Richmond Race 11 - Ladbrokes Odds Surge
ASCEND FERN (8) goes very well at the distance with three wins and a placing from eight starts. Comes off a (22.77) win last time, scoring by 9 lengths in a Grade 5 over 401m at this track. Expected to be in the finish. ERINA FLASH (4) finished fourth last time at this track but could not have been more impressive before that in her quick 18.19 win at this track over 320m. Top win two back and rates a key player again. NIRMADA (1) is boxed nicely on the inside. Last start finished 3rd over 401m at this track beaten 7 lengths (23.07) behind Libby Keeping in a Grade 5 on October 26. Suited here and expected to run well. ZIPPING MORTIMER (5) boasts a solid strike-rate over this trip.
Stats
Comments
Finished third last start (23.07) at big odds over 401m at this track. Draws the cherry this time. Worth including.
Last Starts 5 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/8 | 26/10/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.07 | 0:22.58 | 0:22.58 | N/A | 3 | 
 | 7.0L | $23.00 | 
| 4/6 | 22/10/2025 | 6 | GR 4/5 | $2,490.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:22.94 | 0:22.71 | 0:22.60 | N/A | 1 | 
 | 3.3L | $46.00 | 
| 2/7 | 16/10/2025 | 15 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.42 | 0:23.18 | 0:22.88 | N/A | 3 | 
 | 3.5L | $5.00 | 
| 5/5 | 01/10/2025 | 7 | GR 4/5 | $2,490.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.46 | 0:23.04 | 0:22.83 | N/A | 6 | 
 | 6.0L | $11.00 | 
| 3/7 | 24/09/2025 | 13 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.60 | 0:23.30 | 0:22.71 | N/A | 7 | 
 | 4.3L | $5.00 | 
| 7/8 | 11/09/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 320m | 0:19.05 | 0:18.15 | 0:18.15 | N/A | 2 | 
 | 12.8L | $4.80 | 
Stats
Comments
Has finished in the placings at last two, the latest when third (23.19) over 401m at this track. Has a low draw. Looking to others.
Last Starts 5 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/7 | 26/10/2025 | 10 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.19 | 0:23.02 | 0:22.58 | N/A | 3 | 
 | 2.3L | $8.00 | 
| 2/7 | 16/10/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.12 | 0:23.03 | 0:22.88 | N/A | 1 | 
 | 1.3L | $9.50 | 
| 8/8 | 12/10/2025 | 7 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:24.14 | 0:23.03 | 0:22.63 | N/A | 6 | 
 | 15.8L | $20.00 | 
| 3/7 | 05/10/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.30 | 0:22.86 | 0:22.62 | N/A | 3 | 
 | 6.3L | $126.00 | 
| 7/7 | 01/10/2025 | 7 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.48 | 0:22.83 | 0:22.83 | N/A | 1 | 
 | 9.3L | $35.00 | 
| 5/7 | 24/09/2025 | 172 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.66 | 0:23.09 | 0:22.71 | N/A | 5 | 
 | 8.3L | $14.00 | 
Stats
Comments
Won two starts back when well in the market at this track over 320m. Last start finished 4th over 520m at this track beaten 7 lengths (30.28) behind Winsome Storm in a Grade 5 on October 24. Comes through a solid form race. Expected to feature.
Last Starts 7 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/7 | 24/10/2025 | 19 | GR 5 | $3,110.00 | Richmond | 520m | 0:30.28 | 0:29.79 | 0:29.61 | N/A | 2 | 
 | 7.0L | $19.00 | 
| 1/7 | 05/10/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 320m | 0:18.19 | 0:18.19 | 0:17.89 | N/A | 2 | 
 | 2.5L | $1.50 | 
| 2/8 | 01/10/2025 | 3 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 320m | 0:18.33 | 0:18.28 | 0:18.00 | N/A | 2 | 
 | 0.8L | $1.70 | 
| 6/8 | 28/09/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 320m | 0:18.78 | 0:18.45 | 0:18.28 | N/A | 6 | 
 | 4.8L | $6.50 | 
| 4/8 | 24/09/2025 | 3 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 320m | 0:18.57 | 0:18.36 | 0:18.08 | N/A | 3 | 
 | 3.0L | $9.00 | 
| 2/7 | 21/09/2025 | 7 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 320m | 0:18.35 | 0:17.99 | 0:17.94 | N/A | 1 | 
 | 5.3L | $2.20 | 
Stats
Comments
Showed good improvement when third behind She's Intense at this track last start over 401m (23.27). Likely to play a major role.
