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Dubbo Race 9 - Choices Flooring Dubbo

REAL CHANCE (2) has an impeccable record this course and distance, winning all four starts. Comes off a (18.08) win last time, scoring by 3.5 lengths in a Grade 4/5 over 318m at this track. Expected to go close. PRANCING PAT (1) boasts a consistent overall record including 15 wins from 25 starts, the latest winning (18.13) over 320m at Wagga. Performs well off this draw. Best form too dangerous to ignore. Have to include. IRINKA BRETT (3) goes very well at the distance with two wins and a placing from five starts. Recorded a 0.8 lengths win (29.99) in a Grade 5 last time at Wentworth Park. Can hit the frame with the right run. PAYNE CARGO (6) is in fine form and looks a good top-three chance again.

Race Time:9:49 AM

Saturday, October 10, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:FINE

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:318m

Prancing Pat (1)2231111161

Trainer: Corinna Ellis (COOLAMON)12 mths 25: 15-4-3

2 yo Black Dog

Sire: AUSSIE INFRARED (AUS)

Dam: AURORA BLUE (AUS)

Stats

Career25: 15-4-3

Win %60.00%

Place %88.00%

Prize Money$27,620.00

Comments

Eye-catching performance to score by 2 lengths in a NG last start at Wagga, clocking a hot 18.13 for the 320m trip. In form and looks tough to beat again.

Last Starts 10 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/7	29/09/2026	8	NG	$2,660.00	Wagga	320m	0:18.13	0:18.13	0:18.13	N/A	8	1. Prancing Pat 2. Bronte Lee 3. Tiggerlong Bingo	2.0L	$4.00
6/7	21/09/2026	48	NG	$1,580.00	Dubbo	318m	0:20.62	0:18.45	0:18.24	N/A	6	1. Coco Mac 2. Dottie Keeping 3. Irinka Fred	31.0L	$7.00
1/5	04/08/2026	9	NG	$2,660.00	Wagga	320m	0:18.29	0:18.29	0:18.29	N/A	5	1. Prancing Pat 2. Queen Of Spades 3. King Of Asgard	1.0L	$1.20
1/6	26/07/2026	5	FFA	$2,660.00	Temora	330m	0:18.69	0:18.69	0:18.61	N/A	8	1. Prancing Pat 2. Pigeon's Desire 3. Ding's Sandy	2.8L	$2.10
1/8	21/07/2026	11	NG	$2,660.00	Wagga	320m	0:18.15	0:18.15	0:18.15	N/A	3	1. Prancing Pat 2. Tango Anna 3. Paw Renalla	2.3L	$1.50
1/8	10/07/2026	3	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Geelong	400m	0:22.45	0:22.45	0:22.44	N/A	8	1. Prancing Pat 2. Just Believe 3. Navy Davies	4.5L	$3.10

Real Chance (2)111112311

Trainer: Pamela Braddon (COWRA)12 mths 9: 7-1-1

1 yo Black Dog

Sire: TOMMY SHELBY (AUS)

Dam: CLARE A CHANCE (AUS)

Stats

Career9: 7-1-1

Win %77.78%

Place %100.00%

Prize Money$11,400.00

Comments

Improved two runs back to score then won again last start over 318m at this track (18.08), beating Armatree Pasta. Won at his only start from this draw. Top chance to make it two from two.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/8	03/10/2026	8	GR 4/5	$2,520.00	Dubbo	318m	0:18.08	0:18.08	0:18.08	N/A	1	1. Real Chance 2. Armatree Pasta 3. Cindy's Patch	3.5L	$1.10
1/7	25/09/2026	7	GR 5	$2,340.00	Goulburn	350m	0:19.74	0:19.74	0:19.62	N/A	2	1. Real Chance 2. Lumeah Storm 3. Opawa Akaela	1.8L	$1.20
3/8	18/09/2026	7	GR 4/5	$2,520.00	Goulburn	350m	0:20.00	0:19.70	0:19.70	N/A	8	1. Aussie Blend 2. Magic Fletch 3. Real Chance	4.3L	$1.90
2/7	11/09/2026	6	GR 5	$2,340.00	Goulburn	350m	0:19.65	0:19.47	0:19.47	N/A	7	1. Magic Mania 2. Real Chance 3. Son Of Bianca	2.5L	$2.20
1/8	05/09/2026	9	GR 5	$2,340.00	Dubbo	318m	0:18.01	0:18.01	0:18.01	N/A	6	1. Real Chance 2. Kiando Venom 3. Karinya Shall Be	9.8L	$1.40
1/8	27/08/2026	12	GR 5	$2,640.00	Dubbo	318m	0:18.06	0:18.06	0:18.06	N/A	8	1. Real Chance 2. Kert Kert 3. Alex Keeping	5.0L	$1.60

Irinka Brett (3)5211212451

Trainer: Raymond Smith (FORBES)12 mths 29: 13-7-2

2 yo BLU Dog

Sire: BERNARDO (AUS)

Dam: MISS EZMAE (AUS)

Stats

Career29: 13-7-2

Win %44.83%

Place %75.86%

Prize Money$32,205.00

Comments

Was prominent from the outset and held on well to win at Wentworth Park over 520m in 29.99 last start, beating Princess Ada. The last run is a strong form reference. Follow up.

