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Ascot Race 6 - Melbourne Cup Carnival Hcp (Gbbplus Race)

CRANACHAN (2) came home 6L clear of his nearest rival contesting a 3218m handicap at Chester just under six weeks ago. Taken to complete a double. MUST BELIEVE (3) placed both outings since returning from a break including when running 1.5L second trying 3218m at Kempton. Warrants thought as a bold show expected. SHIPSHAPE (5) gets a chance to deliver a big effort on the back of a 2.8L third attempting a 3218m handicap at Chester last month. JUST AN HOUR (4) registered the fifth success of his career winning by a neck a 2816m handicap at Ffos Las. Notable contender competing over this distance for the first time.

Race Time:3:45 PM

Friday, October 2, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:Showers

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:3208m

Hot Fuss (6)x06241p20x

Trainer: Tom Dascombe (Upper Lambourn, Berks)12 mths 27: 4-5-2

Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin

Weight: 65.5kgs

5 yo Bay G

Sire: CALYX (GB)

Dam: NATURAL BLOOM (IRE)

Dam's Sire: Galileo

Stats

Prize Money$372,975.00

Avg $$13,813.89

Win %14.81%

Place %40.74%

Career27: 4-5-2

Track3: 0-1-1

Distance5: 2-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up3: 0-0-0

2nd Up3: 0-0-0

Firm1: 0-0-0

Good13: 0-2-0

Soft9: 3-3-1

Heavy3: 0-0-1

Synthetic2: 1-0-0

Comments

Resuming. Finished off last preparation 14th of 22 at Aintree April 10 over 4000m, 15 len behind Wellington Arch with 72.5kg at $12. Previously first up; 11th of 22 at Doncaster November 8 over 2400m, on rain affected going; 15 len behind Castle Cove carrying 56kg at $26. Will improve on what he manages this time.

Last Starts 174 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
14/22	10/04/2026	28	HDLE HCP 4U	$136,120.00	Aintree	4023m	Good Soft	David Bass	72.5kg	4:51.68	-	0	1. Wellington Arch 2. Ike Sport 3. Favour And Fortune	15.3L	$12.00
2/24	13/03/2026	13	HDLE HCP 4U	$136,120.00	Cheltenham	4123m	Soft	Joe Anderson	70.5kg	5:08.84	-	0	1. Air Of Entitlement 2. Hot Fuss 3. Jump Allen	2.8L	$26.00
0/17	28/02/2026	43	HDLE HCP 4U	$217,790.00	Kelso	3218m	Good Soft	David Bass	73kg	4:03.07	-	0	1. Captain Hugo 2. Serious Challenge 3. Wise Eagle	99.0L	$9.00
1/14	16/01/2026	13	HDLE HCP 4U	$217,720.00	Windsor	3218m	Soft	David Bass	68.5kg	3:53.02	5-2-1	0	1. Hot Fuss 2. Wilful 3. Live Conti	2.8L	$11.00
4/8	03/01/2026	14	HDLE HCP 4U	$54,450.00	Sandown Park Uk	3218m	Good	David Bass	75kg	4:06.82	1-2-4	0	1. All In You 2. Dance And Glance 3. Continuance	3.0L	$3.50
2/13	20/12/2025	21	HDLE HCP 3U	$226,870.00	Ascot Uk	3118m	Good Soft	David Bass	65.5kg	3:42.46	4-3-2	0	1. Wilful 2. Hot Fuss 3. Alexei	2.8L	$34.00
6/8	29/11/2025	21	HDLE HCP 4U	$99,820.00	Newbury	3319m	Soft	David Bass	67.5kg	4:00.79	2-5-6	0	1. Tutti Quanti 2. Indeevar Bleu 3. Indemnity	18.5L	$13.00
11/22	08/11/2025	183	HCP 3U	$127,050.00	Doncaster	2414m	Heavy	Pierre-Louis Jamin	56kg	2:42.33	10-16-11	8	1. Castle Cove 2. Miss Dolly Rocker 3. Atherstone Warrior	15.0L	$26.00
11/15	09/05/2025	59	HCP 4U	$313,650.00	Chester	3749m	Good Firm	Pierre-Louis Jamin	56kg	4:05.76	7-11-11	3	1. East India Dock 2. Caballo De Mar 3. Zoffee	11.5L	$9.00
4/22	11/03/2025	17	HCP JHDLE 4	$143,720.00	Cheltenham	3319m	Good Soft	David Bass	69kg	3:57.67	4-1-4	0	1. Puturhandstogether 2. Robbies Rock 3. Liam Swagger	6.5L	$9.50
1/9	22/02/2025	57	HCP 4U	$46,130.00	Southwell	3312m	Neutral	Pierre-Louis Jamin	61.5kg	3:39.29	5-3-1	1	1. Hot Fuss 2. Marble Sands 3. Circuit Breaker	3.3L	$4.50

