Aqueduct Race 4 - Fort Marcy S. Stakes
DETERMINISTIC (5) is a talented galloper with a very good strike rate who finished off last campaign with a win over 1609m in the G1 Fourstardave Handicap at Saratoga Inner Turf (Turf) on August 2. Has a strong first-up record with two wins from three runs so he is expected to go very well. YO DADDY (6) is racing well on the dirt of late, hitting the frame two back at Aqueduct then improving to score at Aqueduct over 2012m four weeks ago. Jose Lezcano who has four wins when partnering stays on. Bold showing expected. RIDARI (1) returns from a spell of seven months and did win first-up last time in work over 1600m in the G3 Prix De Fontainebleau at Longchamp. Solid chance. MONTADOR (3) was beaten for early speed and safely held to the line when fifth over 1811m in the G2 Mervin H. Muniz Jr. Memorial Handicap at Fairgrounds Turf (Turf) six weeks ago. Should be poised just off the lead. In the mix.

Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of seven months. Finished off last campaign by nose Longchamp G2 Prix Daniel Wildenstein October 4 over 1600m slow track defeating Quddwah with 56.5kg at $8.50. Previous preparation first-up won by nose Longchamp G3 Prix De Fontainebleau April 13 2025 over 1600m defeating Sahlan with 58kg at $7.70. Among the leading players.
Last Starts 211 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 04/10/2025 | 48 | G2 OPEN 3U | $326,790.00 | Longchamp | 1600m | Soft | Mickael Barzalona | 56.5kg | 1:40.45 | - | 7 |
| 0.1L | $8.50 |
| 8/10 | 17/08/2025 | 28 | G1 OPEN HM 3U | $1,776,200.00 | Deauville | 1600m | Good Soft | Cristian Demuro | 57kg | 1:34.23 | - | 6 |
| 4.6L | $15.00 |
| 3/10 | 20/07/2025 | 49 | G3 OPEN 3U | $130,948.00 | Chantilly | 1600m | Soft | Mickael Barzalona | 55.5kg | 1:38.59 | - | 6 |
| 2.7L | $3.40 |
| 6/18 | 01/06/2025 | 21 | G1 OPEN CF 3 | $2,640,850.00 | Chantilly | 2100m | Good Soft | Mickael Barzalona | 58kg | 2:04.40 | 6-6-6 | 11 |
| 1.6L | $8.50 |
| 5/16 | 11/05/2025 | 28 | G1 OPEN C 3 | $1,154,530.00 | Longchamp | 1600m | Good | Mickael Barzalona | 58kg | 1:33.91 | - | 5 |
| 1.6L | $6.20 |
| 1/7 | 13/04/2025 | 145 | G3 OPEN CG 3 | $138,170.00 | Longchamp | 1600m | Good Soft | Mickael Barzalona | 58kg | 1:38.02 | - | 3 |
| 0.1L | $7.70 |

Jockey: Dylan Davis
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming after a break of nine weeks. Finished off last campaign second of 8 at Gulfstream Park Turf in the G3 Canadian Turf Stakes February 28 over 1710m, 4 len behind Tiz Dashing with 55kg at $8.40. Previously first up; third of 10 at Gulfstream Park Turf January 24 over 1609m, 2 len behind Mi Bago with 56kg at $4.10. Unlikely to feature.
Last Starts 64 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/8 | 28/02/2026 | 35 | G3 OPEN 4U | $245,787.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1710m | FM | Flavien Prat | 55kg | 1:38.07 | 3-4-2 | 1 |
| 3.8L | $8.40 |
| 3/10 | 24/01/2026 | 364 | ALLOW OCLM 4U | $130,045.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | FM | Luis Saez | 56kg | 1:34.11 | 2-3-3 | 2 |
| 2.0L | $4.10 |
| 11/12 | 25/01/2025 | 77 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,612,903.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1811m | FM | Jose Ortiz | 56kg | 1:44.50 | 6-12-11 | 9 |
| 5.3L | $11.90 |
| 1/9 | 09/11/2024 | 50 | G3 OPEN 3U | $456,621.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | Luan Machado | 55kg | 1:48.79 | 4-1-1 | 7 |
| 1.8L | $5.16 |
| 1/6 | 20/09/2024 | 68 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $147,059.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1710m | FM | Joel Rosario | 57kg | 1:43.97 | 3-2-1 | 5 |
| 0.1L | $3.45 |
| 1/10 | 14/07/2024 | 28 | ALLOW OCLM 3U | $172,932.00 | Saratoga | 2213m | FM | Flavien Prat | 56kg | 2:14.19 | 5-1-1 | 2 |
| 0.3L | $3.50 |

