Ballarat Race 4 - Download The Watchdog App
PAW VARNA (5) had the drop on the lead from the rails draw last start but could only manage third, beaten 1.75 lengths (23.05) at Geelong in a T3 Grade 7 over 400m. Yet to score from this box but has never missed the frame in two starts. Top chance in this line up. PAW LARA (2) has been in super consistent form recently with two minors on end before missing the frame latest finishing fourth (22.73) at Shepparton. Better than last start and can bounce back. ACE CHASER (1) finished second (24.26) two back at Bendigo but out of the placings last time when 6th at Shepparton. Goes very well here at the trip finding the frame in each of four starts. The form out of the last run is proven to be strong. Key player if finds best. UNIVERSE (8) can fill a top-three spot.
Stats
Comments
Missed the frame last time but was in the minors two on end prior to that, the most recent when second (24.26) at big odds over 425m at Bendigo. Nicely drawn on the inside but will need to find best.
Last Starts 31 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/8 | 15/01/2026 | 8 | MX 6/7 | $1,530.00 | Shepparton | 450m | 0:26.00 | 0:25.65 | 0:25.63 | N/A | 7 |
| 5.5L | $23.00 |
| 2/8 | 07/01/2026 | 6 | T3 RSTW | $1,530.00 | Bendigo | 425m | 0:24.26 | 0:24.21 | 0:24.07 | N/A | 5 |
| 1.0L | $13.00 |
| 3/8 | 01/01/2026 | 3 | T3 GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Shepparton | 450m | 0:25.89 | 0:25.55 | 0:25.43 | N/A | 5 |
| 5.3L | $12.00 |
| 5/7 | 29/12/2025 | 5 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:23.26 | 0:22.12 | 0:21.95 | N/A | 1 |
| 17.3L | $13.00 |
| 3/8 | 24/12/2025 | 6 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Bendigo | 425m | 0:24.34 | 0:24.19 | 0:24.01 | N/A | 5 |
| 2.0L | $10.30 |
| 2/7 | 18/12/2025 | 3 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.59 | 0:22.28 | 0:21.78 | N/A | 3 |
| 4.8L | $12.00 |
Stats
Comments
Last start finished 4th over 390m at Shepparton beaten 2.25 lengths (22.73) behind Doongalla Adam in a T3 Grade 6 on February 5. Rates highly and looks tough to beat.
Last Starts 10 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/8 | 05/02/2026 | 3 | T3 GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:22.73 | 0:22.60 | 0:22.17 | N/A | 3 |
| 2.3L | $34.00 |
| 3/8 | 02/02/2026 | 4 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.71 | 0:22.44 | 0:22.09 | N/A | 1 |
| 4.0L | $15.00 |
| 3/6 | 29/01/2026 | 3 | Bottom Up - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:23.13 | 0:23.02 | 0:22.16 | N/A | 3 |
| 1.8L | $4.20 |
| 4/8 | 26/01/2026 | 6 | T3 RSTW | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.86 | 0:22.45 | 0:21.93 | N/A | 8 |
| 5.9L | $14.00 |
| 7/8 | 20/01/2026 | 3 | T3 RSTW | $1,530.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:23.42 | 0:23.08 | 0:22.54 | N/A | 4 |
| 4.8L | $35.00 |
| 6/8 | 17/01/2026 | 5 | T3 RSTW | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.93 | 0:22.36 | 0:22.30 | N/A | 3 |
| 8.8L | $12.00 |
Stats
Comments
Has not shown much in recent runs. Could only manage seventh last time out over 390m at this track. This looks too tough.
