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Grand River Raceway Race 1 - Race 1

PROBABILITY (8) was struggling to make his mark before the latest appearance when he scored by 5 metres over 1609m at this track. Interesting to see what unfolds from this wide draw. Meets a comparable field and he can make it two on the trot. ROUGH DEAL (7) finished second last time out, beaten 5 metres, in a far better performance at this track over 1609m. The driver has some work to do from this wide starting position. Recent efforts are good enough to put him right in the finish. TRAMONTO (2) is looming as a real threat after a better effort last start, finishing second at Georgian Downs over 1609m. LOU WHO (6) should be at his peak at the fourth run back from a spell, the latest outing a fourth at Mohawk Park a week-and-a-half ago.

Race Time:10:20 PM

Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:N/A

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1609m

Stumbleandstagger (1)4x222526

Trainer: R Griffiths 12 mths 7: 0-4-0

Driver: G Rooney

3 yo B G

Sire: STAG PARTY

Dam: KAKS DRAGON ATTACK

Stats

Career7: 0-4-0

LTS$8,723.00

BMR

TS0: 0-0-0

Win %0.00%

Place %57.14%

Comments

Last start 6th over 1609m at Western Fair Raceway, at the bell was 8th- beaten 6 m by Skip The Honey (1:55.40) in G on May 29 at $21.90. Two runs back 2nd over 1609m at Western Fair Raceway was 2nd- at the bell, beaten 0.8 m by Twin B Betonit (1:57.00) in 4yo G on May 19 at $32.65. This appears outside his grasp.

Last Starts 19 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Driver	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
6/8	29/05/2026	10	$40,900.00	Western Fair Raceway	1609m	Fast	L House	3	1. Skip The Honey 2. Twin B Betonit 3. Over Bet	6.5L	$21.90
2/6	19/05/2026	7	$8,180.00	Western Fair Raceway	1609m	Good	L House	3	1. Twin B Betonit 2. Stumbleandstagger 3. French Bulldog	0.8L	$32.65
5/7	12/05/2026	14	$8,180.00	Western Fair Raceway	1609m	Fast	L House	2	1. French Bulldog 2. Writeline 3. Outrun The Odds	3.8L	$14.80
2/7	28/04/2026	7	$7,837.00	Western Fair Raceway	1609m	Fast	Mi Horner	6	1. Walter's Nip 2. Stumbleandstagger 3. Over Bet	4.0L	$4.70
2/7	21/04/2026	7	$7,837.00	Western Fair Raceway	1609m	Fast	Mi Horner	5	1. Walter's Nip 2. Stumbleandstagger 3. Chief Hauser	1.3L	$3.95
2/7	14/04/2026	220	$7,837.00	Western Fair Raceway	1609m	Fast	Mi Horner	1	1. Chief Hauser 2. Stumbleandstagger 3. Brand Ambassador	1.3L	$3.30

Tramonto (2)6277x36462

Trainer: Ri Zeron 12 mths 12: 0-4-1

Driver: J Drury

3 yo B C

Sire: SHADOW PLAY (USA)

Dam: SOUTHWIND GLORIA

Stats

Career12: 0-4-1

LTS$17,376.00

BMR

TS1: 0-1-0

Win %0.00%

Place %41.67%

Comments

Improved last start with a game effort when 2nd over 1609m at Georgian Downs was leading by at the bell, beaten 0.5 m by Panic Ray (1:57.30) in G on June 9 at $1.30. Terrific chance to open his account.

Last Starts 8 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Driver	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/9	09/06/2026	11		$8,595.00	Georgian Downs	1609m	Fast	J Drury	4	1. Panic Ray 2. Tramonto 3. Tidal Seelster	0.5L	$1.30
6/10	29/05/2026	7		$18,405.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	B Davis (Jnr)	1	1. Dontenvyme Hanover 2. D A Bodacious 3. Sunset Loo	6.0L	$13.40
4/8	22/05/2026	7	OPEN	$25,562.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	B Davis (Jnr)	2	1. Scorpion Seelster 2. Lyons Gustavofring 3. Letr Sink Son	5.8L	$81.10
6/10	15/05/2026	21		$18,405.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	B Davis (Jnr)	1	1. Ryder Ross 2. Amicable 3. Chow For Now	11.8L	$25.35
3/10	24/04/2026	220		$18,809.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	B Davis (Jnr)	2	1. I Love This Bar 2. Windsun Gunner 3. Tramonto	3.8L	$19.15
7/10	16/09/2025	14		$17,798.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	L Roy	7	1. Lunar Sport 2. Kaptainkrave 3. Letr Sink Son	4.3L	$10.90

