Saratoga Race 11 - Belmont Oaks Invitational S. Stakes
NITROGEN (7) has scored at her last five starts, most recently by 17 lengths over 1609m in the G3 Wonder Again Stakes at this track (Dirt) as favourite. That continued the very strong form this campaign, with four wins from four outings. Top chance again. MAY DAY READY (6) went forward and gave a great sight before finishing third when resuming last time out over 1609m in the G3 Wonder Again Stakes at this track (Dirt). Taking on a better field but she is up to the task. FIONN (5) scored at her most recent appearance, getting home by half a length over 1811m in the G3 Regret Stakes at Churchill Downs (Turf). That continued the very strong form this campaign, with four wins from five outings. Solid top-three chance. TOTALLY JUSTIFIED (3) held on well to finish second last time out over 1811m in the G3 Regret Stakes at Churchill Downs (Turf) after leading for much of the way. Strong top-three prospect.

Jockey: Manuel Franco
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 9 at Aqueduct in LR on May 10 over 1207m, 0.9 len behind Love Cervere carrying 53.5kg at $8.50. Second run from a spell won by a 0.3 len at Delaware Park June 13 over 1710m defeating Notable Exchange carrying 54.5kg at $1.70.
Last Starts 23 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1/10 | 13/06/2025 | 34 | Allowance Optional Claiming | $46,000.00 | Delaware Park | 1709m | Firm | Samuel Marin | 54.5kg | 1725.40. | 3-5-6-7-8 | 2 |
| 0.25L | $1.70 |
5/9 | 10/05/2025 | 323 | Stakes | $150,000.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | Good | Manuel Franco | 53.5kg | 1170.50. | 2-7-8-7 | 11 |
| 0.85L | $8.50 |
1/9 | 21/06/2024 | - | MDN F 2 | $135,952.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1207m | FM | Manuel Franco | 54kg | 1:09.78 | 6-1-1 | 9 |
| 2.3L | $6.80 |

Jockey: Joel Rosario
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Back from a spell. Finished off last preparation second of 7 at Aqueduct in the LR April 27 over 1609m, a 0.3 lengths behind Laurelin carrying 55.5kg at $5.10. When resuming last campaign fourth of 11 at Tampa Bay Downs in the G3 Florida Oaks March 8 over 1710m, 5 len behind Nitrogen with 55kg at $6.10.
Last Starts 70 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2/7 | 27/04/2025 | 50 | Stakes | $150,000.00 | Aqueduct | 1609m | Good | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | 55.5kg | 1644.40. | 2-1-1-1-2 | 5 |
| 0.25L | $5.10 |
4/11 | 08/03/2025 | 139 | Stakes | $200,000.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1709m | Firm | Flavien Prat | 55kg | 1673.40. | 2-2-2-2-3 | 7 |
| 5.25L | $6.10 |
1/5 | 20/10/2024 | 49 | Stakes | $150,000.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1709m | Firm | Flavien Prat | 54.5kg | 1697.10. | 3-4-4-3-1 | 3 |
| 0.05L | $1.75 |
1/10 | 01/09/2024 | 35 | Maiden Special Weight | $100,000.00 | Saratoga | 1709m | Firm | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | 54kg | 1736.10. | 6-3-4-3-1 | 9 |
| 0.5L | $2.55 |
4/10 | 28/07/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $100,000.00 | Saratoga | 1709m | Firm | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | 54kg | 1735.10. | 6-6-6-4-2 | 3 |
| 1.15L | $1.70 |