Last Starts 20 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/8	19/09/2026	6	GR 5	$9,000.00	Wentworth Park	520m	0:29.99	0:29.99	0:29.42	N/A	1	1. Irinka Brett 2. Princess Ada 3. Zipping Hagen	0.8L	$2.30
5/8	13/09/2026	7	NG	$7,600.00	Temora	457m	0:25.81	0:25.58	0:25.58	N/A	1	1. He's A Pearl 2. Promote Tilly 3. Consigliere	3.3L	$31.00
4/8	06/09/2026	5	NG	$3,560.00	Temora	457m	0:25.73	0:25.21	0:25.21	N/A	3	1. Storm Hustler 2. He's A Pearl 3. Indy Melmen	7.5L	$12.00
2/8	01/09/2026	7	NG	$4,560.00	Temora	457m	0:25.63	0:25.62	0:25.62	N/A	8	1. Maximum Damage 2. Irinka Brett 3. Pitstone Nicky	0.1L	$2.30
1/8	25/08/2026	9	NG	$3,560.00	Temora	457m	0:25.94	0:25.94	0:25.94	N/A	3	1. Irinka Brett 2. Jayla Magic 3. Tin Roof Rusty	1.5L	$2.20
2/6	16/08/2026	8	NG	$3,560.00	Temora	457m	0:25.78	0:25.59	0:25.59	N/A	8	1. Master Mcgraw 2. Irinka Brett 3. Tin Roof Rusty	2.5L	$4.20

Amazing Gem (4)4368416117

Trainer: Pamela Braddon (COWRA)12 mths 40: 13-6-3

3 yo Black Bitch

Sire: HARD STYLE RICO (AUS)

Dam: SHE'S A GEM (AUS)

Stats

Career40: 13-6-3

Win %32.50%

Place %55.00%

Prize Money$23,880.00

Comments

Got back last start and could only manage seventh but before that won easily by 3.5 lengths at this track (18.16) beating Hard Style Chick in a Grade 3/4 on September 19. Hard to tip with any confidence.

Last Starts 13 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
7/8	26/09/2026	7	NG	$2,660.00	Dubbo	318m	0:18.84	0:17.97	0:17.97	N/A	4	1. Dottie Keeping 2. Sky Keeping 3. Classic Lass	12.3L	$9.50
1/6	19/09/2026	7	GR 3/4	$2,660.00	Dubbo	318m	0:18.16	0:18.16	0:18.16	N/A	2	1. Amazing Gem 2. Hard Style Chick 3. Cindy's Patch	3.5L	$2.30
1/8	12/09/2026	7	GR 4/5	$2,520.00	Dubbo	318m	0:18.25	0:18.25	0:18.25	N/A	3	1. Amazing Gem 2. Classic Lass 3. Bomb Noah	1.0L	$3.60
6/7	05/09/2026	9	FFA	$2,660.00	Dubbo	318m	0:18.70	0:18.14	0:18.01	N/A	8	1. Dottie Keeping 2. Nates Fury 3. Sky Keeping	8.0L	$13.00
1/8	27/08/2026	12	GR 5	$2,640.00	Dubbo	318m	0:18.24	0:18.24	0:18.06	N/A	2	1. Amazing Gem 2. Slippery Bogan 3. Bronte Beach	3.0L	$2.30
4/6	15/08/2026	7	GR 3/4	$2,660.00	Dubbo	318m	0:18.52	0:18.16	0:18.11	N/A	7	1. Sky Keeping 2. Hope's Treasure 3. Torvi Taro	5.3L	$7.50
99/3	29/05/2026	-	Trial	$0.00	Goulburn	350m	N/A	0:19.76	N/A	N/A	1	1. 99-Magical Gem 2. 99-Amazing Gem 3. 99-Lola Magic	0.29L	$0.00

Shorty (5)3213475521

Trainer: Graham Pickering (COONAMBLE)12 mths 94: 18-16-12

3 yo FWN Dog

Sire: FERNANDO BALE (AUS)

Dam: DISCO DIVA (AUS)

