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Aqueduct Race 10 - Fort Marcy S. Stakes

KAY ARMY (1) Back after spell of 58 weeks. Was rock solid when winning by a margin of nearly 7L last start at Valparaiso and has drawn the rails. Warrants a bet. DETERMINISTIC (3) Ran a solid race on the speed before weakening to finish 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last time at Keeneland and proven runner at this trip. Should be competitive in this race at a bit of odds. CARSON'S RUN (4) Back after a break. Got going late when 5th last time at Del Mar. Dylan Davis has been successful before. Possesses very good finishing speed. Can figure in the finish. MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT (6) Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last run around here. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Jockey Jaime Rodriguez is highly regarded. Include in chances.

Race Time:9:24 PM

Saturday, May 3, 2025

Track:Firm

Weather:Overcast

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:1811m

Kay Army (1)1111111x1x

Trainer: William I Mott (USA)12 mths 10: 10-0-0

Jockey: Jose Lezcano

Weight: 54.5kgs

4 yo Chestnut H

Sire: KATMAI (CHI)

Dam: SOVIET ARMY (ARG)

Dam's Sire: Pure Prize

Stats

Prize Money$625,151.00

Avg $$62,515.10

Win %100.00%

Place %100.00%

Career10: 10-0-0

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 2-0-0

2nd Up1: 1-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Back from a long spell. Only had one start last preparation favourite; scored a big 6 len win at Valparaiso Sporting Club G1 El Derby March 17 2024 over 2400m defeating Wentrue with 57kg at $2.40. Won previous preparation first up favourite; won by 6 len at Club Hipico De Santiago March 17 2023 over 1300m defeating Ngannu carrying 57kg at $4.10.

Last Starts 418 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
1/11	17/03/2024	106	G1 STK 3	$163,256.00	Valparaiso	2400m	FM	Oscar Alejandro Ulloa Perez	57kg	2:25.10	-	9	1. Kay Army 2. Wentrue 3. Daktari	6.3L	$2.40
1/16	02/12/2023	36	G1 STK	$251,557.00	Hipodromo Chile	2200m	FM	Oscar Alejandro Ulloa Perez	57kg	2:15.41	-	6	1. Kay Army 2. Shark 3. Giancarlo	6.0L	$3.00
1/8	27/10/2023	26	G1 STK CF 3	$200,748.00	Santiago	2400m	FM	Oscar Alejandro Ulloa Perez	57kg	2:29.46	-	4	1. Kay Army 2. Toque Y Despegue 3. Frateli La Vita	1.5L	$2.20
1/8	01/10/2023	56	G1 STK CF 3	$82,808.00	Santiago	2000m	FM	Oscar Alejandro Ulloa Perez	57kg	1:59.29	-	7	1. Kay Army 2. Frateli La Vita 3. Ionosfera	3.5L	$2.20
1/9	06/08/2023	42	G1 STK C 3	$70,117.00	Santiago	1700m	FM	Oscar Alejandro Ulloa Perez	57kg	1:40.18	-	6	1. Kay Army 2. Lottar 3. Frateli La Vita	5.3L	$2.10
1/9	25/06/2023	23	G1 STK C 2	$46,834.00	Santiago	1600m	Fast	Oscar Alejandro Ulloa Perez	57kg	1:37.23	-	6	1. Kay Army 2. Lottar 3. Referendum Joke	7.0L	$2.20
0/0	18/03/2023	-		$0.00	Santiago	1300m		J Medina	56.5kg	-	-	12		-	$0.00

Master Piece (2)0x31x4539x

Trainer: Richard E Dutrow (Levin)12 mths 33: 8-4-5

Jockey: Eric Cancel

Weight: 55.5kgs

8 yo Grey/Roan H

Sire: MASTERCRAFTSMAN (IRE)

Dam: TORRE LAGUNA (CHI)

Dam's Sire: Proud Citizen

Stats

Prize Money$1,318,457.00

Avg $$39,953.24

Win %24.24%

Place %51.52%

Career33: 8-4-5

Track3: 2-0-0

Distance7: 4-0-0

Tr / Dist1: 1-0-0

1st Up10: 2-1-1

2nd Up6: 2-0-1

Firm9: 1-0-0

Good3: 1-0-1

Soft1: 0-1-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic1: 0-0-0

Comments

Entire returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign when last of 9 at this track in the G2 Red Smith Stakes November 9 over 2213m, 18 len behind Integration with 57kg at $6. When resuming last campaign fourth of 9 at Del Mar in the G2 Eddie Read Stakes July 28 over 1811m, 3.5 len behind Johannes carrying 56kg at $5.90.

