benjamin Macey | 70.5kg | 5:20.98 | - | 0 |
| 99.0L | $15.00 |
| 14/19 | 17/03/2026 | 15 | MHDLE 4U | $20,680.00 | Down Royal | 3520m | Y | Jack G Gilligan | 68.5kg | 4:15.10 | - | 0 |
| 80.0L | $201.00 |
| 9/16 | 02/03/2026 | 27 | MHDLE 4U | $22,400.00 | Leopardstown | 3218m | SH | Jack G Gilligan | 70kg | 4:12.80 | - | 0 |
| 38.0L | $81.00 |
| 8/15 | 03/02/2026 | 320 | MHDLE 4U | $22,990.00 | Fairyhouse | 3218m | Heavy | Kevin Healy | 66.5kg | 4:25.70 | - | 0 |
| 43.5L | $151.00 |
| 4/8 | 20/03/2025 | 16 | HCP 3 | $11,070.00 | Newcastle | 1614m | NS | Sam James | 61kg | 1:40.64 | 2-3-4 | 3 |
| 4.0L | $13.00 |
| 6/8 | 04/03/2025 | 24 | HCP 3 | $14,140.00 | Southwell | 1609m | Neutral | Rowan Scott | 61kg | 1:40.82 | 6-6-6 | 7 |
| 12.3L | $11.00 |
| 6/7 | 08/02/2025 | 22 | HCP 3 | $12,890.00 | Newcastle | 1609m | NS | Rowan Scott | 58.5kg | 1:41.76 | 3-3-6 | 3 |
| 3.0L | $11.00 |
| 5/10 | 17/01/2025 | 57 | HCP 3 | $13,100.00 | Southwell | 1621m | Neutral | Harrison Shaw | 61kg | 1:41.82 | 9-8-5 | 9 |
| 3.8L | $21.00 |
| 5/9 | 21/11/2024 | 23 | HCP NSY 2 | $12,890.00 | Southwell | 1609m | Neutral | Sam James | 61kg | 1:40.57 | 7-5-5 | 4 |
| 2.5L | $19.00 |
| 4/10 | 29/10/2024 | 24 | NSY HCP 2 | $12,890.00 | Newcastle | 1408m | Neutral | David Nolan | 60kg | 1:28.91 | 7-5-4 | 9 |
| 4.0L | $15.00 |

Jockey: Amie Waugh
Weight: 64kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 6th of 9 at Carlisle on May 29 over 1400m, 5 len behind Glorious Kitty with 58.5kg at $41. Second run from a spell 8th of 18 at Doncaster on June 14 over 1600m, 3.5 len behind Woodleigh with 60kg at $51. Has the ability to take this out.
Last Starts 5 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/18 | 14/06/2026 | 16 | HCP 4U | $13,060.00 | Doncaster | 1609m | Good Soft | Amie Waugh | 60kg | 1:37.28 | - | 14 |
| 3.5L | $51.00 |
| 6/9 | 29/05/2026 | 324 | HCP 4U | $11,800.00 | Carlisle | 1408m | Good | Amie Waugh | 58.5kg | 1:28.09 | - | 4 |
| 5.0L | $41.00 |
| 4/14 | 09/07/2025 | 54 | HCP 3 | $11,070.00 | Kempton Park | 1609m | NS | Trevor Whelan | 60.5kg | 1:39.89 | 8-6-4 | 7 |
| 3.3L | $26.00 |
| 9/14 | 16/05/2025 | 20 | HCP 3 | $20,300.00 | Newbury | 2011m | Good | Edward Greatrex | 60kg | 2:05.88 | 2-3-9 | 5 |
| 13.3L | $15.00 |
| 7/8 | 26/04/2025 | 113 | HCP 3 | $13,800.00 | Wolverhampton | 1911m | Neutral | Thomas Greatrex | 59kg | 2:00.83 | 7-5-7 | 7 |
| 7.0L | $9.50 |
| 2/9 | 03/01/2025 | 23 | MDN 3 | $13,470.00 | Lingfield | 1610m | NS | Finley Marsh | 60.5kg | 1:39.30 | 6-6-2 | 3 |
| 3.0L | $13.00 |
| 10/13 | 11/12/2024 | 25 | NOV 2 | $12,550.00 | Kempton Park | 1609m | NS | Trevor Whelan | 59.5kg | 1:39.96 | 1-4-10 | 7 |
| 16.3L | $23.00 |
| 5/10 | 16/11/2024 | - | MDN 2 | $17,510.00 | Wolverhampton | 1709m | Neutral | Trevor Whelan | 60.5kg | 1:50.60 | 6-7-5 | 9 |
| 5.5L | $51.00 |

Jockey: P Mulrennan
Weight: 63kgs
Stats
Comments
Is first-up after a break of 13 months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fifth of 7 at Hamilton Park May 16 2025 over 1840m, 3.5 len behind Starliner carrying 52.5kg at $15. First up last campaign fourth of 7 at Doncaster April 26 2025 over 1600m, 2.25 len behind Mariner carrying 60kg at $8. Cannot be left out of calculations.