Last Starts 5 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/7 | 26/10/2025 | 51 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.27 | 0:23.01 | 0:22.58 | N/A | 2 | 
 | 3.8L | $2.80 | 
| 6/8 | 05/09/2025 | 107 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 320m | 0:18.80 | 0:18.24 | 0:18.17 | N/A | 6 | 
 | 8.0L | $3.90 | 
| 6/6 | 21/05/2025 | 5 | GR 5 | $3,110.00 | Richmond | 520m | 0:30.50 | 0:30.08 | 0:29.96 | N/A | 4 | 
 | 6.0L | $2.40 | 
| 2/8 | 16/05/2025 | 6 | GR 5 | $3,110.00 | Richmond | 520m | 0:30.22 | 0:29.81 | 0:29.42 | N/A | 6 | 
 | 5.8L | $4.60 | 
| 0/8 | 10/05/2025 | 15 | GR 5 | $8,900.00 | Wentworth Park | 520m | 0:37.24 | 0:30.31 | 0:29.70 | N/A | 8 | 
 | 99.0L | $3.10 | 
| 3/7 | 25/04/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $3,110.00 | Richmond | 520m | 0:30.25 | 0:29.91 | 0:29.90 | N/A | 7 | 
 | 4.8L | $2.60 | 
Stats
Comments
In the money last time at Gosford (22.51) in a Grade 5, finishing a 5 length third. Has three minors from five starts from box 7. Others rate better this time.
Last Starts 3 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/8 | 28/10/2025 | 6 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Gosford | 388m | 0:22.51 | 0:22.18 | 0:22.06 | N/A | 8 | 
 | 4.8L | $18.00 | 
| 6/7 | 22/10/2025 | 6 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.32 | 0:22.88 | 0:22.60 | N/A | 1 | 
 | 6.3L | $27.00 | 
| 3/7 | 16/10/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 320m | 0:18.67 | 0:18.12 | 0:18.12 | N/A | 4 | 
 | 7.8L | $13.00 | 
| 2/8 | 12/10/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.10 | 0:22.97 | 0:22.63 | N/A | 3 | 
 | 1.8L | $9.50 | 
| 2/8 | 08/10/2025 | 2 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 320m | 0:18.71 | 0:18.24 | 0:18.24 | N/A | 4 | 
 | 6.5L | $7.00 | 
| 4/8 | 06/10/2025 | 3 | GR 4 | $2,490.00 | Richmond Straight | 324m | 0:17.83 | 0:17.36 | 0:17.27 | N/A | 7 | 
 | 6.5L | $31.00 | 
| 3/7 | 03/10/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.27 | 0:22.92 | 0:22.84 | N/A | 2 | 
 | 5.0L | $10.00 | 
Stats
Comments
Won his last two including a strong win last start over 401m at this track by 9 lengths in a Grade 5. Looks well placed to make it three straight.
Last Starts 5 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | 26/10/2025 | 10 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:22.77 | 0:22.77 | 0:22.58 | N/A | 3 | 
 | 9.0L | $1.10 | 
| 1/7 | 16/10/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:22.92 | 0:22.92 | 0:22.88 | N/A | 1 | 
 | 4.3L | $1.60 | 
| 6/8 | 12/10/2025 | 7 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.41 | 0:22.97 | 0:22.63 | N/A | 2 | 
 | 6.3L | $3.50 | 
| 4/7 | 05/10/2025 | 4 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.31 | 0:22.86 | 0:22.62 | N/A | 6 | 
 | 6.3L | $19.00 | 
| 6/7 | 01/10/2025 | 7 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:23.89 | 0:23.04 | 0:22.83 | N/A | 6 | 
 | 12.3L | $2.40 | 
| 1/8 | 24/09/2025 | 5 | GR 5 | $2,310.00 | Richmond | 401m | 0:22.99 | 0:22.99 | 0:22.71 | N/A | 1 | 
 | 4.0L | $2.00 |