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Aqueduct Race 4 - Fort Marcy S. Stakes

DETERMINISTIC (5) is a talented galloper with a very good strike rate who finished off last campaign with a win over 1609m in the G1 Fourstardave Handicap at Saratoga Inner Turf (Turf) on August 2. Has a strong first-up record with two wins from three runs so he is expected to go very well. YO DADDY (6) is racing well on the dirt of late, hitting the frame two back at Aqueduct then improving to score at Aqueduct over 2012m four weeks ago. Jose Lezcano who has four wins when partnering stays on. Bold showing expected. RIDARI (1) returns from a spell of seven months and did win first-up last time in work over 1600m in the G3 Prix De Fontainebleau at Longchamp. Solid chance. MONTADOR (3) was beaten for early speed and safely held to the line when fifth over 1811m in the G2 Mervin H. Muniz Jr. Memorial Handicap at Fairgrounds Turf (Turf) six weeks ago. Should be poised just off the lead. In the mix.

Race Time:6:28 PM
Saturday, May 2, 2026
Track:Fast
Weather:Cloudy
Prize Money:$0.00
Distance:1811m
1
Silk
Ridari (1)21x156381x
Trainer: Miguel Clement (France)12 mths 8: 3-1-1

Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez

Weight: 56kgs

4 yo Bay H
Sire: CHURCHILL (IRE)
Dam: RIDASIYNA (FR)
Dam's Sire: Motivator

Stats

Prize Money$342,501.00
Avg $$42,812.63
Win %37.50%
Place %62.50%
Career8: 3-1-1
Track0: 0-0-0
Distance0: 0-0-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up2: 1-1-0
2nd Up2: 1-0-0
Firm0: 0-0-0
Good4: 1-0-0
Soft2: 1-0-1
Heavy1: 0-1-0
Synthetic1: 1-0-0

Comments

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of seven months. Finished off last campaign by nose Longchamp G2 Prix Daniel Wildenstein October 4 over 1600m slow track defeating Quddwah with 56.5kg at $8.50. Previous preparation first-up won by nose Longchamp G3 Prix De Fontainebleau April 13 2025 over 1600m defeating Sahlan with 58kg at $7.70. Among the leading players.

Last Starts 211 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
1/1004/10/202548G2 OPEN 3U$326,790.00Longchamp1600mSoftMickael Barzalona56.5kg1:40.45-7
  • 1. Ridari
  • 2. Quddwah
  • 3. Skukuza
0.1L$8.50
8/1017/08/202528G1 OPEN HM 3U$1,776,200.00Deauville1600mGood SoftCristian Demuro57kg1:34.23-6
  • 1. Diego Velazquez
  • 2. Notable Speech
  • 3. Dancing Gemini
4.6L$15.00
3/1020/07/202549G3 OPEN 3U$130,948.00Chantilly1600mSoftMickael Barzalona55.5kg1:38.59-6
  • 1. Quddwah
  • 2. Geography
  • 3. Ridari
2.7L$3.40
6/1801/06/202521G1 OPEN CF 3$2,640,850.00Chantilly2100mGood SoftMickael Barzalona58kg2:04.406-6-611
  • 1. Camille Pissarro
  • 2. Cualificar
  • 3. Detain
1.6L$8.50
5/1611/05/202528G1 OPEN C 3$1,154,530.00Longchamp1600mGoodMickael Barzalona58kg1:33.91-5
  • 1. Henri Matisse
  • 2. Jonquil
  • 3. Camille Pissarro
1.6L$6.20
1/713/04/2025145G3 OPEN CG 3$138,170.00Longchamp1600mGood SoftMickael Barzalona58kg1:38.02-3
  • 1. Ridari
  • 2. Sahlan
  • 3. Misunderstood
0.1L$7.70
2
Silk
Battle Of Normandy (2)1x11x0x32x
Trainer: Claude Iii Mcgaughey 12 mths 16: 5-4-2

Jockey: Dylan Davis

Weight: 54.5kgs

6 yo Bay H
Sire: CITY OF LIGHT (USA)
Dam: ADORABLE MISS (USA)
Dam's Sire: Kitten's Joy

Stats

Prize Money$1,018,987.00
Avg $$63,686.69
Win %31.25%
Place %68.75%
Career16: 5-4-2
Track3: 2-0-0
Distance5: 2-2-0
Tr / Dist1: 1-0-0
1st Up7: 2-1-1
2nd Up6: 2-3-1
Firm12: 5-2-2
Good1: 0-1-0
Soft2: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Resuming after a break of nine weeks. Finished off last campaign second of 8 at Gulfstream Park Turf in the G3 Canadian Turf Stakes February 28 over 1710m, 4 len behind Tiz Dashing with 55kg at $8.40. Previously first up; third of 10 at Gulfstream Park Turf January 24 over 1609m, 2 len behind Mi Bago with 56kg at $4.10. Unlikely to feature.