Last Starts 399 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/7 | 16/05/2025 | 15 | HCP 4U | $18,630.00 | Hamilton Park Uk | 1842m | Good Firm | Rhys Elliott | 52.5kg | 1:55.53 | 7-7-5 | 7 |
| 3.5L | $15.00 |
| 2/6 | 01/05/2025 | 5 | HCP 4U | $12,920.00 | Ayr | 1609m | Good | Paul Mulrennan | 61kg | 1:41.86 | 2-2-2 | 4 |
| 1.3L | $3.00 |
| 4/7 | 26/04/2025 | 218 | HCP 4U | $16,260.00 | Doncaster | 1609m | Good Firm | Paul Mulrennan | 60kg | 1:40.28 | 7-7-4 | 2 |
| 2.3L | $8.00 |
| 2/12 | 20/09/2024 | 1 | HCP 3U | $16,330.00 | Ayr | 1609m | Good | Paul Mulrennan | 59kg | 1:41.57 | 12-9-2 | 9 |
| 0.8L | $4.33 |
| 3/13 | 19/09/2024 | 8 | HCP 3U | $12,700.00 | Ayr | 1408m | Good | Paul Mulrennan | 61kg | 1:29.93 | 12-8-3 | 7 |
| 2.3L | $6.50 |
| 3/12 | 11/09/2024 | 14 | HCP 3U | $14,520.00 | Carlisle | 1609m | Soft | Paul Mulrennan | 59.5kg | 1:42.71 | 10-9-3 | 6 |
| 2.5L | $7.00 |
| 8/10 | 28/08/2024 | 1 | HCP 4U | $14,520.00 | Musselburgh | 1408m | Good | Amie Waugh | 56.5kg | 1:29.11 | 10-9-8 | 7 |
| 5.5L | $3.00 |
| 1/9 | 27/08/2024 | 15 | HCP 4U | $21,780.00 | Musselburgh | 1609m | Good | Paul Mulrennan | 61kg | 1:40.93 | 5-3-1 | 5 |
| 1.3L | $4.20 |
| 1/10 | 12/08/2024 | 2 | HCP 3U | $12,700.00 | Ayr | 1408m | Good | Paul Mulrennan | 58.5kg | 1:30.83 | 9-10-1 | 10 |
| 0.5L | $3.50 |
| 3/10 | 10/08/2024 | 19 | HCP 3U | $14,520.00 | Ayr | 1408m | Good Soft | Amie Waugh | 54kg | 1:31.28 | 10-9-3 | 8 |
| 0.5L | $7.00 |
| 2/12 | 22/07/2024 | 7 | HCP 3U | $12,700.00 | Ayr | 1408m | Good | Paul Mulrennan | 59.5kg | 1:30.21 | 10-9-2 | 12 |
| 0.2L | $4.00 |

Jockey: O Mcsweeney
Weight: 61kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. Resumes off a 40 day letup. Resuming 7th of 13 at Limerick on April 25 over 1408m, 10 len behind Signora carrying 58.5kg at $29. Second-up 6th of 9 at Leopardstown on May 10 over 1408m, 7 len behind Halon Bay with 58.5kg at $9.50. Rock hard fit now and is a decent chance to break the ice.
