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Geelong Race 8 - Grv Vicbred Series Final

ANALYZATION (8) scored by 5.5 lengths last time (25.53) in a Grade 5 H over 460m at this track. Has an unbeaten record from this draw, scoring five times. Looks well placed and should feature. REALITY SURPRISE (5) has a strong winning strike-rate over this journey with five wins and a placing from eight tries. Recorded a head win (25.84) in a Grade 5 H last time at this track. Looks one of the chances. MEPUNGA WHISKEY (7) drew a squeeze box and was game in defeat when a close second, a head from the winner REALITY SURPRISE (25.85) at this track. Overdue and is among the main hopes. MEPUNGA ENVY (2) in the money here last time and looks a top-three prospect again.

Race Time:11:29 AM

Friday, August 21, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:Cloudy

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:460m

Groot Bale (1)3314117333

Trainer: Daniel Gibbons (GREATER GEELONG (C))12 mths 11: 3-0-5

1 yo Black Dog

Sire: BERNARDO (AUS)

Dam: KELSEY BALE (AUS)

Stats

Career11: 3-0-5

Win %27.27%

Place %72.73%

Prize Money$9,150.00

Comments

Form has been solid with minor placings at his last three starts. Last time out finished 3rd over 460m at this track beaten 2 lengths (25.97) behind Reality Surprise in a Grade 5 H on August 14. Capable of playing a big role.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/8	14/08/2026	7	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:25.97	0:25.84	0:25.53	N/A	8	1. Reality Surprise 2. Mepunga Whiskey 3. Groot Bale	1.9L	$9.50
3/8	07/08/2026	7	R/A FIN	$3,360.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.23	0:25.81	0:25.46	N/A	1	1. Gamora Bale 2. Pure Silk 3. Groot Bale	6.3L	$3.10
3/6	31/07/2026	8	RST WIN H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.09	0:26.02	0:26.01	N/A	4	1. Kiwi Fred 2. Pure Silk 3. Groot Bale	1.0L	$5.00
7/7	23/07/2026	7	MX 6/7 FIN	$11,030.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:26.68	0:25.50	0:25.34	N/A	4	1. Kiwi Fred 2. Cruise Commander 3. Gamora Bale	17.0L	$4.60
1/6	16/07/2026	9	MX 6/7 H	$2,930.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:25.55	0:25.55	0:25.38	N/A	2	1. Groot Bale 2. Inga Noah 3. Pygmy Puff	3.7L	$1.20
1/7	07/07/2026	7	GR 7	$2,930.00	Horsham	410m	0:23.26	0:23.26	0:22.91	N/A	2	1. Groot Bale 2. Paw Lonnie 3. Funky Kong	1.0L	$1.30

Mepunga Envy (2)3222113153

Trainer: Jeffrey Britton (ANAKIE)12 mths 15: 5-3-5

2 yo W/BL Dog

Sire: FERNANDO BALE (AUS)

Dam: MEPUNGA ISLA (AUS)

Stats

Career15: 5-3-5

Win %33.33%

Place %86.67%

Prize Money$27,045.00

Comments

Finished third last start (25.93) over 460m at this track. Drawn close to the inside. One of the better hopes.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/8	14/08/2026	7	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:25.93	0:25.53	0:25.53	N/A	6	1. Analyzation 2. Blackpool Winter 3. Mepunga Envy	5.7L	$3.60
5/7	07/08/2026	15	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.08	0:25.62	0:25.46	N/A	2	1. Uncle Stiltskin 2. Kopacki Rit 3. Rivers Meet	6.8L	$2.40
1/8	23/07/2026	12	GR 5	$8,790.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.43	0:29.43	0:29.16	N/A	1	1. Mepunga Envy 2. Oklahoma Bale 3. Holden Bale	5.0L	$1.30
3/8	11/07/2026	10	GR 5 FIN	$18,150.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.33	0:30.21	0:30.00	N/A	3	1. Above Them All 2. Mepunga Spirit 3. Mepunga Envy	1.7L	$5.50
1/7	01/07/2026	16	GR 5 H	$3,340.00	The Meadows	525m	0:29.98	0:29.98	0:29.72	N/A	8	1. Mepunga Envy 2. Sweet Jordie 3. Repeat The Same	2.0L	$3.80
1/7	15/06/2026	8	MX 6/7	$3,430.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.35	0:29.35	0:29.35	N/A	8	1. Mepunga Envy 2. Brave Island 3. Aston Machine	5.5L	$3.00