Last Starts 64 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
2/828/02/202635G3 OPEN 4U$245,787.00Gulfstream Park1710mFMFlavien Prat55kg1:38.073-4-21
  • 1. Tiz Dashing
  • 2. Battle Of Normandy
  • 3. Beach Gold
3.8L$8.40
3/1024/01/2026364ALLOW OCLM 4U$130,045.00Gulfstream Park1609mFMLuis Saez56kg1:34.112-3-32
  • 1. Mi Bago
  • 2. Risk Tolerance
  • 3. Battle Of Normandy
2.0L$4.10
11/1225/01/202577G1 OPEN 4U$1,612,903.00Gulfstream Park1811mFMJose Ortiz56kg1:44.506-12-119
  • 1. Spirit Of St Louis
  • 2. Integration
  • 3. Chasing The Crown
5.3L$11.90
1/909/11/202450G3 OPEN 3U$456,621.00Churchill Downs1811mFMLuan Machado55kg1:48.794-1-17
  • 1. Battle Of Normandy
  • 2. Reckoning Force
  • 3. Gigante
1.8L$5.16
1/620/09/202468ALLOW OCLM 3U$147,059.00Belmont At The Big A1710mFMJoel Rosario57kg1:43.973-2-15
  • 1. Battle Of Normandy
  • 2. Andthewinneris
  • 3. Kubrick
0.1L$3.45
1/1014/07/202428ALLOW OCLM 3U$172,932.00Saratoga2213mFMFlavien Prat56kg2:14.195-1-12
  • 1. Battle Of Normandy
  • 2. Truly Quality
  • 3. Six Minus
0.3L$3.50
3
Silk
Montador (3)2x71215125
Trainer: Michael Stidham 12 mths 9: 3-3-0

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Weight: 55.5kgs

4 yo Bay H
Sire: NYQUIST (USA)
Dam: LADY MONTDORE (USA)
Dam's Sire: Medaglia D'Oro

Stats

Prize Money$487,490.00
Avg $$54,165.56
Win %33.33%
Place %66.67%
Career9: 3-3-0
Track0: 0-0-0
Distance3: 1-1-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up2: 0-1-0
2nd Up1: 1-0-0
Firm9: 3-3-0
Good0: 0-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Comes here off a 42-day let-up. At the latest run got back early 5th of 7 at Fairgrounds Turf in the G2 Mervin H. Muniz Jr. Memorial Handicap on March 21 over 1811m, 5 len behind Lagynos carrying 55.5kg at $4.90. The race before that 2nd of 10 at Fairgrounds Turf in the G3 Fair Grounds Stakes on February 14 over 1811m, 2.25 len behind Lagynos with 55.5kg at $3.20. Genuine hope.

Last Starts 43 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
5/721/03/202635G2 OPEN 4U$421,348.00Fairgrounds1811mFMTyler Gaffalione55.5kg1:48.177-6-52
  • 1. Lagynos
  • 2. Tom's Magic
  • 3. Program Trading
4.8L$4.90
2/1014/02/202649G3 OPEN 4U$249,643.00Fairgrounds1811mFMTyler Gaffalione55.5kg1:48.023-6-26
  • 1. Lagynos
  • 2. Montador
  • 3. Kupuna
2.3L$3.20
1/727/12/202535LR OPEN 3$153,139.00Fairgrounds1710mFMBrian Joseph Hernandez Jr53.5kg1:41.311-1-16
  • 1. Montador
  • 2. Juris Doctor
  • 3. Faber
4.3L$2.10
5/1022/11/202520G3 OPEN 3$458,015.00Churchill Downs1710mFMLuis Saez53.5kg1:41.479-3-53
  • 1. Giocoso
  • 2. Chapman's Peak
  • 3. Outrunner
1.9L$4.23
1/1202/11/202529ALLOW 3U$193,893.00Churchill Downs1811mFMTyler Gaffalione53.5kg1:48.792-1-13
  • 1. Montador
  • 2. Maximum Promise
  • 3. Fort Thomas
2.0L$2.82
2/1104/10/202537ALLOW 3U$182,648.00Keeneland1710mFMCristian Mauricio Torres54.5kg1:41.532-3-28
  • 1. Tenacious Leader
  • 2. Montador
  • 3. Rocky Joy
0.1L$4.86
4
Silk
Uncatalyzed (4)21x1
Trainer: Chad C Brown 12 mths 3: 2-1-0

Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.