Jockey: Jose Lezcano
Weight: 55.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Comes here off a 42-day let-up. At the latest run got back early 5th of 7 at Fairgrounds Turf in the G2 Mervin H. Muniz Jr. Memorial Handicap on March 21 over 1811m, 5 len behind Lagynos carrying 55.5kg at $4.90. The race before that 2nd of 10 at Fairgrounds Turf in the G3 Fair Grounds Stakes on February 14 over 1811m, 2.25 len behind Lagynos with 55.5kg at $3.20. Genuine hope.
Last Starts 43 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/7 | 21/03/2026 | 35 | G2 OPEN 4U | $421,348.00 | Fairgrounds | 1811m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 55.5kg | 1:48.17 | 7-6-5 | 2 |
| 4.8L | $4.90 |
| 2/10 | 14/02/2026 | 49 | G3 OPEN 4U | $249,643.00 | Fairgrounds | 1811m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 55.5kg | 1:48.02 | 3-6-2 | 6 |
| 2.3L | $3.20 |
| 1/7 | 27/12/2025 | 35 | LR OPEN 3 | $153,139.00 | Fairgrounds | 1710m | FM | Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr | 53.5kg | 1:41.31 | 1-1-1 | 6 |
| 4.3L | $2.10 |
| 5/10 | 22/11/2025 | 20 | G3 OPEN 3 | $458,015.00 | Churchill Downs | 1710m | FM | Luis Saez | 53.5kg | 1:41.47 | 9-3-5 | 3 |
| 1.9L | $4.23 |
| 1/12 | 02/11/2025 | 29 | ALLOW 3U | $193,893.00 | Churchill Downs | 1811m | FM | Tyler Gaffalione | 53.5kg | 1:48.79 | 2-1-1 | 3 |
| 2.0L | $2.82 |
| 2/11 | 04/10/2025 | 37 | ALLOW 3U | $182,648.00 | Keeneland | 1710m | FM | Cristian Mauricio Torres | 54.5kg | 1:41.53 | 2-3-2 | 8 |
| 0.1L | $4.86 |

Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.
Weight: 54.5kgs
Stats
Comments
Second-up. Comes off a 41-day let-up. First-up after 11 months won by 2.75 len at Tampa Bay Downs Turf March 22 over 1609m defeating Aegon Targaryen with 54kg at $2. Previously second-up won by 1.5 len at this track May 4 over 1609m defeating Noble Confessor with 53.5kg at $2.65. Don't underestimate.
Last Starts 42 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/9 | 22/03/2026 | 322 | ALLOW 4U | $77,949.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1609m | FM | Samuel Marin | 54kg | 1:34.99 | 2-1-1 | 3 |
| 2.8L | $2.00 |
| 1/8 | 04/05/2025 | 51 | MDN 3U | $132,812.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1609m | FM | Flavien Prat | 53.5kg | 1:35.97 | 2-1-1 | 1 |
| 1.5L | $2.65 |
| 2/9 | 14/03/2025 | - | MDN 3 | $85,072.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1710m | FM | Samuel Marin | 54kg | 1:41.98 | 4-1-2 | 7 |
| 1.5L | $2.00 |

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche
Weight: 56kgs
Stats
Comments
Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of nine months. Finished off last campaign by 1.3 len Saratoga Inner Turf G1 Fourstardave Handicap August 2 over 1609m defeating Intellect carrying 57kg at $5.60. First up last campaign second in a small field at Keeneland April 6 2025 over 1811m, 1.75 len behind Money Supply with 56kg at $3.50. Form shown last campaign makes for good reading.
Last Starts 274 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/10 | 02/08/2025 | 55 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,162,791.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | FM | K Carmouche | 57kg | 1:33.87 | 5-1-1 | 8 |
| 1.3L | $5.60 |
| 1/8 | 08/06/2025 | 36 | G1 OPEN 4U | $1,555,210.00 | Saratoga | 1811m | Good | K Carmouche | 55.5kg | 1:48.93 | 2-1-1 | 4 |
| 0.1L | $6.80 |
| 1/5 | 03/05/2025 | 27 | G2 OPEN 4U | $312,500.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1811m | FM | K Carmouche | 56kg | 1:45.70 | 1-1-1 | 3 |
| 4.5L | $3.10 |
| 2/6 | 06/04/2025 | 148 | ALLOW 4U | $239,617.00 | Keeneland | 1811m | SP | Joel Rosario | 56kg | 1:51.39 | 3-1-2 | 2 |
| 1.8L | $3.50 |
| 1/7 | 09/11/2024 | 35 | G3 OPEN 3 | $304,414.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1811m | FM | Joel Rosario | 56kg | 1:46.58 | 2-1-1 | 3 |
| 1.0L | $2.75 |
| 2/6 | 05/10/2024 | 28 | G3 OPEN 3 | $722,543.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 2213m | FM | Joel Rosario | 55.5kg | 2:14.22 | 2-3-2 | 5 |
| 0.8L | $4.00 |