Last Starts 40 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/9 | 10/05/2026 | 15 | MDN 3U | $25,850.00 | Leopardstown | 1408m | Good | Nathan Crosse | 58.5kg | 1:30.13 | - | 10 |
| 7.5L | $9.50 |
| 7/13 | 25/04/2026 | 203 | MDN F 3 | $35,920.00 | Limerick | 1408m | Y | Scott Mccullagh | 58.5kg | 1:36.79 | - | 9 |
| 10.0L | $29.00 |
| 7/13 | 04/10/2025 | - | MDN F 2 | $34,690.00 | Curragh | 1408m | SH | Nathan Crosse | 58kg | 1:30.53 | - | 8 |
| 11.0L | $34.00 |

Jockey: A Mullen
Weight: 59.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 3rd of 13 at Redcar on May 26 over 1400m, 2.75 len behind Rousham with 59.5kg at $13. Second-up held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Hamilton Park on June 10 over 1700m, neck behind Mwafaq carrying 57kg at $17. Shows promise. Perfectly placed to get off the mark.
Last Starts 9 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/11 | 10/06/2026 | 15 | HCP 3U | $12,700.00 | Hamilton Park Uk | 1709m | Good Soft | Connor Beasley | 57kg | 1:48.13 | 2-1-2 | 10 |
| 0.3L | $17.00 |
| 3/13 | 26/05/2026 | 109 | HCP 3 | $10,890.00 | Redcar | 1408m | Good Firm | Connor Beasley | 59.5kg | 1:23.41 | - | 7 |
| 2.8L | $13.00 |
| 6/7 | 06/02/2026 | 14 | HCP 3 | $27,220.00 | Newcastle | 1609m | Neutral | Jason Hart | 57kg | 1:40.82 | 1-1-6 | 2 |
| 7.3L | $26.00 |
| 3/4 | 23/01/2026 | 17 | NOV F 3 | $21,780.00 | Wolverhampton | 1709m | Neutral | Billy Loughnane | 59kg | 1:49.78 | 2-2-3 | 2 |
| 11.3L | $19.00 |
| 2/7 | 06/01/2026 | 29 | NOV 34 | $21,780.00 | Wolverhampton | 1709m | Neutral | Rob Hornby | 55kg | 1:51.65 | 1-1-2 | 3 |
| 8.5L | $10.00 |
| 11/12 | 08/12/2025 | - | MDN 2 | $12,520.00 | Wolverhampton | 1709m | Neutral | Oliver Stammers | 60.5kg | 1:50.97 | 5-3-11 | 5 |
| 8.8L | $17.00 |

Jockey: Rhys Elliott
Weight: 59kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 5th of 8 at this track on May 20 over 1400m, 3.5 len behind Native Honey with 50.5kg at $34. Second-up 7th of 9 at Carlisle on May 29 over 1800m, 5 len behind Krissy carrying 56kg at $67. Useful type but happy enough to avoid.