Last Starts 5 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | 10/02/2026 | 8 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:23.00 | 0:22.49 | 0:21.97 | N/A | 4 |
| 7.8L | $201.00 |
| 8/8 | 02/02/2026 | 14 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:23.03 | 0:22.44 | 0:22.09 | N/A | 7 |
| 9.0L | $61.00 |
| 5/6 | 19/01/2026 | 6 | Rank Limit - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.91 | 0:22.30 | 0:22.09 | N/A | 3 |
| 9.3L | $15.00 |
| 3/8 | 13/01/2026 | 29 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.59 | 0:22.50 | 0:22.16 | N/A | 4 |
| 1.3L | $101.00 |
| 7/8 | 15/12/2025 | 6 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:23.25 | 0:22.92 | 0:22.39 | N/A | 6 |
| 5.0L | $16.00 |
| 8/8 | 09/12/2025 | 7 | Rank Limit - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:23.65 | 0:22.98 | 0:22.74 | N/A | 4 |
| 9.7L | $68.90 |
Stats
Comments
Last start finished fifth in a Rank Limit - Restricted Win on February 10 over 400m at Geelong behind Paw Missy, beaten 5.5 lengths (22.98). Hard to have this time.
Last Starts 5 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/6 | 10/02/2026 | 11 | Rank Limit - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:22.98 | 0:22.64 | 0:22.43 | N/A | 5 |
| 5.3L | $13.00 |
| 2/8 | 30/01/2026 | 200 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Healesville | 300m | 0:16.86 | 0:16.59 | 0:16.59 | N/A | 2 |
| 4.0L | $14.00 |
| 4/8 | 14/07/2025 | 3 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.84 | 0:22.65 | 0:22.42 | N/A | 8 |
| 3.0L | $3.60 |
| 4/8 | 11/07/2025 | 8 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:23.06 | 0:22.89 | 0:22.26 | N/A | 2 |
| 2.4L | $19.00 |
| 1/8 | 03/07/2025 | 3 | T3 GR 7 | $2,930.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:22.77 | 0:22.77 | 0:22.43 | N/A | 5 |
| 1.0L | $8.50 |
| 2/8 | 30/06/2025 | 21 | T3 GR 7 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.86 | 0:22.85 | 0:22.22 | N/A | 8 |
| 0.3L | $3.40 |
| 99/1 | 07/04/2025 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Geelong | 400m | N/A | - | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 99L | $0.00 |
Stats
Comments
In the money last time at Geelong (23.05) in a T3 Grade 7, finishing a 1.75 lengths third. Placed at all two starts from this draw. Leading chance.
Last Starts 6 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/6 | 09/02/2026 | 4 | T3 GR 7 | $1,530.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:23.05 | 0:22.93 | 0:22.77 | N/A | 1 |
| 1.7L | $4.00 |
| 1/7 | 05/02/2026 | 3 | T3 GR 7 | $2,930.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:22.47 | 0:22.47 | 0:22.17 | N/A | 8 |
| 0.8L | $3.70 |
| 2/8 | 02/02/2026 | 5 | T3 GR 7 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.68 | 0:22.55 | 0:22.09 | N/A | 5 |
| 2.3L | $7.50 |
| 3/6 | 28/01/2026 | 6 | T3 GR 7 | $1,530.00 | Bendigo | 425m | 0:24.56 | 0:24.54 | 0:24.07 | N/A | 5 |
| 0.5L | $5.00 |
| 2/7 | 22/01/2026 | 3 | T3 RSTW | $1,530.00 | Warragul | 400m | 0:23.15 | 0:22.95 | 0:22.65 | N/A | 8 |
| 3.0L | $6.00 |
| 2/5 | 19/01/2026 | 4 | Bottom Up - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.75 | 0:22.50 | 0:22.16 | N/A | 3 |
| 3.8L | $2.90 |
Stats
Comments
Has been out of the money of late. Could only manage eighth last time out over 390m at this track. Not going well enough. Needs to lift.