Always Orderly (3)343293x

Trainer: W Whelan 12 mths 6: 0-1-3

Driver: Michael Whelan

4 yo B H

Sire: ALWAYS B MIKI (USA)

Dam: SAILAJA DEO

Stats

Career6: 0-1-3

LTS$7,894.00

BMR

TS2: 0-0-1

Win %0.00%

Place %66.67%

Comments

Resuming after a spell of ten months. Finished off last campaign when beaten by 4 m finishing third behind Erinwood Big Mack at Georgian Downs over 1609m in a G on August 24 at $8.60. Sure to be about the mark again.

Last Starts 297 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Driver	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/8	24/08/2025	5		$11,211.00	Georgian Downs	1609m	Fast	Michael Whelan	1	1. Erinwood Big Mack 2. Jimmysonaroll 3. Always Orderly	4.3L	$8.60
9/9	19/08/2025	9		$19,058.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Good	Michael Whelan	9	1. National Tier 2. Intuit Big 3. Winchester Phoenix	10.3L	$84.65
2/7	10/08/2025	7	NW1PMLTCD	$13,953.00	Tioga Downs	1609m	Fast	Michael Whelan	6	1. Major Drama 2. Always Orderly 3. Choices Honor	1.5L	$6.50
3/6	03/08/2025	4	NW1PMLTCD	$13,953.00	Tioga Downs	1609m	Fast	Michael Whelan	5	1. Jp Hoodini 2. Choices Honor 3. Always Orderly	8.3L	$8.50
4/8	30/07/2025	7		$6,935.00	Grand River Raceway	1609m	Fast	Michael Whelan	9	1. Stonebridge Alien 2. Lil Moe Problems 3. Better My Heart	0.8L	$16.85
3/7	23/07/2025	-		$6,935.00	Grand River Raceway	1609m	Fast	Michael Whelan	5	1. Never Assume 2. Lil Moe Problems 3. Always Orderly	3.8L	$7.80

Country Maverick (4)234

Trainer: R Samson 12 mths 3: 0-1-1

Driver: J Ryan

3 yo B C

Sire: SUNSHINE BEACH (USA)

Dam: GANGNAM STYLE

Stats

Career3: 0-1-1

LTS$3,684.00

BMR

TS1: 0-0-0

Win %0.00%

Place %66.67%

Comments

Last start 4th over 1609m at this track, at the bell was 5th- beaten 7 m by Beach Keepers (1:55.20) in G on June 10 at $9.90. Two runs back 3rd over 1609m at Flamboro Downs, at the bell was 4th- beaten 1.5 m by Night Wash (1:57.10) in G on May 31 at $3. Happy enough to dismiss.

Last Starts 7 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Driver	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/9	10/06/2026	10	$8,089.00	Grand River Raceway	1609m	Fast	J Ryan	8	1. Beach Keepers 2. Jett Out Early 3. Mandestiny	7.8L	$9.90
3/9	31/05/2026	14	$8,696.00	Flamboro Downs	1609m	Fast	J Ryan	6	1. Night Wash 2. Aboriginalbluechip 3. Country Maverick	1.5L	$3.00
2/7	17/05/2026	-	$7,975.00	Flamboro Downs	1609m	Fast	Ja MacDonald	2	1. Key Largo Hanover 2. Country Maverick 3. Dancinthroughdawn	2.0L	$6.45

Bar Down Brisby (5)6424533460

Trainer: Russell Ellis 12 mths 27: 0-3-7

Driver: D Thiessen

4 yo B H

Sire: SUNSHINE BEACH (USA)

Dam: STONEBRIDGE SASSY

Stats

Career27: 0-3-7

LTS$27,055.00

BMR

TS3: 0-2-1

Win %0.00%

Place %37.04%

Comments

Well-beaten 33 days ago at Mohawk Park over 1609m, and two back 6th over 1609m at Mohawk Park was 7th- at the bell, beaten 11 m by No Waitlist (1:54.30) in 4yo on April 24 at $63.65. Difficult to enthuse based on recent efforts.