Blackpool Winter (3)2332137522

Trainer: Alexis Kenyon (GREATER GEELONG (C))12 mths 33: 5-12-6

2 yo BLU Bitch

Sire: BERNARDO (AUS)

Dam: LIGHTNING BLUE (AUS)

Stats

Career33: 5-12-6

Win %15.15%

Place %69.70%

Prize Money$30,070.00

Comments

Has finished in the placings at last two, the latest when second (25.91) at big odds over 460m at this track. Drawn close to the inside. One of the better hopes.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/8	14/08/2026	11	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:25.91	0:25.53	0:25.53	N/A	3	1. Analyzation 2. Blackpool Winter 3. Mepunga Envy	5.4L	$14.00
2/6	03/08/2026	9	GR 4/5	$3,880.00	Sandown	515m	0:30.09	0:30.02	0:29.41	N/A	8	1. Overland Boy 2. Blackpool Winter 3. She's Primed	1.1L	$16.00
5/6	25/07/2026	9	GR 4/5	$9,060.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.42	0:30.08	0:29.71	N/A	3	1. Deadly Cool 2. Paw Zuri 3. She's Primed	4.8L	$34.00
7/8	16/07/2026	6	MX 4/5 FIN	$9,060.00	Sandown	515m	0:30.40	0:29.74	0:29.17	N/A	6	1. Paw Hades 2. Valenzuela 3. Paw Xantippe	9.5L	$71.00
3/8	10/07/2026	13	MX 4/5 H	$3,360.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.12	0:25.63	0:25.59	N/A	1	1. Whiskey Whiskers 2. Doongalla Don 3. Blackpool Winter	7.0L	$7.00
1/8	27/06/2026	7	GR 5	$8,790.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.41	0:30.41	0:29.71	N/A	8	1. Blackpool Winter 2. Petit Cherie 3. Rev Ian	1.3L	$7.00

Star Rebel (4)5515748114

Trainer: Michelle Mallia (GREATER GEELONG (C))12 mths 33: 9-5-5

2 yo BLU Dog

Sire: TOMMY SHELBY (AUS)

Dam: PRINCESS KIWI (AUS)

Stats

Career33: 9-5-5

Win %27.27%

Place %57.58%

Prize Money$22,510.00

Comments

Got back last start and could only manage fourth but before that won by 2.25 lengths at Warrnambool (25.74) beating Zipping Smee in a Grade 5 on August 6. Happy to risk this time.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
4/8	14/08/2026	8	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.12	0:25.84	0:25.53	N/A	5	1. Reality Surprise 2. Mepunga Whiskey 3. Groot Bale	4.0L	$20.00
1/8	06/08/2026	16	GR 5	$2,930.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:25.74	0:25.74	0:25.49	N/A	7	1. Star Rebel 2. Zipping Smee 3. Did So	2.3L	$1.60
1/8	21/07/2026	11	Rank Limit - Grade 5	$1,530.00	Geelong	400m	0:22.57	0:22.57	0:22.38	N/A	4	1. Star Rebel 2. Paw Judd 3. Mandolin Storm	10.9L	$1.80
8/8	10/07/2026	8	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Geelong	400m	0:23.09	0:22.45	0:22.44	N/A	2	1. Prancing Pat 2. Just Believe 3. Navy Davies	9.3L	$5.50
4/8	02/07/2026	11	GR 5	$2,930.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:26.03	0:25.49	0:25.05	N/A	6	1. Inga Johnny 2. Aston Sasha 3. Bindy Blazer	7.6L	$3.20
7/8	21/06/2026	25	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Healesville	300m	0:17.14	0:16.83	0:16.62	N/A	3	1. Electra Opal 2. Agent Susie 3. Dubrow	4.4L	$8.50

Reality Surprise (5)1x25411111

Trainer: Katharine Gorman (BAW BAW (S))12 mths 10: 7-1-0

2 yo Black Dog

Sire: AUSSIE SECRET (AUS)

Dam: WHAT A SURPRISE (AUS)