Stats

Career94: 18-16-12

Win %19.15%

Place %48.94%

Prize Money$43,395.00

Comments

Good effort to win last start by 1.5 lengths over 400m at this track in a handy (22.86), beating Total Treasure. Will find this a bit tougher, looks up against it this time.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/6	03/10/2026	2	GR 4/5	$2,520.00	Dubbo	400m	0:22.86	0:22.86	0:22.61	N/A	2	1. Shorty 2. Total Treasure 3. Yathong Tiger	1.5L	$3.70
2/7	01/10/2026	7	GR 4/5	$2,520.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.81	0:19.70	0:19.66	N/A	2	1. Armatree Pasta 2. Shorty 3. Casual Escape	1.5L	$7.50
5/7	24/09/2026	7	NG	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.89	0:19.38	0:19.38	N/A	4	1. Ava's Milo 2. Cookie Man 3. Payne Cargo	7.3L	$34.00
5/5	17/09/2026	7	FFA	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:20.10	0:19.42	0:19.42	N/A	4	1. Cookie Man 2. Ava's Milo 3. Payne Cargo	9.8L	$31.00
7/8	10/09/2026	7	NG	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:20.08	0:19.62	0:19.62	N/A	5	1. Payne Cargo 2. Cookie Man 3. Armatree Violet	6.5L	$27.00
4/7	03/09/2026	5	FFA	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.86	0:19.49	0:19.49	N/A	4	1. Payne Cargo 2. Cookie Man 3. Maybe Yes	5.3L	$26.00

Payne Cargo (6)1122221133

Trainer: Jamie Bush (GUNNEDAH)12 mths 24: 13-5-4

2 yo Black Dog

Sire: FERAL FRANKY (AUS)

Dam: MISS BILLY CARGO (AUS)

Stats

Career24: 13-5-4

Win %54.17%

Place %91.67%

Prize Money$25,495.00

Comments

Has been in the minors the last two, the latest showing strong pace early but gathered in and finished a 1.75 lengths third over 340m Gunnedah in 19.51. Comes out of a hot form race. Worth following up.

Last Starts 15 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/7	24/09/2026	7	NG	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.51	0:19.38	0:19.38	N/A	7	1. Ava's Milo 2. Cookie Man 3. Payne Cargo	1.8L	$2.60
3/5	17/09/2026	7	FFA	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.79	0:19.42	0:19.42	N/A	5	1. Cookie Man 2. Ava's Milo 3. Payne Cargo	5.3L	$1.60
1/8	10/09/2026	7	NG	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.62	0:19.62	0:19.62	N/A	8	1. Payne Cargo 2. Cookie Man 3. Armatree Violet	0.5L	$1.80
1/7	03/09/2026	5	FFA	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.49	0:19.49	0:19.49	N/A	8	1. Payne Cargo 2. Cookie Man 3. Maybe Yes	0.8L	$2.00
2/7	29/08/2026	16	NG	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.61	0:19.56	0:19.56	N/A	7	1. Cookie Man 2. Payne Cargo 3. Armatree Violet	0.8L	$2.30
2/7	13/08/2026	7	GR 3/4	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.71	0:19.67	0:19.47	N/A	8	1. Scootin' Scooby 2. Payne Cargo 3. My Machine	0.8L	$1.50

Armatree Pasta (7)4234311412

Trainer: Graham Pickering (COONAMBLE)12 mths 27: 12-4-5

2 yo FWN Dog

Sire: FERNANDO BALE (AUS)

Dam: ARMATREE'S NINJA (AUS)

Stats

Career27: 12-4-5

Win %44.44%

Place %77.78%

Prize Money$24,270.00

Comments

Big odds last time but gave a huge sight after a fast early split, grabbed late but holding on to a placing when a 3.5 lengths second (18.32) over 318m at this track. Although beaten ran one of the quickest times on the card at the latest appearance. Worth following up.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/8	03/10/2026	2	GR 4/5	$2,520.00	Dubbo	318m	0:18.32	0:18.08	0:18.08	N/A	6	1. Real Chance 2. Armatree Pasta 3. Cindy's Patch	3.5L	$7.50
1/7	01/10/2026	7	GR 4/5	$2,520.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.70	0:19.70	0:19.66	N/A	7	1. Armatree Pasta 2. Shorty 3. Casual Escape	1.5L	$1.50
4/7	24/09/2026	7	NG	$2,660.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.69	0:19.38	0:19.38	N/A	6	1. Ava's Milo 2. Cookie Man 3. Payne Cargo	4.3L	$7.00
1/7	17/09/2026	7	GR 4/5	$2,520.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.67	0:19.67	0:19.42	N/A	8	1. Armatree Pasta 2. Salamat 3. Lektra Bert	1.3L	$1.80
1/8	10/09/2026	7	GR 5	$2,340.00	Gunnedah	340m	0:19.89	0:19.89	0:19.62	N/A	1	1. Armatree Pasta 2. Zipping Jakara 3. Victor Cargo	0.3L	$1.70
3/7	03/09/2026	5	GR 5	$3,240.00	Gunnedah	431m	0:25.59	0:25.31	0:25.04	N/A	8	1. Armatree Judo 2. Mully The Master 3. Armatree Pasta	4.0L	$4.40