Ballarat Race 11 - Download The Watchdog App
PAW DAMON (7) improved his time on first attempt this course and distance with a 6 length win in 21.98 here latest. In form and rates on top again. FREE STATE (8) jumped from the inside and boxed on well to finish third last time, beaten 1.5 lengths (22.39) behind Mrs. Winston at this track. Hard to beat again. OCEAN GOLD (4) held her own to the line last start and filled a minor placing, beaten only 1.3 lengths (19.60) behind BLAME KARISSA at Healesville. Leading player again. COLLECTIVE KAOS (1) placed last time and is worth some thought.
Stats
Comments
Finished third last start (23.66) over 400m at Mt Gambier. Boxed the fence this time. Worth including.
Last Starts 3 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/6 | 19/02/2026 | 9 | TG1-4W | $1,010.00 | Mount Gambier | 400m | 0:23.66 | 0:23.30 | 0:23.24 | N/A | 2 |
| 5.3L | $2.40 |
| 4/6 | 10/02/2026 | 5 | Rank Limit - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:22.90 | 0:22.64 | 0:22.43 | N/A | 4 |
| 4.0L | $3.10 |
| 8/8 | 05/02/2026 | 8 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.92 | 0:22.56 | 0:21.93 | N/A | 4 |
| 5.5L | $4.40 |
| 2/8 | 28/01/2026 | 6 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.17 | 0:22.05 | 0:21.90 | N/A | 4 |
| 2.0L | $15.00 |
| 3/8 | 22/01/2026 | 7 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.44 | 0:22.29 | 0:21.94 | N/A | 7 |
| 2.5L | $19.00 |
| 6/8 | 15/01/2026 | 12 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:23.01 | 0:22.49 | 0:22.14 | N/A | 4 |
| 8.0L | $6.00 |
Stats
Comments
Finished fifth (22.71) last start at Warrnambool. Prior to that had recorded three minor placings in a row. Has a low draw but will need the breaks to go her way.
Last Starts 3 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/8 | 19/02/2026 | 3 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.71 | 0:22.26 | 0:21.94 | N/A | 3 |
| 6.8L | $61.00 |
| 2/7 | 16/02/2026 | 4 | T3 GR 7 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.50 | 0:22.34 | 0:22.12 | N/A | 4 |
| 2.5L | $8.50 |
| 2/8 | 12/02/2026 | 5 | T3 GR 7 | $1,530.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:22.52 | 0:22.49 | 0:22.27 | N/A | 7 |
| 0.8L | $4.80 |
| 3/8 | 07/02/2026 | 5 | T3 GR 7 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.57 | 0:22.23 | 0:22.19 | N/A | 3 |
| 4.8L | $5.00 |
| 4/7 | 02/02/2026 | 4 | Bottom Up - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.86 | 0:22.56 | 0:22.17 | N/A | 8 |
| 4.5L | $11.00 |
| 2/7 | 29/01/2026 | 31 | Bottom Up - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:22.73 | 0:22.69 | 0:22.16 | N/A | 4 |
| 0.8L | $6.00 |
Stats
Comments
Backs up after winning by 1.3 lengths at Healesville (19.52) beating Ocean Gold in a Grade 7 on February 17 six days ago. Likely to find this a lot tougher and she needs to find another gear.
Last Starts 5 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | 17/02/2026 | 15 | GR 7 | $2,930.00 | Healesville | 350m | 0:19.52 | 0:19.52 | 0:18.96 | N/A | 8 |
| 1.3L | $4.80 |
| 3/8 | 02/02/2026 | 4 | T3 GR 7 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.69 | 0:22.55 | 0:22.09 | N/A | 4 |
| 2.3L | $8.00 |
| 1/8 | 29/01/2026 | 7 | Bottom Up - Maiden | $1,530.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:22.57 | 0:22.57 | 0:22.16 | N/A | 7 |
| 2.8L | $7.00 |
| 2/8 | 22/01/2026 | 3 | Rank Limit - Maiden | $1,530.00 | Healesville | 300m | 0:17.32 | 0:17.29 | 0:16.93 | N/A | 4 |
| 0.5L | $4.40 |
| 7/7 | 19/01/2026 | 6 | MDN | $2,540.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:23.21 | 0:22.38 | 0:21.67 | N/A | 7 |
| 12.5L | $34.00 |
| 5/8 | 13/01/2026 | 9 | Bottom Up - Maiden | $1,530.00 | Healesville | 300m | 0:17.44 | 0:17.17 | 0:16.67 | N/A | 4 |
| 4.3L | $4.60 |
Stats
Comments
Flew the lids with a fast early split last time, hitting the frame with a 1.3 lengths second (19.60) over 350m at Healesville and making it two placings on end. Has been thereabouts of late and is among the chances.
