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Warrnambool Race 4 - Paddy Wants Pats Warrnambool Derby Ht2

SPENCER (2) had the drop on the lead from the rails draw last start but could only manage third, beaten 6 lengths (30.45) at The Meadows in a Special conditions H over 525m. Strong form has emerged from his last run. Sure to be about the mark. BETTER LIGHT UP (8) hit the frame last time at Sale but the start prior rocketed around 435m at Sale in 24.29. Rates a leading chance if runs up to recent winning time. GREYSYND SAMMY (7) was in the minors two back (27.50) at Horsham but ran below best last time at The Meadows, finishing 8th. The form from his last run stacks up well. Must be included in calculations. FORBES SUPREME (4) can sneak into the finish with the right run.

Race Time:8:07 AM

Saturday, December 28, 2024

Track:Good

Weather:fine

Prize Money:$0.00

Distance:450m

Black Statesman (1)13511f5222

Trainer: Dustin Drew (Dennington)12 mths 17: 3-7-2

2 yo Black Dog

Sire: FERAL FRANKY

Dam: LADY PANDORA

Stats

Career17: 3-7-2

Win %17.65%

Place %70.59%

Prize Money$10,020.00

Comments

Finished second (23.60) at Horsham last time making it three placings in a row. Drawn the inside. Looks tested in this line-up.

Last Starts 4 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
2/6	23/12/2024	5	GR 5	$2,930.00	Horsham	410m	0:23.60	0:23.31	0:23.13	N/A	1	1. My Lady Panama 2. Black Statesman 3. Jacaerys Bale	4.5L	$1.60
2/8	18/12/2024	14	GR 5	$2,930.00	Ballarat	390m	0:22.44	0:22.37	0:22.07	N/A	5	1. Sha Tin King 2. Black Statesman 3. Aston Jalapeno	0.9L	$7.00
2/8	04/12/2024	8	GR 5	$2,930.00	Warrnambool	390m	0:22.28	0:22.12	0:22.03	N/A	1	1. Show Cause 2. Black Statesman 3. Laid Back Lass	2.4L	$3.90
5/8	26/11/2024	47	GR 5	$2,930.00	Horsham	410m	0:23.46	0:23.18	0:22.97	N/A	7	1. Leo Bale 2. Gas Lantern 3. Entertainment	4.0L	$16.00
0/8	10/10/2024	9	GR 5	$2,930.00	Warrnambool	450m	0:32.12	0:25.19	0:25.19	N/A	6	1. Sydney Show 2. Knockout Norm 3. Miss Mary Jo	99.0L	$11.00
1/7	01/10/2024	7	GR 6	$2,930.00	Horsham	410m	0:23.22	0:23.22	0:22.85	N/A	4	1. Black Statesman 2. Is He Lucky 3. Paw Olympia	1.7L	$1.90

Spencer (2)1211718433

Trainer: Matthew Marshall (Darley)12 mths 15: 5-3-4

2 yo Black Dog

Sire: ASTON RUPEE

Dam: DISTINCT

Stats

Career15: 5-3-4

Win %33.33%

Place %80.00%

Prize Money$29,395.00

Comments

Has placed the last couple. Ran 30.45 when third at The Meadows latest but the run prior he clocked a solid 24.02 over 425m finishing third at Bendigo. Looks the one to beat on run two back.

Last Starts 20 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/7	07/12/2024	8	SPEC H	$9,060.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.45	0:29.98	0:29.59	N/A	1	1. Giacomo 2. Raven Peter 3. Spencer	6.7L	$5.00
3/8	29/11/2024	30	GR 4/5	$3,360.00	Bendigo	425m	0:24.02	0:23.65	0:23.63	N/A	5	1. Packham Prince 2. Paw Tabitha 3. Spencer	5.3L	$5.50
4/8	30/10/2024	7	GR 5	$2,930.00	Ballarat	450m	0:25.66	0:25.33	0:25.27	N/A	1	1. Kade 2. Paw Yanelle 3. Hi There Frank	4.7L	$2.90
8/8	23/10/2024	9	GR 5 H	$3,340.00	The Meadows	525m	0:31.10	0:29.89	0:29.89	N/A	3	1. Nicki Whoop 2. Paw Zelini 3. Shanlyn Scout	17.3L	$2.20
1/7	14/10/2024	18	GR 4/5	$3,880.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.85	0:29.85	0:29.64	N/A	7	1. Spencer 2. Ruxton Flame 3. Dream On Allan	0.4L	$4.00
7/8	26/09/2024	5	GR 5	$8,790.00	Sandown	515m	0:30.14	0:29.79	0:29.29	N/A	8	1. Raven Peter 2. Voice Of Thunder 3. Fill Your Boots	5.1L	$3.90