Cranachan (5)6x21421

Trainer: R M Beckett (Kimpton, Hants)12 mths 6: 2-2-0

Jockey: Rossa Ryan

Weight: 60kgs

3 yo Bay G

Sire: CRACKSMAN (GB)

Dam: BIZZARRIA (GB)

Dam's Sire: Lemon Drop Kid

Stats

Prize Money$35,701.00

Avg $$5,950.17

Win %33.33%

Place %66.67%

Career6: 2-2-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance1: 1-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 0-1-0

2nd Up1: 1-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good4: 2-1-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic2: 0-1-0

Comments

Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 41-day let-up. Last start won by 6 len at Chester on August 22 over 3200m defeating Sea And Sun carrying 58.5kg at $5.50. Before that 2nd in a small field at Newmarket (July) on July 17 over 2400m, 1.75 len behind Counter Intuitive with 60kg at $6. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.

Last Starts 40 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/9	22/08/2026	36	HCP 3U	$27,230.00	Chester	3218m	Good Soft	Hector Crouch	58.5kg	3:32.10	7-2-1	7	1. Cranachan 2. Sea And Sun 3. St Mawes	6.0L	$5.50
2/4	17/07/2026	27	HCP 3U	$21,640.00	Newmarket Uk	2414m	Good Firm	Hector Crouch	60kg	2:31.03	3-3-2	1	1. Counter Intuitive 2. Cranachan 3. Patrol	1.8L	$6.00
4/5	20/06/2026	59	HCP 3	$19,600.00	Doncaster	2414m	Good Firm	Edward Greatrex	61.5kg	2:38.92	3-4-4	1	1. Central Command 2. My Ballyquinn 3. Mudita	6.0L	$3.25
1/5	22/04/2026	51	APP MDN 35	$18,150.00	Catterick Bridge	2414m	Good	Hector Crouch	55.5kg	2:35.05	-	1	1. Cranachan 2. Mythical Valentine 3. Lord	2.5L	$1.80
2/9	02/03/2026	89	MDN 34	$18,150.00	Kempton Park	2414m	NS	Edward Greatrex	54.5kg	2:34.87	-	6	1. Charles Darnay 2. Cranachan 3. Mythical Valentine	0.3L	$4.50
6/8	03/12/2025	-	NOV 2	$14,520.00	Kempton Park	1609m	NS	Rossa Ryan	59kg	1:40.74	8-7-6	8	1. Zennor Storm 2. Alba Gu Brath 3. Valkyrie Storm	16.8L	$4.50

Must Believe (3)1245x18x32

Trainer: George Baker (Epsom Downs, Surrey)12 mths 22: 3-4-4

Jockey: Jack Dace

Weight: 58.5kgs

4 yo Bay G

Sire: MAKE BELIEVE (GB)

Dam: DALHOUSIE (GB)

Dam's Sire: Golden Horn

Stats

Prize Money$47,537.00

Avg $$2,160.77

Win %13.64%

Place %50.00%

Career22: 3-4-4

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance1: 0-1-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up4: 1-0-2

2nd Up4: 0-2-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good5: 0-0-1

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic17: 3-4-3

Comments

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 12 at Kempton Park All Weather on August 12 over 2400m, 5.5 len behind Kokbastau with 58.5kg at $51. Second run from a spell made ground from midfield; 2nd of 8 at Kempton Park All Weather on September 4 over 3200m, 1.5 len behind Digger One carrying 59kg at $4.50. Might find this a bit too tough.