Last Starts 5 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/7 | 17/02/2026 | 7 | GR 7 | $2,930.00 | Healesville | 350m | 0:19.60 | 0:19.52 | 0:18.96 | N/A | 6 |
| 1.3L | $3.10 |
| 2/8 | 10/02/2026 | 12 | GR 7 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.33 | 0:22.07 | 0:21.97 | N/A | 7 |
| 4.0L | $2.50 |
| 8/8 | 29/01/2026 | 7 | MX 6/7 H | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.77 | 0:21.98 | 0:21.91 | N/A | 1 |
| 11.3L | $20.00 |
| 1/8 | 22/01/2026 | 7 | MDN | $2,540.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.54 | 0:22.54 | 0:21.94 | N/A | 3 |
| 1.3L | $35.00 |
| 7/7 | 15/01/2026 | - | MDN H | $2,540.00 | Warrnambool | 450m | 0:26.64 | 0:25.41 | 0:25.29 | N/A | 1 |
| 18.5L | $35.00 |
Stats
Comments
Surprised two starts back at this track to win by a neck in 22.56, beating Zipping Palmer. Last start finished 4th in a T3 Grade 7 on February 16 over 390m at this track behind Surging beaten 5 lengths (22.65). Happy to risk this time.
Last Starts 6 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/7 | 16/02/2026 | 6 | T3 GR 7 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.65 | 0:22.34 | 0:22.12 | N/A | 8 |
| 4.8L | $15.00 |
| 1/8 | 10/02/2026 | 6 | MDN | $2,540.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.56 | 0:22.56 | 0:21.97 | N/A | 3 |
| 0.3L | $41.00 |
| 4/6 | 04/02/2026 | 12 | MDN | $2,540.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.67 | 0:22.33 | 0:21.90 | N/A | 6 |
| 5.3L | $21.00 |
| 8/8 | 23/01/2026 | - | MDN | $2,540.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.99 | 0:22.25 | 0:21.82 | N/A | 1 |
| 11.3L | $8.00 |
Stats
Comments
Form has been solid with minor placings at her last four starts. Last time out finished 3rd in a Mix 6/7 on February 19 over 390m at Warrnambool behind Paw Reya beaten 3.5 lengths (22.48). Others preferred on this occasion.
Last Starts 3 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/8 | 19/02/2026 | 24 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.48 | 0:22.26 | 0:21.94 | N/A | 7 |
| 3.3L | $19.00 |
| 3/6 | 26/01/2026 | 4 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:22.62 | 0:22.31 | 0:22.00 | N/A | 4 |
| 4.4L | $5.50 |
| 2/8 | 22/01/2026 | 7 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.35 | 0:22.29 | 0:21.94 | N/A | 1 |
| 1.0L | $9.00 |
| 3/8 | 15/01/2026 | 12 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.75 | 0:22.49 | 0:22.14 | N/A | 7 |
| 4.0L | $4.40 |
| 4/8 | 03/01/2026 | 4 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.41 | 0:21.90 | 0:21.90 | N/A | 8 |
| 7.8L | $8.00 |
| 3/7 | 30/12/2025 | 9 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Horsham | 410m | 0:24.00 | 0:23.93 | 0:22.84 | N/A | 3 |
| 1.3L | $4.00 |
Stats
Comments
Dominant winner to score by 6 lengths in a Maiden last start at this track, recording a dynamic 21.98 over the 390m journey. In form and rates on top again.
Last Starts 4 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | 18/02/2026 | 5 | MDN | $2,540.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:21.98 | 0:21.98 | 0:21.81 | N/A | 2 |
| 6.0L | $1.60 |
| 4/6 | 13/02/2026 | 3 | RST WIN | $2,930.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:22.85 | 0:22.48 | 0:22.32 | N/A | 2 |
| 5.4L | $7.50 |
| 2/7 | 10/02/2026 | 39 | MDN | $2,540.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.52 | 0:22.51 | 0:21.97 | N/A | 3 |
| 0.3L | $1.90 |
| 6/7 | 02/01/2026 | - | MDN | $2,540.00 | Geelong | 460m | 0:26.40 | 0:26.09 | 0:25.52 | N/A | 6 |
| 4.8L | $13.00 |
Stats
Comments
Hit the frame latest (22.39) when third at this track in a Grade 7. Still a maiden from this draw but has never missed the frame from two starts. Makes strong appeal.
Last Starts 4 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/7 | 18/02/2026 | 45 | GR 7 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.39 | 0:22.29 | 0:21.81 | N/A | 1 |
| 1.5L | $10.00 |
| 7/7 | 04/01/2026 | 6 | GR 7 | $2,930.00 | Horsham | 410m | 0:24.05 | 0:23.42 | 0:22.90 | N/A | 7 |
| 9.0L | $11.00 |
| 1/8 | 29/12/2025 | 14 | MDN | $2,540.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:22.18 | 0:22.18 | 0:21.95 | N/A | 5 |
| 3.8L | $5.00 |
| 2/8 | 15/12/2025 | 4 | MDN | $2,540.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:22.64 | 0:22.42 | 0:21.99 | N/A | 5 |
| 3.5L | $6.00 |
| 3/8 | 11/12/2025 | 9 | MDN | $2,540.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.63 | 0:22.21 | 0:21.93 | N/A | 8 |
| 6.1L | $7.20 |
| 2/6 | 02/12/2025 | 7 | MDN | $2,540.00 | Horsham | 410m | 0:23.67 | 0:23.64 | 0:22.84 | N/A | 8 |
| 0.8L | $4.00 |