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Ballarat Race 5 - Sportsbet Ballarat Cup Ht2

DRAMATICAL (7) has a strong record this trip with six wins and two placings from nine starts. Comes off a (29.57) win last time, scoring by 1.75 lengths in a S/E Group 1 over 525m at The Meadows. Expected to go close. DEAR CARLA LOU (3) is progressing well with another good run last time, placing (29.80) from Box 5 at Sandown. Boasts a strong record from this draw with four wins and two minor placings from seven starts. Winning chance. PAW MATIC (4) recorded a 2.75 lengths win (29.43) in a Grade 5 last time at Sandown. Has already won two times from this draw. Can feature with the right run. ANALYZATION (6) bold run expected on best form.

Race Time:8:41 AM

Monday, March 2, 2026

Track:Good

Weather:Overcast

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:450m

Flying Ducati (1)13221

Trainer: Terrence Erenshaw (Junction Village)12 mths 5: 2-2-1

1 yo Black Dog

Sire: FERNANDO BALE (AUS)

Dam: FLYING UNICORN (AUS)

Stats

Career5: 2-2-1

Win %40.00%

Place %100.00%

Prize Money$6,380.00

Comments

Backs up after winning comfortably by 6 lengths at Warragul (22.17) beating Porangi Moose in a Mix 6/7 on February 24 six days ago. This is much harder assignment and he needs to find another gear.

Last Starts 5 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/8	24/02/2026	7	MX 6/7	$2,930.00	Warragul	400m	0:22.17	0:22.17	0:22.17	N/A	1	1. Flying Ducati 2. Porangi Moose 3. Grand Cassian	6.1L	$1.40
2/7	17/02/2026	6	MX 6/7	$2,930.00	Warragul	400m	0:22.80	0:22.64	0:22.45	N/A	8	1. Reality Surprise 2. Flying Ducati 3. Minter Blinder	2.5L	$1.80
2/6	11/02/2026	31	MX 6/7	$2,930.00	Ballarat	390m	0:22.31	0:22.28	0:21.99	N/A	8	1. Kaelix Jewel 2. Flying Ducati 3. Big Boy Pants	0.5L	$1.60
3/8	11/01/2026	8	MDN FIN	$14,730.00	Sale	435m	0:24.38	0:24.27	0:24.27	N/A	8	1. Dr. Will 2. Storm Hustler 3. Flying Ducati	1.8L	$3.00
1/7	03/01/2026	-	MDN H	$2,540.00	Sale	435m	0:24.17	0:24.17	0:24.10	N/A	3	1. Flying Ducati 2. Dr. Will 3. Hot Milo Rose	2.0L	$1.60

Shima Sand (2)83837x8441

Trainer: Thomas Dailly (Anakie)12 mths 31: 6-2-4

2 yo BDL Dog

Sire: FERAL FRANKY (AUS)

Dam: SHIMA PEARL (AUS)

Stats

Career31: 6-2-4

Win %19.35%

Place %38.71%

Prize Money$23,060.00

Comments

Good effort to win last start by 3.5 lengths over 450m at this track in a handy (25.01), beating Carol Rain. Will find this a bit tougher, others read better.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/8	23/02/2026	12	GR 5	$2,930.00	Ballarat	450m	0:25.01	0:25.01	0:24.94	N/A	8	1. Shima Sand 2. Carol Rain 3. How Amazing	3.3L	$3.30
4/6	11/02/2026	7	GR 5	$2,930.00	Ballarat	450m	0:25.96	0:25.36	0:25.29	N/A	6	1. Paw Cornelius 2. Paw Leon 3. Concrete Kaos	8.6L	$5.50
4/7	04/02/2026	10	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Ballarat	450m	0:25.71	0:25.39	0:25.12	N/A	7	1. Regal Huxley 2. Viking Ruler 3. Paw Leon	5.0L	$18.00
8/8	25/01/2026	218	GR 5	$8,790.00	The Meadows	525m	0:31.59	0:30.10	0:29.91	N/A	4	1. Meatball Molly 2. Our Regards 3. Paw Gaeton	22.3L	$12.00
99/1	19/01/2026	-	Trial	$0.00	Ballarat	450m	N/A	-	N/A	N/A	1	1. 99-Shima Sand	99L	$0.00
7/8	21/06/2025	15	GR 5	$8,790.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.87	0:30.35	0:30.01	N/A	2	1. Wyong Gresham 2. Kensington Flyer 3. Classic Story	8.0L	$4.00
3/7	06/06/2025	10	SPEC H	$3,360.00	Bendigo	425m	0:24.35	0:23.86	0:23.73	N/A	2	1. Happy And Numb 2. I'm Fabulous 3. Shima Sand	7.5L	$2.60