Last Starts 33 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Driver	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
10/10	15/05/2026	21	$18,405.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	D Thiessen	9	1. Ryder Ross 2. Amicable 3. Chow For Now	27.5L	$85.25
6/10	24/04/2026	14	$18,809.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Good	D Thiessen	9	1. No Waitlist 2. Panic Ray 3. American Road Trip	11.8L	$63.65
4/10	10/04/2026	14	$18,809.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	D Thiessen	1	1. Walk Of Life 2. We Got History 3. Panic Ray	4.0L	$23.05
3/10	27/03/2026	6	$18,499.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	D Thiessen	5	1. Rip The Page 2. Dead Mans Chain 3. Bar Down Brisby	1.8L	$11.60
3/9	21/03/2026	7	$18,499.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	D Thiessen	3	1. Always Toohot 2. Rasputin 3. Bar Down Brisby	2.0L	$28.95
5/10	14/03/2026	7	$18,499.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	D Thiessen	2	1. Solidarity 2. P L Taco 3. Dead Mans Chain	4.8L	$39.95

Lou Who (6)334834x274

Trainer: L Toscani 12 mths 17: 0-2-3

Driver: S Hudon

3 yo B C

Sire: DANCIN LOU (USA)

Dam: MACH ME ONCE

Stats

Career17: 0-2-3

LTS$24,196.00

BMR

TS1: 0-1-0

Win %0.00%

Place %29.41%

Comments

Last start 4th over 1609m at Mohawk Park was 6th- at the bell, beaten 6 m by Hall Of Fear (1:52.00) in 4yo on June 5 at $21.95. At the run before 7th over 1609m at Mohawk Park, at the bell was 7th- beaten 7 m by Neverleaveharlan (1:52.40) in 4yo on May 29 at $50.50. Solid top-three contender.

Last Starts 12 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Driver	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/8	05/06/2026	7	$18,200.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	S Hudon	4	1. Hall Of Fear 2. American Road Trip 3. Ellington	6.5L	$21.95
7/10	29/05/2026	13	$18,405.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	S Hudon	7	1. Neverleaveharlan 2. Dead Mans Chain 3. Drive For Show	7.5L	$50.50
2/9	16/05/2026	161	$8,180.00	Flamboro Downs	1609m	Fast	S Hudon	8	1. Kapueno 2. Lou Who 3. Beach Keepers	1.3L	$38.80
4/10	06/12/2025	7	$19,651.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	S Hudon	2	1. Stay Humble 2. Barbadian Breeze 3. Chef	2.3L	$11.35
3/9	29/11/2025	7	$17,448.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	S Hudon	6	1. Barbadian Breeze 2. Ellington 3. Lou Who	4.0L	$4.95
8/10	22/11/2025	13	$19,629.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	S Hudon	3	1. Freight Days Aweek 2. Bunkhouse Boss 3. Stay Humble	6.0L	$6.25

Rough Deal (7)19492

Trainer: C Jamieson 12 mths 5: 1-1-0

Driver: J Jamieson

3 yo B G

Sire: AMERICAN IDEAL (USA)

Dam: RUFFLE'S KISS

Stats

Career5: 1-1-0

LTS$7,609.00

BMR1:58.30

TS1: 0-1-0

Win %20.00%

Place %40.00%

Comments

Improved last start with a game effort when 2nd over 1609m at this track was leading by at the bell, beaten 5 m by Philly's Stranger (1:52.30) in G on June 10 at $2.65. Chief contender.