Jockey: Luis Saez
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 5th of 7 at Keeneland in the G2 Appalachian Stakes on April 8 over 1609m, 7 len behind Nitrogen with 53.5kg at $5.90. Second-up tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 2nd of 9 at Churchill Downs in the G3 Regret Stakes on May 31 over 1811m, 0.5 len behind Fionn carrying 53.5kg at $5.49.
Last Starts 36 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2/9 | 31/05/2025 | 53 | Stakes | $275,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1810m | Firm | Luis Saez | 53.5kg | 1788.10. | 1-3-3-2-1 | 6 |
| 0.5L | $5.49 |
5/7 | 08/04/2025 | 158 | Stakes | $500,000.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | Good | Luis Saez | 53.5kg | 1616.40. | 4-2-2-2-5 | 6 |
| 7.75L | $5.90 |
8/14 | 01/11/2024 | 28 | Stakes | $1,000,000.00 | Del Mar | 1609m | Firm | Manuel Franco | 55.5kg | 1571.20. | 5-8-8-9-8 | 5 |
| 5.6L | $48.00 |
2/11 | 04/10/2024 | 37 | Stakes | $350,000.00 | Keeneland | 1709m | Firm | Manuel Franco | 54.5kg | 1735.0. | 4-2-3-3-1 | 9 |
| 0.05L | $6.69 |
1/8 | 28/08/2024 | 30 | Stakes | $150,000.00 | Saratoga | 1709m | Firm | Manuel Franco | 53.5kg | 1731.10. | 3-2-2-2-1 | 7 |
| 0.5L | $7.30 |
3/11 | 29/07/2024 | 31 | Maiden Special Weight | $71,000.00 | Ellis Park | 1609m | Muddy | Tyler Gaffalione | 54kg | 1650.0. | 3-5-6-6-3 | 7 |
| 3.5L | $3.23 |
4/11 | 28/06/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $120,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1207m | Fast | Francisco Arrieta | 54kg | 1181.40. | 6-5-5-3 | 1 |
| 2.05L | $14.43 |

Jockey: Irad Ortiz, Jr.
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Resuming. Finished off last campaign 3rd of 7 at Aqueduct in LR on April 27 over 1609m, 1.75 len behind Laurelin with 53.5kg at $2.40. Won previous preparation first up won by 0.5 len at this track July 21 over 1710m defeating Running Away carrying 54kg at $5.60.
Last Starts 70 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3/7 | 27/04/2025 | 177 | Stakes | $150,000.00 | Aqueduct | 1609m | Good | Flavien Prat | 53.5kg | 1644.40. | 7-7-7-5-4 | 9 |
| 1.75L | $2.40 |
13/14 | 01/11/2024 | 26 | Stakes | $1,000,000.00 | Del Mar | 1609m | Firm | Flavien Prat | 55.5kg | 1571.20. | 13-11-12-13-14 | 6 |
| 9.6L | $19.60 |
2/12 | 06/10/2024 | 39 | Stakes | $200,000.00 | Belmont At The Big A | 1709m | Firm | Flavien Prat | 54.5kg | 1711.20. | 11-11-11-10-4 | 3 |
| 2.5L | $3.35 |
2/8 | 28/08/2024 | 38 | Stakes | $150,000.00 | Saratoga | 1709m | Firm | Flavien Prat | 55.5kg | 1731.10. | 5-5-5-5-2 | 2 |
| 0.5L | $1.80 |
1/10 | 21/07/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $100,000.00 | Saratoga | 1709m | Firm | Flavien Prat | 54kg | 1738.40. | 7-8-9-9-8 | 1 |
| 0.5L | $5.60 |

Jockey: Flavien Prat
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Most recently won by 0.5 len at Churchill Downs G3 Regret Stakes May 31 over 1811m defeating Totally Justified with 53.5kg at $5.04. Before that 3rd of 7 at Keeneland in the G2 Appalachian Stakes on April 8 over 1609m, 3.5 len behind Nitrogen with 53.5kg at $9.20.
Last Starts 36 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1/9 | 31/05/2025 | 53 | Stakes | $275,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1810m | Firm | Florent Geroux | 53.5kg | 1788.10. | 7-8-9-9-4 | 8 |
| 0.5L | $5.04 |
3/7 | 08/04/2025 | 31 | Stakes | $500,000.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | Good | Luan Machado | 53.5kg | 1616.40. | 5-7-7-6-6 | 3 |
| 3.5L | $9.20 |
1/6 | 08/03/2025 | 29 | Stakes | $100,000.00 | Fair Grounds | 1709m | Good | Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. | 53.5kg | 1801.30. | 6-6-6-6-3 | 6 |
| 1.25L | $2.70 |
1/7 | 07/02/2025 | 53 | Allowance Optional Claiming | $59,000.00 | Fair Grounds | 1709m | Firm | Florent Geroux | 54kg | 1791.20. | 6-6-5-5-3 | 6 |
| 1.5L | $1.60 |
1/6 | 16/12/2024 | 81 | Maiden Special Weight | $58,000.00 | Fair Grounds | 1709m | Firm | Florent Geroux | 54.5kg | 1836.40. | 5-5-5-5-1 | 6 |
| 4.25L | $2.00 |
2/10 | 26/09/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $43,520.00 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | 1609m | Good | Fernando De La Cruz | 54.5kg | 1635.0. | 10-9-9-8-5 | 9 |
| 1.5L | $7.50 |