Last Starts 27 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/8	04/09/2026	23	HCP 4U	$14,520.00	Kempton Park	3218m	NS	Jack Dace	59kg	3:31.69	4-3-2	3	1. Digger One 2. Must Believe 3. Rogue Empire, Division Day	1.5L	$4.50
3/12	12/08/2026	68	HCP 3U	$29,040.00	Kempton Park	2414m	NS	Benoit De La Sayette	58.5kg	2:36.38	9-1-3	12	1. Kokbastau 2. Bulletin 3. Forever Penywern, Must Believe	5.5L	$51.00
8/9	05/06/2026	32	APP HCP 4U	$28,400.00	Goodwood	2414m	Good Soft	Ryan Kavanagh	60.5kg	2:45.34	1-7-8	2	1. Salamanca City 2. Dancing Tiger 3. Sixpack	20.8L	$12.00
1/10	04/05/2026	89	HCP 4U	$14,520.00	Kempton Park	2212m	NS	Jack Dace	57.5kg	2:22.29	-	3	1. Must Believe 2. Dust Cover 3. Caph Star	0.1L	$7.50
5/13	04/02/2026	20	HCP 4U	$14,520.00	Kempton Park	2212m	NS	Mason Paetel	59kg	2:20.53	5-2-5	12	1. Dust Cover 2. Something 3. Golden Circet	3.5L	$6.50
4/7	15/01/2026	26	HCP 4U	$15,430.00	Chelmsford City	2715m	Neutral	Hector Crouch	61kg	2:53.61	1-1-4	4	1. Relocal 2. Carlton 3. Pleasant Man	4.5L	$5.00
2/10	20/12/2025	24	HCP 3U	$12,890.00	Wolverhampton	2414m	Neutral	Hector Crouch	61kg	2:38.15	2-2-2	1	1. Cannon Rock 2. Must Believe 3. Eupator	1.5L	$5.00
1/11	26/11/2025	27	HCP 3U	$12,890.00	Southwell	2212m	Neutral	Hector Crouch	61kg	2:23.39	2-1-1	6	1. Must Believe 2. Westcombe 3. Life Is Rosie	0.8L	$6.50
4/5	30/10/2025	42	HCP 3U	$16,610.00	Chelmsford City	2675m	Neutral	Tommie Jakes	59kg	2:54.77	2-3-4	5	1. Cardinal Point 2. Cloaks Of Gold 3. The Bay Warrior	3.5L	$2.75
1/13	18/09/2025	52	HCP 3U	$14,520.00	Kempton Park	2212m	NS	Tommie Jakes	58.5kg	2:20.66	6-6-1	6	1. Must Believe 2. Solanna 3. Blue Train	0.5L	$7.00
7/11	28/07/2025	39	HCP APP 3U	$14,020.00	Southwell	2835m	Neutral	Tommie Jakes	59.5kg	3:03.74	7-4-7	9	1. Hatysa 2. Senor Cortez 3. Destinado	12.5L	$5.50

Just An Hour (2)x426343341

Trainer: Rod Millman (Kentisbeare, Devon)12 mths 36: 5-4-7

Jockey: George Wood

Weight: 58.5kgs

6 yo Bay G

Sire: JUSTIFY (USA)

Dam: HOURGLASS (IRE)

Dam's Sire: Galileo

Stats

Prize Money$109,050.00

Avg $$3,029.17

Win %13.89%

Place %44.44%

Career36: 5-4-7

Track1: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up6: 1-1-1

2nd Up5: 1-1-1

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good25: 4-3-5

Soft3: 1-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic8: 0-1-2

Comments

Recent form sound. Last start won by a neck at Ffos Las on September 21 over 2800m in soft going defeating Captain Cairney with 61kg at $4.50. The start before that 4th of 7 at Windsor on August 24 over 2300m, 8 len behind Cape Fear carrying 59kg at $5.50. Big chance to go back-to-back.

Last Starts 10 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/9	21/09/2026	28	HCP 3U	$18,510.00	Ffos Las	2816m	Soft	Oisin Murphy	61kg	3:15.07	-	4	1. Just An Hour 2. Captain Cairney 3. Green Falcon	0.3L	$4.50
4/7	24/08/2026	14	HCP 3U	$19,600.00	Windsor	2313m	Good Firm	Lewis Edmunds	59kg	2:26.11	1-3-4	6	1. Cape Fear 2. Morcar 3. Tai Hang Pegasus	8.8L	$5.50
3/6	10/08/2026	18	APP HCP 3U	$15,250.00	Windsor	2011m	Good Firm	Charlie Tucker	59.5kg	2:06.40	2-1-3	1	1. Mythological Star 2. Shady Bay 3. Just An Hour	1.3L	$3.25
3/8	23/07/2026	12	APP HCP 4U	$19,540.00	Newbury	2011m	Good Firm	Patrick Millman	71kg	2:09.43	5-4-3	9	1. Raintown 2. Caph Star 3. Just An Hour	3.5L	$2.63
4/8	11/07/2026	27	HCP 4U	$27,230.00	Chester	2514m	Good	Jason Watson	61kg	2:42.14	3-2-4	4	1. Nibras Gold 2. Fast Fred 3. Robusto	0.8L	$4.50
3/6	14/06/2026	31	HCP 4U	$20,420.00	Salisbury	2414m	Good	George Wood	60.5kg	2:37.17	1-2-3	7	1. Taritino 2. Arcturus Flame 3. Just An Hour	5.3L	$3.75
6/9	14/05/2026	18	HCP 4U	$43,560.00	Salisbury	2816m	Good	George Wood	56kg	3:05.32	-	0	1. Alfred Boucher 2. Anniversary 3. Mr Freedom	9.8L	$11.00
2/6	26/04/2026	18	HCP 4U	$19,060.00	Nottingham	2816m	Good	George Wood	56.5kg	3:06.50	-	2	1. Codiak 2. Just An Hour 3. Imperial Sovereign	1.3L	$4.50
4/10	08/04/2026	166	HCP 4U	$19,060.00	Nottingham	2011m	Good	George Wood	57kg	2:10.37	-	4	1. Love Beach 2. Jez Bomb 3. Cavolo Nero	5.3L	$8.00
4/12	24/10/2025	22	HCP 3U	$40,840.00	Newbury	2414m	Soft	Lewis Edmunds	58.5kg	2:45.25	7-10-4	2	1. Macari 2. Music Piece 3. Fouroneohfever	7.0L	$11.00
2/11	02/10/2025	13	HCP 3U	$20,420.00	Salisbury	2816m	Good	Harry Davies	63kg	3:06.75	2-2-2	0	1. Fair Dinkum 2. Just An Hour 3. Macari	4.3L	$11.00