Last Starts 181 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
9/9	09/11/2024	42	G2 OPEN 3U	$456,621.00	Belmont At The Big A	2213m	FM	Jose Lezcano	57kg	2:13.28	3-9-9	8	1. Integration 2. Limited Liability 3. Rebel Red	18.3L	$6.00
3/11	28/09/2024	28	G2 OPEN 3U	$1,102,941.00	Santa Anita Park	2012m	FM	J J Hernandez	57kg	2:01.26	3-4-3	4	1. Cabo Spirit 2. There Goes Harvard 3. Master Piece	1.1L	$9.30
5/6	31/08/2024	34	G2 OPEN 3U	$460,829.00	Del Mar	2213m	FM	J J Hernandez	55.5kg	2:17.05	2-2-5	4	1. Gold Phoenix 2. Dicey Mo Chara 3. Balnikhov	1.5L	$3.50
4/9	28/07/2024	85	G2 OPEN 3U	$375,940.00	Del Mar	1811m	FM	Dylan Davis	56kg	1:47.88	7-4-4	2	1. Johannes 2. Dicey Mo Chara 3. Balnikhov	3.5L	$5.90
1/5	04/05/2024	28	G2 OPEN 4U	$305,810.00	Belmont At The Big A	1811m	FM	Dylan Davis	55.5kg	1:48.68	3-1-1	1	1. Master Piece 2. Ottoman Fleet 3. Pioneering Spirit	0.3L	$3.50
3/7	06/04/2024	70	ALLOW 4U	$215,054.00	Keeneland	1710m	Good	I Ortiz Jr	56kg	1:42.96	1-6-3	4	1. Running Bee 2. Dominican Pioneer 3. Master Piece	2.0L	$3.22
12/12	27/01/2024	-	Stakes	$1,000,000.00	Gulfstream Park	1810m	Firm	Jose Lezcano	56kg	1740.50.	8-11-10-10-12	8	1. Warm Heart 2. I'm Very Busy 3. Catnip	6.1L	$22.20
1/11	11/11/2023	-	Stakes	$300,000.00	Aqueduct	2212m	Firm	Jose Lezcano	55.5kg	2242.40.	4-6-5-5-4	12	1. Master Piece 2. Soldier Rising 3. Verstappen	-0.25L	$11.80
10/11	12/08/2023	-	Stakes	$1,000,000.00	Colonial Downs	2011m	Firm	Jose Lezcano	56kg	1969.50.	4-4-4-3-8	6	1. Set Piece 2. Santin 3. Adhamo	10.1L	$8.20
2/6	04/07/2023	-	Allowance Optional Claiming	$105,000.00	Belmont Park Usa	1709m	Yielding	Irad Ortiz, Jr.	53.5kg	1751.30.	5-6-6-5-5	5	1. Portfolio Company 2. Master Piece 3. Safe Conduct	2.25L	$2.50
3/8	01/04/2023	-	Stakes	$200,000.00	Gulfstream Park	2414m	Firm	Jose L. Ortiz	55.5kg	2487.0.	4-4-3-1-1	3	1. Therapist 2. Bay Street Money 3. Master Piece	1.75L	$2.10

Deterministic (3)18523121x2

Trainer: Christophe Clement (USA)12 mths 10: 4-3-1

Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche

Weight: 56kgs

4 yo Dark Bay/Brown H

Sire: LIAM'S MAP (USA)

Dam: GIULIO'S JEWEL (USA)

Dam's Sire: Speightstown

Stats

Prize Money$1,362,136.00

Avg $$136,213.60

Win %40.00%

Place %80.00%

Career10: 4-3-1

Track3: 1-2-0

Distance2: 2-0-0

Tr / Dist3: 1-0-0

1st Up3: 2-1-0

2nd Up1: 0-0-0

Firm3: 2-1-0

Good1: 0-0-1

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd in a small field at Keeneland on April 6 over 1811m, 1.75 len behind Money Supply with 56kg at $3.50. Previously second-up 8th of 12 at this track in the G2 Wood Memorial on April 6 2024 over 1811m, 17 len behind Resilience carrying 56kg at $1.90.