Last Starts 21 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/9 | 29/05/2026 | 9 | APP HCP 4U | $11,800.00 | Carlisle | 1810m | Good | Alex Jary | 56kg | 2:00.00 | - | 7 |
| 4.8L | $67.00 |
| 5/8 | 20/05/2026 | 205 | HCP 4U | $14,520.00 | Ayr | 1408m | Good Firm | Rhys Elliott | 50.5kg | 1:29.11 | - | 9 |
| 3.5L | $34.00 |
| 6/8 | 27/10/2025 | 18 | HCP 4U | $12,050.00 | Newcastle | 1609m | NS | David Allan | 56kg | 1:42.02 | 3-4-6 | 10 |
| 8.5L | $19.00 |
| 11/12 | 09/10/2025 | 8 | HCP 3U | $12,700.00 | Ayr | 1609m | Heavy | Paul Mulrennan | 59.5kg | 1:48.29 | 5-12-11 | 10 |
| 16.8L | $21.00 |
| 11/12 | 01/10/2025 | 12 | HCP 3U | $12,920.00 | Musselburgh | 1422m | Soft | Clifford Lee | 59kg | 1:29.93 | 12-12-11 | 7 |
| 16.0L | $9.00 |
| 5/9 | 19/09/2025 | 6 | HCP 3U | $16,330.00 | Ayr | 1609m | Soft | Kaiya Fraser | 55kg | 1:44.27 | 9-8-5 | 3 |
| 2.0L | $7.50 |
| 1/11 | 13/09/2025 | 26 | HCP APP 4U | $12,920.00 | Musselburgh | 1611m | Good | Kaiya Fraser | 59kg | 1:42.36 | 8-4-1 | 10 |
| 2.8L | $5.00 |
| 8/9 | 18/08/2025 | 7 | HCP 3U | $14,520.00 | Ayr | 1609m | Good Firm | Sean Kirrane | 58kg | 1:38.98 | 6-6-8 | 1 |
| 4.8L | $11.00 |
| 4/8 | 11/08/2025 | 14 | HCP 3U | $12,700.00 | Ayr | 1408m | Good | Clifford Lee | 58kg | 1:30.89 | 6-7-4 | 9 |
| 6.8L | $13.00 |
| 4/7 | 28/07/2025 | 7 | HCP 3U | $12,920.00 | Ayr | 1609m | Good | Clifford Lee | 58.5kg | 1:43.28 | 3-2-4 | 8 |
| 3.3L | $11.00 |
| 4/10 | 21/07/2025 | 7 | HCP 3U | $12,920.00 | Ayr | 1454m | Good Soft | Clifford Lee | 60.5kg | 1:31.89 | 4-1-4 | 12 |
| 2.8L | $34.00 |

Jockey: Lauren Young
Weight: 57.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Most recently won by a neck at Musselburgh June 6 over 1600m defeating Little Ted with 55.5kg at $23. The race before that 5th of 8 at Hamilton Park on May 15 over 1700m, 6 len behind Perfidia with 55kg at $41. Fitter and is a top chance again.
Last Starts 13 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/11 | 06/06/2026 | 22 | HCP 4U | $14,520.00 | Musselburgh | 1609m | Good | Lauren Young | 55.5kg | 1:39.75 | 11-2-1 | 12 |
| 0.3L | $23.00 |
| 5/8 | 15/05/2026 | 10 | HCP 4U | $12,700.00 | Hamilton Park Uk | 1709m | Good | William Pyle | 55kg | 1:46.61 | - | 9 |
| 6.5L | $41.00 |
| 7/7 | 05/05/2026 | 6 | HCP 4U | $12,700.00 | Ayr | 1408m | Good Firm | Rhys Elliott | 51kg | 1:29.75 | - | 1 |
| 5.8L | $41.00 |
| 8/11 | 29/04/2026 | 156 | HCP 4U | $12,700.00 | Musselburgh | 1408m | Good | Paul Mulrennan | 57kg | 1:28.14 | - | 2 |
| 9.0L | $29.00 |
| 6/7 | 24/11/2025 | 28 | MDN 3U | $13,070.00 | Newcastle | 1207m | Neutral | Lauren Young | 58kg | 1:13.64 | 6-7-6 | 1 |
| 14.8L | $151.00 |
| 5/5 | 27/10/2025 | 9 | MDN 3U | $13,250.00 | Newcastle | 1005m | NS | Paul Mulrennan | 60.5kg | 1:00.62 | 4-5-5 | 5 |
| 13.3L | $151.00 |
| 9/9 | 18/10/2025 | - | NOV 3U | $14,520.00 | Catterick Bridge | 1207m | Good | Paul Mulrennan | 60.5kg | 1:14.58 | 7-7-9 | 5 |
| 20.0L | $34.00 |

Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Most recently ran last of 10 at Musselburgh on June 5 over 1400m, 27 len behind Highland Shah carrying 54kg at $51. The start before that 4th of 9 at Redcar on May 18 over 1400m, 2.75 len behind Black Rock Beauty carrying 59.5kg at $13. Looking to others.