Shipshape (1)x521211253

Trainer: Bernard Llewellyn & Robert Williams (Fochriw, Mid Glamorgan)12 mths 14: 3-3-1

Jockey: Isobelle Chalmers

Weight: 57.5kgs

4 yo Bay G

Sire: NEW BAY (GB)

Dam: PILATES (IRE)

Dam's Sire: Shamardal

Stats

Prize Money$69,275.00

Avg $$4,948.21

Win %21.43%

Place %50.00%

Career14: 3-3-1

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance2: 0-1-1

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up3: 0-0-0

2nd Up3: 0-1-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good7: 2-2-0

Soft1: 0-0-1

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic6: 1-1-0

Comments

Most recently 3rd of 10 at Chester on September 12 over 3200m, slow going 2.75 len behind Pole Star carrying 48.5kg at $19. The start before that ran second last in a small field at Carlisle on August 11 over 2800m, 36 len behind Asia Force carrying 61.5kg at $5. Forward showing expected.

Last Starts 19 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/10	12/09/2026	32	HCP 3U	$181,490.00	Chester	3218m	Soft	Isobelle Chalmers	48.5kg	3:34.50	10-6-3	1	1. Pole Star 2. Granite Bay 3. Shipshape	2.8L	$19.00
5/6	11/08/2026	45	HCP 3U	$19,060.00	Carlisle	2816m	Good	Oisin Orr	61.5kg	3:00.69	4-6-5	5	1. Asia Force 2. Dance Time 3. Ludo's Landing	36.0L	$5.00
2/7	27/06/2026	14	HCP 4U	$27,230.00	Chester	3218m	Good	David Probert	59kg	3:28.29	3-4-2	2	1. Ruler Legend 2. Shipshape 3. Midnight Rumble	2.5L	$2.63
1/8	13/06/2026	17	HCP 4U	$27,230.00	Chester	2514m	Good Soft	David Probert	57kg	2:48.37	4-1-1	12	1. Shipshape 2. Helmsley 3. Newtown Duke	0.8L	$5.00
1/4	27/05/2026	25	HCP 4U	$17,760.00	Hamilton Park Uk	2615m	Good Firm	Connor Beasley	56kg	2:48.21	-	3	1. Shipshape 2. Raulin 3. Ludo's Landing	1.8L	$2.25
2/5	02/05/2026	17	HCP 4U	$14,520.00	Thirsk	2816m	Good Firm	Connor Beasley	57.5kg	3:11.37	2-4-2	4	1. Scottish Dancer 2. Shipshape 3. Analogical	0.3L	$2.38
1/8	15/04/2026	15	HCP 4U	$13,800.00	Southwell	2816m	Neutral	Daniel Muscutt	58.5kg	3:10.77	-	5	1. Shipshape 2. Betelgeuse 3. Provision	0.8L	$4.00
2/10	31/03/2026	20	HCP 4U	$10,890.00	Wolverhampton	2816m	Neutral	David Probert	62kg	3:04.22	-	1	1. Tuba 2. Shipshape 3. Havachoc	2.0L	$8.50
5/8	11/03/2026	141	APP HCP 4U	$10,890.00	Southwell	2414m	Neutral	Callum Hutchinson	61kg	2:36.95	-	6	1. Velvet Red 2. Tenadaay 3. Hackney Diamonds	3.5L	$23.00
6/14	21/10/2025	17	HCP 3U	$15,250.00	Yarmouth	2011m	Good Soft	Hector Crouch	57.5kg	2:06.85	2-4-6	8	1. Made U Blush 2. Hinchinbrooke 3. War Supremo	2.8L	$4.00
4/11	04/10/2025	234	HCP 3U	$12,700.00	Redcar	2011m	Good Soft	Rob Hornby	60.5kg	2:09.59	1-3-4	9	1. Jewel Maker 2. Velvet Whisper 3. Tetsworth	1.5L	$6.00