Last Starts 33 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/6	06/04/2025	148	ALLOW 4U	$239,617.00	Keeneland	1811m	SP	Joel Rosario	56kg	1:51.39	3-1-2	2	1. Money Supply 2. Deterministic 3. Lagynos	1.8L	$3.50
1/7	09/11/2024	35	G3 OPEN 3	$304,414.00	Belmont At The Big A	1811m	FM	Joel Rosario	56kg	1:46.58	2-1-1	3	1. Deterministic 2. Cugino 3. Royal Majesty	1.0L	$2.75
2/6	05/10/2024	28	G3 OPEN 3	$722,543.00	Belmont At The Big A	2213m	FM	Joel Rosario	55.5kg	2:14.22	2-3-2	5	1. Carson's Run 2. Deterministic 3. El Rezeen	0.8L	$4.00
1/9	07/09/2024	27	G3 OPEN 3	$735,294.00	Colonial Downs	1811m	FM	Manuel Franco	56kg	1:47.76	3-5-1	2	1. Deterministic 2. Grand Mo The First 3. Desvio	0.3L	$2.00
3/6	11/08/2024	43	G1 OPEN 3	$921,659.00	Saratoga	1911m	Good	Joel Rosario	55.5kg	1:55.81	4-5-3	6	1. Carson's Run 2. Legend Of Time 3. Deterministic	1.5L	$3.70
2/5	29/06/2024	49	G3 OPEN 3	$377,644.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	FM	Dylan Davis	55.5kg	1:36.27	2-3-2	5	1. Neat 2. Deterministic 3. Move To Gold	0.8L	$2.85
8/12	06/04/2024	-	Stakes	$750,000.00	Aqueduct	1810m	Fast	Joel Rosario	56kg	1838.0.	8-4-4-6-8	4	1. Resilience 2. Society Man 3. Protective	17.75L	$1.90
1/11	02/03/2024	-	Stakes	$300,000.00	Aqueduct	1609m	Sloppy	Joel Rosario	53.5kg	1606.10.	9-5-4-3-3	3	1. Deterministic 2. Just A Touch 3. El Grande O	-2L	$4.90
1/8	12/08/2023	-	Maiden Special Weight	$136,500.00	Saratoga	1408m	Fast	Joel Rosario	54kg	1403.0.	8-6-6-3	5	1. Deterministic 2. Hurricane Nelson 3. Eliminate	-0.5L	$4.55

Carson's Run (4)19x511215x

Trainer: Christophe Clement (USA)12 mths 10: 5-2-0

Jockey: Dylan Davis

Weight: 56kgs

4 yo Chestnut H

Sire: CUPID (USA)

Dam: HOT N HECTIC (USA)

Dam's Sire: Henny Hughes

Stats

Prize Money$2,400,199.00

Avg $$240,019.90

Win %50.00%

Place %70.00%

Career10: 5-2-0

Track2: 1-0-0

Distance1: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist0: 0-0-0

1st Up2: 1-0-0

2nd Up2: 1-1-0

Firm7: 3-1-0

Good3: 2-1-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Entire returning from a spell and has won previously when first up. Finished off last campaign fifth of 11 at Del Mar in the G1 Hollywood Derby November 30 over 1811m, 3.5 len behind Formidable Man carrying 55.5kg at $3.60. When resuming last campaign fifth of 7 at this track in the LR April 27 2024 over 1609m, 5 len behind Good Lord Lorrie carrying 55.5kg at $1.95.

Last Starts 160 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
5/11	30/11/2024	56	G1 OPEN 3	$456,621.00	Del Mar	1811m	FM	Dylan Davis	55.5kg	1:48.40	9-7-5	3	1. Formidable Man 2. King Of Gosford 3. Donegal Momentum	3.3L	$3.60
1/6	05/10/2024	35	G3 OPEN 3	$722,543.00	Belmont At The Big A	2213m	FM	Dylan Davis	55.5kg	2:14.22	6-1-1	3	1. Carson's Run 2. Deterministic 3. El Rezeen	0.8L	$2.50
2/12	31/08/2024	20	G3 OPEN 3	$4,761,905.00	Kentucky	2112m	FM	Joel Rosario	56kg	2:07.28	11-5-2	7	1. Bellum Justum 2. Carson's Run 3. Rothschild	2.3L	$5.86
1/6	11/08/2024	49	G1 OPEN 3	$921,659.00	Saratoga	1911m	Good	Dylan Davis	55.5kg	1:55.81	6-3-1	4	1. Carson's Run 2. Legend Of Time 3. Deterministic	0.8L	$6.20
1/9	23/06/2024	57	LR OPEN 3	$160,121.00	Monmouth Park	1710m	FM	Vincent Cheminaud	53.5kg	1:42.69	4-3-1	6	1. Carson's Run 2. Full Nelson 3. Abrumar	3.0L	$4.60
5/7	27/04/2024	176	LR OPEN 3	$192,012.00	Belmont At The Big A	1609m	FM	Dylan Davis	55.5kg	1:34.85	1-5-D4	2	1. Good Lord Lorrie 2. The Big Torpedo 3. Walley World	4.8L	$1.95
9/11	03/11/2023	-	Stakes	$1,000,000.00	Santa Anita Park	1609m	Firm	Dylan Davis	55.5kg	1560.50.	9-8-8-7-9	14	1. Unquestionable 2. Mountain Bear 3. My Boy Prince	3.65L	$9.80
1/9	16/09/2023	-	Stakes	$500,000.00	Woodbine	1609m	Good	Dylan Davis	55.5kg	1595.0.	9-9-9-7-1	2	1. Carson's Run 2. My Boy Prince 3. Go With Gusto	-2.25L	$4.30
2/7	31/08/2023	-	Stakes	$175,000.00	Saratoga	1709m	Good	Dylan Davis	55.5kg	1765.30.	6-4-5-5-2	8	1. Gala Brand 2. Carson's Run 3. Spirit Prince	0.5L	$3.55
1/7	29/07/2023	-	Maiden Special Weight	$136,500.00	Saratoga	1709m	Firm	Dylan Davis	54kg	1740.0.	4-6-5-5-2	3	1. Carson's Run 2. Moonlight 3. Frontline Warrior	-0.25L	$6.50