Dear Carla Lou (3)8311131172

Trainer: Kayla Cottrell (Pearcedale)12 mths 30: 17-5-4

2 yo FWN Bitch

Sire: ASTON DEE BEE (AUS)

Dam: CLEO'S NEO (AUS)

Stats

Career30: 17-5-4

Win %56.67%

Place %86.67%

Prize Money$67,565.00

Comments

Charged out of the boxes with a strong early sectional but bumped into one better when runner up (29.80) at Sandown over 515m. Has a very good strike-rate out of box 3, scoring four times. Go close.

Last Starts 3 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/8	26/02/2026	5	GR 4/5	$9,060.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.80	0:29.70	0:29.44	N/A	5	1. Lakeview Lynette 2. Dear Carla Lou 3. General Franky	1.4L	$2.10
7/8	21/02/2026	7	SPEC SF	$9,060.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.42	0:29.72	0:29.72	N/A	2	1. Dramatical 2. Slick Splits 3. Avengement	10.0L	$6.00
1/8	14/02/2026	8	SPEC	$9,060.00	The Meadows	525m	0:29.96	0:29.96	0:29.57	N/A	6	1. Dear Carla Lou 2. West On Sidney 3. Zelda Covilha	0.5L	$5.00
1/7	06/02/2026	6	GR 5	$2,930.00	Bendigo	425m	0:23.47	0:23.47	0:23.47	N/A	6	1. Dear Carla Lou 2. Represent 3. Paw Jasta	5.3L	$1.50
3/8	31/01/2026	5	GR 5	$2,930.00	Geelong	400m	0:22.53	0:22.47	0:22.27	N/A	1	1. Galloping Happy 2. Just Believe 3. Dear Carla Lou	1.0L	$1.40
1/5	26/01/2026	7	GR 5 FIN	$3,360.00	Shepparton	390m	0:22.15	0:22.15	0:22.00	N/A	4	1. Dear Carla Lou 2. Croydon 3. Nancy Devere	1.0L	$2.70

Paw Matic (4)15171f61

Trainer: Correy Grenfell (Anakie)12 mths 8: 4-0-0

1 yo Black Bitch

Sire: AUSSIE INFRARED (AUS)

Dam: ZELZER ALLEN (AUS)

Stats

Career8: 4-0-0

Win %50.00%

Place %50.00%

Prize Money$19,380.00

Comments

Last start winner at Sandown over 515m running a time of 29.43. Has ability and among the chances.

Last Starts 10 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/7	19/02/2026	5	GR 5	$8,790.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.43	0:29.43	0:29.23	N/A	1	1. Paw Matic 2. Layla Nova 3. Fast Knockdown	2.8L	$1.30
6/8	14/02/2026	16	SPEC	$9,060.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.30	0:29.93	0:29.57	N/A	8	1. Avengement 2. Aston Rayner 3. Neo Devere	5.3L	$21.00
0/8	29/01/2026	7	GR 5	$8,790.00	Sandown	515m	0:36.70	0:29.77	0:29.31	N/A	1	1. Gas And Dust 2. Mister Manfredi 3. Hocus Pocus	99.0L	$1.60
1/7	22/01/2026	7	GR 6	$8,790.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.53	0:29.53	0:29.23	N/A	6	1. Paw Matic 2. Paw Phantom 3. Weblec Memphis	2.5L	$1.80
7/8	15/01/2026	7	GR 6	$8,790.00	Sandown	515m	0:30.76	0:29.72	0:29.29	N/A	7	1. Paw Stella 2. Paw Phantom 3. Ivory Inzai	15.8L	$2.30
1/6	08/01/2026	7	MX 6/7	$8,790.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.52	0:29.52	0:29.14	N/A	4	1. Paw Matic 2. Minter's Jet 3. Marshal Lee Rose	1.8L	$1.90