Forbes Supreme (4)4585511136

Trainer: Scott Forbes (Hopetoun Park)12 mths 27: 7-3-3

2 yo FWN Dog

Sire: FERAL FRANKY (AUS)

Dam: SWEET ON ME (AUS)

Stats

Career27: 7-3-3

Win %25.93%

Place %48.15%

Prize Money$19,230.00

Comments

Missed the frame last start when sixth but had been in strong form prior to that, winning three on end before placing two back. Looks a danger to the top few if returns to best form this time.

Last Starts 4 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
6/7	23/12/2024	23	FFA	$3,880.00	Sandown	515m	0:30.15	0:29.76	0:29.71	N/A	4	1. Shake It Off 2. Lure Of Kilkenny 3. No More Games	5.5L	$21.00
3/7	30/11/2024	5	GR 5	$8,790.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.82	0:29.55	0:29.24	N/A	1	1. Whatever Tess 2. Zygon Bale 3. Forbes Supreme	3.9L	$4.00
1/8	25/11/2024	7	GR 5 FIN	$3,880.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.92	0:29.92	0:29.49	N/A	7	1. Forbes Supreme 2. Penny's Jade 3. Almost Imminent	2.5L	$2.50
1/8	18/11/2024	7	T3 GR 5 H	$3,340.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.73	0:29.73	0:29.43	N/A	1	1. Forbes Supreme 2. Flying Butcher 3. It's A Runaway	0.9L	$1.40
1/8	11/11/2024	9	GR 5 NP	$3,340.00	Sandown	515m	0:29.98	0:29.98	0:29.47	N/A	6	1. Forbes Supreme 2. Penny's Jade 3. Flying Butcher	2.2L	$3.00
5/8	02/11/2024	10	GR 5	$3,340.00	Sandown	515m	0:30.36	0:29.69	0:29.56	N/A	3	1. Gold Maree 2. Break In 3. Magic Dark Star	9.5L	$3.00

Time To Fire (5)41341117

Trainer: Damien Smith (Newcastle)12 mths 8: 4-0-1

1 yo BDL Dog

Sire: FERNANDO BALE

Dam: MALLEE DREAMER

Stats

Career8: 4-0-1

Win %50.00%

Place %62.50%

Prize Money$5,450.00

Comments

Did a good job two starts back at Angle Park to win by 2.25 lengths in 30.77, beating Paw Shayna. Last start finished 7th on December 19 over 530m at Angle Park behind Bewitch beaten 6 lengths (31.45) in a Special conditions race. Not likely to feature on this occasion.

Last Starts 8 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
7/8	19/12/2024	5	SPEC	$14,350.00	Angle Park	530m	0:31.45	0:31.03	0:30.35	N/A	3	1. Bewitch 2. Paw Shayna 3. Dakota Shine	6.0L	$3.50
1/8	14/12/2024	5	SPEC	$2,400.00	Angle Park	530m	0:30.77	0:30.77	0:30.77	N/A	5	1. Time To Fire 2. Paw Shayna 3. Anna Valentina	2.3L	$3.70
1/6	09/12/2024	17	GR 6	$1,740.00	Angle Park	530m	0:30.97	0:30.97	0:30.81	N/A	2	1. Time To Fire 2. Mr. Oberon 3. Auntie Clare	0.1L	$1.80
1/5	22/11/2024	3	GR 6	$1,860.00	Murray Bridge	530m	0:29.85	0:29.85	0:29.85	N/A	1	1. Time To Fire 2. Fantastic Helga 3. Exultant McLaren	4.3L	$1.60
4/6	19/11/2024	9	MX 6/7 H	$3,340.00	Horsham	485m	0:27.65	0:27.43	0:27.02	N/A	8	1. Paw Quinby 2. Moraine Grace 3. Mister Manfredi	3.2L	$2.70
3/6	10/11/2024	7	GR 6	$1,740.00	Murray Bridge	455m	0:26.03	0:25.96	0:25.61	N/A	1	1. Sudoku Jaxon 2. Victa Debbie 3. Time To Fire, Canya Express	1.0L	$2.70

