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Aqueduct Race 2 - Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight

PROBABILITY (3) is ready to win after another minor placing last start, finishing second over 1308m at this track (Dirt) when he was always up in the leading division. Suitably placed so anticipating another big run. CLASSIC COMMANDER (1) is a four-start maiden who finished eighth at his most recent appearance over 1609m at this track (Dirt) after he was well back on straightening. Likely to be in the finish in this suitable assignment. POWER SPEED (6) is a three-start maiden who finished fourth, beaten 14 lengths, when resuming from a spell last start over 1308m at this track (Dirt). Will derive great benefit from that outing and deserves consideration. MO CURLS (4) is a four-start maiden who finished sixth, beaten 15 lengths, when resuming from a spell last start over 1609m at this track (Dirt). Definite top-three hope with plenty of improvement to come.

Race Time:5:42 PM

Sunday, March 22, 2026

Track:Fast

Weather:Cloudy

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1609m

Classic Commander (1)7458

Trainer: Ilkay Kantarmaci (USA)12 mths 4: 0-0-0

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Weight: 54.5kgs

3 yo Dark Bay/Brown C

Sire: CLASSIC EMPIRE (USA)

Dam: GIULIA AMMANNATI (USA)

Dam's Sire: Noble Mission

Stats

Prize Money$13,295.00

Avg $$3,323.75

Win %0.00%

Place %0.00%

Career4: 0-0-0

Track4: 0-0-0

Distance3: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist3: 0-0-0

1st Up1: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm4: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Returns from a 36-day let-up. Most recently ran last of 8 at this track on February 14 over 1609m, 34 len behind Mach Seven carrying 55.5kg at $11.44. The run before that settled back and ran on when 5th of 7 at this track on December 31 over 1609m, 8 len behind Mission Critical with 54kg at $7.37. Can turn things around.

Last Starts 36 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
8/8	14/02/2026	45	MDN 3	$106,990.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Ricardo Santana Jr	55.5kg	1:40.58	7-7-8	8	1. Mach Seven 2. Who's Your Zaddy 3. Dinghy Bar	34.1L	$11.44
5/7	31/12/2025	38	MDN 2	$122,511.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Jamie Rodriguez	54kg	1:42.58	6-4-5	5	1. Mission Critical 2. Life's Too Short 3. Bootsy's A Rascal	8.0L	$7.37
4/10	23/11/2025	30	MDN OCLM 2	$106,870.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Jamie Rodriguez	54kg	1:36.74	7-4-4	7	1. Treadstone 2. Where's Your Boom 3. Grumblyrumhogan	4.3L	$38.92
7/9	24/10/2025	-	MDN 2	$121,766.00	Belmont At The Big A	1308m	Fast	Jamie Rodriguez	54kg	1:16.77	9-9-7	3	1. Pantherian 2. Wamo 3. King Farro	11.6L	$36.52

Probability (2)53x222

Trainer: Amelia J Green (USA)12 mths 5: 0-3-1

Jockey: Jaime Rodriguez

Weight: 57kgs

4 yo Chestnut H

Sire: IMPROBABLE (USA)

Dam: PERAZZI (USA)

Dam's Sire: Curlin

Stats

Prize Money$87,087.00

Avg $$17,417.40

Win %0.00%

Place %80.00%

Career5: 0-3-1

Track4: 0-3-1

Distance2: 0-2-0

Tr / Dist2: 0-2-0

1st Up2: 0-1-0

2nd Up2: 0-1-1

Firm3: 0-2-1

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd in a small field at this track on February 27 over 1308m, 1.0 len behind Kaz Oil Changer carrying 55.5kg at $2.42. The run before that 2nd in a small field at this track on January 9 over 1609m, 0.3 len behind Sequential carrying 55.5kg at $1.25. Right in the mix again.

Last Starts 23 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/5	27/02/2026	49	MDN 4U	$106,990.00	Belmont At The Big A	1308m	M	Manuel Franco	55.5kg	1:20.20	3-2-2	5	1. Kaz Oil Changer 2. Probability 3. Alzero	1.0L	$2.42
2/5	09/01/2026	35	MDN OCLM 4U	$112,108.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Manuel Franco	55.5kg	1:38.21	1-2-2	3	1. Sequential 2. Probability 3. Ice Shot	0.3L	$1.25
2/8	05/12/2025	440	MDN 3U	$122,511.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Manuel Franco	55kg	1:37.14	4-1-2	5	1. Twohonestmischief 2. Probability 3. Kaz Oil Changer	0.1L	$2.51
3/11	21/09/2024	49	MDN 2	$110,294.00	Belmont At The Big A	1207m	Fast	K Carmouche	54kg	1:11.16	4-3-3	4	1. Man In Finance 2. Kenny Be 3. Probability	10.5L	$3.15
5/10	03/08/2024	-	MDN 2	$138,249.00	Saratoga	1207m	SP	I Ortiz Jr	54kg	1:11.29	7-6-5	3	1. Smilensaycheese 2. The Toner 3. Corvus	13.6L	$3.65

Mo Curls (3)752x6

Trainer: Rudy R Rodriguez (USA)12 mths 4: 0-1-0

Jockey: Ruben Silvera

Weight: 54.5kgs

3 yo Dark Bay/Brown G

Sire: SOLOMINI (USA)

Dam: CIRCUS LIFE (USA)

Dam's Sire: More Than Ready

Stats

Prize Money$19,192.00

Avg $$4,798.00

Win %0.00%

Place %25.00%

Career4: 0-1-0

Track3: 0-1-0

Distance2: 0-1-0

Tr / Dist2: 0-1-0

1st Up2: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm4: 0-1-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Second-up. Comes off a 36-day let-up. First-up after two months 6th of 8 at this track on February 14 over 1609m, 15 len behind Mach Seven carrying 55.5kg at $18.83. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 5th of 9 at Aqueduct Inner Turf on November 21 over 1207m, 3 len behind Diliello carrying 54kg at $11.97. Plenty of upside.