Tuscan Sky (5)17x16x2763

Trainer: Todd Pletcher (USA)12 mths 9: 3-1-1

Jockey: Ricardo Santana, Jr.

Weight: 54.5kgs

4 yo Grey/Roan G

Sire: VINO ROSSO (USA)

Dam: SOUTH ANDROS (USA)

Dam's Sire: Sky Mesa

Stats

Prize Money$380,861.00

Avg $$42,317.89

Win %33.33%

Place %55.56%

Career9: 3-1-1

Track0: 0-0-0

Distance0: 0-0-0

Tr / Dist2: 0-1-0

1st Up3: 2-1-0

2nd Up3: 1-0-0

Firm0: 0-0-0

Good0: 0-0-0

Soft0: 0-0-0

Heavy0: 0-0-0

Synthetic0: 0-0-0

Comments

Comes off a 35 day let-up. At the latest run 3rd in a small field at Gulfstream Park in the G3 Ghostzapper Stakes on March 29 over 1710m, 6 len behind White Abarrio with 53.5kg at $9.10. The start before that eased back early on 6th of 8 at Fairgrounds in the G3 Mineshaft Stakes on February 15 over 1710m, 6 len behind Hall Of Fame carrying 53.5kg at $7.90. Rates highly.

Last Starts 41 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Cnd.	Jockey	Weight	Race Time	In Run	Gate	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/6	29/03/2025	42	G3 OPEN 4U	$261,490.00	Gulfstream Park	1710m	Fast	Dylan Davis	53.5kg	1:41.97	3-3-3	2	1. White Abarrio 2. Power Squeeze 3. Tuscan Sky	6.3L	$9.10
6/8	15/02/2025	56	G3 OPEN 4U	$402,576.00	Fairgrounds	1710m	Fast	I Ortiz Jr	53.5kg	1:42.89	7-8-6	3	1. Hall Of Fame 2. Komorebino Omoide 3. Maycocks Bay	6.6L	$7.90
7/8	21/12/2024	48	G3 OPEN 3U	$254,237.00	Gulfstream Park	1710m	Fast	John R Velazquez	54.5kg	1:45.01	4-6-7	1	1. Rocket Can 2. Tumbarumba 3. Steal Sunshine	11.8L	$2.30
2/8	03/11/2024	106	LR OPEN 3	$228,311.00	Belmont At The Big A	1811m	Fast	John R Velazquez	54.5kg	1:50.05	2-2-2	7	1. Generous Tipper 2. Tuscan Sky 3. Copper Tax	0.8L	$4.95
6/7	20/07/2024	35	G1 OPEN 3	$1,511,278.00	Monmouth Park	1811m	Fast	Javier Castellano	54kg	1:50.31	3-7-6	3	1. Dornoch 2. Mindframe 3. Timberlake	20.1L	$6.70
1/6	15/06/2024	70	LR OPEN 3	$226,586.00	Monmouth Park	1710m	Fast	Javier Castellano	53.5kg	1:43.31	2-1-1	1	1. Tuscan Sky 2. Domestic Product 3. Hades	6.8L	$3.40
7/12	06/04/2024	-	Stakes	$750,000.00	Aqueduct	1810m	Fast	Manuel Franco	56kg	1838.0.	9-9-9-9-7	9	1. Resilience 2. Society Man 3. Protective	12L	$3.95
1/3	17/02/2024	-	Allowance Optional Claiming	$65,000.00	Fair Grounds	1709m	Sloppy	Luis Saez	54kg	1729.0.	2-2-2-2-1	7	1. Tuscan Sky 2. Nash 3. Hawks Creek	-2L	$2.00
1/6	13/01/2024	-	Maiden Special Weight	$80,000.00	Aqueduct	1207m	Muddy	Manuel Franco	54.5kg	1175.10.	3-2-3-2	3	1. Tuscan Sky 2. Have You Heard 3. True Connection	-5.25L	$4.50