Stats

Career10: 7-1-0

Win %70.00%

Place %80.00%

Prize Money$14,655.00

Comments

Won his last five in a row including a narrow win last start racing on the pace over 460m at this track by a head in a Grade 5 H. On a hot winning streak and likely to score again.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/8	14/08/2026	12	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:25.84	0:25.84	0:25.53	N/A	7	1. Reality Surprise 2. Mepunga Whiskey 3. Groot Bale	0.2L	$2.30
1/8	02/08/2026	7	R/A FIN	$3,360.00	Sale	435m	0:24.01	0:24.01	0:24.01	N/A	6	1. Reality Surprise 2. Perfect Symphony 3. Commissioner	6.5L	$1.40
1/7	26/07/2026	14	RST WIN H	$2,930.00	Sale	435m	0:24.08	0:24.08	0:24.07	N/A	7	1. Reality Surprise 2. Perfect Symphony 3. Maudie Rose	4.3L	$1.20
1/7	12/07/2026	7	MX 6/7 FIN	$3,360.00	Sale	435m	0:24.35	0:24.35	0:24.15	N/A	4	1. Reality Surprise 2. Lakeview Turbo 3. Aston Tarzan	3.4L	$1.70
1/8	05/07/2026	37	MX 6/7 H	$2,930.00	Sale	435m	0:24.15	0:24.15	0:24.15	N/A	7	1. Reality Surprise 2. Kaliaha's Kaos 3. Merry Myrtle	10.5L	$1.60
4/7	29/05/2026	10	RST WIN	$2,930.00	Traralgon	425m	0:24.33	0:24.20	0:23.78	N/A	7	1. Runway Blue 2. Dr. Axel 3. Dr. Monica	2.0L	$1.70

Mepunga Whiskey (7)1141254822

Trainer: Jeffrey Britton (ANAKIE)12 mths 17: 6-4-0

2 yo BDL Dog

Sire: FERNANDO BALE (AUS)

Dam: MEPUNGA ISLA (AUS)

Stats

Career17: 6-4-0

Win %35.29%

Place %58.82%

Prize Money$24,210.00

Comments

Hit the ground running last time with a strong early split and tried to lead throughout but had to settle for the minors when second (25.85) at this track over 460m. Ran one of the fastest times on the program last start despite finishing in the minors. Pay to follow.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/8	14/08/2026	5	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:25.85	0:25.84	0:25.53	N/A	4	1. Reality Surprise 2. Mepunga Whiskey 3. Groot Bale	0.2L	$4.40
2/6	09/08/2026	10	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Healesville	350m	0:19.41	0:19.26	0:18.85	N/A	7	1. Gold Tag 2. Mepunga Whiskey 3. Santana Boy	2.3L	$2.10
8/8	30/07/2026	7	MX 3/4	$9,060.00	Sandown	515m	0:30.15	0:29.33	0:29.10	N/A	5	1. Like A Rock 2. Flaming Smooth 3. Paw Damon	11.8L	$9.50
4/8	23/07/2026	5	GR 4	$9,060.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.81	0:29.45	0:29.16	N/A	2	1. Flying Ducati 2. Paw Raelia 3. Corban Yaxley	5.1L	$4.00
5/8	18/07/2026	9	SPEC H	$9,060.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.37	0:29.74	0:29.74	N/A	6	1. Wrongly Accused 2. Dramatical 3. Indy Marty	9.0L	$46.00
2/8	09/07/2026	7	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:25.56	0:24.91	0:24.91	N/A	1	1. Black Star Riot 2. Mepunga Whiskey 3. Lamia Nonna Mary	9.3L	$4.00

Analyzation (8)1187121111

Trainer: Ashlee Terry (GREATER GEELONG (C))12 mths 40: 23-4-4

3 yo Black Dog

Sire: BERNARDO (AUS)

Dam: PYROCUMULUS (AUS)

Stats

Career40: 23-4-4

Win %57.50%

Place %77.50%

Prize Money$59,885.00

Comments

Won his last four in a row including a strong win last start over 460m at this track by 5.5 lengths in a Grade 5 H. In sparkling form and can win again.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/8	14/08/2026	21	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:25.53	0:25.53	0:25.53	N/A	7	1. Analyzation 2. Blackpool Winter 3. Mepunga Envy	5.4L	$2.70
1/8	24/07/2026	7	GR 5 FIN	$3,880.00	Bendigo	500m	0:28.14	0:28.14	0:27.61	N/A	1	1. Analyzation 2. Paw Raynor 3. Baby Beets	1.0L	$2.80
1/8	17/07/2026	16	GR 5 H	$3,340.00	Bendigo	500m	0:28.15	0:28.15	0:27.97	N/A	3	1. Analyzation 2. Sweet Love 3. Kris Bar Imogen	5.3L	$1.80
1/7	01/07/2026	6	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Ballarat	450m	0:25.22	0:25.22	0:25.22	N/A	4	1. Analyzation 2. Aston Summit 3. Aston Hercules	1.3L	$9.00
2/8	25/06/2026	5	FFA	$3,360.00	Warrnambool	390m	0:21.93	0:21.81	0:21.81	N/A	1	1. Warren's Ledger 2. Analyzation 3. Moraine Koby	1.7L	$3.40
1/5	20/06/2026	9	GR 5	$1,530.00	Warragul	400m	0:22.82	0:22.82	0:22.75	N/A	7	1. Analyzation 2. Periodical 3. Supreme Queen	1.1L	$1.40