Analyzation (6)2161311345

Trainer: Ashlee Terry (Lara)12 mths 25: 14-2-4

2 yo Black Dog

Sire: BERNARDO (AUS)

Dam: PYROCUMULUS (AUS)

Stats

Career25: 14-2-4

Win %56.00%

Place %80.00%

Prize Money$36,150.00

Comments

Was strongly fancied last time and hit the ground running with a fast early split, giving a sight but fading out of it to finish fifth (25.97) at Geelong over 460m. Expect improvement on the latest effort. Great chance to atone.

Last Starts 23 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/5	06/02/2026	9	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Geelong	460m	0:25.97	0:25.78	0:25.78	N/A	2	1. Paw Qwan 2. Paw Phelps 3. Weblec Joel	2.7L	$2.10
4/8	28/01/2026	7	Group Listed	$22,000.00	Ballarat	450m	0:25.39	0:25.00	0:25.00	N/A	6	1. Ross The Boss 2. Brother Doom 3. Weblec Joel	6.0L	$6.00
3/8	21/01/2026	6	SPEC H	$3,360.00	Ballarat	450m	0:25.94	0:25.38	0:25.02	N/A	5	1. Mepunga Express 2. Brother Doom 3. Analyzation	8.5L	$3.00
1/7	15/01/2026	5	MX 3/4	$3,360.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:25.29	0:25.29	0:25.29	N/A	4	1. Analyzation 2. Paw Tabitha 3. Paw Xena	4.0L	$1.30
1/8	10/01/2026	7	SE	$7,330.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:25.10	0:25.10	0:25.10	N/A	8	1. Analyzation 2. Flash Of Genius 3. Hatari	5.5L	$2.60
3/8	03/01/2026	16	SPEC H	$3,360.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:25.24	0:25.06	0:25.06	N/A	7	1. Sparring 2. Naradhan 3. Analyzation	2.8L	$2.00

Flat Out Freddy (8)2233261381

Trainer: Joshua Formosa (Anakie)12 mths 24: 6-6-6

2 yo BDL Dog

Sire: FERNANDO BALE (AUS)

Dam: IT'S A BABE (AUS)

Stats

Career24: 6-6-6

Win %25.00%

Place %75.00%

Prize Money$42,470.00

Comments

Good effort to win last start by a neck over 525m at The Meadows in a handy (30.13), beating Lamp Post. Will find this a bit tougher, cannot enthuse on this occasion.

Last Starts 11 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/6	18/02/2026	4	GR 4/5	$3,880.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.13	0:30.13	0:29.84	N/A	4	1. Flat Out Freddy 2. Lamp Post 3. Paw Ultra	0.3L	$2.00
8/8	14/02/2026	9	SPEC	$9,060.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.64	0:29.99	0:29.57	N/A	5	1. My Boy Bingo 2. Mepunga Zircon 3. Ascend Ecstatic	9.3L	$11.00
3/6	05/02/2026	7	FFA	$9,060.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.54	0:29.30	0:29.27	N/A	8	1. Giacomo 2. Bebop Jazz 3. Flat Out Freddy	3.5L	$4.00
1/7	29/01/2026	5	GR 4/5	$9,060.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.47	0:29.47	0:29.31	N/A	2	1. Flat Out Freddy 2. Winning Ratio 3. Spicy La Vida	2.4L	$2.90
6/7	24/01/2026	37	NG	$10,500.00	Wentworth Park	520m	0:30.17	0:29.82	0:29.17	N/A	5	1. Wyndra All Heart 2. Late In Winter 3. Texas Bandit	5.0L	$4.00
2/7	18/12/2025	5	GR 5	$8,790.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.49	0:29.47	0:29.24	N/A	4	1. Robinson 2. Flat Out Freddy 3. Doongalla Don	0.2L	$3.60