Last Starts 7 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Driver	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/9	10/06/2026	12	$8,595.00	Grand River Raceway	1609m	Fast	J Jamieson	3	1. Philly's Stranger 2. Rough Deal 3. Larjon Loni	5.0L	$2.65
9/10	29/05/2026	7	$18,405.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	T Ratchford	9	1. Neverleaveharlan 2. Dead Mans Chain 3. Drive For Show	13.5L	$70.50
4/10	22/05/2026	7	$18,405.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	J Jamieson	9	1. Just Givener 2. Hall Of Fear 3. Pirates Poison	3.8L	$54.10
9/10	15/05/2026	12	$18,405.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	J Jamieson	4	1. Ryder Ross 2. Amicable 3. Chow For Now	17.3L	$10.25
1/8	03/05/2026	-	$7,975.00	Flamboro Downs	1609m	Fast	J Jamieson	3	1. Rough Deal 2. All Charms Off 3. Snowport	7.0L	$1.10

Probability (8)1781x581

Trainer: L Mccabe 12 mths 7: 3-0-0

Driver: S Young

3 yo B C

Sire: BIG JIM (USA)

Dam: SIGNIFICANCE

Stats

Career7: 3-0-0

LTS$11,227.00

BMR1:55.00

TS4: 2-0-0

Win %42.86%

Place %42.86%

Comments

Last start won by 5 m at this track (1:55.00) beating Beachwash in G on June 3 at the bell was leading. Big chance to go back-to-back.

Last Starts 14 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Driver	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/8	03/06/2026	16	$8,595.00	Grand River Raceway	1609m	Fast	S Young	6	1. Probability 2. Beachwash 3. Chief Hauser	5.0L	$1.00
8/10	18/05/2026	24	$18,405.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Fast	S Young	8	1. Could Be King 2. Sunset Loo 3. Flamin Mai	4.8L	$47.45
5/10	24/04/2026	251	$18,809.00	Mohawk Park	1609m	Good	S Young	10	1. No Waitlist 2. Panic Ray 3. American Road Trip	11.3L	$112.45
1/8	16/08/2025	10	$5,045.00	Hanover Raceway	1609m	Fast	J Harris	6	1. Probability 2. Bettor Story 3. D A Studley Dudley	3.5L	$2.65
8/8	06/08/2025	21	$6,951.00	Grand River Raceway	1609m	Fast	J Harris	1	1. Smoothies Delight 2. Bet I Will 3. Woodmere Perfetto	6.5L	$5.70
7/8	16/07/2025	7	$6,935.00	Grand River Raceway	1609m	Fast	J Harris	5	1. Laser 2. Jimmysonaroll 3. Westcoastdreamin	5.5L	$2.10

Larjon Loni (9)2213x87583

Trainer: P Bissett 12 mths 9: 1-2-2

Driver: L House

3 yo B C

Sire: CATTLEWASH (USA)

Dam: ARIA J

Stats

Career9: 1-2-2

LTS$9,171.00

BMR1:54.30

TS2: 1-0-1

Win %11.11%

Place %55.56%

Comments

Two back was well beaten into eighth behind Vin Bruiser at Hiawatha over 1609m on May 23 at $5.40. Then a handy effort when beaten by 7 m finishing third behind Philly's Stranger at this track over 1609m in a G on June 10 at $41.20. Capable of a strong showing.

Last Starts 7 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Driver	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/9	10/06/2026	18	$8,595.00	Grand River Raceway	1609m	Fast	L House	1	1. Philly's Stranger 2. Rough Deal 3. Larjon Loni	7.3L	$41.20
8/8	23/05/2026	11	$5,317.00	Hiawatha	1609m	Good	L House	6	1. Vin Bruiser 2. Phosphorus 3. Mountain Dancer	16.0L	$5.40
5/7	12/05/2026	7	$8,180.00	Western Fair Raceway	1609m	Fast	L House	6	1. Skip The Honey 2. Sauble Ambush 3. End Of The Trail	22.8L	$74.80
7/8	05/05/2026	14	$9,714.00	Western Fair Raceway	1609m	Fast	Sa Fillion	2	1. Writeline 2. Red Hot Powerplay 3. Lookup At The Sky	7.3L	$22.55
8/8	21/04/2026	191	$8,568.00	Western Fair Raceway	1609m	Fast	L House	2	1. Twin B Betonit 2. Lookup At The Sky 3. Sun Of A Joe	24.5L	$4.55
3/8	12/10/2025	18	$9,269.00	Flamboro Downs	1609m	Fast	L House	8	1. Sun Of A Joe 2. Bet I Will 3. Larjon Loni	5.3L	$3.80