Jockey: Lanfranco Dettori
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
Second run back. First-up after six months ran last in a small field at this track in the G3 Wonder Again Stakes on June 7 over 1609m, 25 len behind Nitrogen carrying 56kg at $3.10. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at Kentucky LR September 8 over 1609m defeating Bellavinino carrying 54.5kg at $5.58.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3/3 | 07/06/2025 | 181 | Stakes | $300,000.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | Sloppy | Lanfranco Dettori | 56kg | 1602.40. | 3-3-3-3-3 | 2 |
| 25.5L | $3.10 |
13/18 | 08/12/2024 | 37 | G1 OPEN F 2 | $1,284,470.00 | Kyoto | 1600m | Good | Lanfranco Dettori | 55kg | 1:33.40 | 5-6-13 | 17 |
| 8.5L | $9.20 |
2/14 | 01/11/2024 | 28 | Stakes | $1,000,000.00 | Del Mar | 1609m | Firm | Lanfranco Dettori | 55.5kg | 1571.20. | 10-12-11-8-5 | 12 |
| 1.5L | $14.90 |
1/11 | 04/10/2024 | 26 | Stakes | $350,000.00 | Keeneland | 1709m | Firm | Lanfranco Dettori | 54.5kg | 1735.0. | 10-8-8-7-3 | 8 |
| 0.05L | $5.40 |
1/12 | 08/09/2024 | 35 | Stakes | $1,000,000.00 | Kentucky Downs | 1609m | Firm | Lanfranco Dettori | 54.5kg | 1589.20. | 8-6-6-5-3 | 6 |
| 1.75L | $5.58 |
1/10 | 04/08/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $100,000.00 | Saratoga | 1709m | Good | Lanfranco Dettori | 54kg | 1772.30. | 9-9-9-3-1 | 8 |
| 0.05L | $26.75 |

Jockey: Jose Ortiz
Weight: 55kgs
Stats
Comments
On a five run winning streak. Most recently won by 17 len at this track G3 Wonder Again Stakes June 7 over 1609m defeating Bessie Abott carrying 56kg at $1.40. The run before that scored a big 3.5 len win at Churchill Downs G2 Edgewood Stakes May 2 over 1710m defeating Lush Lips with 54.5kg at $1.97.
Last Starts 29 days since last start
Place | Date | Days | Class | Prize | Track | Dist. | Cnd. | Jockey | Weight | Race Time | In Run | Gate | Result | Margin | Starting Price |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1/3 | 07/06/2025 | 36 | Stakes | $300,000.00 | Saratoga | 1609m | Sloppy | Jose L. Ortiz | 56kg | 1602.40. | 2-2-2-1-1 | 6 |
| 17L | $1.40 |
1/7 | 02/05/2025 | 24 | Stakes | $600,000.00 | Churchill Downs | 1709m | Firm | Jose L. Ortiz | 54.5kg | 1693.0. | 5-3-3-3-1 | 5 |
| 3.5L | $1.97 |
1/7 | 08/04/2025 | 31 | Stakes | $500,000.00 | Keeneland | 1609m | Good | Jose L. Ortiz | 53.5kg | 1616.40. | 3-5-5-4-1 | 1 |
| 2.25L | $2.20 |
1/11 | 08/03/2025 | 63 | Stakes | $200,000.00 | Tampa Bay Downs | 1709m | Firm | Jose L. Ortiz | 55kg | 1673.40. | 4-3-3-3-2 | 9 |
| 0.5L | $2.50 |
1/10 | 04/01/2025 | 64 | Stakes | $165,000.00 | Gulfstream Park | 1609m | Firm | Jose L. Ortiz | 54.5kg | 1575.30. | 9-5-5-6-6 | 10 |
| 0.5L | $2.80 |
3/14 | 01/11/2024 | 48 | Stakes | $1,000,000.00 | Del Mar | 1609m | Firm | Jose L. Ortiz | 55.5kg | 1571.20. | 12-9-10-12-11 | 2 |
| 2.5L | $50.60 |
3/11 | 14/09/2024 | - | Stakes | $500,000.00 | Woodbine | 1609m | Firm | John R. Velazquez | 55kg | 1566.30. | 5-1-1-1-1 | 3 |
| 0.75L | $42.35 |
2/6 | 30/08/2024 | - | Maiden Special Weight | $111,300.00 | Woodbine | 1609m | Firm | Sahin Civaci | 54kg | 1651.50. | 4-4-4-2-2 | 5 |
| 0.25L | $1.70 |