Last Starts 36 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
6/8	14/02/2026	65	MDN 3	$106,990.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	R Silvera	55.5kg	1:40.58	8-5-6	3	1. Mach Seven 2. Who's Your Zaddy 3. Dinghy Bar	15.9L	$18.83
2/6	11/12/2025	20	MDN CLM 2	$58,193.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Eric Cancel	54kg	1:43.45	6-2-2	1	1. Drop Me A Dime 2. Mo Curls 3. Charlie Hustle	8.0L	$1.58
5/9	21/11/2025	43	MDN 2	$122,137.00	Belmont At The Big A	1207m	FM	Eric Cancel	54kg	1:09.88	8-6-5	1	1. Diliello 2. Tizlawry 3. True Legend	3.1L	$11.97
7/7	09/10/2025	-	MDN OCLM 2	$106,545.00	Belmont At The Big A	1207m	Fast	Eric Cancel	54kg	1:11.82	7-6-7	3	1. Hong Kong Phooey 2. Neigh Baby 3. Wit Storm	6.6L	$7.94

Baby Meanie (4)607x7

Trainer: James Ferraro 12 mths 4: 0-0-0

Jockey: Favinho Villa Pino

Weight: 54.5kgs

3 yo Chestnut C

Sire: SOLOMINI (USA)

Dam: KEEPNHERINTHEDARK (USA)

Dam's Sire: Kitten'S Joy

Stats

Prize Money$4,548.00

Avg $$1,137.00

Win %0.00%

Place %0.00%

Career4: 0-0-0

Track2: 0-0-0

Distance1: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist1: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm4: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Second-up. Comes off a 36-day let-up. First-up after two months second last of 8 at this track on February 14 over 1609m, 19 len behind Mach Seven with 55.5kg at $80.98. Previously second-up ran last of 10 at Aqueduct Inner Turf on November 14 over 1207m, 20 len behind Cerro Rico with 54kg at $73.64. Fitter and worth including.

Last Starts 36 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
7/8	14/02/2026	64	MDN 3	$106,990.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	Fast	Pino Favinho Villa	55.5kg	1:40.58	5-8-7	7	1. Mach Seven 2. Who's Your Zaddy 3. Dinghy Bar	19.4L	$80.98
7/9	12/12/2025	28	MDN 2	$122,511.00	Belmont At The Big A	1308m	Fast	R Silvera	54kg	1:20.95	2-8-7	9	1. Party In The Army 2. Central Spirit 3. Deacon Blues	15.8L	$40.73
10/10	14/11/2025	34	MDN 2	$122,137.00	Belmont At The Big A	1207m	FM	C Hiraldo	54kg	1:10.89	10-10-10	10	1. Cerro Rico 2. Dinghy Bar 3. Sir Walta	20.3L	$73.64
6/7	11/10/2025	-	MDN 2	$121,766.00	Belmont At The Big A	1207m	FM	Ricardo Santana Jr	54kg	1:10.06	5-6-6	1	1. Chummers 2. Thirsted 3. Hoity Moroni	13.8L	$22.81

Power Speed (5)76x4

Trainer: Todd Pletcher (USA)12 mths 3: 0-0-0

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

Weight: 54.5kgs

3 yo Dark Bay/Brown C

Sire: YAUPON (USA)

Dam: FROSTY MARGARITA (USA)

Dam's Sire: Frost Giant

Stats

Prize Money$7,541.00

Avg $$2,513.67

Win %0.00%

Place %0.00%

Career3: 0-0-0

Track2: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 0-0-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm3: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Second-up. Comes off a 46-day let-up. First-up after four months 4th of 9 at this track on February 4 over 1308m, 14 len behind B Thedonald with 55.5kg at $2.53. Previously second-up 6th of 12 at this track on September 28 over 1207m, 8 len behind Bravaro with 54kg at $2.86. Fitter again and a winning hope.

Last Starts 46 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/9	04/02/2026	129	MDN 3	$106,990.00	Belmont At The Big A	1308m	Fast	Ricardo Santana Jr	55.5kg	1:19.31	1-4-4	3	1. B Thedonald 2. Bounty Banker 3. Ice House	14.5L	$2.53
6/12	28/09/2025	30	MDN 2	$122,324.00	Belmont At The Big A	1207m	Fast	Edgard J Zayas	54kg	1:10.13	3-4-6	5	1. Bravaro 2. Fourth And One 3. Max Money	8.9L	$2.86
7/12	29/08/2025	-	MDN 2	$139,535.00	Saratoga	1207m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	54kg	1:11.28	1-5-7	12	1. Stickupwithoutagun 2. Party In The Army 3. Combat Mission	15.8L	$2.05