Ballarat Race 4 - Southern Sheetmetal
JUST BELIEVE (8) has been without a win for a while, the latest jumping from an outside draw when fifth (22.70) at Geelong in a Grade 4/5. Comes out of a solid form race last start. Has ability and is a key runner. UNCLE DAVE (5) goes very well this trip starting 22 times for eight wins and six minors. Placed last time (22.46) at this track in a Grade 5, finishing third and beaten 7 lengths. Can feature in the finish. TORNADO TAHLIA (7) was below best last time at this track (22.69) in a Grade 5, finishing a 10 length sixth. Has three wins already from this draw. Can feature in the finish. PAW CALGARY (4) profiles nicely over this trip.
Stats
Comments
Has not shown much in recent runs. Could only manage eighth last time out over 300m at Healesville. Needs to find a bit more.
Last Starts 3 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8/8 | 11/05/2025 | 49 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Healesville | 300m | 0:17.19 | 0:16.50 | 0:16.50 | N/A | 3 |
| 10.5L | $71.00 |
8/8 | 23/03/2025 | 3 | OPEN | $3,200.00 | Albion Park | 331m | 0:19.98 | 0:18.83 | 0:18.68 | N/A | 8 |
| 16.3L | $20.00 |
4/5 | 20/03/2025 | 25 | Best 8 | $3,200.00 | Ipswich | 288m | 0:17.47 | 0:17.05 | 0:17.04 | N/A | 2 |
| 6.0L | $2.90 |
3/8 | 23/02/2025 | 3 | GR 3/4 | $2,800.00 | Ipswich | 288m | 0:17.11 | 0:16.76 | 0:16.76 | N/A | 7 |
| 5.0L | $3.40 |
1/7 | 20/02/2025 | 2 | GR 3/4 | $2,800.00 | Ipswich | 288m | 0:16.93 | 0:16.93 | 0:16.89 | N/A | 2 |
| 2.5L | $1.70 |
7/8 | 18/02/2025 | 5 | GR 4/5 | $3,400.00 | Ipswich | 431m | 0:25.91 | 0:25.14 | 0:25.08 | N/A | 7 |
| 11.0L | $5.50 |
Stats
Comments
Solid performance to win by 2 lengths at Horsham over 410m (23.49) beating Paw Julia in Grade 5 on May 6. This looks too tough.
Last Starts 8 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1/7 | 06/05/2025 | 11 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Horsham | 410m | 0:23.49 | 0:23.49 | 0:23.11 | N/A | 7 |
| 2.0L | $3.80 |
5/8 | 25/04/2025 | 7 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:23.15 | 0:22.76 | 0:22.51 | N/A | 6 |
| 5.6L | $4.20 |
8/8 | 18/04/2025 | 15 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:23.41 | 0:22.65 | 0:22.26 | N/A | 4 |
| 11.5L | $5.50 |
1/8 | 03/04/2025 | 7 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.19 | 0:22.19 | 0:22.08 | N/A | 1 |
| 1.0L | $2.20 |
3/7 | 27/03/2025 | 10 | GR 5 NP | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.55 | 0:22.46 | 0:21.90 | N/A | 2 |
| 1.5L | $2.80 |
1/8 | 17/03/2025 | 3 | GR 5 | $1,530.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.26 | 0:22.26 | 0:22.23 | N/A | 9 |
| 1.3L | $5.00 |
Stats
Comments
Last couple of starts have been ordinary but she does have good record over this track and distance. Well placed and among the chances here.
Last Starts 8 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/7 | 06/05/2025 | 6 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Horsham | 410m | 0:24.24 | 0:23.57 | 0:23.11 | N/A | 1 |
| 10.3L | $5.50 |
8/8 | 30/04/2025 | 7 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.62 | 0:21.88 | 0:21.87 | N/A | 3 |
| 11.3L | $16.00 |
5/5 | 23/04/2025 | 47 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.51 | 0:22.20 | 0:21.97 | N/A | 6 |
| 4.8L | $6.50 |
2/7 | 07/03/2025 | 8 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Sale | 435m | 0:24.60 | 0:24.39 | 0:17.76 | N/A | 2 |
| 3.3L | $4.20 |
5/8 | 27/02/2025 | 8 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.46 | 0:22.13 | 0:21.95 | N/A | 4 |
| 4.8L | $11.00 |
2/8 | 19/02/2025 | 6 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Bendigo | 425m | 0:24.16 | 0:23.84 | 0:23.72 | N/A | 2 |
| 4.8L | $8.00 |
99/1 | 04/02/2025 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Geelong | 400m | N/A | - | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 99L | $0.00 |
Stats
Comments
Last start finished 3rd over 390m at this track beaten 7 lengths (22.46) behind Cookie Man in a Grade 5 on May 7. Rates highly on best form. Expected to feature.