Greysynd Sammy (7)2121377728

Trainer: Michael Chilcott (Heathcote)12 mths 25: 4-6-5

2 yo Black Dog

Sire: BLACK MAGIC OPAL

Dam: IT'S A WISH

Stats

Career25: 4-6-5

Win %16.00%

Place %60.00%

Prize Money$37,995.00

Comments

Was out of the placings last time but the start prior finished in the minors when second (27.50) at big odds over 485m at Horsham. Drawn out wide but in the mix on his best form.

Last Starts 6 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
8/8	21/12/2024	4	GR 5	$8,790.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.82	0:29.95	0:29.62	N/A	1	1. Bomb Luca 2. Pat Ability 3. Paw Ike	13.0L	$12.00
2/8	17/12/2024	10	GR 4/5	$3,880.00	Horsham	485m	0:27.50	0:27.41	0:27.12	N/A	7	1. Zygon Bale 2. Greysynd Sammy 3. Qilin Bale	1.3L	$9.00
7/7	07/12/2024	12	SPEC H	$9,060.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.61	0:30.11	0:29.59	N/A	6	1. Epitomize 2. Extradited 3. Paw Kramer	7.0L	$23.00
7/7	25/11/2024	10	RST WIN H	$3,340.00	Sandown	515m	0:30.01	0:29.66	0:29.49	N/A	7	1. Piebald 2. Two Boo Hook 3. Cosmic Reward	5.0L	$6.00
7/7	15/11/2024	9	SPEC	$9,060.00	Sandown	515m	0:30.06	0:29.47	0:28.94	N/A	2	1. Good Odds Cobber 2. Fernando Phil 3. Vista Yttrium	8.3L	$18.00
3/8	06/11/2024	5	GR 4/5	$3,880.00	The Meadows	525m	0:30.28	0:29.92	0:29.90	N/A	2	1. MacKinaw Peach 2. Honey Zen 3. Greysynd Sammy	5.2L	$5.00

Better Light Up (8)1251313713

Trainer: David Geall (Lara)12 mths 10: 4-1-3

2 yo FWN Dog

Sire: FERAL FRANKY

Dam: ARMATREE KAYCEE

Stats

Career10: 4-1-3

Win %40.00%

Place %80.00%

Prize Money$8,385.00

Comments

Turned in a good run last time, placing (24.69) at Sale in a Restricted WIN H. Lines up from box 8 for the first time. Expected to go close.

Last Starts 7 days since last start

Place	Date	Days	Class	Prize	Track	Dist.	Ran	Win	BON	A1s	Box	Result	Margin	Starting Price
3/6	20/12/2024	5	RST WIN H	$2,930.00	Sale	435m	0:24.69	0:24.55	0:24.11	N/A	6	1. Both Sides 2. Hay Riley 3. Bombshell Banjo, Better Light Up	2.1L	$1.60
1/8	15/12/2024	9	GR 5	$2,930.00	Sale	435m	0:24.29	0:24.29	0:24.27	N/A	6	1. Better Light Up 2. Takumi Bale 3. Bruce's Shout	1.5L	$10.00
7/8	06/12/2024	7	GR 5	$2,930.00	Geelong	460m	0:26.39	0:25.77	0:25.76	N/A	3	1. Bronelly Striker 2. Paw Phelps 3. Paw Fredrick	8.8L	$10.00
3/7	29/11/2024	9	GR 5	$2,930.00	Bendigo	425m	0:24.27	0:24.01	0:23.63	N/A	4	1. Let's Win Ollie 2. Lulu's Ride 3. Better Light Up	3.7L	$5.50
1/8	20/11/2024	25	RST WIN	$2,930.00	Ballarat	390m	0:22.06	0:22.06	0:21.84	N/A	1	1. Better Light Up 2. Blackpool Ranger 3. Check It Out	0.7L	$1.70
3/8	26/10/2024	7	MX	$10,380.00	Dubbo	400m	0:23.27	0:22.69	0:22.36	N/A	2	1. Bernardo Beach 2. Fletcher Keeping 3. Better Light Up	8.3L	$3.20