Lochinvar Thor (9)3522254452

Trainer: Adrian Kenyon (LARA)12 mths 25: 4-8-4

2 yo Black Dog

Sire: BERNARDO (AUS)

Dam: LIGHTNING BLUE (AUS)

Stats

Career25: 4-8-4

Win %16.00%

Place %64.00%

Prize Money$15,110.00

Comments

Has been out of the money of late. Could only manage fifth last time out over 460m at this track. Hard to have this time.

Last Starts 0 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/6	20/08/2026	6	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:25.68	0:25.57	0:25.53	N/A	2	1. Paw Nimbus 2. Lochinvar Thor 3. Springer's Boy	1.8L	$1.90
5/8	14/08/2026	9	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.12	0:25.84	0:25.53	N/A	1	1. Reality Surprise 2. Mepunga Whiskey 3. Groot Bale	4.0L	$5.00
4/5	05/08/2026	11	GR 5 H	$3,340.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.83	0:30.58	0:29.93	N/A	1	1. Thorkildsen 2. Baby Beets 3. Xara's Leon	3.8L	$6.50
4/7	25/07/2026	15	GR 5	$8,790.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.61	0:30.12	0:29.71	N/A	6	1. Paw Nimbus 2. Solar Spectrum 3. Assassinator	7.1L	$3.20
5/8	10/07/2026	7	R/A FIN	$3,360.00	Bendigo	425m	0:24.42	0:23.64	0:23.62	N/A	5	1. Canya Talk Now 2. Canya Keep Up 3. Kraken Ripper	11.1L	$4.50
2/8	03/07/2026	8	RST WIN H	$2,930.00	Bendigo	425m	0:23.81	0:23.73	0:23.61	N/A	1	1. Canya Talk Now 2. Lochinvar Thor 3. Rita Paige	1.1L	$2.60
2/8	25/06/2026	7	R/A FIN	$3,360.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:25.45	0:25.45	0:25.41	N/A	2	1. Paw Orenthal 2. Lochinvar Thor 3. Full Bore Donny	0.3L	$1.50

Parumba Jazzman (10)4332244845

Trainer: Graeme Jose (CARDINIA (S))12 mths 69: 8-17-12

3 yo Black Dog

Sire: ASTON RUPEE (AUS)

Dam: DANCING CASSIE (AUS)

Stats

Career69: 8-17-12

Win %11.59%

Place %53.62%

Prize Money$35,900.00

Comments

Has not shown much in recent runs. Could only manage fifth last time out over 460m at this track. Tempted to look elsewhere.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/8	14/08/2026	7	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.18	0:25.53	0:25.53	N/A	5	1. Analyzation 2. Blackpool Winter 3. Mepunga Envy	9.3L	$46.00
4/8	07/08/2026	10	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Traralgon	425m	0:24.27	0:23.94	0:23.94	N/A	6	1. Morning 2. Kuebiko 3. Tommy The Hood	4.8L	$8.50
99/1	02/08/2026	-	Trial	$0.00	Sale	435m	N/A	-	N/A	N/A	5	1. 99-Parumba Jazzman	99L	$0.00
8/8	28/07/2026	7	GR 5 FIN	$9,580.00	Warragul	460m	0:26.59	0:26.21	0:25.92	N/A	7	1. Here Comes Billy 2. Aston Bugsy 3. Elijah Rose	5.5L	$35.00
4/8	21/07/2026	4	GR 5 H	$2,930.00	Warragul	460m	0:26.39	0:26.21	0:26.02	N/A	1	1. Dr. Warren 2. Aston Bugsy 3. Here Comes Billy	2.7L	$17.00
4/8	17/07/2026	7	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Traralgon	425m	0:24.35	0:24.01	0:24.01	N/A	5	1. Here Comes Billy 2. Panther's Way 3. Lakeview Sneaky	5.0L	$16.00
2/8	10/07/2026	10	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Traralgon	425m	0:24.18	0:23.96	0:23.96	N/A	1	1. Paw Quebec 2. Parumba Jazzman 3. Peaky Avenger	3.3L	$4.00
99/1	09/04/2026	-	Trial	$0.00	Warragul	400m	N/A	-	N/A	N/A	1	1. 99-Parumba Jazzman	99L	$0.00