Last Starts 7 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3/8 | 07/05/2025 | 6 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.46 | 0:21.97 | 0:21.96 | N/A | 5 |
| 7.0L | $8.00 |
3/8 | 01/05/2025 | 4 | GR 4/5 | $3,360.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.32 | 0:22.15 | 0:22.15 | N/A | 6 |
| 2.5L | $7.00 |
4/8 | 27/04/2025 | 4 | GR 4/5 | $3,360.00 | Healesville | 350m | 0:19.61 | 0:19.31 | 0:19.31 | N/A | 7 |
| 4.3L | $9.50 |
5/6 | 23/04/2025 | 10 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.61 | 0:22.07 | 0:21.97 | N/A | 3 |
| 8.3L | $4.80 |
2/8 | 13/04/2025 | 7 | GR 4/5 | $3,360.00 | Sale | 435m | 0:24.34 | 0:24.19 | 0:24.13 | N/A | 2 |
| 2.1L | $9.00 |
2/7 | 06/04/2025 | 10 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Healesville | 350m | 0:19.33 | 0:18.92 | 0:18.92 | N/A | 8 |
| 6.3L | $4.80 |
99/1 | 11/03/2025 | - | Trial | $0.00 | Geelong | 400m | N/A | - | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 99L | $0.00 |
Stats
Comments
At the last start finished 6th on May 7 over 390m at this track behind Cookie Man beaten 10 lengths (22.69) in a Grade 5. Has ability and worth including.
Last Starts 7 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/8 | 07/05/2025 | 6 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.69 | 0:21.97 | 0:21.96 | N/A | 2 |
| 10.3L | $3.80 |
4/8 | 01/05/2025 | 6 | GR 4/5 | $3,360.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.35 | 0:22.15 | 0:22.15 | N/A | 2 |
| 3.0L | $4.20 |
2/8 | 25/04/2025 | 16 | GR 4/5 | $3,360.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:22.65 | 0:22.57 | 0:22.51 | N/A | 7 |
| 1.0L | $6.00 |
3/5 | 09/04/2025 | 6 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 450m | 0:25.57 | 0:25.50 | 0:25.35 | N/A | 5 |
| 1.3L | $2.10 |
3/8 | 03/04/2025 | 6 | GR 5 H | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 450m | 0:25.82 | 0:25.37 | 0:25.23 | N/A | 4 |
| 6.8L | $6.00 |
1/6 | 28/03/2025 | 9 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:22.49 | 0:22.49 | 0:22.26 | N/A | 6 |
| 1.5L | $2.10 |
Stats
Comments
Flew the lids with a fast early split but ran over at the finish when a narrow fifth (22.70) over 400m at Geelong. Goes very well from this draw including four wins. Leading player.
Last Starts 19 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Ran | Win | BON | A1s | Box | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/8 | 25/04/2025 | 8 | GR 4/5 | $3,360.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:22.70 | 0:22.57 | 0:22.51 | N/A | 8 |
| 1.8L | $6.00 |
4/8 | 17/04/2025 | 7 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.23 | 0:22.16 | 0:21.99 | N/A | 8 |
| 1.0L | $2.00 |
4/8 | 10/04/2025 | 13 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Warrnambool | 390m | 0:22.20 | 0:21.99 | 0:21.90 | N/A | 5 |
| 3.3L | $4.80 |
1/7 | 28/03/2025 | 8 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Geelong | 400m | 0:22.50 | 0:22.50 | 0:22.26 | N/A | 8 |
| 3.0L | $10.00 |
3/7 | 20/03/2025 | 8 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.43 | 0:22.17 | 0:21.92 | N/A | 2 |
| 4.0L | $4.00 |
3/6 | 12/03/2025 | 8 | GR 5 | $2,930.00 | Ballarat | 390m | 0:22.32 | 0:22.04 | 0:21.96 | N/A | 4 |
| 3.9L | $8.00 |