Vaguely Royal (4)6693336116

Trainer: Ian Williams (Alvechurch, Worcs)12 mths 37: 6-4-7

Jockey: W Buick

Weight: 56.5kgs

6 yo Brown G

Sire: GALILEO (IRE)

Dam: DANILOVNA (IRE)

Dam's Sire: Dansili

Stats

Prize Money$193,335.00

Avg $$5,225.27

Win %16.22%

Place %45.95%

Career37: 6-4-7

Track1: 0-0-0

Distance4: 0-0-2

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up8: 1-1-2

2nd Up6: 1-1-2

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good23: 4-4-4

Soft2: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic12: 2-0-3

Comments

Comes off a 38 day let-up. Last start 6th of 9 at Musselburgh on August 25 over 3600m, 9 len behind Gallus Norman carrying 58.5kg at $5. The race before that favourite; won by 0.5 len at York on July 24 over 3300m defeating Queen Roslyn carrying 56kg at $4.30. In a suitable race and shouldn't be far away.

Last Starts 37 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
6/9	25/08/2026	32	HCP 4U	$36,300.00	Musselburgh	3621m	Good	Ryan Kavanagh	58.5kg	3:56.98	7-9-6	3	1. Gallus Norman 2. Fast Fred 3. Trojan Sun	9.8L	$5.00
1/13	24/07/2026	13	HCP 4U	$45,370.00	York	3319m	Good Firm	William Buick	56kg	3:35.26	10-6-1	4	1. Vaguely Royal 2. Queen Roslyn 3. Furhaan	0.5L	$4.33
1/6	11/07/2026	40	APP HCP 3U	$27,230.00	Chester	2916m	Good	Ryan Kavanagh	57.5kg	3:09.84	5-1-1	4	1. Vaguely Royal 2. Imperial Sovereign 3. Mudita	1.8L	$6.50
6/8	01/06/2026	10	HCP 4U	$25,410.00	Newbury	3218m	Good Firm	Jamie Spencer	56kg	3:24.91	-	2	1. Naval Tribute 2. Baileys Khelstar 3. Personal Best	17.5L	$8.50
3/7	22/05/2026	5	HCP 4U	$18,150.00	Pontefract	3419m	Good Soft	Cam Hardie	55.5kg	3:48.44	-	4	1. Trojan Soldier 2. Sea Of Kings 3. Vaguely Royal	5.3L	$8.00
3/6	17/05/2026	24	APP HCP 4U	$16,330.00	Ripon	3218m	Good	Ryan Kavanagh	61kg	3:29.95	-	7	1. Trojan Soldier 2. Scottish Dancer 3. Vaguely Royal	3.8L	$7.50
3/5	23/04/2026	20	HCP 4U	$15,430.00	Southwell	2816m	Neutral	Jamie Spencer	61kg	3:09.05	-	3	1. Swinging London 2. John Galt 3. Vaguely Royal	1.8L	$2.88
9/14	03/04/2026	30	HCP 4U	$90,750.00	Lingfield	3218m	Neutral	Paul Mulrennan	58kg	3:20.98	-	13	1. Arc Zoosve 2. Shrimp Shady 3. Circuit Breaker	11.3L	$34.00
6/10	04/03/2026	13	HCP 4U	$17,240.00	Southwell	3721m	Neutral	Edward Greatrex	61kg	4:08.50	-	3	1. Arc Zoosve 2. Appier 3. Hatysa	3.3L	$19.00
6/11	19/02/2026	13	HCP 4U	$27,590.00	Newcastle	3319m	Neutral	Ryan Kavanagh	55.5kg	3:32.73	11-9-6	8	1. Team Player 2. Weddell Sea 3. Hatysa	10.0L	$51.00
7/8	06/02/2026	37	HCP 4U	$27,590.00	Wolverhampton	2414m	Neutral	Cieren Fallon	59.5kg	2:37.61	8-8-7	5	1. Nolton Cross 2. Rastnet 3. Pride Of Donegal	47.3L	$21.00