Last Starts 14 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | 05/06/2026 | 18 | HCP 3 | $18,150.00 | Musselburgh | 1408m | Good | Jamie Gormley | 54kg | 1:27.53 | 6-10-10 | 8 |
| 27.3L | $51.00 |
| 4/9 | 18/05/2026 | 18 | HCP 3 | $10,890.00 | Redcar | 1408m | Good | Jamie Gormley | 59.5kg | 1:24.52 | - | 1 |
| 2.8L | $13.00 |
| 6/9 | 30/04/2026 | 14 | HCP 3 | $12,700.00 | Redcar | 1609m | Good Firm | Jamie Gormley | 58kg | 1:35.65 | - | 5 |
| 13.0L | $41.00 |
| 10/11 | 16/04/2026 | 198 | HCP 3 | $12,700.00 | Ripon | 1609m | Good Soft | Jamie Gormley | 58.5kg | 1:43.24 | - | 1 |
| 18.0L | $29.00 |
| 9/13 | 30/09/2025 | 15 | HCP NSY 2 | $11,980.00 | Bath | 1106m | Good Firm | Benoit De La Sayette | 59.5kg | 1:10.39 | 5-8-9 | 9 |
| 8.3L | $4.20 |
| 4/11 | 15/09/2025 | 18 | HCP NSY 2 | $12,700.00 | Thirsk | 1207m | Soft | Shane Gray | 60kg | 1:13.22 | 6-7-4 | 12 |
| 2.8L | $4.00 |
| 5/8 | 28/08/2025 | 31 | HCP NSY 2 | $12,700.00 | Chelmsford City | 1207m | Neutral | Benoit De La Sayette | 61kg | 1:11.96 | 4-7-5 | 9 |
| 4.8L | $9.00 |
| 3/9 | 28/07/2025 | 28 | NOV 2 | $12,550.00 | Windsor | 1218m | Good Firm | Tom Queally | 60.5kg | 1:11.33 | 2-2-3 | 1 |
| 8.0L | $34.00 |
| 5/9 | 30/06/2025 | 34 | OPEN MDN 2 | $12,550.00 | Wolverhampton | 1441m | Good | Shane Gray | 60.5kg | 1:29.04 | 4-3-5 | 4 |
| 11.0L | $126.00 |
| 10/13 | 27/05/2025 | - | OPEN MDN 2 | $16,330.00 | Leicester | 1207m | Good | Shane Gray | 60.5kg | 1:12.59 | 12-13-10 | 7 |
| 11.5L | $151.00 |

Jockey: Jamie Gormley
Weight: 54kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming after a nine months break. Finished off last preparation second last of 8 at Catterick October 1 over 1400m, soft track; 13 len behind Real American with 55kg at $67. On debut ran last of 7 at Carlisle August 4 over 1200m, 22 len behind Daydreama with 55kg at $101. Other runners rate better.
Last Starts 261 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/8 | 01/10/2025 | 39 | NOV 2 | $14,760.00 | Catterick Bridge | 1413m | Soft | Jake Dickson | 55kg | 1:30.16 | 4-5-7 | 2 |
| 13.0L | $67.00 |
| 7/10 | 23/08/2025 | 19 | NOV 2 | $14,520.00 | Redcar | 1207m | Good Firm | Rhys Elliott | 56kg | 1:11.39 | 10-9-7 | 5 |
| 7.3L | $151.00 |
| 7/7 | 04/08/2025 | - | NOV 2 | $18,150.00 | Carlisle | 1207m | Good | Rhys Elliott | 55kg | 1:14.24 | 7-6-7 | 1 |
| 22.5L | $101.00 |