Weight: 54.5kgs

4 yo Dark Bay/Brown H
Sire: KINGMAN (GB)
Dam: QUEEN'S CODE (IRE)
Dam's Sire: Shamardal

Stats

Prize Money$110,251.00
Avg $$36,750.33
Win %66.67%
Place %100.00%
Career3: 2-1-0
Track1: 1-0-0
Distance0: 0-0-0
Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0
1st Up2: 1-1-0
2nd Up1: 1-0-0
Firm2: 2-0-0
Good0: 0-0-0
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Second-up. Comes off a 41-day let-up. First-up after 11 months won by 2.75 len at Tampa Bay Downs Turf March 22 over 1609m defeating Aegon Targaryen with 54kg at $2. Previously second-up won by 1.5 len at this track May 4 over 1609m defeating Noble Confessor with 53.5kg at $2.65. Don't underestimate.

Last Starts 42 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
1/922/03/2026322ALLOW 4U$77,949.00Tampa Bay Downs1609mFMSamuel Marin54kg1:34.992-1-13
  • 1. Uncatalyzed
  • 2. Aegon Targaryen
  • 3. Late Call
2.8L$2.00
1/804/05/202551MDN 3U$132,812.00Belmont At The Big A1609mFMFlavien Prat53.5kg1:35.972-1-11
  • 1. Uncatalyzed
  • 2. Noble Confessor
  • 3. Kulapat
1.5L$2.65
2/914/03/2025-MDN 3$85,072.00Tampa Bay Downs1710mFMSamuel Marin54kg1:41.984-1-27
  • 1. Capitol Hill
  • 2. Uncatalyzed
  • 3. Magic Pathway
1.5L$2.00
5
Silk
Deterministic (5)3121x2111x
Trainer: Miguel Clement (USA)12 mths 13: 7-3-1

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

Weight: 56kgs

5 yo Dark Bay/Brown H
Sire: LIAM'S MAP (USA)
Dam: GIULIO'S JEWEL (USA)
Dam's Sire: Speightstown

Stats

Prize Money$3,028,911.00
Avg $$232,993.15
Win %53.85%
Place %84.62%
Career13: 7-3-1
Track4: 2-2-0
Distance4: 4-0-0
Tr / Dist1: 1-0-0
1st Up3: 2-1-0
2nd Up2: 1-0-0
Firm8: 4-2-0
Good2: 1-0-1
Soft0: 0-0-0
Heavy0: 0-0-0
Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of nine months. Finished off last campaign by 1.3 len Saratoga Inner Turf G1 Fourstardave Handicap August 2 over 1609m defeating Intellect carrying 57kg at $5.60. First up last campaign second in a small field at Keeneland April 6 2025 over 1811m, 1.75 len behind Money Supply with 56kg at $3.50. Form shown last campaign makes for good reading.

Last Starts 274 days since last start

PlaceDateDaysClassPrizeTrackDist.Cnd.JockeyWeightRace TimeIn RunGateResultMarginStarting Price
1/1002/08/202555G1 OPEN 4U$1,162,791.00Saratoga1609mFMK Carmouche57kg1:33.875-1-18
  • 1. Deterministic
  • 2. Intellect
  • 3. Win For The Money
1.3L$5.60
1/808/06/202536G1 OPEN 4U$1,555,210.00Saratoga1811mGoodK Carmouche55.5kg1:48.932-1-14
  • 1. Deterministic
  • 2. Integration
  • 3. Far Bridge
0.1L$6.80
1/503/05/202527G2 OPEN 4U$312,500.00Belmont At The Big A1811mFMK Carmouche56kg1:45.701-1-13
  • 1. Deterministic
  • 2. Carson's Run
  • 3. Kay Army
4.5L$3.10
2/606/04/2025148ALLOW 4U$239,617.00Keeneland1811mSPJoel Rosario56kg1:51.393-1-22
  • 1. Money Supply
  • 2. Deterministic
  • 3. Lagynos
1.8L$3.50
1/709/11/202435G3 OPEN 3$304,414.00Belmont At The Big A1811mFMJoel Rosario56kg1:46.582-1-13
  • 1. Deterministic
  • 2. Cugino
  • 3. Royal Majesty
1.0L$2.75
2/605/10/202428G3 OPEN 3$722,543.00Belmont At The Big A2213mFMJoel Rosario55.5kg2:14.222-3-25
  • 1. Carson's Run
  • 2. Deterministic
  • 3. El Rezeen
0.8L$4.00

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