Last Starts 23 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/8 | 23/01/2026 | 4 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.88 | 0:22.24 | 0:21.82 | N/A | 2 |
| 9.8L | $31.00 |
| 4/5 | 19/01/2026 | 15 | Rank Limit - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.72 | 0:22.15 | 0:22.09 | N/A | 8 |
| 8.5L | $10.00 |
| 7/8 | 04/01/2026 | 5 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Horsham | 410m | 0:24.25 | 0:23.36 | 0:22.90 | N/A | 8 |
| 12.7L | $13.00 |
| 2/7 | 30/12/2025 | 7 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Horsham | 410m | 0:23.96 | 0:23.93 | 0:22.84 | N/A | 5 |
| 0.5L | $9.00 |
| 3/8 | 23/12/2025 | 11 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Horsham | 410m | 0:23.60 | 0:23.32 | 0:22.99 | N/A | 7 |
| 4.0L | $15.50 |
| 4/6 | 12/12/2025 | 3 | GR 7 | $1,530.00 | Horsham | 410m | 0:24.11 | 0:23.35 | 0:23.15 | N/A | 6 |
| 11.5L | $3.40 |
Stats
Comments
Returned to racing last start with a poor run finished 6th over 390m at Warrnambool beaten 12 lengths (23.80) behind Whipstick Jordan in a Bottom Up - Restricted Win on January 26. Looking to others this time.
Last Starts 5 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99/1 | 10/02/2026 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Geelong | 400m | N/A | - | N/A | N/A | 8 |
| 99L | $0.00 |
| 6/8 | 26/01/2026 | 74 | Bottom Up - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:23.80 | 0:22.90 | 0:22.25 | N/A | 4 |
| 12.9L | $23.00 |
| 7/8 | 13/11/2025 | 15 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Warragul | 400m | 0:23.69 | 0:23.11 | 0:22.84 | N/A | 5 |
| 8.8L | $12.00 |
| 7/8 | 29/10/2025 | 6 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Sale | 435m | 0:26.11 | 0:24.74 | 0:24.46 | N/A | 8 |
| 20.5L | $12.00 |
| 7/8 | 23/10/2025 | 14 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Warragul | 400m | 0:23.85 | 0:23.08 | 0:22.73 | N/A | 1 |
| 11.8L | $14.00 |
| 8/8 | 09/10/2025 | 9 | GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Warragul | 400m | 0:24.01 | 0:23.03 | 0:22.70 | N/A | 3 |
| 13.9L | $14.20 |
| 8/8 | 30/09/2025 | 6 | GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:23.82 | 0:23.00 | 0:22.70 | N/A | 7 |
| 12.3L | $5.00 |
| 99/1 | 29/04/2025 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Warragul | 400m | N/A | - | N/A | N/A | 8 |
| 99L | $0.00 |
Stats
Comments
Was out of the placings last time but the start prior finished in the minors when third (22.65) over 390m at Shepparton. Tough draw to overcome but is among the better hopes.
Last Starts 3 days since last start
| Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/8 | 12/02/2026 | 7 | T3 GR 6 | $1,530.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:23.07 | 0:22.43 | 0:22.27 | N/A | 3 |
| 9.8L | $4.50 |
| 3/8 | 05/02/2026 | 16 | T3 GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Shepparton | 390m | 0:22.65 | 0:22.36 | 0:22.17 | N/A | 7 |
| 4.5L | $3.20 |
| 6/7 | 20/01/2026 | 8 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Warragul | 460m | 0:26.51 | 0:25.94 | 0:25.82 | N/A | 5 |
| 8.1L | $31.00 |
| 3/8 | 12/01/2026 | 15 | Rank Limit - Restricted Win | $1,530.00 | Geelong | 460m | 0:26.20 | 0:26.06 | 0:26.06 | N/A | 1 |
| 2.0L | $4.20 |
| 8/8 | 28/12/2025 | 19 | GR 6 | $2,930.00 | Sale | 435m | 0:25.57 | 0:24.56 | 0:23.97 | N/A | 7 |
| 15.3L | $5.00 |
| 2/8 | 09/12/2025 | 21 | MX 6/7 | $2,930.00 | Warragul | 460m | 0:26.26 | 0:26.16 | 0:25.78 | N/A | 7 |
| 1.4L | $21.10 |